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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Health Care: Xuanzhu Biopharmaceutical, Solventum, LakeShore Biopharma, Summit Therapeutics , Yunnan Baiyao Group Co.,, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals , Medtronic , Bristol-Myers Squibb , Biogen and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Xuanzhu Biopharm  (轩竹生物科技) Pre-IPO: Few Catalysts Left
  • Primer: Solventum (SOLV US) – Sep 2025
  • LakeShore Biopharma Faces Privatization Offer Amid Nasdaq Delisting and Market Overreaction
  • Primer: Summit Therapeutics (SMMT US) – Sep 2025
  • Pre-IPO Xuanzhu Biopharmaceutical (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention
  • Primer: Yunnan Baiyao Group Co., (000538 CH) – Sep 2025
  • Primer: Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN UW) – Sep 2025
  • Primer: Medtronic (MDT UN) – Sep 2025
  • Primer: Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY UN) – Sep 2025
  • Primer: Biogen (BIIB UW) – Sep 2025


Xuanzhu Biopharm  (轩竹生物科技) Pre-IPO: Few Catalysts Left

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Xuanzhu Biopharm, the biotech arm of HK-listed Sihuan Pharma, is seeking to raise at least USD 100m via a Hong Kong listing. The sole sponsor is CICC.
  • In previous insight, we looked at the company’s core products and key products, including XBP-3571, XZP-3287, and XZP-3621, and its management team and investor backing.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s PHIP updates.

Primer: Solventum (SOLV US) – Sep 2025

By αSK

  • Newly Independent Company with Strong Market Positions: Solventum, a recent spin-off from 3M, is a global healthcare leader with established brands and significant market share in MedSurg, Dental Solutions, Health Information Systems, and Purification and Filtration. The company is poised to benefit from increased focus and tailored capital allocation strategies.
  • Financial Profile Presents Both Opportunities and Challenges: The company generates strong cash flow but is also saddled with a significant debt burden from the spin-off, making debt reduction a near-term priority. This could temper shareholder returns and strategic flexibility in the short term.
  • Path to Value Creation Hinges on Execution: Solventum‘s success will depend on its ability to accelerate organic growth, expand margins, and innovate in its core markets. The recent divestiture of the Purification & Filtration business is a key step in streamlining the portfolio and focusing on higher-growth areas.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


LakeShore Biopharma Faces Privatization Offer Amid Nasdaq Delisting and Market Overreaction

By Special Situation Investments

  • LakeShore Biopharma received a non-binding privatization offer of $0.86/share from a consortium including its controlling shareholder.
  • Crystal Peak Investments acquired a 51% stake at $0.71/share and seeks to buy remaining shares at $0.86/share.
  • Oceanpine Capital, a consortium member, has historical ties to LSBCF, with its managing director previously serving as chairman.

Primer: Summit Therapeutics (SMMT US) – Sep 2025

By αSK

  • Summit Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company singularly focused on its lead asset, ivonescimab (SMT112), a novel, potentially first-in-class bispecific antibody targeting PD-1 and VEGF for the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).
  • The company’s strategy is heavily reliant on the success of its licensing partnership with Akeso Inc., which is responsible for the discovery and initial development of ivonescimab. Summit holds the rights for development and commercialization in the US, Canada, Europe, and Japan.
  • Financially, Summit is a pre-revenue entity with significant net losses driven by substantial R&D and clinical trial expenses. Its future is contingent on positive readouts from pivotal Phase III trials (HARMONi, HARMONi-3) and subsequent regulatory approvals, which face a highly competitive oncology market.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Pre-IPO Xuanzhu Biopharmaceutical (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Three Core Products need to face fierce competition, and there’re other similar products being included in NRDL reimbursement or VBP. So, we’re not optimistic about the commercialization performance of Xuanzhu.
  • The A-share listing committee had doubts about Xuanzhu’s pipeline strength and future commercialization outlook. So, Xuanzhu’s A-share IPO failed. The peak sales of three core products could be just RMB800mn-1bn. 
  • Considering Xuanzhu’s unsatisfactory growth outlook, market value is just RMB2.4-3 billion. This means that Xuanzhu is overvalued, and reasonable valuation could be even lower than that after Series B Financing.

Primer: Yunnan Baiyao Group Co., (000538 CH) – Sep 2025

By αSK

  • Strong Brand Equity and Market Leadership: Yunnan Baiyao is a household name in China with a dominant position in the Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) sector, particularly with its core Yunnan Baiyao product line. The company has successfully leveraged its brand to diversify into high-growth consumer health products, such as toothpaste, where it holds a leading market share.
  • Diversified Business Model with Growth Potential: The company operates a vertically integrated model and has expanded from its core pharmaceutical business into health products, personal care, and TCM resources. This diversification provides multiple revenue streams and opportunities for future growth, with a strategic focus on innovation and expansion into new areas like medical aesthetics.
  • Solid Financial Performance and Shareholder Returns: Yunnan Baiyao has demonstrated consistent revenue growth and strong profitability. The company maintains a healthy financial position and has a track record of returning value to shareholders through dividends.

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Primer: Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN UW) – Sep 2025

By αSK

  • Regeneron’s growth is propelled by the strong performance of its blockbuster drugs, Eylea and Dupixent, alongside a promising and extensive late-stage pipeline, particularly in oncology and immunology.
  • The company’s proprietary VelociSuite® technology platform serves as a significant competitive advantage, enabling the rapid and efficient discovery and development of novel, fully human antibody-based therapies.
  • Key challenges include heavy revenue concentration on Eylea and Dupixent, and the looming threat of biosimilar competition for Eylea, which could impact future revenue streams despite recent legal victories delaying entry.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Medtronic (MDT UN) – Sep 2025

By αSK

  • Medtronic stands as a global leader in medical technology, with a highly diversified portfolio across Cardiovascular, Neuroscience, Medical Surgical, and Diabetes segments, which provides resilience and broad market reach.
  • The company is focused on driving growth through innovation in high-margin areas, including cardiac ablation, structural heart, surgical robotics (Hugo™ RAS system), and diabetes care (MiniMed™ 780G system), supported by a robust R&D pipeline.
  • While facing challenges such as intense competition, stringent regulatory hurdles, and supply chain complexities, Medtronic’s strong financial health, consistent dividend growth, and strategic focus on emerging markets position it for long-term value creation.

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Primer: Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY UN) – Sep 2025

By αSK

  • Bristol-Myers Squibb is a global biopharmaceutical company facing a significant patent cliff for key revenue drivers like Eliquis and Opdivo, creating near-term revenue headwinds.
  • The company’s strategy to mitigate these losses centers on its growing portfolio of new products, a robust R&D pipeline focused on oncology, immunology, and cardiovascular diseases, and strategic acquisitions to replenish its drug pipeline.
  • While navigating a challenging period of patent expirations and increasing competition, the company’s strong cash flow, commitment to its dividend, and investments in innovative platforms like cell therapy and radiopharmaceuticals present a long-term growth thesis.

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Primer: Biogen (BIIB UW) – Sep 2025

By αSK

  • Biogen is in a pivotal transition phase, shifting from its declining, legacy multiple sclerosis (MS) franchise to a new portfolio focused on high-unmet-need neurological and rare diseases.
  • Future growth hinges on the successful commercialization of its new products, primarily Leqembi for Alzheimer’s disease, Skyclarys for Friedreich’s ataxia, and Zurzuvae for postpartum depression. The uptake of these drugs has been gradual but is accelerating.
  • Under the leadership of CEO Christopher Viehbacher, the company is executing a significant cost-saving program, “Fit for Growth,”to improve profitability and fund strategic initiatives, including external collaborations and potential acquisitions to bolster its pipeline.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Alibaba, China Resources Beer Holdings, Cash Converters Intl, Hanon Systems, Dowlais Group , SJM Holdings, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Tata Consumer Products, Prosus NV, Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Alibaba (9988 HK) Vs. Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX): Relative Value Options Play with Leverage
  • Heineken’s USD3.2 Bn Acqsn. Frothy Valuations. Why Are Asia’s Beer Champions Still Flat?
  • Cash Converters International – Reshaped for strong growth
  • Hanon Systems – A Rights Offering of 900 Billion Won
  • AAM-Dowlais: Short-Dated Arb with Double-Digit Annualised Return
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • GST Cut Lifts Outlook As Indian Tire Majors Navigate Weak Q1
  • Primer: Tata Consumer Products (TATACONS IN) – Sep 2025
  • Primer: Prosus NV (PRX SJ) – Sep 2025
  • Primer: Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (MOTHERSO IN) – Sep 2025


Alibaba (9988 HK) Vs. Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX): Relative Value Options Play with Leverage

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: Stat-arb models flag Alibaba (9988 HK) as overvalued versus the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX), with the difference between implied volatility and option premium at historically high levels.
  • Highlight: An actionable trade setup — long HSI calls vs. short Alibaba calls — that captures relative value and introduces leverage through a ratio structure.
  • Why Read: This is a timely opportunity to combine a directional view with favorable volatility dynamics, offering asymmetric payoff potential.

Heineken’s USD3.2 Bn Acqsn. Frothy Valuations. Why Are Asia’s Beer Champions Still Flat?

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Heineken Holding NV (HEIO NA) ’s US$3.2bn acquisition of beer, soft drinks, and retail assets in Central America at 11.6x EV/EBITDA highlights the valuation gap with Asian Beer Companies.
  • CR Beer’s strong 1H2025 recovery in sales and margins were powered by innovative product launches and digital channel sales. However it’s performance has drawn little market attention, yet.
  • China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK)  trades near 10-year low EV/EBITDA, even as consensus expects solid margins and steady revenue growth ahead. Expect a valuation upside.

Cash Converters International – Reshaped for strong growth

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Cash Converters International (ASX:CCV) is a consumer finance company operating as a service provider, owner and franchisor of second-hand goods and financial services stores in Australia and internationally.
  • CCV is currently executing a clearly stated growth strategy involving the reshaping of its personal finance business complemented by growing its corporately-owned store network through acquisition.
  • The recent FY25 result was a strong representation of a business that is successfully transitioning and a good leading indicator of the changing business mix which should ultimately result in a business that is geographically broadened yet operating a simplified lending business, with a lower risk profile and improved growth funding optionality.

Hanon Systems – A Rights Offering of 900 Billion Won

By Douglas Kim

  • Hanon Systems announced that it has finalized a rights offering capital increase of 900 billion won. This capital raise will involve 347.5 million common shares (51.2% of outstanding shares)
  • The expected rights offering price is 2,590 won per share, which is 18.4% lower than current price of 3,175 won. 
  • We remain Negative on Hanon Systems (018880 KS). There is a high probability that this rights offering deal will likely be a dilutive deal for the Hanon System shareholders.

AAM-Dowlais: Short-Dated Arb with Double-Digit Annualised Return

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Dowlais shareholders receive £0.43 cash plus 0.0881 AAM shares, valuing the stock near 82p. Current price 79.75p leaves a 2.9% spread, annualising to ~11–13% returns.
  • Both shareholder votes passed and AAM secured $3bn funding, reducing execution risk. Regulatory approvals across the US, EU, China, Brazil, and Mexico remain the final gating conditions to completion.
  • Downside if deal fails: shares could re-rate to pre-announcement 68–75p, ~5–15% downside. Market sees limited overlap, so main risk is delayed approvals pushing closing into early 2026.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: SJM Holdings
  • UST yields climbed 2-3 bps across the curve yesterday, rising for the fourth straight day after the Fed’s rate cut last week. The UST curve bear flattened slightly, with the yield on the 2Y UST rising 3 bps to 3.60%, while that on the 10Y UST increased 2 bps to 4.15%. Equities climbed for a third straight day.
  • The S&P 500 edged up 0.4% to a fresh record high (for the 28th time this year) of 6,694, while the Nasdaq was up 0.7% at 22,789.

GST Cut Lifts Outlook As Indian Tire Majors Navigate Weak Q1

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Tire makers see profit pressure despite revenue gains  
  • JK Tyre eyes double-digit growth, expands global footprint  
  •  CEAT eyes expanding Chennai plant at US$51 million spend  

Primer: Tata Consumer Products (TATACONS IN) – Sep 2025

By αSK

  • Transformation into a Diversified FMCG Major: Tata Consumer Products (TCPL) is aggressively diversifying beyond its core tea and salt businesses, moving into higher-growth categories like packaged foods (Tata Sampann), snacks (Tata Soulfull), and ready-to-drink beverages. Recent acquisitions of Capital Foods (Ching’s Secret, Smith & Jones) and Organic India significantly expand its total addressable market and enhance its presence in high-margin segments.
  • Strong Brand Equity and Distribution as Key Moats: The company leverages the immense trust associated with the ‘Tata’ brand, providing a significant competitive advantage. Its extensive distribution network, reaching millions of retail outlets, combined with a growing e-commerce presence, creates a formidable barrier to entry and a platform to scale new product launches and acquisitions effectively.
  • Focus on Premiumization and Innovation Driving Growth: TCPL is strategically focused on premiumizing its portfolio across categories, such as value-added salts and premium tea variants, to capture evolving consumer preferences and improve margins. A consistent pipeline of new product launches, particularly in health and wellness, caters to modern consumer trends and is a key driver of future growth.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Prosus NV (PRX SJ) – Sep 2025

By αSK

  • Prosus is a global internet group with a vast portfolio of online companies, but its market value is predominantly influenced by its substantial stake in Chinese tech giant Tencent.
  • The company trades at a significant and persistent discount to its net asset value (NAV), a key challenge management is addressing through an open-ended share buyback program funded by the gradual sale of its Tencent shares.
  • A strategic pivot is underway, shifting from a passive investment holding company to an active operator aiming to drive its core e-commerce segments (Food Delivery, Classifieds, Fintech, and Edtech) to sustained profitability and unlock value independent of Tencent.

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Primer: Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (MOTHERSO IN) – Sep 2025

By αSK

  • Global Automotive Component Leader with Diversified Operations: Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd. (SAMIL) is a leading global manufacturer of automotive components, with a well-diversified portfolio across products, geographies, and customers. The company is a key solutions provider to major automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) worldwide.
  • Strong Growth Trajectory and Ambitious Future Plans: The company has a proven track record of strong financial performance, characterized by consistent revenue and profit growth. SAMIL has laid out an ambitious ‘Vision 2030’ with a target of achieving $108 billion in revenue, driven by organic growth, strategic acquisitions, and diversification into non-automotive sectors.
  • Focus on Financial Prudence and Shareholder Returns: Despite its aggressive growth strategy, SAMIL maintains a focus on financial discipline, with a healthy leverage ratio and a commitment to improving its return on capital employed (ROCE). The company also has a stated policy of distributing a significant portion of its profits as dividends.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Industrials: Larsen & Toubro , Jain Resource Recycling, Koninklijke Bam Groep Nv and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Primer: Larsen & Toubro (LTOD LI) – Sep 2025
  • Jain Resource Recycling Pre-IPO – Robust Growth but Inorganic Moves Lack Full Value
  • What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 22 September (BAM Groep | Fugro)


Primer: Larsen & Toubro (LTOD LI) – Sep 2025

By αSK

  • Market Leader with Robust Order Book: Larsen & Toubro is a dominant player in India’s engineering and construction (E&C) sector with a record order book of ₹6.1 lakh crore as of June 2025, providing strong revenue visibility. A significant 46% of this order book is from international markets, particularly the Middle East, indicating successful geographical diversification.
  • Diversified Business Model Mitigates Risk: The company operates a well-diversified model across Infrastructure, Energy, Hi-Tech Manufacturing, IT & Technology Services (through LTIMindtree and L&T Technology Services), and Financial Services. This structure allows L&T to capture growth across various economic sectors and mitigate risks associated with the cyclicality of the E&C industry.
  • Strategic Focus on High-Growth Areas: L&T is strategically positioning itself for future growth by focusing on high-margin areas like green hydrogen, smart city technology, defense manufacturing, and digital services. The company’s new five-year plan emphasizes deepening its strengths in India and the Middle East while exploring these new, technology-driven opportunities.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Jain Resource Recycling Pre-IPO – Robust Growth but Inorganic Moves Lack Full Value

By Akshat Shah

  • Jain Resource Recycling (2300699D IN) is looking to raise about US$142m in its India IPO.
  • The company is primarily focused on manufacturing of non-ferrous metal products by recycling of non-ferrous metal scrap. It is also engaged in trading of non-ferrous metals and other commodities.
  • In this note, we take a quick look at the company’s past performance

What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 22 September (BAM Groep | Fugro)

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • BAM Group | Fehmarnbelt tunnel delayed 18 months • Fugro | withdraws financial guidance for 2025

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Zijin Gold, Gold, Altona Rare Earths, Crude Oil, Sayona Mining and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Zijin Gold IPO: The Good, The Bad and Valuations. For the Gold Bulls.
  • Zijin Gold IPO: Gold Price Sensitivity Analysis. A High Beta Proxy for Gold
  • Debating a New Up-Cycle
  • Altona Rare Earths
  • Oil Futures: Crude firmer as Europe steps up sanctions rhetoric
  • Zijin Gold International (紫金黄金国际) – Quality-Weighted Forward Valuation & Benchmarking
  • Elevra Lithium — A new chapter
  • Harnessing Calm Waters: A Volatility Strategy for Gold’s Quiet Ascent


Zijin Gold IPO: The Good, The Bad and Valuations. For the Gold Bulls.

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Zijin Gold (2259 HK) IPO offers investors with a bullish outlook on gold prices a timely entry into a pure play gold miner with a globally diversified asset base.
  • At HKD71.59/share, Zijin Gold IPO is set to raise US$3.2 billion with cornerstone investors already committing about half the deal (US$1.6 billion).
  • At current gold prices, IPO valuations leave a reasonable buffer; however, a pullback toward year-ago levels would pose significant downside.

Zijin Gold IPO: Gold Price Sensitivity Analysis. A High Beta Proxy for Gold

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Zijin Gold (2259 HK) ’s US$3.2 billion IPO closes tomorrow, Wednesday, September 29.
  • The pure-play gold miner, backed by Zijin Mining, is priced at an EV/Reserves multiple in the top quartile of global peers.
  • With high sensitivity to gold price movements, Zijin Gold offers amplified upside potential — and downside risk — versus bullion itself.

Debating a New Up-Cycle

By BMO Equity Research Metal Matters

  • Despite initial concerns about tariffs and policy uncertainty hurting global economy, many major metals have seen significant price gains this year
  • Tariffs have been implemented, but manufacturers have absorbed costs in margins rather than passing them on to consumers
  • Despite signs of economic strain in recent data, commodity prices remain strong due to US dollar weakness making commodities more affordable for importing countries

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Altona Rare Earths

By Optimo Capital

  • Altona Rare Earths is the successor to Altona Energy, which listed on AIM in 2005.
  • A new management team has wisely shifted the focus to critical minerals and decided to focus on the Monte Muambe Rare Earth Project, as it could quickly move into production.
  • Altona is being led by Africa-based CEO Cédric Simonet, who has an in-depth knowledge of the continent’s resources projects and is a trained geologist.

Oil Futures: Crude firmer as Europe steps up sanctions rhetoric

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures opened the week slightly firmer as traders continued to monitor disruptions to Russian flows amid ongoing attacks against infrastructure and sanctions threats.
  • Front-month Nov25 ICE Brent futures were trading at $67.22/b (0735 BST) versus Friday’s settle of $66.68/b, while Nov25 NYMEX WTI was at  $62.90/b against a previous close of $62.40/b.
  • The prospect of tighter measures against Moscow was seen increasing with European leaders pushing for a wider rollout, including secondary tariffs.

Zijin Gold International (紫金黄金国际) – Quality-Weighted Forward Valuation & Benchmarking

By Rahul Jain

  • Quality-Weighted upside: IPO priced at ~8× EV/EBITDA (~US$24bn EV) but forward valuation points to ~US$38.5bn EV (~HK$121/sh), implying ~70% upside at spot gold.
  • Portfolio strength: Over 55% of 2027E EBITDA is anchored in world-class assets (Ghana, Buriticá, Raygorodok), positioning Zijin ahead of peers that deliver flat growth.
  • Stronger case than Sep 19 preview: incorporates the reserves uplift (~35 Moz vs. ~27 Moz), clearer project ramps, confirmed cornerstone demand, and new angles via asset benchmarking and quality-weighted valuation.

Elevra Lithium — A new chapter

By Edison Investment Research

Created through a merger of equals between Sayona Mining and Piedmont Lithium, Elevra Lithium (ELV) provides unparalleled exposure to the North American hard rock lithium market. The largest regional pure play spodumene producer, Elevra has a strong pipeline of advanced development projects, offering flexible growth, and is well positioned to benefit from the growing localisation of the lithium supply chain in the US. Trading at a large discount to peers on sales multiples, we see the potential for a meaningful value uplift once the company achieves profitability.


Harnessing Calm Waters: A Volatility Strategy for Gold’s Quiet Ascent

By Jay Cameron

  • Gold’s current low-volatility phase, following its ascent to all-time highs, presents a strategic vol trading opportunity. This environment is characterized by steady gains and reduced expected downside.
  • Recent market trends, including investor and institutional support levels, suggest that strategies designed to profit from time decay could be beneficial, noting the stability of physical flows, contained intraday volatility.
  • While a short-term trading regime focused on range consolidation is indicated, potential risks from geopolitical shifts or unexpected central bank communications could quickly reprice gold’s volatility. 

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Daily Brief Industrials: Larsen & Toubro , Jain Resource Recycling, Koninklijke Bam Groep Nv and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Primer: Larsen & Toubro (LTOD LI) – Sep 2025
  • Jain Resource Recycling Pre-IPO – Robust Growth but Inorganic Moves Lack Full Value
  • What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 22 September (BAM Groep | Fugro)


Primer: Larsen & Toubro (LTOD LI) – Sep 2025

By αSK

  • Market Leader with Robust Order Book: Larsen & Toubro is a dominant player in India’s engineering and construction (E&C) sector with a record order book of ₹6.1 lakh crore as of June 2025, providing strong revenue visibility. A significant 46% of this order book is from international markets, particularly the Middle East, indicating successful geographical diversification.
  • Diversified Business Model Mitigates Risk: The company operates a well-diversified model across Infrastructure, Energy, Hi-Tech Manufacturing, IT & Technology Services (through LTIMindtree and L&T Technology Services), and Financial Services. This structure allows L&T to capture growth across various economic sectors and mitigate risks associated with the cyclicality of the E&C industry.
  • Strategic Focus on High-Growth Areas: L&T is strategically positioning itself for future growth by focusing on high-margin areas like green hydrogen, smart city technology, defense manufacturing, and digital services. The company’s new five-year plan emphasizes deepening its strengths in India and the Middle East while exploring these new, technology-driven opportunities.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Jain Resource Recycling Pre-IPO – Robust Growth but Inorganic Moves Lack Full Value

By Akshat Shah

  • Jain Resource Recycling (2300699D IN) is looking to raise about US$142m in its India IPO.
  • The company is primarily focused on manufacturing of non-ferrous metal products by recycling of non-ferrous metal scrap. It is also engaged in trading of non-ferrous metals and other commodities.
  • In this note, we take a quick look at the company’s past performance

What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 22 September (BAM Groep | Fugro)

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • BAM Group | Fehmarnbelt tunnel delayed 18 months • Fugro | withdraws financial guidance for 2025

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Daily Brief Consumer: Alibaba, Mixue Group, Pacific Industrial, Chery Automobile, The Pinkfong Company, Kraft Heinz Co, Hang Seng Index, Nameson Holdings, Air China Ltd (H), Wakefit Innovations and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 19 Sep 2025); BIG Single Stock Trading Again, Feels Slightly Toppish
  • Mixue (2097 HK): Time to Buy After Lemon Stockout
  • Pacific Industrial (7250 JP): Limited Upside as Effissimo Continues to Add
  • Berkshire Hathaway Dumps All Its Stake in BYD – Impact on the Chery Auto IPO
  • The Pinkfong Company IPO Preview
  • Kraft Heinz (Nasdaq: KHC) Spin-Off to Create Value; See Upside From Current Levels
  • HSI: Extended Run Faces Hurdles, Hedge Strategies Recommended
  • HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener Sept 2025: On Nameson (1982 HK), Building On The 13% Div Yield
  • Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Momentum Shifts From Airlines to TCOM | September 2025
  • Wakefit Innovations Pre-IPO: Steady Growth In Revenue Drivers, But Still Unprofitable


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 19 Sep 2025); BIG Single Stock Trading Again, Feels Slightly Toppish

By Travis Lundy

  • Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$22+bn a day this past 5-day week. Biggest week in a while. Net Flows not following gross flows. Feels toppish into GW.
  • The recommended name last week was Alibaba (9988 HK) was up 2.2% on the week but only +0.7% from Monday close to Friday. 
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there for all SK readers.

Mixue (2097 HK): Time to Buy After Lemon Stockout

By Ming Lu

  • The one-week lemon shortage did not impact the stock price.
  • The stock price has plunged for three months to HK$395 from the peak HK$618.
  • The revenue growth and the margin were healthy in 1H25.

Pacific Industrial (7250 JP): Limited Upside as Effissimo Continues to Add

By Arun George

  • Effissimo has steadily increased its Pacific Industrial (7250 JP) stake to 7.0 million shares or a 12.17% ownership ratio. The most recent purchases were at an average price of JPY2,616.08. 
  • Effissimo is taking contrasting approaches to low-ball MBOs. For Soft99 Corp (4464 JP), Effissimo has launched a hostile offer, while for Pacific, Effissimo has chosen to agitate for better terms.
  • The offer closes on 24 September. While a bump is the most likely scenario, the share price is 30% higher than the offer price, suggesting limited upside. Take profits. 

Berkshire Hathaway Dumps All Its Stake in BYD – Impact on the Chery Auto IPO

By Douglas Kim

  • Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway completely exited its stake in BYD (1211 HK).
  • We highlight four major reasons why Berkshire may have exited its entire position including valuations, tariffs, competition and lower profit margins, and greater risk prospects on economic stagnation in China. 
  • Berkshire selling all its stake in BYD is likely to have a slightly negative impact on the Chery Auto IPO. However, we maintain a Positive view of Chery Auto IPO. 

The Pinkfong Company IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • The Pinkfong company (creator of the Baby Shark brand) is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSDAQ in 4Q 2025. 
  • The company plans to issue 2 million shares in this listing. The IPO price range is from 32,000 won to 38,000 won per share.
  • At this price range, the expected expected market cap of the Pinkfong company ranges from 463 billion won (US$331 million) to 550 billion won ($393 million).

Kraft Heinz (Nasdaq: KHC) Spin-Off to Create Value; See Upside From Current Levels

By Garvit Bhandari

  • Kraft Heinz’s decision to split into Global Taste Elevation Co. and North American Grocery Co. is a strategic move intended to recalibrate the Company amid flattening growth.
  • We value Kraft Heinz on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) basis. Global Taste Elevation is valued at 10x 2025E adjusted EBITDA, while North America Grocery is valued at 7.8x 2025E adjusted EBITDA.
  • We expect the spin-off to unlock value for shareholders as Global Taste Elevation Co will get better multiple post separation.

HSI: Extended Run Faces Hurdles, Hedge Strategies Recommended

By John Ley

  • After a 33.9% rally off the April lows HSI is starting to flash caution across a variety of metrics.
  • Weak breadth and option exuberance at the single stock level are additional areas of concern.
  • We outline the technical backdrop and recommend hedge strategies given the current level of implied vols.

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener Sept 2025: On Nameson (1982 HK), Building On The 13% Div Yield

By Sameer Taneja


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Momentum Shifts From Airlines to TCOM | September 2025

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Weak travel growth getting weaker, now years out from steepest part of recovery
  • Most airlines & hotel chains have benefitted little from improved travel demand
  • In recent months, appears momentum shifting back to travel intermediaries 

Wakefit Innovations Pre-IPO: Steady Growth In Revenue Drivers, But Still Unprofitable

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Wakefit Innovations (1684049D IN) is looking to raise US$231m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Wakefit Innovations is a direct‑to‑consumer sleep and home‑solutions company, founded in 2016. It mainly sells mattresses, furniture and furnishings.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Shandong Weigao Blood Purification Products, TYK Medicines, Butong Group, Alteogen Inc, SBC Medical Group Holdings , Achieve Life Sciences , Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Dec25: Some Changes to Expected ADDs/DELs; US$362mn One-Way
  • HK CEO/Director Dealings (22 Sep 2025): TYK Medicine, Chanjet’s Full Circulation, Bonjour, Shunten
  • Butong Group IPO Trading: Significant Retail Demand Despite Steep Premium
  • Alteogen (196170 KS): Significant Commercial Success of ALT-B4 Is On Card
  • SBC: Positive Takeaways From Recent Meeting With Management
  • ACHV: Preparations Continue as PDUFA Date Assigned
  • TNXP: Tonmya Approved by FDA


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Dec25: Some Changes to Expected ADDs/DELs; US$362mn One-Way

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI Medical Service represents the top 50 largest and most-liquid stocks involved in medical devices, medical care, medical informatization, and other medical theme from the Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing Exchanges.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
  • We expect up to six ADDs and six DELs for the CSI Medical Service index during this index review event based on the latest available data.

HK CEO/Director Dealings (22 Sep 2025): TYK Medicine, Chanjet’s Full Circulation, Bonjour, Shunten

By David Blennerhassett

  • The data in this insight is collated from the “shareholding disclosure” link on the HKEx website.
  • Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase – or decrease – in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.
  • These insights also flag those companies where shares have been pledged, both recently and ongoing.

Butong Group IPO Trading: Significant Retail Demand Despite Steep Premium

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Butong Group (BUTONG HK) raised around US$100m in its Hong Kong IPO.
  • Butong focuses on the mid to high-end segment of China’s nursery product market.
  • We have looked at the company’s background and pricing in our earlier note, in this note we talk about the trading dynamics.

Alteogen (196170 KS): Significant Commercial Success of ALT-B4 Is On Card

By Tina Banerjee

  • FDA has cleared Merck’s Keytruda subcutaneous injection, which has been developed using Alteogen Inc (196170 KS)’s human hyaluronidase ALT-B4. EMA’s CHMP also recommended approval of subcutaneous Keytruda.
  • Merck expects 30–40% of Keytruda IV sales to be converted to SC by 2028. Accordingly, Alteogen is expected to secure over KRW1T in annual royalties in the long term.
  • Keytruda SC launch in the U.S. and EU, additional deals for ALT-B4, and Enhertu SC Phase 1 trial update are the key upcoming catalysts for Alteogen.

SBC: Positive Takeaways From Recent Meeting With Management

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • News agency Kyodo News notes that “a rising number of wealthy Chinese tourists visit Japan primarily for medical services,” and the company’s CEO notes that “the Japanese medical sector has two viable paths for growth: we must either attract more international patients or bring Japanese medical expertise abroad,” & SBC is pursuing both strategies, using a disciplined financial approach.
  • SBC recently appointed Dr. Ewen Chee, founder of AHH, President of AHH and Lead Doctor for Asia Strategy to support its global strategy.

ACHV: Preparations Continue as PDUFA Date Assigned

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Achieve Life Sciences is developing cytisinicline for use as a smoking cessation treatment in the United States and rest of world.
  • Pivotal studies have been completed with safety & efficacy results exceeding expectations.
  • Achieve is now awaiting its target action date of June 20th 2026 and preparing for commercialization.

TNXP: Tonmya Approved by FDA

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • On August 15, 2025, Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp. (TNXP) announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved Tonmya (cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablet) for the treatment of fibromyalgia.
  • Tonmya is the first FDA approved therapy for fibromyalgia in over 15 years.
  • The approval was based in part on data from two double blind, placebo controlled Phase 3 trials of nearly 1,000 patients in total that showed Tonmya significantly reduced daily pain scores compared to placebo at 14 weeks, the primary endpoint.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Wafer Works Shanghai, Changhong Jiahua Holdings, Infosys Ltd, MetaOptics, Softbank Group, Intel Corp, AvePoint, DUG Technology Ltd, Windar Photonics PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI All Share Semiconductors Dec25: Some Names Are Close to the Border
  • Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK): Changhong Group’s Preconditional Scheme at HK$1.223
  • H-1B Fee Fallout: An Employee’s Perspective and Implications for Indian IT
  • Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK): Sichuan Changhong’s Pre-Con Scheme
  • Primer: MetaOptics (METAO SP) – Sep 2025
  • Softbank Group (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook: Momentum Strong but Stretched, Higher Targets Speculative
  • EP 135: INTEL AND NVIDIA!! Meta Connect and Ray Ban Display, Watch Huawei/China
  • Primer: AvePoint (AVP SP) – Sep 2025
  • DUG Technology — Expansion of Petronas contract
  • Windar Photonics PLC – Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 15/09/2025


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI All Share Semiconductors Dec25: Some Names Are Close to the Border

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI All Share Semiconductors Index represents the largest and most-liquid stocks in the Semiconductor Industry Group from the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing Exchanges.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
  • We expect up to five ADDs and one DEL for the CSI All Share Semiconductors index during this index review event based on the latest available data.

Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK): Changhong Group’s Preconditional Scheme at HK$1.223

By Arun George

  • Changhong Jiahua Holdings (3991 HK) announced a preconditional privatisation offer from Changhong Group, the controlling shareholder, at HK$1.223, a 32.9% premium to the last close price.
  • Key conditions include approval by at least 75% independent shareholders (<10% of independent shareholders’ rejection) and the headcount test. The offer is final.
  • Two shareholders hold blocking stakes – one has provided an irrevocable, and the other is SOE-linked. The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges. Timing is the key risk.     

H-1B Fee Fallout: An Employee’s Perspective and Implications for Indian IT

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • The Trump administration’s announcement of U.S. $100,000 fee for new H-1B petitions  triggered anxiety, travel confusion, and immediate negative market reaction for Indian IT names.
  • Tech workers in the US report heightened hostility, reluctance to travel, and SMB clients unable to absorb fees risk reduced sponsorship, higher attrition, and retention challenges.
  • While there may be limited short-term P&L impact, but structural threats — including the HIRE Act — could reshape delivery models, near-shoring, and pricing over 6–18 months.

Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK): Sichuan Changhong’s Pre-Con Scheme

By David Blennerhassett

  • After Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK) (CJ) was suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code, I expected SOE-backed Sichuan Changhong (600839 CH) (60.13%) to make an Offer. And that is what unfolded. 
  • Sichuan Changhong plus provincial bodies, have made a pre-conditional Offer by  way of a Scheme, at HK$1.223/share, a 32.93% premium to last close. The Offer Price is final.
  • Pre-Cons include the local SASAC &  Reform Commission Commerce, plus SAFE.  The risk to the deal will be one of timing. The Offer Price is fair.

Primer: MetaOptics (METAO SP) – Sep 2025

By αSK

  • MetaOptics is a vertically integrated, early-stage company specializing in metalens technology, a revolutionary approach to optics with the potential to disrupt various industries by replacing traditional bulky lenses with ultra-thin, lightweight, and efficient alternatives.
  • The company recently debuted on the Singapore Exchange (SGX) Catalist board, making it the first pure-play metalens company to go public. The IPO proceeds are intended to fund research and development, business expansion, and strategic partnerships.
  • While MetaOptics holds a strong global market position, ranking 5th by revenue among metalens companies, it faces significant risks, including a history of losses, reliance on a limited number of suppliers, and the nascent stage of mass production for its metalens prototypes.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Softbank Group (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook: Momentum Strong but Stretched, Higher Targets Speculative

By Nico Rosti

  • Softbank Group (9984 JP) performed a strong 1-week rally 2 weeks ago, then went marginally higher. The stock is OVERBOUGHT according to our models, but the pattern is bullish. 
  • We see two possible scenarios: a) the stock stalls and pulls back this week or b) it keeps rallying towards 20850.
  • The current pattern had rallies lasting up to 5 weeks in the past, so Softbank Group (9984 JP) could rally 2 more weeks, and get closer to 20850.

EP 135: INTEL AND NVIDIA!! Meta Connect and Ray Ban Display, Watch Huawei/China

By The Circuit

  • Nvidia and Intel have announced a $5 billion deal to collaborate on designing CPU GPU systems for data centers and chiplets for PCs.
  • Jensen Huang surprisingly praised Intel during a press conference, marking a significant shift in Nvidia’s history of enmity towards Intel.
  • The collaboration aims to address the scalability limitations of current systems by offering x86 head nodes with NVLink for data centers, filling a market gap for both companies.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Primer: AvePoint (AVP SP) – Sep 2025

By αSK

  • AvePoint is a dominant software provider for data management within the Microsoft ecosystem, capitalizing on the global shift to cloud-based collaboration and increasingly stringent data governance requirements.
  • The company has demonstrated a strong growth trajectory, marked by consistent double-digit revenue growth and a significant shift towards a recurring SaaS model, which now constitutes the majority of its revenue.
  • After a history of net losses, AvePoint has recently achieved quarterly profitability and is generating robust operating and free cash flow, signaling a pivotal inflection point in its financial performance.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


DUG Technology — Expansion of Petronas contract

By Edison Investment Research

DUG Technology has received the first purchase order associated with the contract award from Petronas earlier this month, for the first year of the three-year contract. The total net value of the contract is now expected to be $12m higher than originally disclosed, at c $30m. We have updated our forecasts to reflect the higher value, with FY26 EPS upgraded by 3.3% and FY27 by 6.0%.


Windar Photonics PLC – Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 15/09/2025

By Hybridan

  • 15th September 2025 @HybridanLLP * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP.
  • ** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) or similar announcement has been made.
  • ***Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement.

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Daily Brief Financials: Japan Post Bank, China Merchants Bank H, Neptune Insurance Holdings, Westpac Banking, Lendbuzz, USD, China Jinmao Holdings, Banco De Sabadell SA and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • The BOJ Announces the Start of ETF/JREIT Selldowns – Basically a Nothing-Burger
  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 19 Sep 2025):  AH Premia Contract More, Spreads Still Volatile
  • Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (NP): Specialty Risk Insurer Sets Terms, Seeking $2.8b Valuation
  • Statistical Arbitrage in Focus as Westpac (WBC AU) Runs Ahead of Peers
  • Lendbuzz Inc. (LBZZ): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of an AI-Powered Lender
  • Global Rates: Digging into a week of DM central bank decisions
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • BBVA-Sabadell: All-Stock, All-In — But Not a Done Deal


The BOJ Announces the Start of ETF/JREIT Selldowns – Basically a Nothing-Burger

By Travis Lundy

  • In Friday’s Monetary Policy Statement, the BOJ announced it would start selling down its holdings in ETFs and J-REITs at the pace of ¥620bn and ¥5.5bn/year, respectively. BIG NEWS!
  • That is US$17mm of ETFs and US$150k of J-REITs per day. The BOJ suggests it is 0.05% of volume per day. That’s close. SMALL EFFECT. 
  • Given ¥15trln of buybacks and ¥5trln+ of dividend reinvestment + NISA account buys, plus ¥trlns of cross-holding selldowns/year, this is a total nothingburger, even if they up the pace.

A/H Premium Tracker (To 19 Sep 2025):  AH Premia Contract More, Spreads Still Volatile

By Travis Lundy

  • “Beautiful Skew” nowhere this past week. The meat of the wider parts of the AH premia curve saw Hs underperform even as liquid Hs outperformed As average by 0.6%.
  • Last week’s long reco on CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) saw the H-share underperform its A by 6.56%. It was a bad week. 
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there for all SK readers.

Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (NP): Specialty Risk Insurer Sets Terms, Seeking $2.8b Valuation

By IPO Boutique

  • Neptune Holdings will offer 18.4 million shares at $18-$20 and is scheduled to debut on October 1st. 
  • It should be noted that the entirety of this offering is secondary and Neptune will not receive any proceeds from the sale of Class A common stock.
  • The cornerstone investors, T. Rowe Price Investment Management and AllianceBernstein L.P. have indicated for up to $75 million in this offering. 

Statistical Arbitrage in Focus as Westpac (WBC AU) Runs Ahead of Peers

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The Westpac Banking (WBC AU) vs. VanEck Australian Banks (MVB AU) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average.
  • Highlights: The dislocation highlights the recent outperformance of Westpac vs. some of its peers, pointing to a potential underweight in a portfolio context.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

Lendbuzz Inc. (LBZZ): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of an AI-Powered Lender

By IPO Boutique

  • Lendbuzz filed for an IPO on September 12th for a potential October debut. 
  • They serve consumers with thin and no credit files, or credit invisibles, and those traditionally called near prime (consumers with VantageScores® of 601-719).
  • They had total revenue of $101.3 million, $175.4 million, and $281.5 million and net income of $15.0 million, $11.2 million, and $24.3 million in 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively.

Global Rates: Digging into a week of DM central bank decisions

By At Any Rate

  • The Federal Reserve is expected to ease interest rates by 50 basis points this year, aligning with a forecast of 100 basis points of easing by next January.
  • The Fed prioritizing its labor market mandate over its inflation target may lead to better growth and higher inflation outcomes next year.
  • The yield curve has been volatile but is currently fairly valued, with potential for steepening due to asymmetrically dovish reaction function and Fed independence considerations.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Jinmao, ReNew Energy
  • UST yields climbed 1-2 bps across the curve on Friday, albeit there were no new macro developments. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 1 bp to 3.57%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 2 bps at 4.13%. Equities continued to rally and notched fresh records, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq up 0.5% and 0.7% at 6,664 and 22,631, respectively.
  • US President Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social on Friday that he had a “very productive call” with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, including Beijing’s approval of a deal on TikTok. Mr Trump added that he would meet Mr Xi at the APEC summit in South Korea (to be held from October 31st to November 1st), and would visit China in early 2026.

BBVA-Sabadell: All-Stock, All-In — But Not a Done Deal

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • BBVA’s revised all-share offer removes the discount but offers minimal premium, testing institutional appetite amid weak synergies and a fixed acceptance window ending 7 October.
  • The absence of cash and refusal to raise terms again leave limited upside optionality, making the risk/reward still favorable for a tactical long SAB / short BBVA trade.
  • Key focus now shifts to institutional sentiment, final acceptance levels, and governance risks, as tax neutrality alone may not be enough to ensure majority support.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Nvidia–OpenAI US$100bn Partnership: Asia Hardware Supply Chain Implications and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Nvidia–OpenAI US$100bn Partnership: Asia Hardware Supply Chain Implications
  • Thematic Report on H-1B Visa Impact: Can Brain Drain in US Become Brain Gain for India?
  • Japan Activist Briefs | Calbee, Eiken, Pacific Industrial, AI Holdings
  • Asia’s “Boring Tech” Rerating: Memory, Components & AI Infrastructure
  • Ohayo Japan | Nvidia Invests $100B in Open AI
  • Briefing. Nvidia Invests in Intel, Factset at 4 Year Lows, Fed Cuts Rates, Meta Neural Band
  • Monday Delight: 22/09/25
  • Japanese Turnarounds Chock up a Massive Year, but What’s Next?
  • Singapore Market Roundup (22-Sep-2025): JP Morgan sees STI hitting 6,000 points in 12 months.
  • Majors Panic Amid Market Madness (Koala)


Nvidia–OpenAI US$100bn Partnership: Asia Hardware Supply Chain Implications

By Rahul Jain

  • Nvidia–OpenAI tie-up: A US$100bn LOI to deploy 10 GW of GPUs by 2026 highlights the unprecedented scale of AI compute build-out, anchored in Asia’s memory, packaging, substrate, and testing ecosystem.
  • SK hynix (HBM leader, backlog sold out to 2027), TSMC (CoWoS packaging), Ibiden/Ajinomoto (substrates), and Advantest/TEL/Disco (test/tools) are positioned as key winners.
  • While the deal confirms multi-year order visibility, much of the “good news” may be priced in — execution of capacity ramps and sustained demand will determine further upside.

Thematic Report on H-1B Visa Impact: Can Brain Drain in US Become Brain Gain for India?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • A U.S. executive order, “Project Firewall” has imposed a substantial one-time fee of USD100,000 on new H-1B visa applications, directly impacting the primary talent pipeline for Indian IT services firms.
  • This policy change represents a catalyst that will accelerate Indian IT companies towards higher offshore delivery and greater local hiring in the United States, thereby reshaping their global operating models.
  • The initial panic has eased, the fee is now seen as manageable, with its real impact unfolding through profitability pressures and evolving talent strategies amid tighter regulations.

Japan Activist Briefs | Calbee, Eiken, Pacific Industrial, AI Holdings

By Mark Chadwick

  • Calbee: Profitability pressured by rising input costs, but valuation is attractive at 11x EBIT vs sector 14x, leaving it exposed to potential M&A interest.
  • Eiken: Strategic shareholders near 30% with governance changes underway; growth steady, but trajectory points toward a likely management buyout.
  • Pacific Industrial & AI Holdings: Pacific reflects Japan’s activist-driven MBO scrutiny, while AI stands out as a rare compounding “buy and build” platform with activist backing.

Asia’s “Boring Tech” Rerating: Memory, Components & AI Infrastructure

By Rahul Jain

  • Asia mirrors the U.S. “boring tech” rally: storage, memory, and components once seen as cyclical are being re-rated as AI infrastructure enablers.
  • Valuation gaps present opportunities: Kioxia and SK Hynix trade at meaningful discounts vs Seagate/WDC/Micron, while Murata and TSMC command premiums; Chinese names appear expensive.
  • Key risks remain: cyclicality in DRAM/NAND, potential subsidy overbuild, and currency volatility could pressure valuations if AI demand slows.

Ohayo Japan | Nvidia Invests $100B in Open AI

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. equities closed at record highs Monday, with the S&P 500 up 0.44% and the Nasdaq rising 0.70%
  • Nvidia surged 3.9% after announcing a $100 billion investment in OpenAI to expand data centers,
  • Mitsui & Co. announced that Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway increased its stake above 10%

Briefing. Nvidia Invests in Intel, Factset at 4 Year Lows, Fed Cuts Rates, Meta Neural Band

By The Synopsis

  • The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4 to 4.25%, citing a shift in risk and uncertainty in the economy.
  • Tensions within the Fed committee highlight divisions on future rate cuts, with projections ranging from 2.9% to 4.4% by year end.
  • Stagflation concerns have emerged as inflation rises, complicating the Fed’s ability to support the job market with aggressive rate cuts.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Monday Delight: 22/09/25

By Contrarian Cashflows

  • Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.
  • Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.
  • If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!

Japanese Turnarounds Chock up a Massive Year, but What’s Next?

By Michael Allen

  • The turnaround basket outperformed the Topix benchmark by 40% in the past 12 months, with only three stocks underperforming.
  • Fundamental research added value to the simple one-factor model, as seen with top performers like Shift and Rohm.
  • The unusual market conditions last year favored turnarounds, but future performance is expected to return to normal levels.

Singapore Market Roundup (22-Sep-2025): JP Morgan sees STI hitting 6,000 points in 12 months.

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • JP Morgan predicts STI may reach 6,000 points in a 12-month optimistic scenario.
  • UOBKH views OKP Holdings as a bargain in Singapore’s infrastructure upcycle.
  • Bumitama’s valuations are now reasonable after a share price adjustment.

Majors Panic Amid Market Madness (Koala)

By Money of Mine

  • Market sentiment at the Beaver Creek Precious Metals Summit is positive, with attendees not complaining about high costs and feeling optimistic about the sector
  • There is a sense of euphoria among investors, but also a realistic view of project outcomes with only a few expected to be highly profitable
  • IM Gold is seen as an attractive acquisition target, with speculation about a potential takeover in the near future, possibly within the next 12 months

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


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