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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Macro: ECB: Less Downside From The Good Place and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • ECB: Less Downside From The Good Place
  • BoJ Ueda Hints at Near-Term Rate Hike
  • BOJ Holds: Caution Amid Uncertainty
  • US: No More Rate Cuts Likely from the Powell Fed; More Dovish FOMC by Q2 2026
  • CX Daily: Chip Foundries Kick Off State-Backed Consolidation Drive
  • Oil futures: Prices higher after drop in US crude, product inventories


ECB: Less Downside From The Good Place

By Phil Rush

  • Downside activity risks have reduced, while the inflation outlook holds steady, keeping the ECB in its “good place” despite an implied shift up in the balance of risks.
  • Upside risks while inflation is seen settling at 2% would imply a hawkish bias, which the ECB isn’t ready to convey. But the skew may have swung within insignificant margins.
  • We still expect no more ECB rate cuts this cycle. If underlying inflation fails to slow as hoped, the ECB’s balanced bias could easily break into a hawkish one in 2026.

BoJ Ueda Hints at Near-Term Rate Hike

By Takuji Okubo

  • Ueda signals near-term tightening: BoJ Governor Ueda indicated that the next rate hike could come soon, as the Bank awaits only “initial indications” from the 2026 spring wage negotiations. 
  • Timing points to December or January: Our main scenario for the hike to 0.75% is January 22-23 in 2026, but we attach some possibility, 20-30% to December 18-19 in 2025.
  • U.S. risks remain the key wildcard: A sharper-than-expected U.S. slowdown could delay it, but Absent that, BoJ will hike soon, followed by gradual rise to 1.5% by late 2027. 

BOJ Holds: Caution Amid Uncertainty

By Heteronomics AI

  • The BOJ held rates at 0.5% as expected, with a 7-2 vote showing continued division. A December hike is now priced at 50-55%, down from 68% pre-Takaichi.
  • Inflation forecasts are unchanged at 2.7% (FY25), 1.8% (FY26), with sluggish underlying price growth and downside economic risks delaying tightening.
  • Wage sustainability and trade policy uncertainty dominate the outlook. 2026 labour talks and corporate profit trends will determine the rate path timing.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

US: No More Rate Cuts Likely from the Powell Fed; More Dovish FOMC by Q2 2026

By Prasenjit K. Basu

  • A divided FOMC cut by 25bp as expected, but Powell signalled Dec’25 cut was far from a foregone conclusion; instead the FOMC was strongly committed to returning to 2% inflation. 
  • US$88.8bn decline in base money (Mar-Aug’25) has held M2 and inflation in check. The end of QT from Dec’25 will be a form of easing, precluding rate cuts until Jan’26. 
  • FOMC voting shows doves isolated, and Powell-led FOMC will stay hawkish until Jan’26, especially amid fogginess on inflation data. The next rate cut is unlikely until Mar’26. 

CX Daily: Chip Foundries Kick Off State-Backed Consolidation Drive

By Caixin Global

Semiconductors /In Depth: Chip Foundries Kick Off State-Backed Consolidation Drive

China-U.S. /Xi to Meet Trump in South Korea to Discuss Bilateral Ties

Restructuring /Exclusive: Suning’s $28 Billion Restructuring Plan Tests China’s Approach to Corporate Failure


Oil futures: Prices higher after drop in US crude, product inventories

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures were higher Wednesday after a steep draw in US oil inventories, but more broadly investors were monitoring sanctions on Russia and the upcoming OPEC+ meeting.
  • Front-month Dec25 ICE Brent futures were trading at $64.98/b (2020 BST) versus Tuesday’s settle of $64.40/b, while Dec25 NYMEX WTI was at $60.53/b against a previous close of $60.15/b.
  • Markets initially steadied after the American Petroleum Institute reported that US crude stocks retreated by 4 million barrels, while gasoline inventories slumped 6.3 million barrels and distillate tanks drained 4.4 million barrels in the latest reporting cycle.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: BYD (1211 HK): 3Q25 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • BYD (1211 HK): 3Q25, No Surprise, Revenue Down for First Time
  • Meta: A Good 3Q Spoiled by a Tax Problem. Capex Boom Continues in 2026.
  • Hyperscalers’ Capex Update. Remember Jensen’s $500bn Yesterday ?
  • Lenskart IPO: Fashioning Vision or Pricing Perfection?
  • Oriental Watch (398 HK)
  • Tri Pointe Homes’ 32
  • Booz Allen Hamilton Eyes Solid Growth with AI-Driven 6G & Quantum Defense Tech; Can It Materialize?
  • Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK): What to Do Now After the IPO?
  • Thai Banks; Bangkok Bank (SET:BBL) Is Our Deep Value Pick, TMB Thanachart (SET:TTB) Is Now a Neutral
  • Euronet’s Strategic Partnerships With Citibank & Fireblocks Are Fueling a Payments Revolution; Is This The Biggest Growth Catalyst?


BYD (1211 HK): 3Q25, No Surprise, Revenue Down for First Time

By Ming Lu

  • It is no surprise that BYD’s revenue decreased YoY in 3Q25 according to our previous sales volume note.
  • The quarter-over-quarter margin improvement is not about seasonality, but about a sign of the margin recovery in 2026.
  • We believe the stock has a downside of 25% for 2026.

Meta: A Good 3Q Spoiled by a Tax Problem. Capex Boom Continues in 2026.

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Good 3Q25: revenue 4% above Consensus, Operating Income 7% above. But a huge US$18bn tax reversal leads to a big GAAP miss. A 10% NON-GAAP beat.
  • 2025 Capex revised up to high end of range, from $66-72 bn to $70-72 billion. 2026 Capex dollar growth will be notably larger than 2025, that means over 100bn.
  • Stock down -9% after hours, an over-reaction to a one-off non-cash tax write off. Valuations: slightly high as 2026 growth is forecast to be low due to OP margin decline.

Hyperscalers’ Capex Update. Remember Jensen’s $500bn Yesterday ?

By Nicolas Baratte

  • First 3 hyperscalers to report (GOOG, META, MSFT). GOOG and META increase 2025 Capex. GOOG and META mention “significant increase” or “larger increase” in 2026.
  • MSFT is in 1Q26, ending June-27. In FY25 Capex increased by 58% YoY. FY 26 capex will increase more than in FY25.
  • Altogether it looks like a ~50% Capex increase in 2026.

Lenskart IPO: Fashioning Vision or Pricing Perfection?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Lenskart’s upcoming IPO marks India’s first major consumer-tech listing, positioning the eyewear disruptor as a vertically integrated D2C brand with around 75% share in organized retail and strong international traction.
  • While Lenskart’s 75% revenue surge and 275% EBITDA jump over two years highlight its operational strength, but the proposed valuation (70x EV/EBITDA) far exceeds global peers raises serious concerns.
  • Lenskart’s vertically integrated model, data-led omnichannel scale, and strong international playbook offer structural advantages. But the IPO’s frothy valuation and pre-IPO promoter stake sales warrant a cautious stance for investors.

Oriental Watch (398 HK)

By Michael Fritzell

  • Alternative data suggests a turn in the luxury wristwatch market. But most likely, this turn is due to US tariffs on Swiss watch imports, causing US buyers to panic buy. 
  • Oriental Watch continues to be undervalued at just 8.3x P/E and a dividend yield of 12%
  • However, the Chinese watch market remains weak and there’s no clear sign of a turnaround yet

Tri Pointe Homes’ 32

By Baptista Research

  • Tri Pointe Homes has reported its financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, providing a mixed outlook on both its immediate results and strategic direction moving forward.
  • During this period, the company closed 1,217 homes at an average selling price of $672,000, generating home sales revenue of $817 million.
  • This exceeded the upper limit of their delivery guidance, showcasing their ability to navigate a challenging housing market environment.

Booz Allen Hamilton Eyes Solid Growth with AI-Driven 6G & Quantum Defense Tech; Can It Materialize?

By Baptista Research

  • Booz Allen Hamilton provided detailed insights into their second quarter fiscal year 2026 performance and presented a mixed financial outlook characterized by a stark bifurcation in their market segments.
  • The company faces significant challenges and opportunities, presenting both potential advantages and drawbacks for investors.
  • On the positive side, Booz Allen’s national security portfolio, encompassing defense and intelligence sectors, shows encouraging signs.

Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK): What to Do Now After the IPO?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK) has rallied 15.3% after its IPO, and 3Q25 earnings are in a consistent trend. We do not expect a significant change in earnings forecasts. 
  • The mere 0.1% discount to its A-share looks rich. The FY26F PER of 17.7x is also significantly higher than its peers, reflecting most of its strengths.
  • Even if it re-rates to a similar premium as Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK), the upside is only 5.8%. The risks clearly outweigh the return.

Thai Banks; Bangkok Bank (SET:BBL) Is Our Deep Value Pick, TMB Thanachart (SET:TTB) Is Now a Neutral

By Victor Galliano

  • We upgrade deep value Bangkok Bank to buy from neutral; it trades on a 40%+ PBV discount to SCBx and its return trends improved further alongside solid balance sheet credentials
  • TMB Thanachart’s share price has corrected versus the peer group, so its PBV valuation no longer looks so stretched especially versus SCBx; we upgrade TMB Thanachart to neutral from sell
  • Krung Thai remains a neutral, even though it is delivering on improved returns, as it is not compelling value and has been narrowing the discount with SCBx

Euronet’s Strategic Partnerships With Citibank & Fireblocks Are Fueling a Payments Revolution; Is This The Biggest Growth Catalyst?

By Baptista Research

  • Euronet Worldwide reported its third-quarter financial results, showcasing a mixed performance across its segments.
  • The company achieved a revenue of $1.1 billion, with operating income standing at $195 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA reached $245 million, while the adjusted earnings per share were $3.62, reflecting a 19% growth compared to the previous year.

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Daily Brief China: BYD, 52TOYS Development, Oriental Watch, Seres Group , Sany Heavy Industry, China Mobile, Softcare, Meituan, FJD Inc, Nongfu Spring and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • BYD (1211 HK): 3Q25, No Surprise, Revenue Down for First Time
  • 52TOYS Development IPO Preview: A “Must Own” Stock, Big Push In Overseas Markets Looks Promising
  • Oriental Watch (398 HK)
  • Seres Group Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis
  • Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK): What to Do Now After the IPO?
  • HKEX Adds Five New Weekly Options on 10 Nov: AIA, China Mobile, Xiaomi Join Fast-Growing Line-Up
  • Softcare Pre-IPO: PHIP Update: Continued Revenue Growth but Some Margin Deterioration
  • Primer: Meituan (3690 HK) – Oct 2025
  • FJD Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Primer: Nongfu Spring (9633 HK) – Oct 2025


BYD (1211 HK): 3Q25, No Surprise, Revenue Down for First Time

By Ming Lu

  • It is no surprise that BYD’s revenue decreased YoY in 3Q25 according to our previous sales volume note.
  • The quarter-over-quarter margin improvement is not about seasonality, but about a sign of the margin recovery in 2026.
  • We believe the stock has a downside of 25% for 2026.

52TOYS Development IPO Preview: A “Must Own” Stock, Big Push In Overseas Markets Looks Promising

By Andrei Zakharov

  • 52TOYS Development, a Beijing-based multi-genre IP toy company, is seeking Hong Kong IPO that would raise up to $200M.
  • Founded in 2012 by Mr. Chen and Mr. Huang, 52TOYS positions itself as a toymaker with a strong emphasis on collectible mecha and sci-fi aesthetics.
  • 52TOYS has made a big push online and in overseas markets. I believe the company has primary growth drivers such as international expansion and new licensed and proprietary IP products.

Oriental Watch (398 HK)

By Michael Fritzell

  • Alternative data suggests a turn in the luxury wristwatch market. But most likely, this turn is due to US tariffs on Swiss watch imports, causing US buyers to panic buy. 
  • Oriental Watch continues to be undervalued at just 8.3x P/E and a dividend yield of 12%
  • However, the Chinese watch market remains weak and there’s no clear sign of a turnaround yet

Seres Group Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Seres Group is target price of 189.9 CNY which represents a 17% upside from current levels over a 6-12 month period.
  • Our target P/S multiple of 1.4x is 50% premium to the average valuation multiple of the comps in 2026. 
  • We used a premium valuation multiple for Seres Group due the company’s higher sales growth, EBITDA margins, and ROE.

Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK): What to Do Now After the IPO?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK) has rallied 15.3% after its IPO, and 3Q25 earnings are in a consistent trend. We do not expect a significant change in earnings forecasts. 
  • The mere 0.1% discount to its A-share looks rich. The FY26F PER of 17.7x is also significantly higher than its peers, reflecting most of its strengths.
  • Even if it re-rates to a similar premium as Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK), the upside is only 5.8%. The risks clearly outweigh the return.

HKEX Adds Five New Weekly Options on 10 Nov: AIA, China Mobile, Xiaomi Join Fast-Growing Line-Up

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • HKEX Expands Weekly Options: Five new single-stock weeklies debut on 10 November, broadening Hong Kong’s fast-growing short-dated options market.
  • Why It Matters: Weeklies let traders and investors hedge or speculate around key events with precision, lower premiums, and higher gamma exposure.
  • Momentum: Trading volumes in existing weeklies have surged—up nearly fourfold since launch—underscoring rising investor adoption and liquidity.

Softcare Pre-IPO: PHIP Update: Continued Revenue Growth but Some Margin Deterioration

By Nicholas Tan

  • Softcare (SOFT HK)  is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It is an international hygiene product corporation engaged in the development, manufacturing and sales of baby and feminine hygiene products.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will undertake a PHIP update.

Primer: Meituan (3690 HK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Meituan is the definitive market leader in China’s online-to-offline (O2O) services industry, with a dominant position in food delivery, holding an estimated 60-70% market share. The company’s integrated platform, encompassing a wide array of services from in-store dining to travel bookings, creates a powerful ‘super-app’ ecosystem that fosters high user engagement and retention.
  • Intensifying competition from rivals such as Alibaba’s Ele.me and JD.com, coupled with a strategic focus on lower-priced offerings to capture market share in a slowing economy, is expected to pressure margins in the near term. Management has guided for a significant decline in operating profit for the core local commerce segment in the upcoming quarters due to increased subsidies and investments.
  • Despite near-term headwinds, Meituan‘s long-term outlook is supported by its strategic investments in technology, such as AI-driven logistics and drone delivery, and its expansion into new initiatives and international markets. The company’s ability to leverage its vast user base and data analytics provides a strong foundation for future growth and profitability.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


FJD Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Nicholas Tan

  • FJD Inc (FJD HK) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by MS and CICC.
  • FJD’s mission is to empower and elevate frontline workers in labor-intensive scenarios with accessible, intelligent robotics solutions.
  • The company achieves this by building digital models for the real world and driving autonomous transition in essential workflows across multiple core industries.

Primer: Nongfu Spring (9633 HK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Nongfu Spring is the dominant market leader in China’s packaged drinking water and broader beverage industry, demonstrating consistent growth and strong profitability.
  • The company’s strategic focus on high-quality natural water sources and a diversified product portfolio, including successful tea beverages, positions it well for future growth in a health-conscious consumer market.
  • Despite facing intense competition and reputational challenges, Nongfu Spring’s robust financial performance, expanding margins, and solid brand recognition underscore its resilient market position.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief India: ICICI Bank Ltd, Lenskart Solutions, Midwest, Nmdc Ltd, Indo-MIM Ltd, Federal Bank, Reliance Industries, Safex Chemicals (India) Limited, Adani Green Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • NIFTY Bank Index: Methodology Changes to Result in Big Flows
  • Lenskart Solutions IPO – Is Pricey but Has a Strong Market Position
  • Lenskart IPO: Fashioning Vision or Pricing Perfection?
  • Midwest Ltd — Granite Roots, Quartz Future
  • NMDC Limited — Deep-Value Core of India’s Iron Ore Chain
  • Indo-MIM Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Blackstone Boosts Federal Bank’s Capital: Strengthening CET-1 for Future Growth
  • Reliance Industries Q2FY26: Are New Energy and AI the Next Engines of Value Creation?
  • Primer: Safex Chemicals (India) Limited (1414700D IN) – Oct 2025
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


NIFTY Bank Index: Methodology Changes to Result in Big Flows

By Brian Freitas

  • In May, SEBI recommended changes to the minimum number of constituents for non-benchmark indices and the capping for those indices. Then came the market consultation in August.
  • SEBI has now confirmed the changes along with the timeline for capping changes to the largest stocks in the index.
  • The changes could commence in December and continue till March. The adds will take place in December and weight changes for the largest stocks will take place in 4 tranches.

Lenskart Solutions IPO – Is Pricey but Has a Strong Market Position

By Sumeet Singh

  • Lenskart Solutions is looking to raise about US$825m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Lenskart Solutions Limited (LSL) is a technology-driven eyewear company with integrated operations spanning designing, manufacturing, branding and retailing of eyewear products.
  • We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and valuations.

Lenskart IPO: Fashioning Vision or Pricing Perfection?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Lenskart’s upcoming IPO marks India’s first major consumer-tech listing, positioning the eyewear disruptor as a vertically integrated D2C brand with around 75% share in organized retail and strong international traction.
  • While Lenskart’s 75% revenue surge and 275% EBITDA jump over two years highlight its operational strength, but the proposed valuation (70x EV/EBITDA) far exceeds global peers raises serious concerns.
  • Lenskart’s vertically integrated model, data-led omnichannel scale, and strong international playbook offer structural advantages. But the IPO’s frothy valuation and pre-IPO promoter stake sales warrant a cautious stance for investors.

Midwest Ltd — Granite Roots, Quartz Future

By Rahul Jain

  • Midwest Ltd’s recent ₹451 crore IPO (₹250 crore fresh issue) funds quartz capacity expansion, debt reduction, and entry into heavy-mineral sands for long-term growth.
  • The company is evolving from a granite exporter to a diversified clean-materials supplier, scaling quartz and HMS aligned with India’s solar and semiconductor build-out.
  • Strong promoter alignment, integrated operations, and disciplined execution support margin expansion and a positive long-term stance.

NMDC Limited — Deep-Value Core of India’s Iron Ore Chain

By Rahul Jain

  • Strong recovery: Q2 FY26 volumes up 23% YoY; margins steady at 38%, confirming operational strength.
  • Growth visibility: Expansion, slurry pipeline, and pellet plants drive FY26–27 capacity growth.
  • Deep-Value play: Trades at 10× P/E, 5× EV/EBITDA—half peer valuations, 5% dividend yield.

Indo-MIM Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Indo-MIM Ltd (1666551D IN) (IML) is looking to raise about US$112m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis, ICICI, HDFC, Kotak and SBI Caps.
  • IML provides end-to-end solutions for the manufacture of precision engineering components using metal injection molding (MIM) technology. Its capabilities include mold designing and tooling, coupled with finishing and assembly operations.
  • According to Frost & Sullivan,IML was the largest manufacturer globally of precision engineering components using MIM technology, with a 7% market share in terms of revenue from MIM in FY25.

Blackstone Boosts Federal Bank’s Capital: Strengthening CET-1 for Future Growth

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Blackstone has announced a INR 6,197 crore preferential capital infusion in Federal Bank, acquiring up to a 10% stake through convertible warrants, a landmark deal in India’s mid-sized banking space.
  • This investment boosts Federal Bank’s capital by 200–250 bps, enabling growth in high-yield segments while maintaining financial stability, reflecting growing global investor confidence in India’s private banks.
  • The capital infusion strengthens Federal Bank’s earnings prospects, with a projected 29% CAGR from FY26–28E, margin growth, and improved RoA reaching 1.35% by FY28E.

Reliance Industries Q2FY26: Are New Energy and AI the Next Engines of Value Creation?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Q2 FY26 saw Reliance Industries deliver robust, broad-based growth led by Consumer and Digital segments, concurrent with accelerated deployment of AI infrastructure and Green Energy assets.
  • The consumer-facing businesses now contribute nearly 50% of Group EBITDA, structurally de-risking the conglomerate from O2C volatility while cementing its positioning for India’s twin tailwinds: Digital Transformation and Energy Transition.
  • RIL’s aggressive, integrated strategy across AI and New Energy warrants a closer look at how these massive long-cycle projects are set to redefine the Group’s fundamental profile over the years.

Primer: Safex Chemicals (India) Limited (1414700D IN) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Safex Chemicals is a diversified agrochemical company in India with a presence across the value chain, including branded formulations, specialty chemicals, and contract development and manufacturing (CDMO).
  • The company is on a growth trajectory, driven by both organic expansion and strategic international acquisitions, notably Briar Chemicals in the UK, to bolster its global CDMO presence.
  • While the company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, it has also reported net losses in recent fiscal years, and its performance is subject to the inherent cyclicality of the agrochemical industry, which is dependent on climatic conditions.

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Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Green Energy, ReNew Energy
  • UST yields climbed 8-11 bps across the curve yesterday. This came as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell sought to temper market expectations for a December rate cut, following the central bank’s widely anticipated 25-bp rate reduction.
  • The UST curve bear flattened, with the yield on the 2Y UST jumping 11 bps to 3.60%, while that on the 10Y UST climbed 10 bps to 4.08%. Equities gave up their intraday gains, with the S&P 500 closing flat at 6,891.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Midwest, Nmdc Ltd, Reliance Industries, Dynacor Group , Uni-Fuels Holdings, Alcoa , MIND Technology , TechnipFMC , Eni SpA, Asahi Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Midwest Ltd — Granite Roots, Quartz Future
  • NMDC Limited — Deep-Value Core of India’s Iron Ore Chain
  • Reliance Industries Q2FY26: Are New Energy and AI the Next Engines of Value Creation?
  • DNG: Making Progress with International Expansion
  • UFG: Uni-Fuels reports 6-month interim financial results which showed continued strong revenue growth that exceeded our expectations.
  • Alcoa Corporation: Strategic Partnerships & Supply Chain Developments to Build Resilience Against Supply Chain Disruptions
  • Primer: MIND Technology (MIND US) – Oct 2025
  • TechnipFMC’s Innovation Playbook: What Secrets Lie Behind Its Rapid Subsea 2.0 Adoption?
  • Eni S.p.A. Expands Its FLNG Empire—A Bold Push into Next-Gen Energy Export!
  • Asahi Holdings (5857 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update


Midwest Ltd — Granite Roots, Quartz Future

By Rahul Jain

  • Midwest Ltd’s recent ₹451 crore IPO (₹250 crore fresh issue) funds quartz capacity expansion, debt reduction, and entry into heavy-mineral sands for long-term growth.
  • The company is evolving from a granite exporter to a diversified clean-materials supplier, scaling quartz and HMS aligned with India’s solar and semiconductor build-out.
  • Strong promoter alignment, integrated operations, and disciplined execution support margin expansion and a positive long-term stance.

NMDC Limited — Deep-Value Core of India’s Iron Ore Chain

By Rahul Jain

  • Strong recovery: Q2 FY26 volumes up 23% YoY; margins steady at 38%, confirming operational strength.
  • Growth visibility: Expansion, slurry pipeline, and pellet plants drive FY26–27 capacity growth.
  • Deep-Value play: Trades at 10× P/E, 5× EV/EBITDA—half peer valuations, 5% dividend yield.

Reliance Industries Q2FY26: Are New Energy and AI the Next Engines of Value Creation?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Q2 FY26 saw Reliance Industries deliver robust, broad-based growth led by Consumer and Digital segments, concurrent with accelerated deployment of AI infrastructure and Green Energy assets.
  • The consumer-facing businesses now contribute nearly 50% of Group EBITDA, structurally de-risking the conglomerate from O2C volatility while cementing its positioning for India’s twin tailwinds: Digital Transformation and Energy Transition.
  • RIL’s aggressive, integrated strategy across AI and New Energy warrants a closer look at how these massive long-cycle projects are set to redefine the Group’s fundamental profile over the years.

DNG: Making Progress with International Expansion

By Atrium Research

  • What you need to know: • DNG announced an update today on its expansion plans in Senegal, Ecuador, and Ghana.
  • • In Senegal, the construction of its 50tpd pilot plant remains on schedule with the first shipments of equipment expected to be on site in mid-November.
  • • DNG continues to complete early-stage work in Ecuador and Ghana, setting up the Company well to execute on its bold growth plans.

UFG: Uni-Fuels reports 6-month interim financial results which showed continued strong revenue growth that exceeded our expectations.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Uni-Fuels (NASDAQ: UFG) is a fast-growing global provider of marine fuels solutions, helping shipping companies optimize fuel procurement across various international markets and time zones.
  • The company currently operates in Singapore, Dubai, Shanghai and Seoul and plans to expand globally including new offices in Asia, Europe and the Americas.
  • The company went public in January 2025 raising $9.7 million in gross proceeds including February overallotment.

Alcoa Corporation: Strategic Partnerships & Supply Chain Developments to Build Resilience Against Supply Chain Disruptions

By Baptista Research

  • Alcoa Corporation’s third-quarter 2025 performance showcased a nuanced mix of operational strength and strategic undertakings amidst significant external and internal challenges.
  • The company reported a decrease in revenue by 1% to $3 billion, attributed primarily to lower volumes and prices in the Alumina segment and unfavorable currency impacts, despite an increase in the Aluminum segment’s revenue due to higher metal prices.
  • A noteworthy aspect of this quarter was the permanent closure of Alcoa’s Kwinana refinery and the sale of its interest in the Ma’aden joint venture, which yielded a notable financial gain offset by restructuring charges.

Primer: MIND Technology (MIND US) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • MIND Technology has successfully pivoted to a pure-play marine technology company, focusing on the exploration, survey, and defense markets. This strategic shift has resulted in a return to profitability and a strengthened, debt-free balance sheet.
  • The company is well-positioned to capitalize on favorable long-term industry tailwinds, including increased investment in offshore energy (both traditional and renewable), rising demand for maritime security and defense solutions, and the growing need for subsea mapping and survey technologies.
  • Despite a significant operational and financial turnaround, the company’s stock appears to be undervalued relative to its peers in the marine technology sector, presenting a potential investment opportunity as the market recognizes its improved fundamentals and growth prospects.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


TechnipFMC’s Innovation Playbook: What Secrets Lie Behind Its Rapid Subsea 2.0 Adoption?

By Baptista Research

  • TechnipFMC recently reported its financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing both strengths and areas of potential concern.
  • With a total revenue of $2.6 billion and an adjusted EBITDA of $531 million, reflecting a margin of 20.1% excluding foreign exchange impacts, the company experienced a robust quarter.
  • Free cash flow was notably strong at $448 million, facilitating $271 million in shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases.

Eni S.p.A. Expands Its FLNG Empire—A Bold Push into Next-Gen Energy Export!

By Baptista Research

  • Eni’s third quarter 2025 results demonstrate a robust execution of its strategic initiatives, reflecting a significant enhancement in its operational and financial performance across multiple business segments.
  • A year-on-year production growth of 8.5% underscores the company’s focus on its upstream operations, alongside developments in emerging energy sectors.
  • Key achievements include the successful commencement of production in Azule Energy’s Agogo West Hub in Angola and significant progress in several satellite start-ups, contributing to a notable production increase.

Asahi Holdings (5857 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue for FY03/24 was JPY238.2bn (-0.9% YoY), with operating profit at JPY15.3bn (+84.3% YoY).
  • The company revised its FY03/26 earnings forecast, increasing revenue to JPY517.0bn and operating profit to JPY30.0bn.
  • Interim and year-end dividends per share for FY03/26 were increased to JPY60.0, totaling JPY120.0 per share.

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Daily Brief Utilities: Adani Green Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Green Energy, ReNew Energy
  • UST yields climbed 8-11 bps across the curve yesterday. This came as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell sought to temper market expectations for a December rate cut, following the central bank’s widely anticipated 25-bp rate reduction.
  • The UST curve bear flattened, with the yield on the 2Y UST jumping 11 bps to 3.60%, while that on the 10Y UST climbed 10 bps to 4.08%. Equities gave up their intraday gains, with the S&P 500 closing flat at 6,891.

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Daily Brief Japan: Scsk Corp, Sumitomo Riko Company, Sumitomo Densetsu, Brainpad Inc, Advantest Corp, Nidec Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan M&A] Sumitomo Corp To Buy Out Minorities in SCSK (9719 JP)
  • [Japan M&A] Sumi Elec Buys Out Minorities in Sumitomo Riko (5191 JP) For ¥2,600 – Low Price/Multiple
  • [Japan M&A] Daiwa House Buyout of Sumitomo Densetsu (1949 JP) At ¥9,760 – A Good Exit
  • [Japan M&A] Fujitsu Buys Out Brainpad (3655) At Near 100% Premium
  • BrainPad (3655 JP): Fujitsu (6702 JP)’s 100% Premium Tender Offer
  • Sumitomo Densetsu (1949 JP): Daiwa House Industry (1925 JP)’s Attractive Tender Offer at JPY9,760
  • Advantest Earnings… TPXC30, and Murata…
  • Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2026: End-Oct 2025 Ranks
  • Sumitomo Riko (5191 JP): Sumitomo Electric (5802 JP)’s Tender Offer Is Light but Likely Done
  • Primer: Sumitomo Riko Company (5191 JP) – Oct 2025


[Japan M&A] Sumitomo Corp To Buy Out Minorities in SCSK (9719 JP)

By Travis Lundy

  • Yesterday after the close, Sumitomo Corp (8053 JP) announced it would buy out minorities in Scsk Corp (9719 JP) at ¥5,700/share.   
  • As a “parent takes out subsidiary” deal, this was not unexpected at some point in time. The register looks like there may be a number of people who expected that.
  • This gets done pretty easily. It is not a bad price. 

[Japan M&A] Sumi Elec Buys Out Minorities in Sumitomo Riko (5191 JP) For ¥2,600 – Low Price/Multiple

By Travis Lundy

  • Today with the earnings announcement, Sumitomo Electric Industries (5802 JP) announced it would buy out minorities in Sumitomo Riko Company (5191 JP), its rubber products subsidiary. 
  • The price is low, and especially so when one considers the significant net receivables and inventory number (about 2mos of revenue, but one turn of annual EBITDA).
  • Crossholders and insiders, however, own nearly 15% of the company, and that makes blocking this deal difficult, despite its low price, and lack of synergies considered in the price.

[Japan M&A] Daiwa House Buyout of Sumitomo Densetsu (1949 JP) At ¥9,760 – A Good Exit

By Travis Lundy


[Japan M&A] Fujitsu Buys Out Brainpad (3655) At Near 100% Premium

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP), with 110,000 employees, announced a buyout of a small “labour-intensive” AI/ML sysdev business with 200+ data scientists.
  • Brainpad Inc (3655 JP) is being bought out from its co-founders and others at a near-100% premium. Not an all-time high, but not a low price.
  • Somewhat heavily shorted, this will trade tight, but I expect nobody will come over the top. 

BrainPad (3655 JP): Fujitsu (6702 JP)’s 100% Premium Tender Offer

By Arun George

  • Brainpad Inc (3655 JP) has recommended a tender offer from Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP) at JPY2,706, a 100.0% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges and is above the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range. 
  • The huge takeover premium resulted from an auction. The tender offer runs from 31 October to 15 December (30 business days). This is a done deal.  

Sumitomo Densetsu (1949 JP): Daiwa House Industry (1925 JP)’s Attractive Tender Offer at JPY9,760

By Arun George

  • Sumitomo Densetsu (1949 JP) has recommended a tender offer from Daiwa House Industry (1925 JP) at JPY9,760, a 28.1% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The process is deficient due to the lack of an auction and the offeror’s reliance on less than 100% voter turnout to pass the EGM share consolidation vote.
  • Nevertheless, the offer is attractive, as it represents an all-time high and is above the high end of the IFA DCF valuation range. 

Advantest Earnings… TPXC30, and Murata…

By Jay Cameron

  • Advantest saw a 34% upside after earnings, aligning with previous buy recommendations and its inclusion in the Value Seeker Japan basket for long-term growth.
  • A small inclusion into TPXC30 occurs today at the close, with Advantest’s fundamental outlook remaining in line with our recent insights.
  • Murata seeing some flows as well today in at the close, and moves to the TPX 70 Large.

Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2026: End-Oct 2025 Ranks

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents.
  • The annual index review takes place in August every year. We look at the latest rankings of potential ADDs/DELs every month.
  • Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2026 based on trading data as of end-October 2025.

Sumitomo Riko (5191 JP): Sumitomo Electric (5802 JP)’s Tender Offer Is Light but Likely Done

By Arun George

  • Sumitomo Riko Company (5191 JP) has recommended a tender offer from Sumitomo Electric Industries (5802 JP) at JPY2,600, a 20.6% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The offer is arguably attractive as it is above the midpoint of the special committee/target IFA DCF valuation range and represents an all-time high. 
  • The offer is light as it implies a discount to peer multiples. However, the significant cross-holders on the register suggest that the minimum tendering condition should be met. 

Primer: Sumitomo Riko Company (5191 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Dominant Market Position in Automotive Components: Sumitomo Riko is a global leader in automotive anti-vibration products, such as engine mounts and suspension bushings, holding a significant market share. This leadership is built on its advanced polymer materials technology developed since its founding in 1929.
  • Strong Financial Performance and Growth: The company has demonstrated exceptional growth, with a 3-year net income CAGR of 84.82%. This robust performance is reflected in its rapidly increasing dividend payments and a strong momentum score, indicating significant market capitalization growth compared to peers.
  • Strategic Diversification and Future Focus: While the automotive sector accounts for the majority of sales, Sumitomo Riko is actively diversifying into non-automotive fields, including electronics, healthcare, and infrastructure. The company’s ‘2029 Vision’ and ‘2025 Mid-term Management Plan’ emphasize adapting to CASE (Connected, Autonomous, Shared, Electric) trends and capitalizing on new business opportunities to ensure sustainable growth.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Scsk Corp, Samsung Electronics, Brainpad Inc, Advantest Corp, Meta, Alphabet, Navan, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan M&A] Sumitomo Corp To Buy Out Minorities in SCSK (9719 JP)
  • Samsung Electronics Placement: Inheritance Tax Paydown by Family, Widely Telegraphed
  • [Japan M&A] Fujitsu Buys Out Brainpad (3655) At Near 100% Premium
  • BrainPad (3655 JP): Fujitsu (6702 JP)’s 100% Premium Tender Offer
  • Samsung Electronics: Block Deal Sale of 1.8 Trillion Won for Inheritance Tax Payment by Lee Family
  • Advantest Earnings… TPXC30, and Murata…
  • Meta: A Good 3Q Spoiled by a Tax Problem. Capex Boom Continues in 2026.
  • Hyperscalers’ Capex Update. Remember Jensen’s $500bn Yesterday ?
  • Navan Inc. (NAVN): Mispriced AI Travel Platform Stumbles in Debut
  • Booz Allen Hamilton Eyes Solid Growth with AI-Driven 6G & Quantum Defense Tech; Can It Materialize?


[Japan M&A] Sumitomo Corp To Buy Out Minorities in SCSK (9719 JP)

By Travis Lundy

  • Yesterday after the close, Sumitomo Corp (8053 JP) announced it would buy out minorities in Scsk Corp (9719 JP) at ¥5,700/share.   
  • As a “parent takes out subsidiary” deal, this was not unexpected at some point in time. The register looks like there may be a number of people who expected that.
  • This gets done pretty easily. It is not a bad price. 

Samsung Electronics Placement: Inheritance Tax Paydown by Family, Widely Telegraphed

By Nicholas Tan

  • Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) is looking to raise around US$1.2bn from a secondary placement.
  • This represents 0.9 days of the stock’s three month ADV, and  0.3% of total shares outstanding.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

[Japan M&A] Fujitsu Buys Out Brainpad (3655) At Near 100% Premium

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP), with 110,000 employees, announced a buyout of a small “labour-intensive” AI/ML sysdev business with 200+ data scientists.
  • Brainpad Inc (3655 JP) is being bought out from its co-founders and others at a near-100% premium. Not an all-time high, but not a low price.
  • Somewhat heavily shorted, this will trade tight, but I expect nobody will come over the top. 

BrainPad (3655 JP): Fujitsu (6702 JP)’s 100% Premium Tender Offer

By Arun George

  • Brainpad Inc (3655 JP) has recommended a tender offer from Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP) at JPY2,706, a 100.0% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges and is above the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range. 
  • The huge takeover premium resulted from an auction. The tender offer runs from 31 October to 15 December (30 business days). This is a done deal.  

Samsung Electronics: Block Deal Sale of 1.8 Trillion Won for Inheritance Tax Payment by Lee Family

By Douglas Kim

  • It was announced today that Samsung’s Lee family members are selling about 1.8 trillion won worth of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) through an after-hours block trade. 
  • The purpose of the block trade is for the Lee family members to pay for inheritance taxes and repay stock-backed loans.
  • The block trade selling level is between 102,200 won and 104,100 won, representing a discount of 0% to 1.8% compared to the closing price of the day.

Advantest Earnings… TPXC30, and Murata…

By Jay Cameron

  • Advantest saw a 34% upside after earnings, aligning with previous buy recommendations and its inclusion in the Value Seeker Japan basket for long-term growth.
  • A small inclusion into TPXC30 occurs today at the close, with Advantest’s fundamental outlook remaining in line with our recent insights.
  • Murata seeing some flows as well today in at the close, and moves to the TPX 70 Large.

Meta: A Good 3Q Spoiled by a Tax Problem. Capex Boom Continues in 2026.

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Good 3Q25: revenue 4% above Consensus, Operating Income 7% above. But a huge US$18bn tax reversal leads to a big GAAP miss. A 10% NON-GAAP beat.
  • 2025 Capex revised up to high end of range, from $66-72 bn to $70-72 billion. 2026 Capex dollar growth will be notably larger than 2025, that means over 100bn.
  • Stock down -9% after hours, an over-reaction to a one-off non-cash tax write off. Valuations: slightly high as 2026 growth is forecast to be low due to OP margin decline.

Hyperscalers’ Capex Update. Remember Jensen’s $500bn Yesterday ?

By Nicolas Baratte

  • First 3 hyperscalers to report (GOOG, META, MSFT). GOOG and META increase 2025 Capex. GOOG and META mention “significant increase” or “larger increase” in 2026.
  • MSFT is in 1Q26, ending June-27. In FY25 Capex increased by 58% YoY. FY 26 capex will increase more than in FY25.
  • Altogether it looks like a ~50% Capex increase in 2026.

Navan Inc. (NAVN): Mispriced AI Travel Platform Stumbles in Debut

By IPO Boutique

  • Navan Inc. (NAVN) priced its IPO at the midpoint of the range, $25.00 per share, raising approximately $922 million in gross proceeds.
  • The stock opened below issue price at $22.00 and failed to find support during its debut session, trading as low as $19.74 before closing near its intraday lows.
  • Despite strong top-line growth and margin improvement, investor skepticism centered around long-term scalability and sector defensibility.

Booz Allen Hamilton Eyes Solid Growth with AI-Driven 6G & Quantum Defense Tech; Can It Materialize?

By Baptista Research

  • Booz Allen Hamilton provided detailed insights into their second quarter fiscal year 2026 performance and presented a mixed financial outlook characterized by a stark bifurcation in their market segments.
  • The company faces significant challenges and opportunities, presenting both potential advantages and drawbacks for investors.
  • On the positive side, Booz Allen’s national security portfolio, encompassing defense and intelligence sectors, shows encouraging signs.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Medline, Softcare, Mega Lifesciences, Biomarin Pharmaceutical, Symbio Pharmaceuticals, Eiken Chemical, Paramount Bed Holdings Co Lt, Sirnaomics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Medline Inc. (MDLN): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Mega Hospitals Product & Supply Chain Company
  • Softcare Pre-IPO: PHIP Update: Continued Revenue Growth but Some Margin Deterioration
  • Primer: Mega Lifesciences (MEGA TB) – Oct 2025
  • BioMarin’s VOXZOGO Dominance Faces Fierce Rivals—Can It Keep the Crown?
  • Symbio Pharmaceuticals (4582 JP): Q3 FY12/25 flash update
  • Primer: Eiken Chemical (4549 JP) – Oct 2025
  • Paramount Bed Holdings Co Lt (7817 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update
  • Primer: Sirnaomics (2257 HK) – Oct 2025


Medline Inc. (MDLN): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Mega Hospitals Product & Supply Chain Company

By IPO Boutique

  • Through their two segments, Medline Brand and Supply Chain Solutions, they offer approximately 335,000 med-surg products.
  • They had net sales of $21.4  billion, $23.2 billion, and $25.5 billion and net income (loss) of ($25 million), $234 million, and $1.2 billion in 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively.
  • This company is a staple to the healthcare and hospitals industry and we anticipate a market cap north of $50 billion.

Softcare Pre-IPO: PHIP Update: Continued Revenue Growth but Some Margin Deterioration

By Nicholas Tan

  • Softcare (SOFT HK)  is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It is an international hygiene product corporation engaged in the development, manufacturing and sales of baby and feminine hygiene products.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will undertake a PHIP update.

Primer: Mega Lifesciences (MEGA TB) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Mega Lifesciences is a leading pharmaceutical and nutraceutical company with a strong presence in high-growth Southeast Asian markets, particularly Myanmar, Vietnam, and Cambodia.
  • The company’s dual-engine business model, comprising the branded ‘Mega We Care’ products and the ‘Maxxcare’ distribution arm, provides both margin strength and extensive market reach.
  • Future growth is anticipated to be driven by strategic expansion into new markets like Indonesia, a robust pipeline of new product launches, and favorable demographic trends such as rising health consciousness and an aging population in its core markets.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


BioMarin’s VOXZOGO Dominance Faces Fierce Rivals—Can It Keep the Crown?

By Baptista Research

  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.’s third-quarter 2025 results reflect a multifaceted performance with several key developments across its business units.
  • The company has demonstrated robust growth, notably in its Enzyme Therapies and Skeletal Conditions segments, which have driven an 11% increase in top-line growth year-over-year.
  • The Enzyme Therapies business alone was reported to be on track to become a $2 billion-plus franchise, highlighting its substantial contribution to revenue.

Symbio Pharmaceuticals (4582 JP): Q3 FY12/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales dropped 48.9% YoY to JPY971mn, with a gross profit margin of 71.6%, down 4.5pp YoY.
  • Operating loss was JPY3.3bn, compared to a loss of JPY2.8bn in cumulative Q3 FY12/24.
  • SG&A expenses declined 4.7% YoY to JPY4.0bn, including R&D expenses of JPY2.5bn, down 1.7% YoY.

Primer: Eiken Chemical (4549 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Eiken Chemical is a prominent player in the Japanese in-vitro diagnostics (IVD) market, with a strong position in fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) for colorectal cancer screening and a unique proprietary technology in its LAMP nucleic acid amplification method.
  • The company is poised to benefit from favorable demographic trends, particularly Japan’s aging population and a growing global emphasis on preventative healthcare and early disease detection. However, it faces challenges from a competitive domestic market and the need for continuous innovation to maintain its technological edge.
  • Recent financial performance has been mixed, with revenue growth impacted by external factors such as the decline in demand for COVID-19 related products. Future growth will likely depend on the successful global expansion of its core products and the development of new applications for its LAMP technology.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Paramount Bed Holdings Co Lt (7817 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • The company reported a YoY decline in revenue and profit, except for net income, which increased by 4.4%.
  • In September 2025, the company launched a tender offer for shares, with a minimum purchase of 20,487,000 shares.
  • The company decided to pay no dividends for FY03/26 and abolish its shareholder benefits program, conditional on tender offer success.

Primer: Sirnaomics (2257 HK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Sirnaomics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company specializing in the discovery and development of RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics, a promising technology for treating a wide range of diseases by silencing disease-causing genes.
  • The company’s pipeline is focused on oncology and fibrotic diseases, with lead candidates STP705 and STP707 showing potential in treating various cancers. Sirnaomics has a strong presence in both the United States and China, providing access to two of the world’s largest pharmaceutical markets.
  • Key risks for the company include the inherent uncertainties of clinical drug development, potential competition from other RNAi-focused companies, and the need for significant capital to fund its research and development activities.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Jardine Matheson Holdings, Sumitomo Densetsu, Hyosung Heavy Industries Corp, HSD Engine Co., Ltd., Nidec Corp, Sany Heavy Industry, General Electric , Legence, Indo-MIM Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Jardine Matheson’s Underperformance Post Mandarin Offer
  • [Japan M&A] Daiwa House Buyout of Sumitomo Densetsu (1949 JP) At ¥9,760 – A Good Exit
  • Hyosung Heavy — Ceiling Reversion Setup, ~0.7x DTV Outflow. Totally off the Market’s Radar
  • [Quiddity Index] KOSPI 200 Leaderboard for Dec25 Rebal: Final Predictions; 5 ADDs, 6 DELs, 1 IR Chg
  • Sumitomo Densetsu (1949 JP): Daiwa House Industry (1925 JP)’s Attractive Tender Offer at JPY9,760
  • Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2026: End-Oct 2025 Ranks
  • Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK): What to Do Now After the IPO?
  • General Dynamics’ Cash Flow Surges 179% of Net Income—What’s Powering This Boom?
  • Legence (LGN US): Post-IPO Index Inclusion; US in 2025 & Global in 2026
  • Indo-MIM Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Jardine Matheson’s Underperformance Post Mandarin Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Concurrent with the sale of 13 floors of OCB to Alibaba, Jardine Matheson (JM SP) announced on the 17th October an Offer for Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP)‘s minorities at US$3.35/share.
  • This is a clean, full, “dull” Offer. And MAND is trading super tight to terms at ~2.1% gross, with possible payment (my estimate) late Feb 2026.
  • Proceeds from the OCB sale will be US$925mn. And taking out MAND’s minorities will set Matheson back ~US$1bn. Yet the market is now assigning US$2.1bn less for Matheson’s stub ops. 

[Japan M&A] Daiwa House Buyout of Sumitomo Densetsu (1949 JP) At ¥9,760 – A Good Exit

By Travis Lundy


Hyosung Heavy — Ceiling Reversion Setup, ~0.7x DTV Outflow. Totally off the Market’s Radar

By Sanghyun Park

  • Hyosung Heavy (298040 KS) near 29% weight; 10ppt ceiling cut = ~0.6–0.7x DTV outflow. Unlike other ETF heavies, flows here bite — real tradeable setup.
  • Hyosung Heavy ceiling cut hits Dec 12 rebalance unless >30% earlier; iSelect enforces next‑day, as seen with Isupetasys (right today) breach in KODEX AI Semicon ETF clipped to 20%.
  • Hyosung Heavy again ripping today; watch 30% breach — triggers next‑day ceiling cut. Play the reversion, hedge with other hot AI power basket names.

[Quiddity Index] KOSPI 200 Leaderboard for Dec25 Rebal: Final Predictions; 5 ADDs, 6 DELs, 1 IR Chg

By Travis Lundy

  • KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).
  • In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming semiannual review in December 2025.
  • We expect up to 5 ADDs and 6 DELs for the KOSPI 200 index during this index rebal event based on the latest available data.

Sumitomo Densetsu (1949 JP): Daiwa House Industry (1925 JP)’s Attractive Tender Offer at JPY9,760

By Arun George

  • Sumitomo Densetsu (1949 JP) has recommended a tender offer from Daiwa House Industry (1925 JP) at JPY9,760, a 28.1% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The process is deficient due to the lack of an auction and the offeror’s reliance on less than 100% voter turnout to pass the EGM share consolidation vote.
  • Nevertheless, the offer is attractive, as it represents an all-time high and is above the high end of the IFA DCF valuation range. 

Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2026: End-Oct 2025 Ranks

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents.
  • The annual index review takes place in August every year. We look at the latest rankings of potential ADDs/DELs every month.
  • Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2026 based on trading data as of end-October 2025.

Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK): What to Do Now After the IPO?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK) has rallied 15.3% after its IPO, and 3Q25 earnings are in a consistent trend. We do not expect a significant change in earnings forecasts. 
  • The mere 0.1% discount to its A-share looks rich. The FY26F PER of 17.7x is also significantly higher than its peers, reflecting most of its strengths.
  • Even if it re-rates to a similar premium as Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals (1276 HK), the upside is only 5.8%. The risks clearly outweigh the return.

General Dynamics’ Cash Flow Surges 179% of Net Income—What’s Powering This Boom?

By Baptista Research

  • General Dynamics Corporation (GD) reported a strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, demonstrating significant growth across its various business segments.
  • The aerospace and marine systems divisions were the primary contributors to this growth, showcasing substantial revenue increases and improved operating margins.
  • The aerospace segment exhibited an impressive 30.3% year-over-year revenue growth, generating $3.2 billion, primarily driven by new aircraft deliveries and increased special mission volume.

Legence (LGN US): Post-IPO Index Inclusion; US in 2025 & Global in 2026

By Dimitris Ioannidis

  • Legence (LGN US) went public on 12 September 2025 on Nasdaq and has a current market cap of more than $4bn.
  • Inclusion in US indices is expected in December 2025, as the security meets US eligibility criteria.
  • Inclusion in Global indices is expected in February 2026 and March 2026, with potential exclusion from one index due to insufficient float cap.

Indo-MIM Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Indo-MIM Ltd (1666551D IN) (IML) is looking to raise about US$112m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis, ICICI, HDFC, Kotak and SBI Caps.
  • IML provides end-to-end solutions for the manufacture of precision engineering components using metal injection molding (MIM) technology. Its capabilities include mold designing and tooling, coupled with finishing and assembly operations.
  • According to Frost & Sullivan,IML was the largest manufacturer globally of precision engineering components using MIM technology, with a 7% market share in terms of revenue from MIM in FY25.

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