Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Symbotic, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), Herc Holdings , Patrick Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • SYM: One Site Equals Sell
  • CATL is Using AI to Discover Next-Generation Battery Materials
  • Herc Holdings Inc.: Market Positioning & Investment in Mega Projects As A Crucial Growth Lever!
  • Patrick Industries Inc (PATK) – Friday, Jun 28, 2024


SYM: One Site Equals Sell

By Hamed Khorsand

  • SYM has disclosed one additional customer site location, Cullman, Alabama, in third quarter 2024. This one location brings the total number of sites where customers have accepted SYM’s to twenty.
  • We believe the slowdown in system placements and acceptance has continued into the third quarter and the challenges faced in the second quarter are likely to continue.
  • SYM has been promising several product placements progressing from backlog to acceptance. We believe this pace has slowed with only one location so far in Q3

CATL is Using AI to Discover Next-Generation Battery Materials

By Caixin Global

  • Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL), the world’s largest battery producer, is focusing its research and development team on the use of artificial intelligence to discover the next generation of battery materials.
  • Zeng Yuqun, the CATL’s chairman, said his company has 20,000 people working in R&D and discovering the materials that will push forward battery innovation was their main aim. He was talking on Wednesday to Nicolai Tangen, chairman of Norway’s sovereign wealth fund Norges Bank Investment Management.
  • CATL holds a dominant position in the global power battery market, accounting for 37.6% of the market in the first seven months of 2024, according to South Korean research firm SNE Research.

Herc Holdings Inc.: Market Positioning & Investment in Mega Projects As A Crucial Growth Lever!

By Baptista Research

  • Herc Holdings Inc., a prominent equipment rental company, recently delivered its financial results for the second quarter of 2024, revealing several notable trends that reflect both the company’s strategic decisions and broader industry dynamics.
  • The company has strategically managed to align its operational strategies with market demands, demonstrating an emphasis on increasing market share, enhancing geographic density, optimizing fleet mix, and leveraging technology.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Patrick Industries Inc (PATK) – Friday, Jun 28, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Patrick Industries is a manufacturer and distributor of components for various industries such as recreational vehicles, marine, and manufactured housing
  • The company has a history of value creation and shareholder value creation
  • Despite being undercovered in the investing community, PATK presents an opportunity for long-term investors due to potential future upside and its competitive landscape in the manufacturing sector

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Consumer: Sun Art Retail, Swiggy, Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd B, Tesla , Genting Bhd, Pan Pacific International Holdings, Haidilao International Holding, Volkswagen , SunCar Technology Group and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): COFCO Offer?
  • Swiggy IPO: Key Facts and Financials at First Glance
  • Lao Feng Xiang (900905) – Friday, Jun 28, 2024
  • Tesla Gears Up for Game-Changing Robotaxi Event Amid EV Sales Surge
  • Weekly Wrap – 20 Sep 2024
  • Governance and Shareholder Return Are Likely to Improve, and Investors Continue to Pay Attention
  • The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 27)
  • Volkswagen’s China JV Weighs Shuttering Car Plant as It Accelerates Shift to EVs
  • SunCar Technology Group – INITIATION – September 26, 2024


Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): COFCO Offer?

By David Blennerhassett


Swiggy IPO: Key Facts and Financials at First Glance

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Swiggy (1255298D IN) , a popular food and grocery delivery platform in India, plans to launch its much-anticipated IPO in early November.
  • The company has seen rapid growth in Gross Order Value and revenues, driven by increased food delivery demand and a surge in quick commerce, an on demand grocery delivery service.
  • The Naspers and Softbank Group (9984 JP)  backed company that started operations in 2014 is yet to turn profitable while its close competitor Zomato reported profits in FY2024.

Lao Feng Xiang (900905) – Friday, Jun 28, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • LFX is a heritage jewelry retailer with almost 180 years of history, traded on the Shanghai Stock Exchange
  • A shares trade at around 14-15x TTM earnings with a 3% yield, while B shares trade at a significant discount of 5x TTM earnings and a 7% yield
  • Opportunity for investors to own stake in a growing business with strong returns on capital and conservative management at a discounted price, due to lack of attention to the B share class.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Tesla Gears Up for Game-Changing Robotaxi Event Amid EV Sales Surge

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Tesla projects Q3 2024 EV sales of 460,000–470,000, reflecting 8% YoY growth, driven by high demand in China and robust Gigafactory operations. 
  • The October 10 Robotaxi event will spotlight Tesla’s Full Self Driving tech, attracting intense investor interest in autonomous transportation’s future prospects. Investors eye a new cheaper Tesla model release.
  • Waymo leads the U.S. market, with 100,000+ weekly paid robotaxi trips, intensifying pressure on Tesla to match or surpass this scale in its robotaxi rollout. 

Weekly Wrap – 20 Sep 2024

By Felix Fischer

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. Vedanta Resources
  2. Meituan
  3. Yankuang Energy Group
  4. Genting Bhd
  5. Delhi International Airport Limited

and more…


Governance and Shareholder Return Are Likely to Improve, and Investors Continue to Pay Attention

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Since the total shares held by Founder Family, trust Banks and FamilyMart exceed 50%, this director appointment proposal will pass unless the shareholders held by the trust banks oppose it.
  • Challenges will be noted in the function of the nominating committee, which nominated directors with few elements falling under the skills item, and in the disclosure of the skills matrix.
  • While PPIH’s free cash flow is ample and growth is expected, shareholder returns and governance remain challenges, but with overseas investor equity exceeding 30%, much improvement is expected in future.

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 27)

By David Mudd

  • Hong Kong is now the top-performing major world market this year.  With a large valuation disparity, both Hong Kong’s and China’s markets have more upside potential.
  • Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK) and Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) are benefiting from the improvement in consumer sentiment with government stimulus targeting housing payments and consumption.
  • Citic Securities (H) (6030 HK) surged in anticipation of increased market trading and IPOs.  Industry consolidation is also part of the improved sentiment.

Volkswagen’s China JV Weighs Shuttering Car Plant as It Accelerates Shift to EVs

By Caixin Global

  • Volkswagen AG’s China joint venture (JV) with state-owned SAIC Motor Corp. Ltd. (600104.SH +2.57%) is considering shutting down a combustion engine car plant in Nanjing as it accelerates its pivot toward electrification in the world’s largest auto market where demand for fossil fuel powered vehicles is weakening.

  • The move would be part of efforts by SAIC Volkswagen Automotive Co. Ltd. to “upgrade and optimize” its carmaking capacity as it joins other automakers in increasingly focusing on producing electric smart vehicles in China, the JV told Caixin on Saturday.

  • The plant in Nanjing, the capital of East China’s Jiangsu province, is where the JV produces the conventionally powered Passat, one of its flagship models. It is one of SAIC Volkswagen’s eight manufacturing facilities in the country.


SunCar Technology Group – INITIATION – September 26, 2024

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • SunCar Technology Group ((NASDAQ: SDA) is a leading Chinese cloud-based provider of digital enterprise auto services and auto eInsurance services in China.
  • The company offers one-stop, fully digital, on-demand automotive service systems to help enterprise clients build up their customer base and serve their end customers (auto owners).
  • The company has grown revenues rapidly in recent years, which we expect to continue in the near-to-midterm.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 20th): Goodman and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 20th): Goodman, Evolution Mining, Woodside Energy, Macquarie


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 20th): Goodman, Evolution Mining, Woodside Energy, Macquarie

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 20th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD26.9bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Goodman, Evolution Mining, Woodside Energy, Macquarie, Australia And New Zealand Banking, Technology One, Computershare.

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Daily Brief ESG: Techem – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Techem – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics


Techem – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Techem’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with its Environmental, Social and Governance scores. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Adequate”.


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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Markets Soar on Job Data and Micron Boost and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Markets Soar on Job Data and Micron Boost
  • SEBI on Futures &Options Trends
  • Japan Morning Connection: China Related Names Set to Continue Gains
  • China Crosses the Rubicon – Direct Payments to Kickstart Consumption
  • China Property Developers In Distress – Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | Sep 21-26, 2024


Ohayo Japan | Markets Soar on Job Data and Micron Boost

By Mark Chadwick

  • Stocks rallied on Thursday, with the S&P 500 climbing 0.40% to a record high of 5,745, driven by strong U.S. economic data and corporate earnings
  • Shares of Super Micro Computer fell over 12% after a Wall Street Journal report revealed a Justice Department investigation into alleged accounting manipulations
  • Nissan will acquire an additional 5.03% of its shares from Renault for ¥79.8 billion, reducing Renault’s stake further

SEBI on Futures &Options Trends

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • On 23-Sep-24, SEBI released a study on Trends in Equity Derivative segment. 
  • In FY24, Proprietary traders earned the highest gross profit, followed by FPIs while the individual category faced the largest gross loss.
  • In FY24, 91.1% of individuals incurred net losses in F&O trading, slightly improving from 91.5% in FY23 and 90.2% in FY22.

Japan Morning Connection: China Related Names Set to Continue Gains

By Andrew Jackson

  • Big gains for semi related after Micron’s big beat, although the lions share of this may have priced in during Asian trading yesterday.
  • China related names in Japan look set to continue gains with HSI futures strong overnight and names like Estee Lauder +10% and L’Oreal +7% overnight.
  • Election day in Japan, with voting kicking off at JST, results, or at least a strong indication should be known before market close today.

China Crosses the Rubicon – Direct Payments to Kickstart Consumption

By Rikki Malik

  • Obvious policy efforts are being made to drive consumption and improve consumer confidence.
  • Previous attempts have resulted in increased savings but policy direction has changed
  • Beaten-Up consumer names have a good risk-reward at this stage

China Property Developers In Distress – Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | Sep 21-26, 2024

By Robert Ciemniak

  • This note is a weekly (select weeks on SK) curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress
  • We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news (‘local signals’), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market
  • We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; See direct links to the sources

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Daily Brief ECM: MR. D.I.Y. Thailand Pre-IPO – Largest Home Improvement Retailer in Thailand and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • MR. D.I.Y. Thailand Pre-IPO – Largest Home Improvement Retailer in Thailand
  • Smartworks Coworking Spaces Pre-IPO – Healthy Revenue Growth Led by Strategic Capacity Expansion
  • Rigaku IPO – The Negatives – Not Every Segment Has Been Performing; Has a Large Overhang as Well
  • Oswal Pumps Pre-IPO Tearsheet


MR. D.I.Y. Thailand Pre-IPO – Largest Home Improvement Retailer in Thailand

By Nicholas Tan

  • Mr. DIY Holding (Thailand) (2472516D TB)  is looking to raise as much as US$300m in its upcoming IPO in Thailand.
  • It is the largest home improvement retailer in Thailand offering value prices i.e. “Always Low Prices” for over 15,000 products across a variety of departments. 
  • In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

Smartworks Coworking Spaces Pre-IPO – Healthy Revenue Growth Led by Strategic Capacity Expansion

By Akshat Shah

  • Smartworks Coworking Spaces Ltd (1742134D IN) is looking to raise about US$120m in its India IPO.
  • It is an office experience and managed campus platform, typically focused on leasing entire/large, bare shell properties in prime locations and transforming them into fully serviced, tech-enabled campuses with amenities.
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Rigaku IPO – The Negatives – Not Every Segment Has Been Performing; Has a Large Overhang as Well

By Clarence Chu

  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is looking to raise US$762m in its Japan IPO.
  • Rigaku engages in developing, manufacturing, sales and servicing scientific instruments specializing in X-ray technologies.
  • In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.

Oswal Pumps Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Nicholas Tan

  • Oswal Pumps Limited is looking to raise about US$122m in its upcoming Indian IPO. The deal will be run by IIFL Securities, Axis Capital, CLSA, JMF and Nuvama Wealth Management.
  • Oswal Pumps is the fastest growing vertically integrated solar pump manufacturer in India.
  • The firm manufactures solar-powered and grid-connected submersible and monoblock pumps, electric motors comprising induction and submersible motors as well as solar modules, sold under the ‘Oswal’ brand.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Fuji Soft (9749) – Possible Issues with New KKR Amended Terms and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Fuji Soft (9749) – Possible Issues with New KKR Amended Terms
  • Lowdown from KRX’s Emergency Presser on the Value-Up Index Today
  • A Special Rebalancing Of Korea Value-Up Index Is Likely in December 2024
  • Fuji Soft (9749 JP): KKR on the Home Stretch as Bain Dithers
  • Nasdaq-100 December 2024 Forecasts: Monolithic Power & AppLovin It; Dollar Tree Needs Watering
  • Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec 24: 3 Changes Likely; Some Changes to Expectations
  • Quiddity Leaderboard S&P 500 Dec 24: Two ADDs (One Biggie), Two DELs, Possible Big Intrareview Moves
  • K Bank IPO (279570 KS): Index Inclusion Timeline
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 24: Three Changes Possible; New Long-Short Ideas
  • Prosus X Naspers: Discounts Catch Bid on China Stimulus, Trip.com Stake Fully Exited


Fuji Soft (9749) – Possible Issues with New KKR Amended Terms

By Travis Lundy

  • On 8 August, KKR and Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP) announced a Tender Offer for the company. It was, at the time, an intention to do so. KKR needed approvals.
  • Fuji Soft had KKR terms, and timing, and approved them. KKR then changed the terms and timing. Now on the 19th, they changed the terms again. 
  • This puts Fuji Soft in a kind of quandary. It’s important to think about why and what that leads to.

Lowdown from KRX’s Emergency Presser on the Value-Up Index Today

By Sanghyun Park

  • KRX faces challenges balancing the Value-Up Index as a benchmark while ensuring real disclosures, but passive inflows remain steady with local pension funds still interested.
  • KRX’s potential December mini rebalancing increases uncertainty but may just lead to minor tweaks, adding KB and Hana while removing a few stocks from Communication Services.
  • The Value-Up Index resembles the KOSPI 200, using 30-40% GICS stocks and KOSDAQ 150, which may spark trading strategies focused on performance gaps within sectors.

A Special Rebalancing Of Korea Value-Up Index Is Likely in December 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • On 26 September, the Korea Exchange announced that it is considering a “special rebalancing” of the Korea Value-Up Index in December 2024.
  • In our view, the probability of this special rebalancing occurring by the end of this year is high at about 85%+.
  • If there is a special rebalancing, KB Financial, Hana Financial, Samsung Life Insurance, SK Telecom, and KT could be considered the top candidates for inclusion. 

Fuji Soft (9749 JP): KKR on the Home Stretch as Bain Dithers

By Arun George

  • The Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP) Board has recommended KKR’s first tender offer (JPY8,800). The Board will announce its view on the second tender offer on launch. 
  • The Board sounded out Bain’s progress on a binding proposal and 3D and Farallon’s on their irrevocable. The absence of a Bain binding proposal immensely helped the Board’s decision.
  • Bain has likely left it too late. With a higher offer, Bain could force a recommendation change and hope KKR is shamed into cancelling 3D and Farallon’s irrevocable. 

Nasdaq-100 December 2024 Forecasts: Monolithic Power & AppLovin It; Dollar Tree Needs Watering

By Dimitris Ioannidis


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec 24: 3 Changes Likely; Some Changes to Expectations

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for SET 50 during the index rebal event in December 2024.
  • Currently, we see 3 expected ADDs/DELs and given that the 3-month reference period used for average market cap rankings have now started the rankings may be more stable. 

Quiddity Leaderboard S&P 500 Dec 24: Two ADDs (One Biggie), Two DELs, Possible Big Intrareview Moves

By Travis Lundy

  • The S&P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the December 2024 index rebal event.
  • We expect two regular changes in December 2024. There are also several live spin-off and M&A events which could trigger intra-review index changes in the late-2024/early-2025.

K Bank IPO (279570 KS): Index Inclusion Timeline

By Brian Freitas

  • K Bank (279570 KS) is looking to raise up to KRW 984bn (US$738m), valuing the company at KRW 5tn (US$3.75bn) at the top end of the IPO price range.
  • Close peer KakaoBank (323410 KS) and regional peer SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) have been trading lower recently and the IPO could price lower than the top end.
  • The change in KOSPI2 INDEX Fast Entry rules will leave the stock out of the index till June 2025. Inclusion in global indices will have to wait a while too.

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 24: Three Changes Possible; New Long-Short Ideas

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2024 index rebal event.
  • We currently do not see any index changes for ASX 20 and ASX 100.
  • We see one change for ASX 100 and two changes for ASX 200 but the final result could depend on relative share price movements for the next two months.

Prosus X Naspers: Discounts Catch Bid on China Stimulus, Trip.com Stake Fully Exited

By Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

  • On Tuesday, China announced fresh stimulus measures targeting the stock market and property sector.
  • The PBoC reduced the main policy rate and cut the RRR, signaling that further cuts were on the cards for later this year.
  • Further stimulus measures were announced today ahead of the Golden Week holiday. The discounts of Naspers and Prosus have rallied on the news, we see room for further upside.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Episode 86: Intel’s Inflection Point? Analyzing the Intel Plan. and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Episode 86: Intel’s Inflection Point? Analyzing the Intel Plan.
  • High Dividend Yield HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener:  Adding JNBY 3306 HK
  • CICC (3908 HK): M&A Possibility
  • Lippo Karawaci (LPKR IJ) – Building Solid Foundations
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Sep-2024): iPhone 16 sales lag, LGD struggles.
  • Japanese Bigger Cap Banks – BoJ’s Pause Does Not De-Rail Our Expectations for Higher Interest Rates
  • RPSG Ventures (RPSGV): Digital-First and D2C Focus Looks Promising For FMCG Scale Up
  • Why Volkswagen hit the skids
  • ADEA: Idea of a Scenario
  • Key Telecommunication Stocks On the Move in Singapore


Episode 86: Intel’s Inflection Point? Analyzing the Intel Plan.

By The Circuit

  • Intel is spinning off their foundry division into its own entity within the company, with financial independence and guardrails in place.
  • The company is not selling off assets as a whole but is making strategic deals, such as a partnership with Amazon.
  • A letter from Intel’s CEO to the team hints at potential activist investor issues and the company’s legal obligations in response to potential acquisition offers.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


High Dividend Yield HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener:  Adding JNBY 3306 HK

By Sameer Taneja


CICC (3908 HK): M&A Possibility

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China’s securities industry is under a wave of consolidation. China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK) is interesting given its leadership in the investment banking business.
  • A combination with China Galaxy Securities (H) (6881 HK) may bring synergy, given their different focuses. This will create the 3rd largest securities house in China. 
  • Even without a merger, CICC also looks attractive with the US interest rate trending down. It is best set to gain upon the revival of the Hong Kong IPO market. 

Lippo Karawaci (LPKR IJ) – Building Solid Foundations

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Lippo Karawaci’s results made for interesting reading with underlying profitability improving in its real estate and lifestyle segments as it reduced its Siloam stake and reduced its debt.
  • Real estate marketing sales in 1H2024 made up 58% of FY2024 guidance, with affordable landed housing driving growth across multiple projects targeting first-time buyers utilising readily available mortgages.
  • LPKR further reduced its holding in Siloam International Hospitals in September through the tender offer and will further reduce its debt with proceeds. LPKR is back on the investor radar.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (27-Sep-2024): iPhone 16 sales lag, LGD struggles.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • iPhone 16 sales disappoint, LGD faces market obstacles, while Huawei enhances AI quality control in smart medicine.
  • Reduce defense emissions to combat climate change, safeguarding national security amid declining EV demand and weakening investments in European battery makers.
  • Thailand to establish first SiC facility by 2027, Taiwan introduces closed-loop lithium battery recycling system, boosts semiconductor innovation with US$9.3 billion initiative to stay competitive in the industry. US bans Chinese automotive tech.

Japanese Bigger Cap Banks – BoJ’s Pause Does Not De-Rail Our Expectations for Higher Interest Rates

By Victor Galliano

  • JGB 10Y bond yields have slipped from their July high, but are well above historic lows; the outlook, in our view, is still for BoJ monetary tightening before year-end 2024
  • We see a constructive outlook with recovering domestic loan growth, available funding as well as sector evidence of higher lending rates; also, largely well controlled unrealized losses on bond portfolios
  • We keep Resona and Mizuho as our top picks for their strong gearing to higher interest rates and attractive valuations in this Japanese bank group, along with Chiba and Concordia

RPSG Ventures (RPSGV): Digital-First and D2C Focus Looks Promising For FMCG Scale Up

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • RPSGV reported a decent Q1FY25 with FMCG business sustaining an annualized revenue run-rate of INR 500cr+. The Sports business also reported healthy Q1FY25 revenue (INR 500cr+) led by IPL contribution.
  • To add to growth aggression, RPSGV announced a new CEO for the FMCG business in August. Mr. Sudhir Langer, an accomplished FMCG professional, took the baton from Mr. Rajeev Khandelwal.
  • At the current valuation, RPSGV is available at a holding company discount of 75%+. As the scalability potential of the FMCG and Sports businesses become evident, significant re-rating could happen.

Why Volkswagen hit the skids

By Behind the Money

  • Volkswagen, an iconic symbol of German industry, is facing unprecedented challenges with potential factory closures
  • The Volkswagen brand, which produces half of the cars for the entire Volkswagen Group, is struggling with high costs and low profit margins
  • The potential layoffs and factory closures could have significant impacts on both Germany’s economy and its national identity as an industrial giant

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


ADEA: Idea of a Scenario

By Hamed Khorsand

  • Q3 is coming to an end and ADEA has yet to announce new licensing deals its management has been asserting would happen this year. 
  • ADEA has maintained a revenue forecast of $380 million to $420 million on the expectation there would be at least two major new licenses announced this year.   
  • Our earning model currently calls for ADEA to generate $400 million in revenue with the third quarter being a smaller step up in revenue compared to the fourth quarter.

Key Telecommunication Stocks On the Move in Singapore

By Geoff Howie

  • Global communication indices have outpaced broader global benchmarks this year, while Singtel, AIS TH SDR, NetLink, Starhub and APTT have averaged 20% total returns.
  • Singtel has led these five counters this year, with a 37% total return, while also seeing its 2024 ADT soar 90% from 2023 levels.
  • Singtel has led the net insti inflow into all local stocks this year with S$938 million of net buying.

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Daily Brief Macro: OVER THE HORIZON: HK/CHINA No Longer the Stock Market Pinata! and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • OVER THE HORIZON: HK/CHINA No Longer the Stock Market Pinata!
  • China Watch: Bringing chopsticks to a gun-fight (again)
  • The Drill: Will China move commodity markets?
  • Ifo Nugget: It’s beginning to smell like recession
  • Power Shortage at Upcoming China’s Winter?
  • Major Vietnamese Firms On Track To Meet EUDR Deadline
  • Crowding Out Effects
  • Direct-reduced iron: India carving its path to meet ‘green’ steel ambitions
  • [ETP 2024/39] WTI Prices Slip as Supply Concerns Ease; Nat-Gas Soars on Strong Demand Expectations
  • CX Daily: Dialogue Between Hu Shuli and Heng Swee Keat on Tackling Global Challenges


OVER THE HORIZON: HK/CHINA No Longer the Stock Market Pinata!

By David Mudd

  • HK/China markets have entered a Bull market trend which was sparked by Beijing’s multi-faceted stimulus program.
  • An overhang of extreme pessimism on China’s economy and markets will gradually dissipate as the media/analyst narrative will follow the market higher.
  • As discussed in previous insights, a turn in sentiment is the key to not only moving the market but also to reviving the Chinese consumer.

China Watch: Bringing chopsticks to a gun-fight (again)

By Andreas Steno

  • Welcome to our weekly EM/China Watch, where we examine the Chinese market from the perspective of Western investors.
  • It’s been a significant day in China with the announcement of a range of measures by PBoC Governor Pan Gongsheng.
  • China’s economic stimulus plan includes a series of monetary easing measures.

The Drill: Will China move commodity markets?

By Ulrik Simmelholt

  • The Chinese markets have warmly welcomed this morning’s news that the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) plans to introduce significant stimulus measures, surpassing market expectations.
  • The most notable measure involves reducing borrowing costs on up to USD 5.3 trillion in mortgages and easing rules for second-home purchases.
  • This has brought growth back into the spotlight.

Ifo Nugget: It’s beginning to smell like recession

By Ulrik Simmelholt

  • We begin with the Ifo Employment Barometer, which took a sharp downward turn, reinforcing the recessionary signals from last month’s data.
  • In our view, it’s only a matter of time before Lagarde shifts her focus from inflation to employment, much like the Fed has done.
  • Our models suggest year-over-year inflation will reach 2% by early 2025, making employment the likely next priority.

Power Shortage at Upcoming China’s Winter?

By Alex Ng

  • The 2021 power shortage in China has captured the market’s attention, and begs the question of whether this coming winter is safe against blackout.
  • Markets are concerned that any extended power outage may impose additional and even bigger headwinds to the Chinese economy on top of the looming Evergrande debt crisis and regulatory oversight.
  • The 2021 power shortage in China was caused by the inability of state grids to raise electricity prices and a supply-demand shortfall in energy production sources, in particular coal. 

Major Vietnamese Firms On Track To Meet EUDR Deadline

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Huy Anh Natural Rubber appoints Koltiva to help it  
  • VRG holds training as per PEFC ST 2002-1:2024 Module Standard  
  • Experts call for a national support website

Crowding Out Effects

By Phil Rush

  • Crowding out has regained relevance post-pandemic, as large fiscal deficits put upward pressure on interest rates, contrasting with the post-GFC liquidity trap narrative.
  • Global capital markets can no longer mask crowding out because simultaneous fiscal deficits in major economies constrain the potentially offsetting capital flow.
  • The UK is opting for state-led interventions, crowding out the private sector by design, while the US stimulates private investment via public spending initiatives.

Direct-reduced iron: India carving its path to meet ‘green’ steel ambitions

By Commodities Focus

  • Direct Reduced Iron (DRI) is playing a significant role in India’s steel industry, accounting for 33% of total steel output
  • India’s DRI market is characterized by rapid growth driven by steel production targets and sustainable steel making practices
  • DRI production is concentrated in central and eastern parts of India, with states like Chhattisgarh and Odisha being prominent producers and trade hubs.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


[ETP 2024/39] WTI Prices Slip as Supply Concerns Ease; Nat-Gas Soars on Strong Demand Expectations

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 20/Sep, US crude inventories declined by 4.5m barrels, surpassing expectations of a 1.3m barrel drawdown. Gasoline and distillate stockpiles also decreased more than analyst estimates.
  • US natural gas inventories rise 47 Bcf for the week ending 20/Sep, lower than analyst expectations of a 52 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 7.1% above the 5-year seasonal average.
  • BP and Shell experienced rating downgrades and target price reductions, while TotalEnergies and Exxon Mobil saw upward revisions in their target prices.

CX Daily: Dialogue Between Hu Shuli and Heng Swee Keat on Tackling Global Challenges

By Caixin Global

  • Asia New Vision Forum /: Dialogue between Hu Shuli and Heng Swee Keat on tackling global challenges 
  • Central banks /: Asian central banks in no rush to follow Fed in cutting rates
  • TikTok /: TikTok Music comes to the end of the track in strategy shift

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Daily Brief Australia: CAR Group and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 24: Three Changes Possible; New Long-Short Ideas


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec 24: Three Changes Possible; New Long-Short Ideas

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2024 index rebal event.
  • We currently do not see any index changes for ASX 20 and ASX 100.
  • We see one change for ASX 100 and two changes for ASX 200 but the final result could depend on relative share price movements for the next two months.

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