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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief India: Tata Consultancy Svcs, ICICI Bank Ltd, Elecon Engineering and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • TCS’s $7 Billion Bet: Building India’s AI Backbone
  • ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN / IBN US) Earnings Preview: Strong Track Record Points to Post-Result Gains
  • The Beat Ideas: Elecon Engineering – Defence-Grade Precision, Global-Scale Ambition


TCS’s $7 Billion Bet: Building India’s AI Backbone

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Tata Consultancy Services has announced a bold USD 6–7 billion investment to build a 1 GW sovereign AI data center network across India, its most capital-intensive project to date.
  • This move shifts TCS from labor-based IT services to AI-driven infrastructure, aligning it with global compute leaders and advancing India’s AI and data-sovereignty goals.
  • TCS’s initiative could reshape India’s digital backbone, driving investment across allied sectors and marking a long-term re-rating opportunity for Indian tech toward infrastructure-led growth.

ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN / IBN US) Earnings Preview: Strong Track Record Points to Post-Result Gains

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN / IBN US) is scheduled to report its Q2 results on Saturday, 18 October 2025.
  • Highlight: In recent years, the bank has consistently beat analysts’ expectations and often posted a positive performance post-earnings.
  • Portfolio Impact: As a Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex heavyweight, earnings-day moves ripple across the benchmark, making results market-relevant beyond the single stock.

The Beat Ideas: Elecon Engineering – Defence-Grade Precision, Global-Scale Ambition

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Elecon Engineering announced a INR 400 crore CapEx plan in its Gear division, signaling aggressive expansion and confidence in long-term industrial and defence demand.
  • The investment strengthens Elecon’s position as India’s only defence-grade gearbox manufacturer while unlocking efficiency gains and higher capacity for its global export ambitions.
  • The CapEx-driven scale-up and MHE turnaround improve Elecon’s visibility as a structural growth play, transitioning it from a domestic leader to a global engineering contender.

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Daily Brief Japan: Ebara Corp, Tekscend Photomask, Nikkei 225, Iyogin Holdings , Aeon Fantasy, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Satori Electric, Shift Inc, Meito Sangyo and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning
  • Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: Trading Debut
  • Nikkei 225 (NKY) Tactical Setup: BUY The Bottom, Not the Dip!
  • Japanese Banks – We Clip Our Key Positive Picks in the Big-Caps and Mid-Caps
  • Tekscend Photomask IPO Trading – Priced at the Top, but Still Relatively Cheap
  • Aeon Fantasy (4343 JP): 1H FY02/26 flash update
  • Many Companies Still Miss Opportunities to Deepen Investors’ Understanding of Business Strategies
  • Primer: Satori Electric (7420 JP) – Oct 2025
  • Shift Inc (3697 JP): Full-year FY08/25 flash update
  • Primer: Meito Sangyo (2207 JP) – Oct 2025


Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • After the recent rally, Ebara Corp (6361 JP)‘s increased market cap and free float market cap should result in inclusion in a global index in November.
  • Ebara Corp (6361 JP) has underperformed its larger peers, and the stock is trading cheaper than the average of its peers on most metrics.
  • There has been a large increase in cumulative excess volume for Ebara Corp (6361 JP) since July and we do not see a similar increase in its peers.

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: Trading Debut

By Arun George


Nikkei 225 (NKY) Tactical Setup: BUY The Bottom, Not the Dip!

By Nico Rosti

  • The Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) dived to 46544 on Tuesday, after peaking at 48.5k last week. It was ultra-overbought.
  • This correction offers an opportunity to re-enter the rally (or enter the rally, if you missed it), but don’t be too eager to enter early.
  • The Nikkei could correct easily for 2,3 or even 4 weeks when this pattern is encountered, according to our TIME MODEL. 43.5k may be the right area, details in insight.

Japanese Banks – We Clip Our Key Positive Picks in the Big-Caps and Mid-Caps

By Victor Galliano

  • Along with political turbulence, expectations of a near term BoJ rate hike may be diminishing; nonetheless, we believe that these rate hikes will, at worst, be delayed and not derailed
  • We take profits on Mizuho in big caps and on Hirogin Holdings in mid-caps, downgrading these names from buy to neutral whilst generally retaining banks with higher levels of cross-holdings
  • We maintain the following Japanese banks on buy ratings; in the big-caps, we keep Resona and Shizuoka and in the mid-caps we stick with Iyogin Holdings, Hokuhoku and Hachijuni

Tekscend Photomask IPO Trading – Priced at the Top, but Still Relatively Cheap

By Sumeet Singh

  • Tekscend Photomask (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, raised around US$900m in its Japan IPO.
  • TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.
  • In our previous note, we looked at its past performance and valuations. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

Aeon Fantasy (4343 JP): 1H FY02/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales reached JPY46.6bn (+6.2% YoY), with operating profit at JPY3.6bn (+26.5% YoY) and EBITDA at JPY8.9bn (+10.1% YoY).
  • Domestic business sales were JPY37.8bn (+8.6% YoY), driven by a 6.7% YoY increase in comparable store sales.
  • China business sales declined to JPY1.7bn (-40.5% YoY), with operating loss narrowing due to structural reforms and facility closures.

Many Companies Still Miss Opportunities to Deepen Investors’ Understanding of Business Strategies

By Aki Matsumoto

  • While more companies are now undertaking English-language disclosures compared to the past, many have merely implemented them without achieving level that truly helps overseas investors deepen understanding of management strategies.
  • Overseas investors seek qualitative explanations and information regarding long-term strategies, yet many companies are reluctant to proactively disclose such information in English, including “corporate governance information” and “long-term/growth strategies.”
  • Only a limited number of companies provide opportunities for top management to directly explain business strategies to overseas investors in English or for outside directors to meet with overseas investors.

Primer: Satori Electric (7420 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Satori Electric is a well-established Japanese distributor of electronic components, semiconductors, and factory automation systems, with a history dating back to 1947. The company is navigating the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry by focusing on value-added services like design and development.
  • Financially, the company exhibits strong growth in net income and dividends, supported by a high dividend yield. However, its profitability and ability to meet debt obligations show weakness, as indicated by a low resilience score. Cash flow has also shown significant volatility.
  • A key strategic development is the planned business integration with Hagiwara Electric Holdings Co., Ltd., effective April 1, 2026. This merger is anticipated to create operational synergies and strengthen market positioning, representing a significant potential catalyst for future value creation.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Shift Inc (3697 JP): Full-year FY08/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In FY08/25, the company reported JPY129.8bn sales, JPY45.0bn gross profit, JPY15.6bn operating profit, and JPY8.9bn net income.
  • Software Testing Services segment achieved JPY84.3bn sales, JPY31.1bn gross profit, and JPY21.5bn operating profit in FY08/25.
  • FY08/26 forecasts JPY150.0bn sales, JPY20.0bn operating profit, and JPY13.5bn net profit, on an adjusted basis.

Primer: Meito Sangyo (2207 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Diversified Business Model Mitigates Risk: Meito Sangyo operates across three distinct segments: Food, Chemicals, and Real Estate, providing resilience against downturns in any single sector. The Food division offers a wide range of confectioneries and beverages, while the Chemicals segment produces specialized, high-margin products like enzymes and dextran for pharmaceutical and cosmetic applications.
  • Exceptional Earnings Growth and Turnaround: The company has demonstrated a remarkable recovery, swinging from a net loss of JPY -703 million in FY2024 to a substantial net profit of JPY 4,719 million in FY2025. This is supported by a 3-year net income compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 37.48%.
  • Attractive Valuation with a Shareholder-Friendly Strategy: The company trades at a low Price-to-Book ratio of 0.62 and a Price-to-Earnings ratio of 7.15. Management is focused on enhancing shareholder value through its ‘MEITO CHALLENGE 2026’ plan, which includes progressive dividends, share buybacks, and a target dividend of JPY 50 per share by FY2027.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Industrials: Ebara Corp, Hanwha Ocean , Sany Heavy Industry, Asian Terminals, Elecon Engineering, Protasco Bhd, Chongqing Machinery & Electric, Lsi Industries, Norcros PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning
  • Hanwha Ocean: Negative Impact from Chinese Government’s Efforts to Crack Down on U.S. Subsidiaries
  • SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case
  • Primer: Asian Terminals (ATI PM) – Oct 2025
  • The Beat Ideas: Elecon Engineering – Defence-Grade Precision, Global-Scale Ambition
  • Primer: Protasco Bhd (PRTA MK) – Oct 2025
  • Sany Heavy Industries A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium
  • Primer: Chongqing Machinery & Electric (2722 HK) – Oct 2025
  • Lsi Industries Inc (LYTS) – Tuesday, Jul 15, 2025
  • Norcros PLC – Earnings-enhancing Fibo deal completes


Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • After the recent rally, Ebara Corp (6361 JP)‘s increased market cap and free float market cap should result in inclusion in a global index in November.
  • Ebara Corp (6361 JP) has underperformed its larger peers, and the stock is trading cheaper than the average of its peers on most metrics.
  • There has been a large increase in cumulative excess volume for Ebara Corp (6361 JP) since July and we do not see a similar increase in its peers.

Hanwha Ocean: Negative Impact from Chinese Government’s Efforts to Crack Down on U.S. Subsidiaries

By Douglas Kim

  • Chinese government’s efforts to ban Hanwha Ocean’s five U.S. subsidiaries from conducting any transactions with organizations or individuals in China is likely to have material Negative impact on Hanwha Ocean.
  • If Hanwha’s U.S. subsidiaries are banned from Chinese suppliers, they’ll need to source alternatives (Japan, Europe, or domestic U.S. firms), that could involve 20–50% higher costs with longer lead times.
  • Basically, what’s going on is that the Chinese government wants to slow down the United States’ efforts to rebuild its shipbuilding sector with the help of Korean shipbuilders.

SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), the world’s third-largest construction machinery company, has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$1.0-1.5 billion.     
  • SANY has six operating segments. The largest segment, as measured by revenue and gross profit, is excavating machinery.
  • The fundamentals are good, with strong growth, an increasing overseas mix, an improving margin profile, strong cash generation, and a solid balance sheet. 

Primer: Asian Terminals (ATI PM) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) is a key port operator in the Philippines with a strong competitive position, managing strategic assets like the Manila South Harbor and the Port of Batangas under long-term concessions.
  • The company demonstrates robust financial health, characterized by strong revenue and profit growth, a consistent dividend payout, and a net cash position. Growth is propelled by tariff adjustments and increasing container volumes.
  • Future growth is underpinned by strategic capacity expansions and favorable macroeconomic tailwinds, including the Philippines’ positive demographic profile and potential shifts in regional manufacturing. However, the company faces long-term risks from concession renewals and rising competition.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


The Beat Ideas: Elecon Engineering – Defence-Grade Precision, Global-Scale Ambition

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Elecon Engineering announced a INR 400 crore CapEx plan in its Gear division, signaling aggressive expansion and confidence in long-term industrial and defence demand.
  • The investment strengthens Elecon’s position as India’s only defence-grade gearbox manufacturer while unlocking efficiency gains and higher capacity for its global export ambitions.
  • The CapEx-driven scale-up and MHE turnaround improve Elecon’s visibility as a structural growth play, transitioning it from a domestic leader to a global engineering contender.

Primer: Protasco Bhd (PRTA MK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Turnaround Story with Diversified Operations: Protasco has successfully pivoted from a net loss in 2022 to profitability, driven by its core Maintenance and Construction segments. The company’s diversified business model, which also includes engineering, property development, and education, provides multiple revenue streams, though with varying degrees of success.
  • Favorable Industry Tailwinds: The Malaysian construction sector is experiencing robust growth, projected to expand significantly in 2025, fueled by government infrastructure spending, private investment, and foreign direct investment. This provides a strong demand backdrop for Protasco’s primary services.
  • Valuation Appears Attractive but Risks Remain: The company trades at low valuation multiples (P/E of 6.8x, P/B of 0.5x), suggesting a potential value opportunity. However, a history of corporate governance issues, inconsistent profitability, and a zero-dividend policy warrant a cautious approach from investors.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Sany Heavy Industries A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

By Sumeet Singh

  • Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing.
  • Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost & Sullivan.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about the updates and likely A/H premium.

Primer: Chongqing Machinery & Electric (2722 HK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • CQME is a diversified industrial conglomerate with a broad product portfolio, including power equipment, automotive parts, and general machinery, positioning it to benefit from China’s industrial upgrading.
  • The company exhibits strong value and dividend characteristics, with a low price-to-book ratio and a history of attractive shareholder payouts, supported by robust recent growth in net income and free cash flow.
  • Despite recent positive performance, the company faces headwinds from declining gross and EBITDA margins, historical earnings volatility, and high competitive intensity within China’s machinery sector.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Lsi Industries Inc (LYTS) – Tuesday, Jul 15, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • LSI Industries, led by CEO Jim Clark, specializes in non-residential lighting and display solutions and has transformed significantly since 2018.
  • The company has achieved a 7-year internal rate of return (IRR) of 22% by deepening client relationships and pursuing strategic acquisitions.
  • LSI is the only scaled player in its sector offering both lighting and display solutions, positioning it for projected 3-year IRRs of 17%-20% from its current price of $17.50.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Norcros PLC – Earnings-enhancing Fibo deal completes

By Equity Development

  • In a strong strategic move, Norcros has announced the completion of the Fibo Holding AS acquisition first announced in July.
  • It enhances the company’s existing stable of brands in a higher growth segment and brings group exposure to adjacent markets, most notably Scandinavia.
  • On our estimates, the deal enhances earnings by 13-14% in a full year, along with new market opportunities for existing operations.

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Daily Brief China: Sany Heavy Industry, China Nonferrous Mining Corp, TOP TOY International Group, Chando Global Limited, Water Oasis, LakeShore Biopharma, Xuanzhu Biopharmaceutical, JST Group, Zijin Gold, Rio Tinto Ltd and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case
  • China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK): Volatility Increases as Global Index Inclusion Nears
  • TOP TOY IPO: From China To The World — Rapid Growth and Solid Profitability Under MINISO Group
  • Chando Global Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Primer: Water Oasis (1161 HK) – Oct 2025
  • Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas: Mergers, SPACs, Asset Sales, and Litigation Opportunities in 2025
  • Xuanzhu Biopharm  (轩竹生物科技) IPO: Trading Updates
  • JST Group Pre-IPO: Premium to Peers but Potentially a Domestic “Shopify”
  • Zijin Gold: Less Attractive Relative Valuation Post Share Price Surge
  • Rio’s Simandou Shipments Near, But Can China’s Sluggish Mills Handle the Inflow?


SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), the world’s third-largest construction machinery company, has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$1.0-1.5 billion.     
  • SANY has six operating segments. The largest segment, as measured by revenue and gross profit, is excavating machinery.
  • The fundamentals are good, with strong growth, an increasing overseas mix, an improving margin profile, strong cash generation, and a solid balance sheet. 

China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK): Volatility Increases as Global Index Inclusion Nears

By Brian Freitas

  • The rally in China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK)‘s stock price over the last 6 months should result in the stock being added to a global index in November. 
  • China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK) has outperformed a lot of its peers and now trades at higher valuations.
  • Positioning has increased sharply in the last 6 weeks, and yesterday’s sharp fall could have been a result of unwinding of some of that positioning.

TOP TOY IPO: From China To The World — Rapid Growth and Solid Profitability Under MINISO Group

By Andrei Zakharov

  • TOP TOY International Group Limited, a world-class pop toy brand company from China, filed to go public in Hong Kong.
  • Founded in 2020, the brand has quickly positioned itself as a domestic rival to China’s Pop Mart, capitalizing on the country’s booming “blind box” and designer toy craze.
  • TOP TOY has shown strong growth and execution, going from RMB641m in sales of pop toy products in 2022 to RMB2,554m expected this year.

Chando Global Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • Chando Global Limited (CHANDO HK) is looking to raise at least US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by Huatai International and UBS.
  • Chando Global is a multi brand cosmetics company in China. It was China’s third-largest domestic cosmetics group, by retail sales in 2024, according to Frost & Sullivan (F&S).
  • Its flagship brand, CHANDO, had consistently ranked among the top two domestic cosmetics brands for 12 consecutive years from 2013 to 2024 by retail sales.

Primer: Water Oasis (1161 HK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Water Oasis operates a resilient, dual-engine business model combining beauty services and product retail, primarily in Hong Kong. This diversification provides multiple revenue streams and cross-selling opportunities.
  • The company exhibits a strong financial position with a debt-free balance sheet and significant cash reserves, supporting a high dividend yield. However, recent net income and dividend payouts have shown volatility.
  • Future growth hinges on the recovery of consumer spending in Hong Kong and successful expansion into Greater China. The company’s strategy of targeting various consumer segments and expanding its brand portfolio positions it to capture market shifts, though it faces intense competition.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas: Mergers, SPACs, Asset Sales, and Litigation Opportunities in 2025

By Special Situation Investments

  • LakeShore Biopharma’s delisting from Nasdaq to OTC caused forced selling, impacting merger arbitrage spread, with 18% upside potential.
  • Mayne Pharma’s acquisition by Cosette Pharmaceuticals faces legal challenges over a material adverse change, with a 40-50% spread.
  • Currency Exchange International’s closure of Canadian business and potential US uplisting could enhance profitability and shareholder returns.

Xuanzhu Biopharm  (轩竹生物科技) IPO: Trading Updates

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Xuanzhu raised HKD 781m (USD 100m) from its global offering and will list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Wednesday, October 15, 2025.
  • In our previous note, we looked at the company’s operation, management track records and discussed the IPO valuation.
  • In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before trading debut.

JST Group Pre-IPO: Premium to Peers but Potentially a Domestic “Shopify”

By Nicholas Tan

  • JST Group (1703609D CH) is looking to raise up to US$270m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It is China’s largest and most popular e-commerce SaaS ERP provider. 
  • In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.

Zijin Gold: Less Attractive Relative Valuation Post Share Price Surge

By Douglas Kim

  • Zijin Gold (2259 HK)’s share price has surged by 92% to reach HK$137.4 per share since its IPO price of HK$71.59 per share.
  • Zijin Gold now trades at a 61% premium to the comps’ average EV/EBITDA valuation multiple in 2026. 
  • One could argue that this excessive valuation multiple is a bit too aggressive despite higher growth prospects. Therefore, on a relative valuation basis, we would not chase after Zijin Gold. 

Rio’s Simandou Shipments Near, But Can China’s Sluggish Mills Handle the Inflow?

By Umang Agrawal

  • Pilbara shipments are tracking the lower end of guidance, with cyclone recovery hinging on a strong Q4.
  • Simandou shipments stay on schedule, adding supply pressure amid weak Chinese steel demand and negative margins.
  • China’s diversification and RMB trade shift threaten Rio’s pricing power, demanding agility and strategic adaptation.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Johnson & Johnson, Cryosite Ltd, LakeShore Biopharma, Xuanzhu Biopharmaceutical, Bristol Myers Squibb Co, Shanghai MediTrust Health Technology Group, Boryung Pharmaceutical and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • J&J’s Pursuit of Protagonist Therapeutics: A Strategic Move To Reinforce Immunology Leadership Post-Stelara!
  • Cryosite Ltd – Strong trading update to start FY26
  • Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas: Mergers, SPACs, Asset Sales, and Litigation Opportunities in 2025
  • Xuanzhu Biopharm  (轩竹生物科技) IPO: Trading Updates
  • Bristol Myers’ $1.5 Billion RNA Gamble: Could Orbital Therapeutics Rewire Its Future?
  • Pre-IPO Shanghai MediTrust Health Technology Group – The Business Model and the Concerns Behind
  • Boryung Pharmaceutical (003850 KS): New Drug Acquisition Fans High Oncology Aspiration


J&J’s Pursuit of Protagonist Therapeutics: A Strategic Move To Reinforce Immunology Leadership Post-Stelara!

By Baptista Research

  • As Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) faces intensifying competition in the immunology landscape, recent reports indicate the healthcare behemoth is exploring the acquisition of Protagonist Therapeutics, a biotechnology firm currently collaborating with JNJ on the development of icotrokinra, a novel oral therapy targeting immune diseases like plaque psoriasis and ulcerative colitis.
  • The news has driven Protagonist’s stock up nearly 30%, valuing the company at around $4.2 billion.
  • JNJ already holds exclusive commercialization rights to icotrokinra, which analysts at Leerink Partners project could generate peak global sales of $9.5 billion.

Cryosite Ltd – Strong trading update to start FY26

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Cryosite Limited (ASX:CTE) is an Australian company specialising in temperature-controlled storage and logistics solutions for the life sciences and pharmaceutical industries, in particular for clinical trials and biological materials.
  • CTE has released a Q1 FY26 trading update which demonstrated strong financial and operational performance for the quarter.
  • The customer base seems to be increasing with existing clients expanding their work with CTE while new clients have been onboarded in recent months.

Analyzing Active Portfolio Ideas: Mergers, SPACs, Asset Sales, and Litigation Opportunities in 2025

By Special Situation Investments

  • LakeShore Biopharma’s delisting from Nasdaq to OTC caused forced selling, impacting merger arbitrage spread, with 18% upside potential.
  • Mayne Pharma’s acquisition by Cosette Pharmaceuticals faces legal challenges over a material adverse change, with a 40-50% spread.
  • Currency Exchange International’s closure of Canadian business and potential US uplisting could enhance profitability and shareholder returns.

Xuanzhu Biopharm  (轩竹生物科技) IPO: Trading Updates

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Xuanzhu raised HKD 781m (USD 100m) from its global offering and will list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Wednesday, October 15, 2025.
  • In our previous note, we looked at the company’s operation, management track records and discussed the IPO valuation.
  • In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before trading debut.

Bristol Myers’ $1.5 Billion RNA Gamble: Could Orbital Therapeutics Rewire Its Future?

By Baptista Research

  • Bristol Myers Squibb has made headlines once again—this time with its $1.5 billion all-cash agreement to acquire Orbital Therapeutics, a privately held biotechnology company pioneering nextgeneration RNA therapies.
  • The deal represents a significant move by Bristol to bolster its innovation pipeline amid looming patent expirations, increased payer scrutiny, and a shifting regulatory landscape.
  • Orbital Therapeutics’ platform, which integrates circular and linear RNA engineering with AI-driven design and advanced lipid nanoparticle delivery, is anchored by its lead candidate OTX-201—an RNA immunotherapy targeting autoimmune disease via B cell depletion.

Pre-IPO Shanghai MediTrust Health Technology Group – The Business Model and the Concerns Behind

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The essence of MediTrust’s business model is building an ecosystem of “Internet/AI + drugs + medical services + insurance”. The core competitiveness lies in the network effect of medical payments.
  • Smart Pharma Solution overly relies on pharmaceutical companies’ promotion budgets and is susceptible to the impact of industry policies. Smart Insurance Solution is facing the industry dilemma of poor profitability.
  • Post-Money valuation after Series C+ financing is RMB11.68bn. Based on 2024 revenue of RMB2.035bn, P/S is 5.7x. We think valuation of MediTrust should be lower than Ping An Good Doctor

Boryung Pharmaceutical (003850 KS): New Drug Acquisition Fans High Oncology Aspiration

By Tina Banerjee

  • Boryung Pharmaceutical (003850 KS) is acquiring cytotoxic anti-cancer drug Taxotere (docetaxel) from Sanofi (SAN FP) for €175M (~KRW288B), inclusive of potential milestone payments worth €14M.
  • Post acquisition, Boryung aims to enhance the therapeutic value of Taxotere to include formulation improvements, combination strategies, and research into new indications. Currently, oncology contributes 20%+ of total revenue.
  • Over the last six months, Boryung shares remained almost flat, reflecting lack of any strong catalyst. Acquisition of Taxotere is not going to change the situation overnight.

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Daily Brief Financials: Nikkei 225, Peel Hunt Ltd/Guernsey, Iyogin Holdings , ICICI Bank Ltd, Smartkarma, DigiCo Infrastructure REIT, Gemini Space Station, Exzeo Group, Tatton Asset Management and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Nikkei 225 (NKY) Tactical Setup: BUY The Bottom, Not the Dip!
  • Primer: Peel Hunt Ltd/Guernsey (PEEL LN) – Oct 2025
  • Japanese Banks – We Clip Our Key Positive Picks in the Big-Caps and Mid-Caps
  • ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN / IBN US) Earnings Preview: Strong Track Record Points to Post-Result Gains
  • Primer: Smartkarma (SMARTKARMA SP) – Oct 2025
  • DigiCo Deals Diminish Doubts
  • Gemini (GEMI US): Limited Global & US Index Inclusion Due to Low Public Voting Rights
  • Exzeo Group, Inc. (XZO): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of an Insurance Technology Platform Company
  • Tatton Asset Management PLC – Exceptional momentum, AUM +18% over H1-26


Nikkei 225 (NKY) Tactical Setup: BUY The Bottom, Not the Dip!

By Nico Rosti

  • The Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) dived to 46544 on Tuesday, after peaking at 48.5k last week. It was ultra-overbought.
  • This correction offers an opportunity to re-enter the rally (or enter the rally, if you missed it), but don’t be too eager to enter early.
  • The Nikkei could correct easily for 2,3 or even 4 weeks when this pattern is encountered, according to our TIME MODEL. 43.5k may be the right area, details in insight.

Primer: Peel Hunt Ltd/Guernsey (PEEL LN) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Peel Hunt is a UK-based investment bank specializing in mid-cap and growth companies, offering a diversified suite of services across investment banking, research and distribution, and execution services. This integrated model provides some resilience against market cyclicality.
  • The company’s financial performance has been impacted by challenging UK capital market conditions, characterized by a downturn in IPOs and M&A activity. This has led to recent net losses and a declining revenue trend over the past three years.
  • Management is focused on strategic initiatives to drive future growth, including expanding its client base, particularly within the FTSE 350, diversifying revenue streams with a greater emphasis on M&A advisory, and investing in technology to enhance efficiency and client offerings.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Japanese Banks – We Clip Our Key Positive Picks in the Big-Caps and Mid-Caps

By Victor Galliano

  • Along with political turbulence, expectations of a near term BoJ rate hike may be diminishing; nonetheless, we believe that these rate hikes will, at worst, be delayed and not derailed
  • We take profits on Mizuho in big caps and on Hirogin Holdings in mid-caps, downgrading these names from buy to neutral whilst generally retaining banks with higher levels of cross-holdings
  • We maintain the following Japanese banks on buy ratings; in the big-caps, we keep Resona and Shizuoka and in the mid-caps we stick with Iyogin Holdings, Hokuhoku and Hachijuni

ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN / IBN US) Earnings Preview: Strong Track Record Points to Post-Result Gains

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN / IBN US) is scheduled to report its Q2 results on Saturday, 18 October 2025.
  • Highlight: In recent years, the bank has consistently beat analysts’ expectations and often posted a positive performance post-earnings.
  • Portfolio Impact: As a Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex heavyweight, earnings-day moves ripple across the benchmark, making results market-relevant beyond the single stock.

Primer: Smartkarma (SMARTKARMA SP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Smartkarma is a global investment research network that connects independent insight providers with institutional investors, operating on a subscription-based model that aligns with the trend of unbundling research costs from execution services, driven by regulations like MiFID II.
  • The company’s key value proposition is providing access to differentiated and often under-covered research, with a focus on Asian and emerging markets, event-driven situations, and small/mid-cap equities.
  • Founded by experienced finance and technology professionals, Smartkarma is a private, Series B company backed by notable venture capital firms and strategic investors, indicating confidence in its disruptive business model and growth potential.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


DigiCo Deals Diminish Doubts

By FNArena

  • Shares in DigiCo Infrastructure REIT have been re-invigorated following new contract wins and updated FY26 guidance by management.
  • New contract wins for DigiCo Infrastructure REIT Inaugural FY26 guidance boosts market confidence Shares still trading at relative discounts to valuation and industry peers Debt levels high by infrastructure standards, highlights Ord Minnett

Gemini (GEMI US): Limited Global & US Index Inclusion Due to Low Public Voting Rights

By Dimitris Ioannidis


Exzeo Group, Inc. (XZO): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of an Insurance Technology Platform Company

By IPO Boutique

  • HCI has announced plans to spin off Exzeo as a standalone entity which is their insurance technology solutions company
  • Through the Exzeo Platform, they currently provide services in 13 states in which their customers have operations.
  • They had revenue of $45.6 million, $88.3 million, and $133.9 million and income (loss)  after taxes of ($42.0 million), $12.9 million, and $26.1 million in 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively.

Tatton Asset Management PLC – Exceptional momentum, AUM +18% over H1-26

By Equity Development

  • Tatton AM’s momentum shows no sign of abating.
  • Assets Under Management/Influence (AUI) jumped 18% in H1 to a record £25.8bn; ahead of our forecast growth and well on track to meet Tatton’s medium-term target of £30bn by end-FY29 (page 3).
  • Net flows were again very strong, adding £1.7bn to AUM (£281m/ month), with the net inflow rate far higher than peers (page 2) and above Tatton’s guidance for FY26 (£200-£250m/ month).

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: China Nonferrous Mining Corp, Mosaic Co/The, Base Oil, Zijin Gold, Viper Energy Partners LP, Rio Tinto Ltd, Crude Oil, Capitan Silver , Deutsche Rohstoff AG and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK): Volatility Increases as Global Index Inclusion Nears
  • Mosaic Crashes On Plant Woes — But One Fix Could Spark A Big Rebound!
  • Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 13 October
  • Zijin Gold: Less Attractive Relative Valuation Post Share Price Surge
  • Viper Energy’s Strategic Pivot: Selling Non-Core Assets To Strengthen Its Permian Focus!
  • Rio’s Simandou Shipments Near, But Can China’s Sluggish Mills Handle the Inflow?
  • Oil futures: Crude off lows as US-China trade tensions eyed
  • CAPT: More High-Grade Silver Results & New Key Target
  • Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 13 October
  • Primer: Deutsche Rohstoff AG (DR0 GY) – Oct 2025


China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK): Volatility Increases as Global Index Inclusion Nears

By Brian Freitas

  • The rally in China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK)‘s stock price over the last 6 months should result in the stock being added to a global index in November. 
  • China Nonferrous Mining Corp (1258 HK) has outperformed a lot of its peers and now trades at higher valuations.
  • Positioning has increased sharply in the last 6 weeks, and yesterday’s sharp fall could have been a result of unwinding of some of that positioning.

Mosaic Crashes On Plant Woes — But One Fix Could Spark A Big Rebound!

By Baptista Research

  • Shares of fertilizer giant Mosaic Co. have been under significant pressure as the company grapples with dual setbacks — unplanned phosphate plant outages and ongoing macroeconomic headwinds tied to U.S. trade tariffs.
  • On October 10, the company disclosed a meaningful production shortfall in its phosphate segment for Q3 2025, citing mechanical issues and utility interruptions that pushed preliminary volumes down to just 1.7 million tons, well below expectations.
  • This comes on top of a challenging landscape in which U.S. tariffs have eroded the competitiveness of American fertilizer exports.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 13 October

By Iain Pocock

  • US base oils demand could be steadier amid rangebound prices and signs of more muted pressure from any surplus supply.
  • US base oils demand typically rises in month of October from September, before falling in month of November.
  • Demand could be lower than usual as buyers and distributors work down stocks built up as buffer against weather-related supply disruptions during Atlantic hurricane season.

Zijin Gold: Less Attractive Relative Valuation Post Share Price Surge

By Douglas Kim

  • Zijin Gold (2259 HK)’s share price has surged by 92% to reach HK$137.4 per share since its IPO price of HK$71.59 per share.
  • Zijin Gold now trades at a 61% premium to the comps’ average EV/EBITDA valuation multiple in 2026. 
  • One could argue that this excessive valuation multiple is a bit too aggressive despite higher growth prospects. Therefore, on a relative valuation basis, we would not chase after Zijin Gold. 

Viper Energy’s Strategic Pivot: Selling Non-Core Assets To Strengthen Its Permian Focus!

By Baptista Research

  • Viper Energy is sharpening its strategic lens on the Permian Basin as it evaluates potential sales of non-core, non-Permian assets.
  • Following its recent drop-down transaction with Diamondback and the pending merger with Sitio Royalties, management has signaled a clear intent to focus on concentrated royalty acreage in the Permian, which offers both operational alignment and long-term production visibility.
  • The Sitio deal—expected to close imminently—will significantly expand Viper’s inventory depth and increase its scale, but it also introduces assets outside the Permian footprint.

Rio’s Simandou Shipments Near, But Can China’s Sluggish Mills Handle the Inflow?

By Umang Agrawal

  • Pilbara shipments are tracking the lower end of guidance, with cyclone recovery hinging on a strong Q4.
  • Simandou shipments stay on schedule, adding supply pressure amid weak Chinese steel demand and negative margins.
  • China’s diversification and RMB trade shift threaten Rio’s pricing power, demanding agility and strategic adaptation.

Oil futures: Crude off lows as US-China trade tensions eyed

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures opened the week slightly firmer as benchmarks recovered some of Friday’s steep losses, but markets are set to remain volatile amid renewed tariff threats between the US and China.
  • Front-month Dec25 ICE Brent futures were trading at $63.32/b (1415 BST) versus Friday’s settle of $62.73/b, while Nov25 NYMEX WTI was at $59.67/b against a previous close of $58.90/b.
  • Crude prices plunged on Friday as part of a broad-based financial selloff following renewed trade tensions between Washington and Beijing after US President Trump threatened a “massive increase” in tariffs on Chinese goods, citing “hostile” export controls on critical minerals.

CAPT: More High-Grade Silver Results & New Key Target

By Atrium Research

  • What you need to know: • Capitan announced high-grade assay results at the Cruz de Plata silver-gold project in Durango, Mexico.
  • • The highlight high-grade silver intercept was reported of 1,541 g/t AgEq over 1.5m within a broader interval of 202 g/t AgEq over 18.3m.
  • • A new key target was identified, known as the Peñoles Fault.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 13 October

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s base oils demand could stay more cautious as signs of healthy stocks and rising supplies curb urgency to buy.
  • Any need to move surplus supplies to markets beyond Asia could put pressure on adjustment in prices to make those shipments more feasible.
  • Any such moves, and the subsequent prospect of additional price-pressure, could add to attraction of procuring smaller volumes more frequently.

Primer: Deutsche Rohstoff AG (DR0 GY) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Deutsche Rohstoff AG is a German-based holding company with a primary focus on the exploration and production of oil and gas in the United States, which constitutes the core of its revenue generation.
  • The company exhibits a strong long-term growth trajectory in revenue and net income, however, it is coupled with high volatility and consistently negative free cash flow due to significant capital expenditures in its U.S. oil and gas operations.
  • Valuation appears attractive with low multiples compared to peers, but this is balanced by the inherent risks of commodity price fluctuations, declining margins from their 2022 peak, and the capital-intensive nature of its E&P activities.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Tekscend Photomask, Samsung Electronics, Paypal Holdings, Microsoft Corp, Tata Consultancy Svcs, SK Hynix, SK Inc, Confluent, JST Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: Trading Debut
  • An Update of Our 2025 High Conviction Pick: Samsung Electronics
  • Paypal & Google Are Quietly Launching The Future Of Commerce—Your Wallet Just Got Smarter!
  • Microsoft’s New AI Can Give Health Advice—And Harvard Is Backing It!
  • Tekscend Photomask IPO Trading – Priced at the Top, but Still Relatively Cheap
  • TCS’s $7 Billion Bet: Building India’s AI Backbone
  • Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Indicates DRAM Price Spike to Persist Longer; SK Hynix Relative Trade
  • Chey Divorce Verdict Tomorrow at 10 AM: SK Inc Poised for Larger-Than-Expected Intraday Moves
  • Confluent Up For Grabs? AI Infrastructure Giant Eyes Sale Amid Industry Frenzy!
  • JST Group Pre-IPO: Premium to Peers but Potentially a Domestic “Shopify”


Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: Trading Debut

By Arun George


An Update of Our 2025 High Conviction Pick: Samsung Electronics

By Douglas Kim

  • Back on 6 November 2024, we published an insight called 2025 High Conviction: Samsung Electronics. In this insight, we provide an update of Samsung Electronics.
  • Samsung Electronics reported operating profit of 12.1 trillion won (up 31.8% YoY and 18.7% higher than consensus) in 3Q 2025.
  • The final installment of the 12 trillion won+ inheritance tax is due in April 2026.

Paypal & Google Are Quietly Launching The Future Of Commerce—Your Wallet Just Got Smarter!

By Baptista Research

  • The commerce landscape is about to undergo a structural transformation as PayPal and Alphabet’s Google join forces in a multi-pronged AI-driven payments partnership launching in Q4 2025.
  • Announced in September, the alliance will embed PayPal’s checkout experience directly into Google’s ecosystem—across Google Cloud, Google Ads, Google Play, and select consumer-facing properties.
  • At the same time, the two companies are co-developing AI frameworks to power agent-led transactions, where autonomous digital agents make purchases on a user’s behalf using PayPal data.

Microsoft’s New AI Can Give Health Advice—And Harvard Is Backing It!

By Baptista Research

  • Microsoft is making a bold move into the healthcare AI space, partnering with Harvard Medical School to improve the reliability of medical advice generated by its Copilot assistant.
  • The collaboration, set to be unveiled with an update to Copilot as early as this month, integrates health content from Harvard Health Publishing.
  • This step reflects Microsoft’s broader ambitions to establish Copilot as a leading AI assistant not just in productivity software but in areas demanding high accuracy and trust—like healthcare.

Tekscend Photomask IPO Trading – Priced at the Top, but Still Relatively Cheap

By Sumeet Singh

  • Tekscend Photomask (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, raised around US$900m in its Japan IPO.
  • TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.
  • In our previous note, we looked at its past performance and valuations. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

TCS’s $7 Billion Bet: Building India’s AI Backbone

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Tata Consultancy Services has announced a bold USD 6–7 billion investment to build a 1 GW sovereign AI data center network across India, its most capital-intensive project to date.
  • This move shifts TCS from labor-based IT services to AI-driven infrastructure, aligning it with global compute leaders and advancing India’s AI and data-sovereignty goals.
  • TCS’s initiative could reshape India’s digital backbone, driving investment across allied sectors and marking a long-term re-rating opportunity for Indian tech toward infrastructure-led growth.

Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Indicates DRAM Price Spike to Persist Longer; SK Hynix Relative Trade

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Nanya Tech 3Q25: Rebounds to Profit Thanks to DDR4 Price Surge Windfall… But Underlying Structural Drivers Remain Unsteady
  • The World’s DDR4 Shortage to Extends Pricing Spike Through 4Q25
  • Nanya Technology vs SK Hynix — We Expect Relative Strength Ahead for SK Hynix Over Nanya Tech

Chey Divorce Verdict Tomorrow at 10 AM: SK Inc Poised for Larger-Than-Expected Intraday Moves

By Sanghyun Park

  • Supreme Court divorce ruling for Chairman Chey (17.9% owner) hits tomorrow 10 a.m., likely driving intraday swings.
  • Chey’s wealth is mainly SK Inc (17.8%) and SK Siltron (29.6%). With half SK Inc shares tied, only SK Siltron offers liquidity, but it still falls short of his needs.
  • If the Supreme Court surprises, Chey may act on SK Inc shares, fueling a management/control narrative. Payments are due immediately, so SK Inc could see bigger intraday swings than expected.

Confluent Up For Grabs? AI Infrastructure Giant Eyes Sale Amid Industry Frenzy!

By Baptista Research

  • Confluent, a leading provider of real-time data streaming infrastructure, has reportedly initiated a sale process amid renewed takeover interest from private equity firms and strategic technology buyers.
  • According to Reuters, the company is working with an investment bank to explore options, though discussions remain in early stages with no guarantee of a deal.
  • The interest comes as Confluent navigates a turbulent stretch in its public market journey—its stock plunged 33% in July 2025 after losing a major AI-native customer, yet it remains an essential enabler of AI-driven applications, processing vast volumes of real-time data.

JST Group Pre-IPO: Premium to Peers but Potentially a Domestic “Shopify”

By Nicholas Tan

  • JST Group (1703609D CH) is looking to raise up to US$270m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It is China’s largest and most popular e-commerce SaaS ERP provider. 
  • In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.

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Most Read: Hang Seng Bank, Genting Malaysia, Bullish US, China Gold International Resources, JX Advanced Metals, Ebara Corp, Duality Biotherapeutics, Hanwha Ocean , Samsung Electronics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Hang Seng (11 HK)’s Offer: HSBC Investors Are Not Sold On The Strategic Benefits
  • Genting Malaysia (GENM MK): Genting (GENT MK)’s Curious Offer
  • [Quiddity Index] Index Consultation Anncmt Suggests The Big M Will Delete 1 LargeCap, 5 Small.
  • China Gold Intl (2099 HK): Gold Rally & Upcoming Global Index Inclusion
  • UK: Mixed Messages On Labour Market
  • JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP): Global Index Inclusion in November to Support Stock
  • Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning
  • Duality Bio IPO Lockup – US$2.7bn Lockup Release, with Lots of CCASS Movement
  • Hanwha Ocean: Negative Impact from Chinese Government’s Efforts to Crack Down on U.S. Subsidiaries
  • An Update of Our 2025 High Conviction Pick: Samsung Electronics


Hang Seng (11 HK)’s Offer: HSBC Investors Are Not Sold On The Strategic Benefits

By David Blennerhassett

  • Since announcing HSBC (5 HK)‘s Offer, Hang Seng Bank (11 HK) has traded tight-ish to terms, at a ~3.9% gross spread (including dividends). Or ~10% annualised if a five month offramp.
  • Annualised spreads for clean liquid deals in Asia-Pac, do tend to widen after day 1. Meaning, the gross spread remains roughly static as investors hit their full quota early on.  
  • HSBC shareholders are questioning the deal merits. For Hang Seng minorities, this is a great exit. Inside this report, I take a deeper dive into Hong Kong bank takeover precedents.

Genting Malaysia (GENM MK): Genting (GENT MK)’s Curious Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Genting Malaysia (GENM MK), the owner of Resort World Genting, has announced a conditional offer from controlling parent Genting Bhd (GENT MK).
  • GENT is offering RM2.35/share, an uninspiring 9.81% premium to last close, for the 50.64% of shares out not held. The Offer has a 50% acceptance threshold.
  • GENT already consolidates GENM (AFAIK). At this price, compulsory acquisition won’t be afforded (you’d think). GENT should have launched the Offer back in April when the share price was floundering.

[Quiddity Index] Index Consultation Anncmt Suggests The Big M Will Delete 1 LargeCap, 5 Small.

By Travis Lundy

  • Global Index Provider M _ _ _ announced an index consultation on Digital Asset Treausry Companies on 27 August. Friday, they extended til year-end, but gave a clear proposal update. 
  • They propose to exclude companies where digital asset holdings represent >50% of assets. They seek input. They also seek input on whether a company self-defines as a DAT…
  • And also look at stated reasons for capital raising. A preliminary list suggests Strategy (MSTR US)  and Metaplanet (3350 JP) are obvious targets. Others will be too. 

China Gold Intl (2099 HK): Gold Rally & Upcoming Global Index Inclusion

By Brian Freitas


UK: Mixed Messages On Labour Market

By Phil Rush

  • Most narratives can find some support in the latest labour market report, preserving uncertainty that should keep the BoE on hold at least until some clarity emerges.
  • Unemployment has increased (LFS) or stabilised (payrolls), while pay is shockingly resurgent (inc-bonuses), slowing as expected (ex-bonus) or stagnating (private pay).
  • Weakness isn’t as clear as the consensus and press sometimes make out, but concerns aren’t invalidated. We still expect resilience to preserve excess inflation hawkishly.

JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP): Global Index Inclusion in November to Support Stock

By Brian Freitas

  • The sharp rally in JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) over the last couple of months should result in inclusion in a global index in November.
  • The stock is already a member of the TOPIX Index and another global index, and this inclusion will require passive trackers to buy a big chunk of the real float.
  • There will be more passive buying in JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) in April when the liquidity factor in the TOPIX Index increases from 0.75 to 1.

Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • After the recent rally, Ebara Corp (6361 JP)‘s increased market cap and free float market cap should result in inclusion in a global index in November.
  • Ebara Corp (6361 JP) has underperformed its larger peers, and the stock is trading cheaper than the average of its peers on most metrics.
  • There has been a large increase in cumulative excess volume for Ebara Corp (6361 JP) since July and we do not see a similar increase in its peers.

Duality Bio IPO Lockup – US$2.7bn Lockup Release, with Lots of CCASS Movement

By Sumeet Singh

  • Duality Biotherapeutics (9606 HK)‘ s raised around US$200m in its Hong Kong listing in April 2025. The lockup on its cornerstone and pre-IPO investors is set to expire today.
  • Duality is a biopharma company focused primarily on the independent discovery and development of antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) assets.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.

Hanwha Ocean: Negative Impact from Chinese Government’s Efforts to Crack Down on U.S. Subsidiaries

By Douglas Kim

  • Chinese government’s efforts to ban Hanwha Ocean’s five U.S. subsidiaries from conducting any transactions with organizations or individuals in China is likely to have material Negative impact on Hanwha Ocean.
  • If Hanwha’s U.S. subsidiaries are banned from Chinese suppliers, they’ll need to source alternatives (Japan, Europe, or domestic U.S. firms), that could involve 20–50% higher costs with longer lead times.
  • Basically, what’s going on is that the Chinese government wants to slow down the United States’ efforts to rebuild its shipbuilding sector with the help of Korean shipbuilders.

An Update of Our 2025 High Conviction Pick: Samsung Electronics

By Douglas Kim

  • Back on 6 November 2024, we published an insight called 2025 High Conviction: Samsung Electronics. In this insight, we provide an update of Samsung Electronics.
  • Samsung Electronics reported operating profit of 12.1 trillion won (up 31.8% YoY and 18.7% higher than consensus) in 3Q 2025.
  • The final installment of the 12 trillion won+ inheritance tax is due in April 2026.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Ebara Corp, Hanwha Ocean , Sany Heavy Industry, Asian Terminals, Elecon Engineering, Protasco Bhd, Chongqing Machinery & Electric, Lsi Industries, Norcros PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning
  • Hanwha Ocean: Negative Impact from Chinese Government’s Efforts to Crack Down on U.S. Subsidiaries
  • SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case
  • Primer: Asian Terminals (ATI PM) – Oct 2025
  • The Beat Ideas: Elecon Engineering – Defence-Grade Precision, Global-Scale Ambition
  • Primer: Protasco Bhd (PRTA MK) – Oct 2025
  • Sany Heavy Industries A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium
  • Primer: Chongqing Machinery & Electric (2722 HK) – Oct 2025
  • Lsi Industries Inc (LYTS) – Tuesday, Jul 15, 2025
  • Norcros PLC – Earnings-enhancing Fibo deal completes


Ebara (6361 JP): Global Index Inclusion & Increased Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • After the recent rally, Ebara Corp (6361 JP)‘s increased market cap and free float market cap should result in inclusion in a global index in November.
  • Ebara Corp (6361 JP) has underperformed its larger peers, and the stock is trading cheaper than the average of its peers on most metrics.
  • There has been a large increase in cumulative excess volume for Ebara Corp (6361 JP) since July and we do not see a similar increase in its peers.

Hanwha Ocean: Negative Impact from Chinese Government’s Efforts to Crack Down on U.S. Subsidiaries

By Douglas Kim

  • Chinese government’s efforts to ban Hanwha Ocean’s five U.S. subsidiaries from conducting any transactions with organizations or individuals in China is likely to have material Negative impact on Hanwha Ocean.
  • If Hanwha’s U.S. subsidiaries are banned from Chinese suppliers, they’ll need to source alternatives (Japan, Europe, or domestic U.S. firms), that could involve 20–50% higher costs with longer lead times.
  • Basically, what’s going on is that the Chinese government wants to slow down the United States’ efforts to rebuild its shipbuilding sector with the help of Korean shipbuilders.

SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), the world’s third-largest construction machinery company, has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$1.0-1.5 billion.     
  • SANY has six operating segments. The largest segment, as measured by revenue and gross profit, is excavating machinery.
  • The fundamentals are good, with strong growth, an increasing overseas mix, an improving margin profile, strong cash generation, and a solid balance sheet. 

Primer: Asian Terminals (ATI PM) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Asian Terminals Inc. (ATI) is a key port operator in the Philippines with a strong competitive position, managing strategic assets like the Manila South Harbor and the Port of Batangas under long-term concessions.
  • The company demonstrates robust financial health, characterized by strong revenue and profit growth, a consistent dividend payout, and a net cash position. Growth is propelled by tariff adjustments and increasing container volumes.
  • Future growth is underpinned by strategic capacity expansions and favorable macroeconomic tailwinds, including the Philippines’ positive demographic profile and potential shifts in regional manufacturing. However, the company faces long-term risks from concession renewals and rising competition.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


The Beat Ideas: Elecon Engineering – Defence-Grade Precision, Global-Scale Ambition

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Elecon Engineering announced a INR 400 crore CapEx plan in its Gear division, signaling aggressive expansion and confidence in long-term industrial and defence demand.
  • The investment strengthens Elecon’s position as India’s only defence-grade gearbox manufacturer while unlocking efficiency gains and higher capacity for its global export ambitions.
  • The CapEx-driven scale-up and MHE turnaround improve Elecon’s visibility as a structural growth play, transitioning it from a domestic leader to a global engineering contender.

Primer: Protasco Bhd (PRTA MK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Turnaround Story with Diversified Operations: Protasco has successfully pivoted from a net loss in 2022 to profitability, driven by its core Maintenance and Construction segments. The company’s diversified business model, which also includes engineering, property development, and education, provides multiple revenue streams, though with varying degrees of success.
  • Favorable Industry Tailwinds: The Malaysian construction sector is experiencing robust growth, projected to expand significantly in 2025, fueled by government infrastructure spending, private investment, and foreign direct investment. This provides a strong demand backdrop for Protasco’s primary services.
  • Valuation Appears Attractive but Risks Remain: The company trades at low valuation multiples (P/E of 6.8x, P/B of 0.5x), suggesting a potential value opportunity. However, a history of corporate governance issues, inconsistent profitability, and a zero-dividend policy warrant a cautious approach from investors.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Sany Heavy Industries A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

By Sumeet Singh

  • Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing.
  • Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost & Sullivan.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about the updates and likely A/H premium.

Primer: Chongqing Machinery & Electric (2722 HK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • CQME is a diversified industrial conglomerate with a broad product portfolio, including power equipment, automotive parts, and general machinery, positioning it to benefit from China’s industrial upgrading.
  • The company exhibits strong value and dividend characteristics, with a low price-to-book ratio and a history of attractive shareholder payouts, supported by robust recent growth in net income and free cash flow.
  • Despite recent positive performance, the company faces headwinds from declining gross and EBITDA margins, historical earnings volatility, and high competitive intensity within China’s machinery sector.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Lsi Industries Inc (LYTS) – Tuesday, Jul 15, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • LSI Industries, led by CEO Jim Clark, specializes in non-residential lighting and display solutions and has transformed significantly since 2018.
  • The company has achieved a 7-year internal rate of return (IRR) of 22% by deepening client relationships and pursuing strategic acquisitions.
  • LSI is the only scaled player in its sector offering both lighting and display solutions, positioning it for projected 3-year IRRs of 17%-20% from its current price of $17.50.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Norcros PLC – Earnings-enhancing Fibo deal completes

By Equity Development

  • In a strong strategic move, Norcros has announced the completion of the Fibo Holding AS acquisition first announced in July.
  • It enhances the company’s existing stable of brands in a higher growth segment and brings group exposure to adjacent markets, most notably Scandinavia.
  • On our estimates, the deal enhances earnings by 13-14% in a full year, along with new market opportunities for existing operations.

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