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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Australia: Insignia Financial, Novonix and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain Contemplating a Privatisation Bid
  • Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain’s Indicative Proposal a Tad Light
  • Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain’s A$4.00/Share NBIO. Needs More Gruel
  • NVX: Positive Takeaways From Analyst Day Include Company’s Successful Attainment of 2024 Key Objectives


Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain Contemplating a Privatisation Bid

By Arun George

  • IOOF Holdings (IFL AU) shares rose 11% in the final minutes of trade, fueled by media reports suggesting that Bain was in the advanced stages of making a buyout offer.
  • The presence of several substantial shareholders necessitates an attractive takeover premium. Takeover interest is unsurprising as Insignia trades at a material discount to peers.
  • We use several methods to triangulate the likely offer, which suggests a price range of A$3.44-5.50 per share, with an average of A$4.67, a 37.4% premium to the last close.

Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain’s Indicative Proposal a Tad Light

By Brian Freitas

  • IOOF Holdings (IFL AU) has received an indicative proposal from Bain Capital to acquire all of its shares at A$4/share in cash.
  • The offer takes advantage of IOOF Holdings (IFL AU)‘s underperformance over the last couple of years and there could be competing offers from other investment managers. 
  • Short interest in IOOF Holdings (IFL AU) is around 2% of shares out and 2.5% of float. There could be short covering in the next few days.

Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain’s A$4.00/Share NBIO. Needs More Gruel

By David Blennerhassett

  • Insignia Financial (IFL AU), a wealth manager and previously known as IOOF, has announced a A$4.00/share non-binding and indicative proposal from PE outfit Bain Capital.
  • The Offer, should it proceed, will be by way of a Scheme.  Apart from IFL’s shareholder approval, a firm bid requires FIRB signing off. 
  • IFL’s board is weighing up the Offer’s pros and cons. This probably requires a small bump.

NVX: Positive Takeaways From Analyst Day Include Company’s Successful Attainment of 2024 Key Objectives

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Each of NVX’s 3 operating units is expected to play an important role in its development & growth, as NVX leverages proprietary R&D & patented technology to develop critical materials for the battery sector.
  • The Anode unit is moving towards commercial production at the Riverside facility.
  • NVX’s goal as it advances its cathode unit – the cathode active material (CAM) market is expected to reach >$100B globally by 2030 – is to maximize sustainability & cost efficiency around its processes.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Hyundai Motor Securities, LG CNS, Coupang and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • FSS Puts a Break on Hyundai Motor Securities Rights Offering
  • LG CNS Pre-IPO – Post-COVID Beneficiary
  • Coupang Inc.: Its Efforts Towards International Expansion & Market Penetration & Other Major Drivers


FSS Puts a Break on Hyundai Motor Securities Rights Offering

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 12 December, the Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) put a break on Hyundai Motor Securities’ rights offering worth 200 billion won.
  • The proposed rights offering included issuing 30.1 million new shares, representing 95% of its current outstanding shares (31.7 million).
  • We would try to capitalize on the short term bullish upside on its shares of Hyundai Motor Securities and sell into strength.  

LG CNS Pre-IPO – Post-COVID Beneficiary

By Clarence Chu

  • LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS) is looking to raise around US$850m in its upcoming Korea IPO. 
  • LG CNS is a South Korean information technology company. The firm primarily provides comprehensive digital transformation services and solutions backed AI, big data, and cloud.
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

Coupang Inc.: Its Efforts Towards International Expansion & Market Penetration & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Chevron Corporation’s third-quarter 2024 financial results demonstrated a mixture of positive operational achievements and financial headwinds.
  • The company reported earnings of $4.5 billion or $2.48 per share, with adjusted earnings similarly at $4.5 billion or $2.51 per share.
  • Despite these substantial earnings, this marked a decrease from the prior year largely due to lower liquids realizations and increased depreciation, depletion, and amortization (DD&A), particularly at the Tengizchevroil (TCO) project in Kazakhstan.

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Daily Brief China: Vesync, VCredit Holdings Ltd, Lufax Holding , Xiaocaiyuan International Holding and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Vesync (2148 HK): The Yang Family to Launch a Privatisation Offer?
  • VCredit (2003 HK): Ma Makes His Move?
  • Lufax (6623 HK): On Ping An’s Stake Increases
  • Pre-IPO Xiaocaiyuan International Holding (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention


Vesync (2148 HK): The Yang Family to Launch a Privatisation Offer?

By Arun George

  • Vesync (2148 HK) is in a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers which contains inside information of the Company.” 
  • The Yang family is likely seeking to privatise Vesync through a Cayman scheme. The shares are trading 24% below the HK$5.52 IPO price.
  • We use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a price range of HK$5.09-10.30 per share, with an average of HK$6.71, a 59.8% premium to last close.

VCredit (2003 HK): Ma Makes His Move?

By David Blennerhassett

  • VCredit Holdings Ltd (2003 HK), a provider of consumer financial services in China, was listed on the 21st June 2018 at HK$20/share. Shares are currently down 90%.
  • Ma Ting Hung, VCredit’s chairman, held 35.6% at the time of listing, and currently holds 39.85%.  
  • VCredit was suspended this morning pursuant to the Takeovers Code. Now might be the time for Ma to take VCredit back into the fold. 

Lufax (6623 HK): On Ping An’s Stake Increases

By David Blennerhassett

  • As discussed in PA Gooddoctor (1833 HK) – The Arb Is To Take The Stock, Ping An increased its stake in Lufax (6623 HK) to 56.82% via a scrip dividend.
  • This triggered a zero-premium MGO, which closed on the 28 October 2024 with negligible tendering.
  • Via an amendment to a tri-party agreement, Ping An subsequently lifted its stake to 66.85%. It’s worth understanding how Ping An has taken its stake >50% and beyond. 

Pre-IPO Xiaocaiyuan International Holding (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The financial data for 2024 has already shown investors weak growth signal.After IPO, Xiaocaiyuan may face stricter scrutiny from investors and the market in terms of its sustainable performance growth.
  • It’s not easy for Xiaocaiyuan to find new growth points. Catering companies commonly face problems such as performance fluctuations and uncertain profitability, which has left their share price underperforming.
  • Post investment valuation has already reached RMB10 billion, which far exceeds the market value of A-share peers. Due to concerns on the outlook, valuation performance after IPO could be lower-than-expected.

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Daily Brief United States: Microstrategy Inc Cl A, Novanta , Blackline Inc, Intl Flavors & Fragrances, Marathon Petroleum, Dell Technologies , NVIDIA Corp, GLOBALFOUNDRIES , Accolade , Macy’s Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Michael Green, CFA, Portfolio Manager, Chief Strategist, Simplify Asset Management
  • Novanta Inc.: An Insight Into Its Strategic Market Positioning in Robotics…
  • BlackLine’s Game-Changing Product Innovations: Discover How the Accounting Studio Is Redefining Financial Automation! – Major Drivers
  • International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF).: Global Expansion
  • Marathon Petroleum Corporation: Refining Utilization & Operational Excellence To Redefine the Industry! – Major Drivers
  • Michael Dell: Building a Tech Empire, Bold Business Moves and The Key To Winning
  • NVIDIA Faces Mounting Challenges Amid China Probe and Tech War Escalation!
  • GlobalFoundries Inc.: Automotive & Industrial IoT Integration As A Critical Growth Lever! – Major Drivers
  • Accolade Inc.: Diversified Demand Channels Driving Our Bullishness! – Major Drivers
  • Macy’s vs. Activist Investor: Could Barington Capital’s Strategy Spark a Comeback?


Michael Green, CFA, Portfolio Manager, Chief Strategist, Simplify Asset Management

By Alpha Exchange

  • Mike Green explains how leveraged products on MSTR resemble a short straddle in their rebalancing requirements
  • The two times leveraged long products, MSTU and MSTX, are unique due to their large size and underlying asset volatility, creating potential volume amplifying feedback loops
  • The leveraged complex has contributed to the large premium of MSTR to the value of its bitcoin holdings, impacting ETFs forced to use options market due to limited leverage from swap providers

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Novanta Inc.: An Insight Into Its Strategic Market Positioning in Robotics…

By Baptista Research

  • Novanta Inc.’s third quarter of 2024 results reflect a mixed performance driven by a challenging macroeconomic environment, customer-related timing issues, and some positive business developments.
  • The company reported revenue of $244 million, an increase of 10% year-over-year, though organic growth was flat.
  • Adjusted gross margins were 46%, a slight decline from the previous year due to the dilution from the Motion Solutions acquisition, although core business margins improved by 70 basis points.

BlackLine’s Game-Changing Product Innovations: Discover How the Accounting Studio Is Redefining Financial Automation! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • BlackLine’s recent quarterly performance showcases a mix of both robust achievements and ongoing strategic challenges.
  • The company, co-led by Owen Ryan and Therese Tucker, has demonstrated its ability to exceed revenue and profitability targets, reflecting effective strategic execution.
  • A significant achievement this quarter was the record free cash flow generation, indicating strong financial health and potential for reinvestment in growth initiatives.

International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF).: Global Expansion

By Baptista Research

  • International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. (IFF) exhibited robust financial performance in its third quarter of 2024, showcasing a significant upward trend across its business units.
  • IFF achieved a notable growth in revenue, surpassing $2.9 billion, reflecting a 9% increase on a comparable, currency-neutral basis.
  • This growth was driven by high single-digit to double-digit volume improvements across various segments, notably in the Nourish, Health & Biosciences, Scent, and Pharma Solutions units.

Marathon Petroleum Corporation: Refining Utilization & Operational Excellence To Redefine the Industry! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Marathon Petroleum Corporation reported third quarter earnings per share of $1.87 with a refining utilization rate of 94%.
  • The company continues to deliver solid performance in its refining and marketing (R&M) segment, boasting a 96% capture rate, a 2% improvement quarter-over-quarter, reflecting strong commercial performance.
  • The refining operating costs were at $5.30 per barrel, a slight increase primarily due to decreased throughputs and higher project expenses linked to intensified turnaround activity.

Michael Dell: Building a Tech Empire, Bold Business Moves and The Key To Winning

By In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

  • Interview with Michael Dell, founder of Dell Technologies, discussing his journey and insights in the tech industry
  • Dell started his tech career at a young age, working in a Chinese restaurant and later upgrading computers
  • Dell shares his thoughts on entrepreneurship, technology development, and the future impact of AI in various industries

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


NVIDIA Faces Mounting Challenges Amid China Probe and Tech War Escalation!

By Baptista Research

  • NVIDIA Corporation, the global AI and semiconductor powerhouse, has found itself in the crosshairs of China’s antitrust regulators.
  • Amid an escalating tech war between the U.S. and China, Beijing’s State Administration for Market Regulation has launched an investigation into NVIDIA’s compliance with antimonopoly laws concerning its $6.9 billion acquisition of Mellanox Technologies in 2020.
  • This probe comes on the heels of the U.S. imposing stricter export controls on advanced semiconductor technologies, further intensifying the global tech rivalry.

GlobalFoundries Inc.: Automotive & Industrial IoT Integration As A Critical Growth Lever! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • GlobalFoundries’ third-quarter fiscal year 2024 results provide a comprehensive overview of its financial performance and strategic initiatives.
  • The company reported revenue of $1.739 billion for the quarter, reflecting a 7% sequential growth, albeit a 6% decline year-over-year.
  • This revenue growth is commendable given the challenging industry conditions with lower factory utilization levels around mid-70s.

Accolade Inc.: Diversified Demand Channels Driving Our Bullishness! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Accolade’s recent earnings disclosure offers a comprehensive perspective on its current market positioning and performance, highlighting several important facets relevant to understanding its investment potential.
  • The company, which focuses on healthcare advocacy and personalized solutions, detailed its second-quarter fiscal 2025 results, underscoring both areas of confidence and concern for investors.
  • Accolade reported quarterly revenue of $106.4 million, exceeding its guided range.

Macy’s vs. Activist Investor: Could Barington Capital’s Strategy Spark a Comeback?

By Baptista Research

  • Macy’s Inc. has been in the spotlight recently as Barington Capital disclosed a stake in the iconic department store chain, pushing for a series of strategic changes aimed at enhancing shareholder value.
  • This follows a history of activist investor interest in Macy’s, reflecting its ongoing struggles in a challenging retail environment.
  • While Macy’s management has reaffirmed its commitment to its “A Bold New Chapter” turnaround plan, Barington’s proposals focus on optimizing real estate assets, cutting capital expenditures, and exploring strategic alternatives for its premium brands, Bloomingdale’s and Bluemercury.

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Daily Brief India: IGI (India) Limited, SAI Life Sciences, NIFTY Index, Star Agriwarehousing and Collateral Management Ltd, ReNew Energy Global and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • IGI (India) IPO – Unique Exposure but Questionable Acquisition, and 4x Returns for PE in 18 Months
  • Sai Life Sciences IPO – Quick Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation
  • EQD | Global Option Implied Volatility – From Nifty 50 to Bitcoin, Plus BTC-Bond Special
  • Star Agriwarehousing and Collateral Management Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


IGI (India) IPO – Unique Exposure but Questionable Acquisition, and 4x Returns for PE in 18 Months

By Sumeet Singh

  • International Gemmological Institute (India) Limited (IGII) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • IGI India is part of the International Gemmological Institute (IGI) group. As of 22nd August 2024, IGI India handled operations of the IGI business in India and Türkiye.
  • In this note, we will look at the company’s past performance and talk about the IPO valuations.

Sai Life Sciences IPO – Quick Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

By Akshat Shah

  • SAI Life Sciences (SAILS12 IN) is looking to raise up to US$360m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Sai Life Sciences is a contract research, development and manufacturing organisation providing end-to-end services across drug discovery, development and manufacturing value-chain, for small to global pharmaceutical innovators and biotechnology firms.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.

EQD | Global Option Implied Volatility – From Nifty 50 to Bitcoin, Plus BTC-Bond Special

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Cross-Market volatility snapshot highlighting option opportunities. Today’s opportunities are in the Nifty 50 and in Bitcoin
  • Nifty 50: The index crossed the 50-day moving average, signaling a bullish trend. Hedging gains is recommended due to expected macroeconomic uncertainty in Q1 2025.
  • Bitcoin: Surpassed $100,000, driven by positive sentiment towards the incoming US President’s crypto-friendly stance. Options strategies are suggested, plus how a synthetic Bitcoin bond compares to a corporate bond.

Star Agriwarehousing and Collateral Management Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Rosita Fernandes

  • Star Agriwarehousing and Collateral Management Ltd (0207140D IN) (SACM) is planning to raise about US$100m through its upcoming India IPO. The lead bookrunners for the deal are JMFin, Ambit, Equirius.
  • SACM is a technology-led integrated agricultural value-chain services platform that provides services such as procurement, trade facilitation, warehousing, collateral management, financing solutions, a digital marketplace, and data services.
  • According to the F&S report, the company was the largest by revenue and the most profitable technology-led integrated value chain services platform during the FY22 to FY24. 

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Tanvi Arora

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: ReNew Energy
  • In the US, inflation data was benign and supported expectations for a Fed interest rate cut this month. The CPI inflation came in at 2.7% y-o-y in November (2.7% e / 2.6% p), while the core CPI inflation stood at 3.3% (3.3% e / 3.3% p).
  • US Treasury sold off across the curve, with the yields gaining 4-6 bps. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained 0.8% and 1.8%, respectively.

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Daily Brief Japan: Oji Holdings, Nec Networks & System Integr, GA Technologies, J Frontier Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Oji Paper (3861 JP) – Big New Buyback After Crossholding Sales And An Activist Peeking From Register
  • NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown II – Synergies Not Included, So Fair Value Not Offered
  • GA Technologies (3491 JP): Full-year FY10/24 flash update
  • J Frontier Co Ltd (2934 JP): Full-year FY05/24 flash update


Oji Paper (3861 JP) – Big New Buyback After Crossholding Sales And An Activist Peeking From Register

By Travis Lundy

  • Paper manufacturer Oji Holdings (3861 JP) has spent 25 years not going anywhere. Their current MTMP isn’t exciting. And it looks like they will fail worse than last time.
  • But an activist put their head above the parapet recently, and now the company has announced larger new cross-holding selldown targets, and a big 9% buyback, with a ToSTNeT-3 tomorrow. 
  • The stock is at 0.47x book. They have nearly ¥400bn of financial assets which are non-core. They have land and property holdings. And they have lots of cross-holdings to repurchase.

NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown II – Synergies Not Included, So Fair Value Not Offered

By Travis Lundy

  • Yesterday, NEC Corp (6701 JP) extended its Tender Offer to buy controlled subsidiary Nec Networks & System Integr (1973 JP) for another 10 days. It did not have enough shares.
  • As discussed here 4wks ago, then here yesterday, NEC might not get enough shares unless it offers a higher price. There’s a reason. It is not a high enough price. 
  • METI Fair M&A Guidelines and Guidelines for Corporate Takeovers define fair. Guarantees of a floor price and a fair allocation of synergies. One is questionable. The other is not there.

GA Technologies (3491 JP): Full-year FY10/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • FY10/24 revenue reached JPY189.9bn (+29.5% YoY), with business profit at JPY4.1bn (+86.6% YoY), exceeding forecasts.
  • RENOSY Marketplace expanded market share, becoming top in pre-owned condominium investments for five consecutive years.
  • ITANDI business saw increased ARR, customer numbers, and product adoption, aided by M&A activities in 2024.

J Frontier Co Ltd (2934 JP): Full-year FY05/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue increased to JPY17.7bn (+5.2% YoY) due to subscriber growth in D2C and BPO services expansion.
  • Extraordinary losses included JPY829mn in impairment losses and JPY140mn for financial statement correction costs.
  • FY05/25 forecast: Revenue JPY21.0bn (+18.5% YoY), EBITDA JPY500mn, net loss JPY490mn to JPY290mn.

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Most Read: DigiCo REIT, Nec Networks & System Integr, Sieyuan Electric Co Ltd A, Seven & I Holdings, Zomato, Oji Holdings, VCredit Holdings Ltd, Insignia Financial, Lufax Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • DigiCo REIT (DGT AU) IPO: Offering Details & Index Implications
  • NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown I – Extendy-Extendy, But Not Yet Bumpity Bumpity
  • CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: US$9bn Round-Trip Trade
  • 7&I (3382JP) – Spanners in the Works: FTC Blocks Another US Retail Merger and 7-11 Japan Sales Slump
  • NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade
  • Oji Paper (3861 JP) – Big New Buyback After Crossholding Sales And An Activist Peeking From Register
  • NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown II – Synergies Not Included, So Fair Value Not Offered
  • VCredit (2003 HK): Ma Makes His Move?
  • Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain Contemplating a Privatisation Bid
  • Lufax (6623 HK): On Ping An’s Stake Increases


DigiCo REIT (DGT AU) IPO: Offering Details & Index Implications

By Brian Freitas

  • DigiCo REIT (DIGICO AU) is looking to raise nearly A$2bn in its IPO by selling 399.1m shares at A$5/share. Stock is expected to list on the ASX on 12 December.
  • HMC Capital (HMC AU) will own 18.2% of DigiCo REIT (DIGICO AU) after the IPO while IPO investors will own 72.5% of the company.
  • Subject to DigiCo REIT being an eligible stapled security, we expect the stock to be included in global and local indices between March and June mopping up 11.7% of float.

NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown I – Extendy-Extendy, But Not Yet Bumpity Bumpity

By Travis Lundy

  • Two days before the close of its TOB on subsidiary Nec Networks & System Integr (1973 JP), NEC Corp (6701 JP) announced it had no plans to raise the price. 
  • The next day, the second largest shareholder reported a stake increase from 11.68% to 13.12%. That changes the dynamic further, and a change in terms was likely. 
  • Today post-close, NEC extended the Tender Offer by 10 days. It is worthwhile understanding the likely current disposition of shares. 

CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: US$9bn Round-Trip Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 16 changes for the CSI 300 Index, 50 changes for the CSI 500 Index and 100 changes for the CSI1000 Index that will be implemented on 13 December.
  • There are 257 unique names that are adds or deletes and the round-trip trade across all 3 indices is close to US$9bn.
  • Stocks with the largest inflows and impact have outperformed stocks with the largest outflows and impact over the last few weeks. That could continue for the next couple of weeks.

7&I (3382JP) – Spanners in the Works: FTC Blocks Another US Retail Merger and 7-11 Japan Sales Slump

By Michael Causton

  • Recent reports suggest an MBO if firming up, with partial sale of US to ACT and even the Japan CVS business so a big value solution for all concerned.
  • Not so fast: an ACT purchase of 7-11 US looks more likely to be blocked given yesterday’s ruling on the merger of grocery giants Kroger and Albertsons.
  • The valuation of the Japan business may need a correction too if the last six months of poor numbers continue – given this is because of price perception, they may.

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 19 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. All names are exactly in line with our forecast.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 72.7bn (US$857m). There are 18 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
  • The adds have continued to outperform the deletes even after the end of the review period. There could be further upside heading into year-end and implementation of the changes.

Oji Paper (3861 JP) – Big New Buyback After Crossholding Sales And An Activist Peeking From Register

By Travis Lundy

  • Paper manufacturer Oji Holdings (3861 JP) has spent 25 years not going anywhere. Their current MTMP isn’t exciting. And it looks like they will fail worse than last time.
  • But an activist put their head above the parapet recently, and now the company has announced larger new cross-holding selldown targets, and a big 9% buyback, with a ToSTNeT-3 tomorrow. 
  • The stock is at 0.47x book. They have nearly ¥400bn of financial assets which are non-core. They have land and property holdings. And they have lots of cross-holdings to repurchase.

NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown II – Synergies Not Included, So Fair Value Not Offered

By Travis Lundy

  • Yesterday, NEC Corp (6701 JP) extended its Tender Offer to buy controlled subsidiary Nec Networks & System Integr (1973 JP) for another 10 days. It did not have enough shares.
  • As discussed here 4wks ago, then here yesterday, NEC might not get enough shares unless it offers a higher price. There’s a reason. It is not a high enough price. 
  • METI Fair M&A Guidelines and Guidelines for Corporate Takeovers define fair. Guarantees of a floor price and a fair allocation of synergies. One is questionable. The other is not there.

VCredit (2003 HK): Ma Makes His Move?

By David Blennerhassett

  • VCredit Holdings Ltd (2003 HK), a provider of consumer financial services in China, was listed on the 21st June 2018 at HK$20/share. Shares are currently down 90%.
  • Ma Ting Hung, VCredit’s chairman, held 35.6% at the time of listing, and currently holds 39.85%.  
  • VCredit was suspended this morning pursuant to the Takeovers Code. Now might be the time for Ma to take VCredit back into the fold. 

Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain Contemplating a Privatisation Bid

By Arun George

  • IOOF Holdings (IFL AU) shares rose 11% in the final minutes of trade, fueled by media reports suggesting that Bain was in the advanced stages of making a buyout offer.
  • The presence of several substantial shareholders necessitates an attractive takeover premium. Takeover interest is unsurprising as Insignia trades at a material discount to peers.
  • We use several methods to triangulate the likely offer, which suggests a price range of A$3.44-5.50 per share, with an average of A$4.67, a 37.4% premium to the last close.

Lufax (6623 HK): On Ping An’s Stake Increases

By David Blennerhassett

  • As discussed in PA Gooddoctor (1833 HK) – The Arb Is To Take The Stock, Ping An increased its stake in Lufax (6623 HK) to 56.82% via a scrip dividend.
  • This triggered a zero-premium MGO, which closed on the 28 October 2024 with negligible tendering.
  • Via an amendment to a tri-party agreement, Ping An subsequently lifted its stake to 66.85%. It’s worth understanding how Ping An has taken its stake >50% and beyond. 

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Daily Brief Utilities: ReNew Energy Global and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Tanvi Arora

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: ReNew Energy
  • In the US, inflation data was benign and supported expectations for a Fed interest rate cut this month. The CPI inflation came in at 2.7% y-o-y in November (2.7% e / 2.6% p), while the core CPI inflation stood at 3.3% (3.3% e / 3.3% p).
  • US Treasury sold off across the curve, with the yields gaining 4-6 bps. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained 0.8% and 1.8%, respectively.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Oji Holdings, Marathon Petroleum, Intl Flavors & Fragrances, Williams Cos, Copper, Devon Energy, Chevron Corp, Serica Energy, Wheaton Precious Metals, ADF Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Oji Paper (3861 JP) – Big New Buyback After Crossholding Sales And An Activist Peeking From Register
  • Marathon Petroleum Corporation: Refining Utilization & Operational Excellence To Redefine the Industry! – Major Drivers
  • International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF).: Global Expansion
  • The Williams Companies: An Insight Into Its Efficient Capital Allocation in Pipeline Projects & Other Major Drivers
  • First Quantum Minerals (FM CN): Call Option on Cobre Panama?
  • Devon Energy: Expansion & Resource Optimization in the Williston Basin Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers
  • Chevron Corporation Unveils Aggressive $3 Billion Cost-Cutting Plan – Here’s What It Means for Investors! – Major Drivers
  • Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Compressor at Triton down for 2-4 weeks
  • Wheaton Precious Metals: Cobalt Production Ramp-up & Strategic Partnerships Driving Our ‘Outperform’ Rating! – Major Drivers
  • DRX: Solid Q3 Financials; Margins Remain Strong


Oji Paper (3861 JP) – Big New Buyback After Crossholding Sales And An Activist Peeking From Register

By Travis Lundy

  • Paper manufacturer Oji Holdings (3861 JP) has spent 25 years not going anywhere. Their current MTMP isn’t exciting. And it looks like they will fail worse than last time.
  • But an activist put their head above the parapet recently, and now the company has announced larger new cross-holding selldown targets, and a big 9% buyback, with a ToSTNeT-3 tomorrow. 
  • The stock is at 0.47x book. They have nearly ¥400bn of financial assets which are non-core. They have land and property holdings. And they have lots of cross-holdings to repurchase.

Marathon Petroleum Corporation: Refining Utilization & Operational Excellence To Redefine the Industry! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Marathon Petroleum Corporation reported third quarter earnings per share of $1.87 with a refining utilization rate of 94%.
  • The company continues to deliver solid performance in its refining and marketing (R&M) segment, boasting a 96% capture rate, a 2% improvement quarter-over-quarter, reflecting strong commercial performance.
  • The refining operating costs were at $5.30 per barrel, a slight increase primarily due to decreased throughputs and higher project expenses linked to intensified turnaround activity.

International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF).: Global Expansion

By Baptista Research

  • International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. (IFF) exhibited robust financial performance in its third quarter of 2024, showcasing a significant upward trend across its business units.
  • IFF achieved a notable growth in revenue, surpassing $2.9 billion, reflecting a 9% increase on a comparable, currency-neutral basis.
  • This growth was driven by high single-digit to double-digit volume improvements across various segments, notably in the Nourish, Health & Biosciences, Scent, and Pharma Solutions units.

The Williams Companies: An Insight Into Its Efficient Capital Allocation in Pipeline Projects & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Williams Companies recently reported their third-quarter performance for 2024, showing a series of strategic moves and expansions that have strengthened their position within the natural gas sector.
  • The company announced another record quarter of adjusted EBITDA, significantly fueled by expansions in natural gas transportation and acquisitions, particularly in the Gulf Coast region.
  • This achievement came despite challenges from low natural gas prices and adverse weather, notably a harsh hurricane season.

First Quantum Minerals (FM CN): Call Option on Cobre Panama?

By Sameer Taneja

  • First Quantum Minerals (FM CN) is a play on African mining assets for copper/zinc with an optionality of resumption of the Cobre Panama mine that could double the share price. 
  • We should not assign a high probability to the asset’s resumption and view it as a long-duration, very out-of-the-money call option.
  • The company trades at an EV-EBITDA of 9.8x, which is more expensive than some of its peers. However, Cobre Panama’s optionality makes it attractive.

Devon Energy: Expansion & Resource Optimization in the Williston Basin Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Devon Energy’s third quarter 2024 results present a mixed picture, with key operational achievements alongside areas needing attention.
  • On the positive side, Devon recorded strong production numbers, achieving an all-time quarterly high of 728,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.
  • This figure reflects a 12% year-over-year growth on a production-per-share basis, surpassing guidance for the current year and resulting in upward revisions to the company’s full-year production assumptions.

Chevron Corporation Unveils Aggressive $3 Billion Cost-Cutting Plan – Here’s What It Means for Investors! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Chevron Corporation’s third-quarter 2024 financial results demonstrated a mixture of positive operational achievements and financial headwinds.
  • The company reported earnings of $4.5 billion or $2.48 per share, with adjusted earnings similarly at $4.5 billion or $2.51 per share.
  • Despite these substantial earnings, this marked a decrease from the prior year largely due to lower liquids realizations and increased depreciation, depletion, and amortization (DD&A), particularly at the Tengizchevroil (TCO) project in Kazakhstan.

Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Compressor at Triton down for 2-4 weeks

By Auctus Advisors

  • Serica is acquiring the UK assets of the Parkmead Group for an initial consideration US$6.5 mm in cash.
  • The transaction includes 50% WI in the Skerryvore prospect (Serica already owns 20%) and 50% in Fynn Beauly (heavy oil discovery).
  • An additional deferred consideration of US$11.7 mm will be paid in stages over the next 3 years.

Wheaton Precious Metals: Cobalt Production Ramp-up & Strategic Partnerships Driving Our ‘Outperform’ Rating! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Wheaton Precious Metals reported its third-quarter results for 2024, demonstrating notable operational and financial metrics.
  • The highlights included record quarterly operating cash flows of $254 million and robust production levels from its portfolio, consisting of long-life, low-cost mining assets.
  • The reported production for the year to date was approximately 450,000 gold equivalent ounces, with the company on track to meet its annual production guidance ranging between 550,000 and 620,000 gold equivalent ounces.

DRX: Solid Q3 Financials; Margins Remain Strong

By Atrium Research

  • What you need to know: • ADF reported Q3 financial results that were in line with our expectations on revenue and beat our expectations on EBITDA.
  • • Revenue came in at $80.0M (-3% YoY) vs. our $80.4M and EBITDA came in at $24.0M (+35% YoY) vs. our $19.0M.
  • • While the impact of the Trump victory and tariffs is still uncertain, management remains positive on its end markets and backlog.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Nec Networks & System Integr, Microstrategy Inc Cl A, LG CNS, Novanta , Blackline Inc, Mediatek Inc, NVIDIA Corp, Dell Technologies , Xiaomi Corp, GLOBALFOUNDRIES and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown II – Synergies Not Included, So Fair Value Not Offered
  • Michael Green, CFA, Portfolio Manager, Chief Strategist, Simplify Asset Management
  • LG CNS Pre-IPO – Post-COVID Beneficiary
  • Novanta Inc.: An Insight Into Its Strategic Market Positioning in Robotics…
  • BlackLine’s Game-Changing Product Innovations: Discover How the Accounting Studio Is Redefining Financial Automation! – Major Drivers
  • Mediatek: Apple Watch Win Highlights Smartwatch Market Opportunity; Apple Supply Chain Breakthrough
  • NVIDIA Faces Mounting Challenges Amid China Probe and Tech War Escalation!
  • Michael Dell: Building a Tech Empire, Bold Business Moves and The Key To Winning
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (13-Dec-2024): US tariffs up on tungsten, wafers, polysilicon in Trade Action vs China
  • GlobalFoundries Inc.: Automotive & Industrial IoT Integration As A Critical Growth Lever! – Major Drivers


NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown II – Synergies Not Included, So Fair Value Not Offered

By Travis Lundy

  • Yesterday, NEC Corp (6701 JP) extended its Tender Offer to buy controlled subsidiary Nec Networks & System Integr (1973 JP) for another 10 days. It did not have enough shares.
  • As discussed here 4wks ago, then here yesterday, NEC might not get enough shares unless it offers a higher price. There’s a reason. It is not a high enough price. 
  • METI Fair M&A Guidelines and Guidelines for Corporate Takeovers define fair. Guarantees of a floor price and a fair allocation of synergies. One is questionable. The other is not there.

Michael Green, CFA, Portfolio Manager, Chief Strategist, Simplify Asset Management

By Alpha Exchange

  • Mike Green explains how leveraged products on MSTR resemble a short straddle in their rebalancing requirements
  • The two times leveraged long products, MSTU and MSTX, are unique due to their large size and underlying asset volatility, creating potential volume amplifying feedback loops
  • The leveraged complex has contributed to the large premium of MSTR to the value of its bitcoin holdings, impacting ETFs forced to use options market due to limited leverage from swap providers

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


LG CNS Pre-IPO – Post-COVID Beneficiary

By Clarence Chu

  • LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS) is looking to raise around US$850m in its upcoming Korea IPO. 
  • LG CNS is a South Korean information technology company. The firm primarily provides comprehensive digital transformation services and solutions backed AI, big data, and cloud.
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

Novanta Inc.: An Insight Into Its Strategic Market Positioning in Robotics…

By Baptista Research

  • Novanta Inc.’s third quarter of 2024 results reflect a mixed performance driven by a challenging macroeconomic environment, customer-related timing issues, and some positive business developments.
  • The company reported revenue of $244 million, an increase of 10% year-over-year, though organic growth was flat.
  • Adjusted gross margins were 46%, a slight decline from the previous year due to the dilution from the Motion Solutions acquisition, although core business margins improved by 70 basis points.

BlackLine’s Game-Changing Product Innovations: Discover How the Accounting Studio Is Redefining Financial Automation! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • BlackLine’s recent quarterly performance showcases a mix of both robust achievements and ongoing strategic challenges.
  • The company, co-led by Owen Ryan and Therese Tucker, has demonstrated its ability to exceed revenue and profitability targets, reflecting effective strategic execution.
  • A significant achievement this quarter was the record free cash flow generation, indicating strong financial health and potential for reinvestment in growth initiatives.

Mediatek: Apple Watch Win Highlights Smartwatch Market Opportunity; Apple Supply Chain Breakthrough

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Mediatek’s Apple Watch Win Highlights Smartwatch Market Opportunity; Breakthrough Into Apple’s Supply Chain
  • MediaTek’s Role in Apple Watch Connectivity; Mediatek’s TSMC Relationship to Provide a Lasting Advantage
  • Mediatek Rallied But Remains Below Highs; Significant Upside Remains — Maintain Structural Long

NVIDIA Faces Mounting Challenges Amid China Probe and Tech War Escalation!

By Baptista Research

  • NVIDIA Corporation, the global AI and semiconductor powerhouse, has found itself in the crosshairs of China’s antitrust regulators.
  • Amid an escalating tech war between the U.S. and China, Beijing’s State Administration for Market Regulation has launched an investigation into NVIDIA’s compliance with antimonopoly laws concerning its $6.9 billion acquisition of Mellanox Technologies in 2020.
  • This probe comes on the heels of the U.S. imposing stricter export controls on advanced semiconductor technologies, further intensifying the global tech rivalry.

Michael Dell: Building a Tech Empire, Bold Business Moves and The Key To Winning

By In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

  • Interview with Michael Dell, founder of Dell Technologies, discussing his journey and insights in the tech industry
  • Dell started his tech career at a young age, working in a Chinese restaurant and later upgrading computers
  • Dell shares his thoughts on entrepreneurship, technology development, and the future impact of AI in various industries

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (13-Dec-2024): US tariffs up on tungsten, wafers, polysilicon in Trade Action vs China

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • US increases tariffs on tungsten, wafers, and polysilicon in Section 301 Trade Action against China by Trade Representative, impacting global trade.
  • Challenges facing semiconductor industry highlighted by Intel and Microchip cases under CHIPS Act, affecting technological development.
  • Apple and Broadcom collaborate on custom AI chip, enhancing ASIC capabilities, while Tesla resumes search for showrooms in India. Xiaomi aims for premium market in India as smartphone sales slow.

GlobalFoundries Inc.: Automotive & Industrial IoT Integration As A Critical Growth Lever! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • GlobalFoundries’ third-quarter fiscal year 2024 results provide a comprehensive overview of its financial performance and strategic initiatives.
  • The company reported revenue of $1.739 billion for the quarter, reflecting a 7% sequential growth, albeit a 6% decline year-over-year.
  • This revenue growth is commendable given the challenging industry conditions with lower factory utilization levels around mid-70s.

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