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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Singapore: Jardine Matheson Holdings, CapitaLand Ascendas REIT, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, UOL Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • On Jardine Matheson’s Latest Buyback
  • REIT Watch – Industrial S-REITs deliver stable operating performance in Q3
  • Malaysia’s Glove Sector Gradually Recovers Amid Trade Shifts
  • Q&M, UOL & CLCT Directors Build Stakes


On Jardine Matheson’s Latest Buyback

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 27th October, Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) announced an Offer for 88.04%-held Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP), after MAND concurrently announced the partial sale of OCB to Alibaba.  
  • MAND will pocket US$925mn from the sale. The privatisation will set Matheson back ~US$500mn. Alibaba is ostensibly funding MAND’s privatisation. And then some.  
  • Last week Matheson announced it will undertake a US$250mn buyback, which is expected to  complete in 2026.

REIT Watch – Industrial S-REITs deliver stable operating performance in Q3

By Geoff Howie

  • Industrial S-REITs in Singapore showed stable performance in Q3 2025, with positive rental reversions and stable occupancy.
  • Alpha Integrated REIT’s DPU increased by 38.4% year-on-year, while ESR REIT’s distributable income rose by 6.8%.
  • Mapletree Industrial Trust’s DPU declined by 5.6% due to absence of divestment gain and foreign exchange headwinds.

Malaysia’s Glove Sector Gradually Recovers Amid Trade Shifts

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Glove demand rebounds as inventories normalize  
  • US tariffs boost Malaysian manufacturers’ market share  
  • Automation drives efficiency, supporting margin recovery

Q&M, UOL & CLCT Directors Build Stakes

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks with a S$96 million outflow, led by REITs and Financial Services.
  • Nine companies conducted share buybacks totaling S$16.4 million, with United Overseas Bank buying back 240,000 shares.
  • Director transactions included 40 filings, with seven acquisitions by directors or CEOs and eight by substantial shareholders.

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Daily Brief Thailand: Bangkok Bank Public and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • Bangkok Bank (SET:BBL) Downgraded on Thailand-Cambodia Suspension of Peace Accord


Bangkok Bank (SET:BBL) Downgraded on Thailand-Cambodia Suspension of Peace Accord

By Victor Galliano

  • We turn cautious on our sole positive Thai recommendation Bangkok Bank, downgrading it to neutral from buy, despite its very attractive value attributes
  • We believe that Thailand’s unilateral suspension of the peace accord in the Thailand-Cambodia conflict is likely to be negative for sentiment towards Thai equities, including banks, in the short term
  • Consequently, in the worsening investor climate, we do not expect Bangkok Bank shares to benefit from a re-rating over the short term

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Daily Brief India: Tata Motors, Physicswallah Limited, Pricol Ltd, R R Kabel and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Tata Motors OUT; Indigo IN; Grasim – Dark Horse
  • PhysicsWallah IPO: Driven by Passion to Educate; Sector Always in Controversy; No View on Valuation
  • Physicswallah IPO – RHP Updates and Thoughts on Valuation
  • Primer: Pricol Ltd (PRIC IN) – Nov 2025
  • RR Kabel Q2FY26: Strong Core, Aggressive Growth Path; Execution Key to Upside
  • Primer: Tata Motors (TTMT IN) – Nov 2025


SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Tata Motors OUT; Indigo IN; Grasim – Dark Horse

By Brian Freitas


PhysicsWallah IPO: Driven by Passion to Educate; Sector Always in Controversy; No View on Valuation

By Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

  • Physicswallah Limited (2076103D IN) IPO opens today – 11 Nov 2025.The issue is a combination of fresh issue of INR 31 billion and offer for sale of INR 3.8 billion.
  • In this insight we discuss about the company, the industry, past controversies in the sector across major players.
  • We finally provide rationale why we do now know what valuation multiple to assign given the various factors.

Physicswallah IPO – RHP Updates and Thoughts on Valuation

By Sumeet Singh

  • Physicswallah Is looking to raise about US$434m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Physicswallah Ltd (PWL) offers test preparation courses for competitive examinations, and other courses such as for upskilling, across 13 education categories, including JEE, NEET, and UPSC, among others.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note we talk about the RHP updates and provide our thoughts on valuations.

Primer: Pricol Ltd (PRIC IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Pricol is a leading Indian automotive components manufacturer, well-positioned to benefit from the increasing electronification and premiumization of vehicles, particularly in the two-wheeler segment where it holds a dominant market share for instrument clusters.
  • The company is actively diversifying its product portfolio and customer base, with strategic partnerships and acquisitions aimed at capturing growth in the electric vehicle (EV) segment and reducing dependence on two-wheelers.
  • While demonstrating strong revenue growth, the company faces challenges from margin pressure due to intense competition and rising input costs, alongside risks associated with the cyclical nature of the automotive industry and the transition to EVs.

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RR Kabel Q2FY26: Strong Core, Aggressive Growth Path; Execution Key to Upside

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • RR Kabel delivered a strong Q2FY26 with 19.5% YoY revenue growth and EBITDA doubling, driven by robust volume expansion in its high-margin Cables & Wires segment.
  • Solid core performance, backed by aggressive capex and margin expansion targets, positions RR Kabel as a key beneficiary of India’s accelerating infrastructure and industrial growth cycle.
  • RR Kabel remains structurally well-placed for growth, though long-term margin gains depend on timely capex execution and a successful turnaround of its FMEG business.

Primer: Tata Motors (TTMT IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Strategic Demerger to Unlock Value: Tata Motors is undergoing a significant demerger, separating its Commercial Vehicles (CV) and Passenger Vehicles (PV), including Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), into two distinct listed entities. This move is designed to provide sharper focus, unlock synergistic benefits, and allow for tailored capital allocation strategies for each business.
  • Dominance in India, Turnaround at JLR: The company holds a commanding market share in the Indian CV market and is a strong contender in the PV space, particularly with its leadership in the electric vehicle (EV) segment. Concurrently, its luxury arm, JLR, is executing a turnaround strategy focused on electrification and improving profitability, which is critical to the consolidated performance.
  • Strong Financial Recovery and Growth Trajectory: Tata Motors has demonstrated a remarkable financial turnaround, with substantial growth in revenue and a significant shift from net loss to robust profitability over the last three years. This is supported by strong operating cash flow generation and an aggressive push into high-growth areas like EVs.

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Daily Brief Australia: Punjab National Bank, Treasury Wine Estates, Elementos Ltd, Island Pharmaceuticals , Genesis Minerals, Us Masters Residential Property Fund, Wiluna Mining Corp and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Four New Statistical Arbitrage Opportunities in Asia-Pac
  • Treasury Wine Estates (TWE AU): Penfolds Owner at 11x P/E and 7% Dividend Yield
  • Primer: Elementos Ltd (ELT AU) – Nov 2025
  • Island Pharmaceuticals Ltd – Clinical Proof, Policy Pull
  • Genesis Minerals Ready To Resume Uptrend
  • Primer: Us Masters Residential Property Fund (URF AU) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Wiluna Mining Corp (WMC AU) – Nov 2025


Four New Statistical Arbitrage Opportunities in Asia-Pac

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Four stock pairs have triggered new mean-reversion trade signals, with price ratios deviating more than two standard deviations from their one-year averages.
  • Two of the opportunities involve companies in the same industry and two pairs involve companies in different industries within the same sector.
  • Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, outlining opportunities and key risk considerations.

Treasury Wine Estates (TWE AU): Penfolds Owner at 11x P/E and 7% Dividend Yield

By Michael Fritzell

  • Treasury Wine Estates (TWE AU — US$3.0 billion) is one of the world’s largest wine producers globally. And it’s one of the very few large companies in Australia trading at a reasonable valuation multiple.

  • It started as the wine division of brewery giant Forster’s Group. From the 1990s onwards, Foster’s acquired vineyards and brands such as Penfolds, Lindeman’s and Beringer.

  • But throughout the 2000s, this wine division underperformed, draining cash from Foster’s highly profitable beer business. So in 2011, it was eventually spun off into a separately listed entity called Treasury Wine Estates (TWE).


Primer: Elementos Ltd (ELT AU) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Elementos is strategically positioned to capitalize on a forecast tin supply deficit, with two world-class projects in stable jurisdictions: the development-ready Oropesa project in Spain and the exploration-focused Cleveland project in Australia.
  • The recently completed Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) for the Oropesa project demonstrates robust economics, underpinning a clear development pathway. The company is also pursuing a mine-to-metal strategy in Europe to capture additional value.
  • Exploration at the Cleveland project continues to uncover significant mineralization of not only tin and copper but also critical minerals like tungsten and fluorite, offering substantial long-term upside potential.

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Island Pharmaceuticals Ltd – Clinical Proof, Policy Pull

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Island Pharmaceuticals Ltd (ASX:ILA) is an antiviral therapeutics company targeting infectious diseases.
  • It is currently at clinical-stage and focused on two key antiviral assets – Galidesivir (a broad-spectrum RNA antiviral initially for Marburg) and ISLA-101 (a repurposed small-molecule drug initially for dengue).
  • We like ILA’s approach of focusing on existing drugs that can be repurposed, as considerable time, effort and investment has already been spent, while also increasing the probability of success for approval.

Genesis Minerals Ready To Resume Uptrend

By FNArena

  • Fairmont Equities’ Michael Gable continues to see upside for the gold sector with a pull back in Genesis shares now seen offering opportunity.

Primer: Us Masters Residential Property Fund (URF AU) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • URF is an Australian-listed property trust in a wind-down phase, focused on the orderly sale of its portfolio of residential properties in the New York metropolitan area to return capital to unitholders.
  • The Fund trades at a significant discount to its Net Asset Value (NAV), with a Price-to-Book ratio of approximately 0.62, offering potential value uplift as assets are liquidated. However, this is contingent on successful asset sales in a dynamic property market.
  • Financial performance has been weak, characterized by declining revenues, significant net losses, and negative operating cash flow in recent years, reflecting the challenges of its transition and wind-down strategy. The Fund has suspended dividend distributions.

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Primer: Wiluna Mining Corp (WMC AU) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Post-Mortem Analysis: Wiluna Mining Corporation (WMC) entered voluntary administration in July 2022 and was delisted from the ASX on April 5, 2024, following significant operational and financial challenges. This report serves as a post-mortem analysis for institutional investors, examining the factors that led to the company’s failure.
  • Operational Failure and Financial Distress: The company’s collapse was precipitated by its inability to achieve the targeted production ramp-up for its Stage 1 concentrator, compounded by skilled labor shortages, inflationary cost pressures, and equipment delays. This led to a severe cash flow shortfall that repeated capital raisings could not resolve, culminating in insolvency.
  • Asset Status and Future Outlook: The company is now subject to a Deed of Company Arrangement (DOCA) managed by FTI Consulting, who are exploring options for recapitalization or sale of the Wiluna gold operation. While the company as an entity has failed, the underlying assets, which include a substantial gold resource, may offer potential value under new ownership and a revised operational strategy.

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Daily Brief United States: DuPont, Navan, Generation Bio , Crude Oil, Upwork Inc, Artivion , BETA Technologies, BILL Holdings , Lantheus Holdings, StepStone Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Weekly Update (Q, IAC, ANGI, LION, SNREY)
  • Navan (NAVN US): Last IPO Addition for US Index in December 2025
  • Generation Bio’s Strategic Review: Potential 50% Upside Amid Restructuring and Cash Management Challenges
  • Oil futures: Crude recovers from lows, refining margins lift gloom
  • Primer: Upwork Inc (UPWK US) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Artivion (AORT US) – Nov 2025
  • BETA Technologies (BETA US): Electric Takeoff to US & Global Indices
  • 2024 High Conviction Update: BILL Holdings, Starboard Value and Elliott Move In
  • LNTH: Can AD Franchise Offset Pylarify Drag?
  • Primer: StepStone Group (STEP US) – Nov 2025


Weekly Update (Q, IAC, ANGI, LION, SNREY)

By Richard Howe

  • Dupont (DD) spin off its electronics business, Qnity (Q), early this week.

  • DQnity will be one of the world’s largest pure-play electronic materials companies, with a portfolio spanning semiconductor fabrication materials and advanced electronics/interconnect solutions.

  • Qnity’s Semiconductor Technologies division creates consumable products that are used during semiconductor manufacturing.

Navan (NAVN US): Last IPO Addition for US Index in December 2025

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Navan (NAVN US) went public on 30 October 2025 right before the December 2025 cut-off for a US IPO index addition with a current market cap of $4.5bn.
  • Inclusion in US indices is expected in December 2025, as the security meets US eligibility criteria before the lock-up expiry.
  • Inclusion in Global indices is expected in February 2026, prior to lock-up expiry, and September 2026 following lock-up expiry.

Generation Bio’s Strategic Review: Potential 50% Upside Amid Restructuring and Cash Management Challenges

By Special Situation Investments

  • Generation Bio’s net cash is projected at $7.6/share, 50% above the current price, with limited ongoing cash burn.
  • The company completed restructuring, retaining seven employees, and is considering liquidation, reverse merger, or sale options.
  • Major shareholders include Atlas Venture Life Science (12.4%), T. Rowe Price (12.6%), Moderna (8.7%), Fidelity (6.9%), and BlackRock (5.1%).

Oil futures: Crude recovers from lows, refining margins lift gloom

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures nudged higher Friday but were heading for a second week of losses, albeit modest, with the market unable to shake off the gloom surrounding predictions of a massive oversupply in Q1.
  • Front-month Jan25 ICE Brent futures were trading at $63.72/b (2005 GMT) versus Thursday’s settle of $63.38/b, while Dec25 NYMEX WTI was at $59.84/b against a previous close of $59.53/b.
  • The oversupply narrative amid soaring supplies and tepid demand growth has taken hold of markets this week, overshadowing geopolitical concerns.

Primer: Upwork Inc (UPWK US) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Upwork is strategically pivoting to higher-value enterprise clients and leveraging Artificial Intelligence (AI) to drive growth, which is translating into improved profitability and strong cash flow generation.
  • The company operates in the rapidly expanding freelance platform market, benefiting from secular tailwinds such as the shift to remote work and the increasing adoption of flexible talent solutions by businesses globally.
  • While facing intense competition and macroeconomic sensitivity, Upwork’s established two-sided network of freelancers and clients provides a significant competitive advantage, though its ability to consistently translate this into high returns is still developing.

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Primer: Artivion (AORT US) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Artivion is a niche leader in aortic repair, demonstrating strong revenue growth driven by its key product families: On-X mechanical heart valves, aortic stent grafts, and surgical sealants. The company is showing a clear trajectory towards sustained profitability, with recent quarters indicating positive net income and strong EBITDA margin expansion.
  • The company’s growth strategy is centered on product innovation and market expansion, highlighted by the promising clinical data and U.S. launch of the AMDS Hybrid Prosthesis for acute aortic dissections. This, along with other pipeline products like Arcevo, is expected to unlock significant market opportunities and drive future growth.
  • Despite its strong top-line performance, Artivion has a history of net losses and faces significant risks. These include intense competition from larger, better-resourced medical device companies, the inherent uncertainties of clinical trials and regulatory approvals, and potential operational disruptions such as the recently disclosed cybersecurity incident.

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BETA Technologies (BETA US): Electric Takeoff to US & Global Indices

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Electric aircraft company BETA Technologies (BETA US) went public on 4 November 2025 on NYSE and has a current market cap of over $7.5bn.
  • Inclusion in US indices is expected in December 2025 and March 2026, as the security meets US eligibility criteria before the lock-up expiry.
  • Earliest inclusion in Global indices is expected in February and June 2026, with potential delay due to free float and float cap constraints during the lock-up period.

2024 High Conviction Update: BILL Holdings, Starboard Value and Elliott Move In

By Andrei Zakharov

  • BILL Holdings shares have bottomed out near $40 per share after Starboard Value and Elliott Management built large stakes in the American SMB back-office pioneer.
  • BILL Holding shares significantly underperformed in 2025 with shares down ~44% over the year versus a 21% gain on the Nasdaq.
  • I see further room for upside on potential launching new intelligent AI agents, partnerships with software providers, disciplined expense management and operating efficiency.

LNTH: Can AD Franchise Offset Pylarify Drag?

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Lantheus is a leader in radiopharmaceutical offerings in oncology & precision diagnostics.
  • It offers a portfolio of diagnostic & therapeutic products directly & via partnerships & licensing.
  • The primary revenue driver is Pylarify, a PET tracer for PSMA-expressing prostate cancer.

Primer: StepStone Group (STEP US) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • StepStone Group is a global private markets investment firm, providing customized investment solutions, advisory, and data services across private equity, real estate, infrastructure, and private debt.
  • The firm is well-positioned to benefit from the long-term secular growth in private markets, driven by increasing investor allocations seeking diversification and higher returns.
  • Key growth drivers include the expansion of its private wealth platform, which offers higher fee rates, and continued global expansion, although the company faces risks from market volatility and increasing regulatory scrutiny.

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Daily Brief Japan: Forum Engineering Inc, Shiseido Company, Mitsui Chemicals, JFE Holdings, Hamamatsu Photonics Kk, Olympus Corp, Aruhi Corp, Mitsuboshi Belting, Meiwa Estate and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan M&A] KKR and Founder to Take Engineer Staffing Agency Forum Engineering (7088) Private
  • Shiseido (4911) | Progress on Reforms, but Growth Still Elusive
  • Forum Engineering (7088 JP): KKR’s Tender Offer at JPY1,710
  • Mitsui Chemical (4183): Releasing the Crackers!
  • JFE Holdings (5411 JP) – Deep Value with Hidden JSW Optionality
  • Hamamatsu Photonics (6965 JP): Capex Peaking, Profits to Rebound
  • Olympus Corp (7733 JP): A Much-Awaited Turnaround On the Cards? One Quarter At a Time
  • Aruhi Corp (7198 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update
  • Mitsuboshi Belting (5192 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update
  • Meiwa Estate (8869 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update


[Japan M&A] KKR and Founder to Take Engineer Staffing Agency Forum Engineering (7088) Private

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, KKR announced a deal whereby they and founder OKUBO Izumi-san would take Forum Engineering Inc (7088 JP) private in an LBO. 
  • The process of this deal ticks most all of the “bad process” boxes but the price is pretty good.
  • 52% is locked in. Insiders and cross-holders appear to own another 15-18%. This looks like a done deal to me. Money comes 30 December.

Shiseido (4911) | Progress on Reforms, but Growth Still Elusive

By Mark Chadwick

  • Shiseido’s Q3 revenue rose 4.6% YoY to ¥224bn, marking its first growth in three quarters, though full-year sales guidance was cut 3%.
  • Profitability remained pressured by tariffs and Drunk Elephant weakness; product margins fell 340bps YoY, but SG&A improvements limited overall margin decline to 80bps.
  • Management maintained core OP profit guidance and continued executing structural reforms, achieving ¥21bn cost savings YTD, with deeper efficiency cuts planned through 2026.

Forum Engineering (7088 JP): KKR’s Tender Offer at JPY1,710

By Arun George

  • Forum Engineering Inc (7088 JP) has recommended a tender offer from KKR & Co (KKR US) at JPY1,710, a 32.6% premium to the last close price.
  • The offer is arguably light due to a lack of an auction and is below the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range. 
  • However, the offer is attractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples and represents an all-time high. The large number of cross-holders will help meet the required tendering rate.

Mitsui Chemical (4183): Releasing the Crackers!

By Michael Allen

  • Mitsui Chemicals is slashing exposure to commodity chemicals and ramping up high-margin specialty films and resins—setting the stage for its RoE to soar from 5% to over 13%.
  • Restructuring is unlocking massive cost savings while driving growth from cutting-edge segments that are poised for double-digit growth and global dominance.
  • The stock trades at a deep discount, but could easily command a premium with solid execution, driving the share price to more than double or even treble within 3 years.

JFE Holdings (5411 JP) – Deep Value with Hidden JSW Optionality

By Rahul Jain

  • Trough valuations: JFE trades at only US$525/t EV/t and 0.5× P/B, despite stable guidance and improving high-value steel mix.
  • Hidden value: 15% JSW Steel stake (~¥500 bn) equals ~45% of JFE’s market cap—cheap India exposure with re-rating potential.
  • Upside case: SOTP implies +50–60% equity upside, supported by 4–5% dividend yield and H2 margin recovery.

Hamamatsu Photonics (6965 JP): Capex Peaking, Profits to Rebound

By Scott Foster

  • Announced last Friday, FY Sep-25 sales and net profit were in line with guidance, but operating profit fell short. On Monday, the shares dropped 4.5%, wiping out a month’s gains.
  • Looking ahead, management expects three years of sales and profit growth as capex declines, depreciation and R&D level off, and the NKT Photonics acquisition approaches breakeven.
  • In this scenario, semiconductor, bio-medical, defense and quantum computing applications should drive 3-year sales growth of 24% and a 71% increase in net profit, bringing the P/E down to 20X.

Olympus Corp (7733 JP): A Much-Awaited Turnaround On the Cards? One Quarter At a Time

By Tina Banerjee

  • Olympus Corp (7733 JP) registered 20% QoQ rise in revenue to ¥247.8B in Q2FY26 while the adjusted operating profit witnessed 183% QoQ growth to ¥37.4B (margin expanded 870bps to 15.1%).
  • The company reiterated full-year forecasts for FY26. The company expects revenue to be ¥998B, flat YoY (+3% after FX adjustment).
  • Sequential improvement offers early green shoots. Moreover, decreasing “Elevate” program cost, product launches and venturing into endoluminal surgical robotics segment will slowly help propel growth in the near to midterm.

Aruhi Corp (7198 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Operating revenue increased by 9.9% YoY to JPY11.8bn, driven by growth in recurring and asset-related revenue.
  • Operating expenses rose 13.3% YoY to JPY10.6bn, mainly due to higher finance and personnel costs.
  • Pre-tax profit decreased 12.2% YoY to JPY1.2bn, despite revenue growth, due to increased operating expenses.

Mitsuboshi Belting (5192 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Mitsuboshi’s revenue rose 0.9% YoY, with Belts segments offsetting lower Building & Construction Materials revenue.
  • The company plans to pay an annual dividend of JPY186 per share in FY03/26, unchanged from FY03/25.
  • Mitsuboshi announced a resolution to repurchase 350,000 shares, valued at JPY1.0bn, via market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

Meiwa Estate (8869 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In 1H FY03/26, revenue increased by 69.4% YoY to JPY59.0bn, with operating profit rising 185.0% YoY.
  • Built-for-sale condo business saw revenue of JPY40.5bn (+93.6% YoY) and 620 units delivered (+230 units YoY).
  • Purchase and resale business revenue reached JPY9.4bn (+81.8% YoY), while brokerage revenue fell 3.3% YoY.

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Daily Brief China: Huolinhe Opencut Coal Ind Corp Ltd., AAC Technologies Holdings, CNGR Advanced Material , Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index, Nationz Technologies Inc A, Xiaomi, CNGR Advanced Material, Yum China Holdings , SHEIN, China Oilfield Services H and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • CSI500/1000 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Outperform Deletes Early On, Then Hit a Wall
  • Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Dec25: AAC Tech up 9% Vs Peer; ~US$1.9bn One-Way; Announcement Soon
  • CNGR A/H Listing: Healthy A/H Premium and Cheap Valuation
  • CSI 300 (SHSZ300) Tactical Outlook Ahead of December Rebalance
  • CSI All Share Semiconductor Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Starting to Outperform
  • Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Dec25/Mar26: One Change for Dec25; New Expected ADD/DELs for Mar26
  • CNGR Advanced Material H Share Listing (2579 HK): Valuation Insights
  • Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Dec25: Three Index Change Possible; ~US$264mn One-Way; Announcement Soon
  • SHEIN Update: US$2 Bn Net, “Mid-Teens” Revenue Growth Targets Shared | New Challenges in France?
  • A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 7 Nov 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly, CNOOC Better


CSI500/1000 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Outperform Deletes Early On, Then Hit a Wall

By Brian Freitas

  • With the review period complete, we forecast 50 changes for the CSI Smallcap 500 Index and 100 changes for the CSI 1000 Index at the December rebalance.
  • We estimate a one-way turnover of 10.15% for the CSI Smallcap 500 Index and 10.22% for the CSI1000 Index. Gross round-trip trade across both indices is CNY 73.4bn (US$10.3bn).
  • The outright forecast adds have outperformed the outright forecast deletes over the last 6 months with most of the outperformance coming between June and August.

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Dec25: AAC Tech up 9% Vs Peer; ~US$1.9bn One-Way; Announcement Soon

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
  • The official index changes and indicative weights for the December 2025 index rebal event will be announced publicly after the close on Friday 21st November 2025.
  • We continue to expect one index change for December 2025 and we estimate there to be capping flows of ~US$1.9bn one-way.

CNGR A/H Listing: Healthy A/H Premium and Cheap Valuation

By Nicholas Tan

  • CNGR Advanced Material (300919 CH) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • CNGR is a Chinese battery-component producer and a new energy materials company. It is the global leader of nickel-based and cobalt-based pCAM (cathode) for lithium-ion batteries.
  • In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.

CSI 300 (SHSZ300) Tactical Outlook Ahead of December Rebalance

By Nico Rosti

  • As Brian Freitas recently outlined: the CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300) will undergo its semi-annual review by the end of November 2025, there could be profit-taking as we near that date.
  • In our previous insight we flagged potential downside tail risk. While the index hasn’t fallen since our warning, this doesn’t mean the risk has dissipated.
  • Our profit target model (the “go SHORT” model) is showing a rare pattern with very few rallies, severely limited upside (less than 1.5%) and an 80% reversal probability.Bearish.

CSI All Share Semiconductor Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Starting to Outperform

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the December rebalance of the CSI All Share Semiconductor Index ended 31 October. The changes should be announced on 28 November and implemented on 12 December.
  • We forecast 3 adds and 6 deletes for the index with a one-way turnover of 1.4% and a round-trip trade of CNY 609m (US$85m).
  • The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few weeks and stocks that have same-way flows from other index trackers could exhibit higher volatility near-term.

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Dec25/Mar26: One Change for Dec25; New Expected ADD/DELs for Mar26

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The Hang Seng Internet & IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
  • We expect one index change in December 2025 translating to capping flows of US$530mn one-way.
  • We also expect seven index changes for the next semiannual index review which will take place in March 2026.

CNGR Advanced Material H Share Listing (2579 HK): Valuation Insights

By Arun George


Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Dec25: Three Index Change Possible; ~US$264mn One-Way; Announcement Soon

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 “Mainland China” securities listed in Hong Kong.
  • The official index changes and indicative weights for the December 2025 index rebal event will be announced publicly after the close on Friday 21st November 2025.
  • We continue to expect three index changes for December 2025 and we estimate there to be capping flows of US$264mn one-way.

SHEIN Update: US$2 Bn Net, “Mid-Teens” Revenue Growth Targets Shared | New Challenges in France?

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Reportedly, SHEN recently shared FY25 targets of US$2 bn Net, “mid-teens” sales growth
  • SHEIN faces familiar issues in France, where the company has just opened a physical store
  • The release of new FY25 financial targets suggest SHEIN is progressing towards an IPO 

A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 7 Nov 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly, CNOOC Better

By Travis Lundy

  • Beautiful Skew still AWOL/MIA. The wider the spread, the worse the result. 
  • Large SOE H vs A generally strong.  Strong net inflow into SOE Hs via SOUTHBOUND.
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there – free – for all SK readers.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Bukalapak.com PT Tbk, Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT, GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT, Merdeka Gold Resources and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Primer: Bukalapak.com PT Tbk (BUKA IJ) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT (BELI IJ) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT (GOTO IJ) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Merdeka Gold Resources (EMAS IJ) – Nov 2025


Primer: Bukalapak.com PT Tbk (BUKA IJ) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Strategic pivot to an asset-light model, exiting the competitive physical goods marketplace to focus on higher-margin digital products and services, is showing early signs of success with a return to net profitability in Q1 2025 and improving adjusted EBITDA.
  • Dominant position in the Online-to-Offline (O2O) segment through its Mitra network remains the core competitive advantage, tapping into Indonesia’s vast and underserved traditional retail sector (‘warungs’) and driving a significant portion of revenue.
  • Maintains a robust balance sheet with a substantial cash and liquid investments position, providing significant financial flexibility for future growth initiatives, investments, and navigating the intensely competitive Indonesian e-commerce landscape.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT (BELI IJ) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Integrated Omnichannel Ecosystem: Global Digital Niaga (Blibli) has built a comprehensive ecosystem combining e-commerce (Blibli), online travel (Tiket.com), and premium groceries (Ranch Market), aiming to capture a significant share of Indonesian consumer spending through an integrated online and offline strategy.
  • Strong Revenue Growth but Persistent Losses: The company demonstrates a strong growth track record with a 13.6% year-over-year increase in revenue for FY2024. However, it continues to post significant net losses, with a net loss of IDR 2.53 trillion in 2024, highlighting the ongoing challenge of balancing aggressive growth with achieving profitability in a competitive market.
  • Path to Profitability Focused on Margin Improvement: Management’s strategy is centered on improving margins by focusing on higher-margin product categories, enhancing its take rate, and leveraging synergies across its ecosystem to reduce customer acquisition costs. Recent financial quarters show progress in narrowing EBITDA losses, indicating that these strategies are beginning to yield results.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT (GOTO IJ) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Path to Profitability in Focus: GoTo’s primary strategic objective is achieving profitability. The company has demonstrated progress towards this goal, reporting its first quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2023. This was achieved through a combination of revenue growth, operational efficiencies, and cost optimization measures across its business segments.
  • Dominant Ecosystem in a High-Growth Market: GoTo operates the largest digital ecosystem in Indonesia, a country with a rapidly expanding internet economy. The company’s integrated platform spans on-demand services (Gojek), e-commerce (Tokopedia), and financial technology (GoTo Financial), creating a powerful network effect that captures a significant portion of consumer digital spending.
  • Intensifying Competition and Regulatory Scrutiny: The competitive landscape in Indonesia’s technology sector is fierce, with major players like Grab and Shopee vying for market share. Additionally, the Indonesian government is actively developing its regulatory framework for the digital economy, which could introduce new compliance requirements and impact business operations.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Merdeka Gold Resources (EMAS IJ) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Merdeka Gold Resources (EMAS) represents a pure-play investment in a significant, long-life gold asset, following its successful IPO in September 2025, which was the largest in Indonesia for the year.
  • The company’s primary asset, the Pani Gold Project in Sulawesi, is a large-scale, low-cost mine with 1.9 million ounces of reserves and 7 million ounces of resources, poised to become one of Indonesia’s largest primary gold mines.
  • While the project offers substantial long-term production growth, scaling to ~500,000 ounces per year by 2032, investors face near-term execution risks related to the project ramp-up and future funding requirements for the second phase expansion.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Huolinhe Opencut Coal Ind Corp Ltd., CNGR Advanced Material , Mitsui Chemicals, CNGR Advanced Material, JFE Holdings, DuPont, China Oilfield Services H, Shell PLC, China Bluechemical Ltd H, Crude Oil and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • CSI500/1000 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Outperform Deletes Early On, Then Hit a Wall
  • CNGR A/H Listing: Healthy A/H Premium and Cheap Valuation
  • Mitsui Chemical (4183): Releasing the Crackers!
  • CNGR Advanced Material H Share Listing (2579 HK): Valuation Insights
  • JFE Holdings (5411 JP) – Deep Value with Hidden JSW Optionality
  • Weekly Update (Q, IAC, ANGI, LION, SNREY)
  • A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 7 Nov 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly, CNOOC Better
  • Company Halts Operations, Initiates Strategic Review with Potential 50% Upside to Net Cash by Year-End
  • Overview #40 – Trouble in Paradise: Cracks in the AI Trade
  • Oil futures: Crude recovers from lows, refining margins lift gloom


CSI500/1000 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Outperform Deletes Early On, Then Hit a Wall

By Brian Freitas

  • With the review period complete, we forecast 50 changes for the CSI Smallcap 500 Index and 100 changes for the CSI 1000 Index at the December rebalance.
  • We estimate a one-way turnover of 10.15% for the CSI Smallcap 500 Index and 10.22% for the CSI1000 Index. Gross round-trip trade across both indices is CNY 73.4bn (US$10.3bn).
  • The outright forecast adds have outperformed the outright forecast deletes over the last 6 months with most of the outperformance coming between June and August.

CNGR A/H Listing: Healthy A/H Premium and Cheap Valuation

By Nicholas Tan

  • CNGR Advanced Material (300919 CH) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • CNGR is a Chinese battery-component producer and a new energy materials company. It is the global leader of nickel-based and cobalt-based pCAM (cathode) for lithium-ion batteries.
  • In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.

Mitsui Chemical (4183): Releasing the Crackers!

By Michael Allen

  • Mitsui Chemicals is slashing exposure to commodity chemicals and ramping up high-margin specialty films and resins—setting the stage for its RoE to soar from 5% to over 13%.
  • Restructuring is unlocking massive cost savings while driving growth from cutting-edge segments that are poised for double-digit growth and global dominance.
  • The stock trades at a deep discount, but could easily command a premium with solid execution, driving the share price to more than double or even treble within 3 years.

CNGR Advanced Material H Share Listing (2579 HK): Valuation Insights

By Arun George


JFE Holdings (5411 JP) – Deep Value with Hidden JSW Optionality

By Rahul Jain

  • Trough valuations: JFE trades at only US$525/t EV/t and 0.5× P/B, despite stable guidance and improving high-value steel mix.
  • Hidden value: 15% JSW Steel stake (~¥500 bn) equals ~45% of JFE’s market cap—cheap India exposure with re-rating potential.
  • Upside case: SOTP implies +50–60% equity upside, supported by 4–5% dividend yield and H2 margin recovery.

Weekly Update (Q, IAC, ANGI, LION, SNREY)

By Richard Howe

  • Dupont (DD) spin off its electronics business, Qnity (Q), early this week.

  • DQnity will be one of the world’s largest pure-play electronic materials companies, with a portfolio spanning semiconductor fabrication materials and advanced electronics/interconnect solutions.

  • Qnity’s Semiconductor Technologies division creates consumable products that are used during semiconductor manufacturing.

A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 7 Nov 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly, CNOOC Better

By Travis Lundy

  • Beautiful Skew still AWOL/MIA. The wider the spread, the worse the result. 
  • Large SOE H vs A generally strong.  Strong net inflow into SOE Hs via SOUTHBOUND.
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there – free – for all SK readers.

Company Halts Operations, Initiates Strategic Review with Potential 50% Upside to Net Cash by Year-End

By Special Situation Investments

  • The company has halted operations, laid off most staff, and initiated a strategic review with seven employees remaining.
  • Insiders, owning over 20% of shares, are incentivized to unlock value through liquidation, reverse merger, or sale.
  • A resolution from the strategic review is expected by year-end or early 2026, with ample margin of safety.

Overview #40 – Trouble in Paradise: Cracks in the AI Trade

By Rikki Malik

  • Sentiment has started to wobble in the AI mega cap trade
  • Risk is elevated as bearish divergences  and rolling tops abound
  • No top yet signalled in the major US indices –  so what to do in this environment 

Oil futures: Crude recovers from lows, refining margins lift gloom

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures nudged higher Friday but were heading for a second week of losses, albeit modest, with the market unable to shake off the gloom surrounding predictions of a massive oversupply in Q1.
  • Front-month Jan25 ICE Brent futures were trading at $63.72/b (2005 GMT) versus Thursday’s settle of $63.38/b, while Dec25 NYMEX WTI was at $59.84/b against a previous close of $59.53/b.
  • The oversupply narrative amid soaring supplies and tepid demand growth has taken hold of markets this week, overshadowing geopolitical concerns.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Jardine Matheson Holdings, SK Square , LG Corp, Hamamatsu Photonics Kk, International Consolidated Air, BETA Technologies, Mitsuboshi Belting, R R Kabel, Tokai Holdings, Anest Iwata and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • On Jardine Matheson’s Latest Buyback
  • Square’s Level 2 Leverage Caps End Tomorrow — Fresh Near‑term Factor in the Square Vs Hynix Setup
  • LG Corp: NAV Analysis Suggests a 29% Upside, Likely to Catch Up to LG Chem
  • Hamamatsu Photonics (6965 JP): Capex Peaking, Profits to Rebound
  • International Airlines Group — Compounding a strong Q324 comparative
  • BETA Technologies (BETA US): Electric Takeoff to US & Global Indices
  • Mitsuboshi Belting (5192 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update
  • RR Kabel Q2FY26: Strong Core, Aggressive Growth Path; Execution Key to Upside
  • Tokai Holdings (3167 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update
  • Anest Iwata (6381 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update


On Jardine Matheson’s Latest Buyback

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 27th October, Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) announced an Offer for 88.04%-held Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP), after MAND concurrently announced the partial sale of OCB to Alibaba.  
  • MAND will pocket US$925mn from the sale. The privatisation will set Matheson back ~US$500mn. Alibaba is ostensibly funding MAND’s privatisation. And then some.  
  • Last week Matheson announced it will undertake a US$250mn buyback, which is expected to  complete in 2026.

Square’s Level 2 Leverage Caps End Tomorrow — Fresh Near‑term Factor in the Square Vs Hynix Setup

By Sanghyun Park

  • Square closed ₩290,000, missing all criteria; Level 2 removal effectively confirmed, with KRX disclosure expected ~8 p.m. Seoul, effective from tomorrow’s open.
  • Square vs Hynix hinges on retail chase structurally, but near‑term Square’s underperformance worsened by asymmetric leverage shackles.
  • Square’s Level 2 setup ends tomorrow; flows normalize, likely giving Square more juice vs Hynix. Key spot to watch from tomorrow’s open.

LG Corp: NAV Analysis Suggests a 29% Upside, Likely to Catch Up to LG Chem

By Douglas Kim

  • Our updated NAV valuation of LG Corp suggests implied market cap of 17.2 trillion won or target price of 111,605 won per share, representing 29.3% higher than current levels.
  • LG Corp’s investment stakes in LG Chem and LG Electronics are worth 15.7 trillion won representing 119% of LG Corp’s entire market cap.
  • Lower taxes on dividends could accelerate the capital allocation to companies with higher dividend yields/payouts such as LG Corp.

Hamamatsu Photonics (6965 JP): Capex Peaking, Profits to Rebound

By Scott Foster

  • Announced last Friday, FY Sep-25 sales and net profit were in line with guidance, but operating profit fell short. On Monday, the shares dropped 4.5%, wiping out a month’s gains.
  • Looking ahead, management expects three years of sales and profit growth as capex declines, depreciation and R&D level off, and the NKT Photonics acquisition approaches breakeven.
  • In this scenario, semiconductor, bio-medical, defense and quantum computing applications should drive 3-year sales growth of 24% and a 71% increase in net profit, bringing the P/E down to 20X.

International Airlines Group — Compounding a strong Q324 comparative

By Edison Investment Research

International Airlines Group’s (IAG’s) Q325 results show the company is executing effectively its strategy of delivering peer-leading profitability through a focus on customer experience and operational transformation, while returning substantial capital to shareholders. With a favourable demand outlook, likely lower cost pressures and a strong balance sheet, management intends to announce further returns with the publication of FY25 results in February 2026, and has optionality to undertake M&A.


BETA Technologies (BETA US): Electric Takeoff to US & Global Indices

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Electric aircraft company BETA Technologies (BETA US) went public on 4 November 2025 on NYSE and has a current market cap of over $7.5bn.
  • Inclusion in US indices is expected in December 2025 and March 2026, as the security meets US eligibility criteria before the lock-up expiry.
  • Earliest inclusion in Global indices is expected in February and June 2026, with potential delay due to free float and float cap constraints during the lock-up period.

Mitsuboshi Belting (5192 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Mitsuboshi’s revenue rose 0.9% YoY, with Belts segments offsetting lower Building & Construction Materials revenue.
  • The company plans to pay an annual dividend of JPY186 per share in FY03/26, unchanged from FY03/25.
  • Mitsuboshi announced a resolution to repurchase 350,000 shares, valued at JPY1.0bn, via market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

RR Kabel Q2FY26: Strong Core, Aggressive Growth Path; Execution Key to Upside

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • RR Kabel delivered a strong Q2FY26 with 19.5% YoY revenue growth and EBITDA doubling, driven by robust volume expansion in its high-margin Cables & Wires segment.
  • Solid core performance, backed by aggressive capex and margin expansion targets, positions RR Kabel as a key beneficiary of India’s accelerating infrastructure and industrial growth cycle.
  • RR Kabel remains structurally well-placed for growth, though long-term margin gains depend on timely capex execution and a successful turnaround of its FMEG business.

Tokai Holdings (3167 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • FY03/26 sales were JPY114.5bn (+3.0% YoY), operating profit JPY6.2bn (+34.1% YoY), net income JPY3.6bn (+51.1% YoY).
  • Information and Communications sales to corporate clients rose 12.0% YoY, driven by carrier and cloud services growth.
  • Aqua services customer count increased by 16,000, surpassing 200,000, with sales JPY5.3bn (+9.9% YoY), operating profit JPY244mn (+82.9% YoY).

Anest Iwata (6381 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • 1H FY03/26 results showed a decline in sales, operating profit, recurring profit, and net income YoY.
  • The company maintained its full-year earnings forecast, expecting higher costs and excluding foreign exchange gains/losses.
  • Capital expenditures planned at JPY3.5bn, with significant spending on digital upgrades and new prototype building.

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