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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief India: Powerlong Real Estate Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Weekly Wrap – 23 Jun 2023


Weekly Wrap – 23 Jun 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. China Jinmao Holdings
  2. Lifestyle International Holdings
  3. Geely Auto
  4. First Pacific Co
  5. Tata Motors Ltd

and more…


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Daily Brief Japan: Asahi Broadcasting, Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation (9405 JP) – 4Q Follow-Up
  • Awareness of ROE Has Increased, but Now at the Stage of Implementing Short-Term Measures


Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation (9405 JP) – 4Q Follow-Up

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Over the last 5 years, share prices of major terrestrial TV broadcasters have substantially underperformed TOPIX, in large part due to the unprecedented, challenging environment as annual data by Dentsu showed total internet advertising expenditures exceeded total television media advertising expenditures in 2019 for the first time ever, and the annual MIC survey on average time spent using main media showed internet usage time exceeded TV real-time viewing in 2020.
  • However, this underperformance trend has begun to change in 2023, as the stock market begins to discount the potential to commercialize the IP value of broadcaster content libraries.
  • In February, USEN-NEXT HOLDINGS announced plans to acquire Premium PlatformJapan, Inc. (PPJ), the operator of “Paravi” subscription video distribution service.

Awareness of ROE Has Increased, but Now at the Stage of Implementing Short-Term Measures

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Since a few companies include ROE and ROIC as KPIs in their mid-term management plans and present compelling measures, now is the time to promote shareholder returns in short-term measures.
  • Companies that expect stock price to rise should ensure that they make progress on the issues that overseas investors are focused on (improving profitability, corporate governance, capital allocation and disclosures).
  • Companies with foreign ownership in 30% range are expected to work on issues of interest to overseas investors, while companies with low foreign ownership take indifferent response to shareholder proposals.

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Daily Brief China: Industrial Bank Co Ltd A, Powerlong Real Estate Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • China Banks Screen; Focus on the Credit Quality Risks
  • Weekly Wrap – 23 Jun 2023


China Banks Screen; Focus on the Credit Quality Risks

By Victor Galliano

  • In this China banks screener; we focus on the potential for increased credit quality headwinds going forward, given the weak GDP growth outlook
  • China bank shares have been poor performers and still we see selective buy opportunities, with better credit quality metrics
  • We favour Industrial Bank and CCB both of which have attractive valuations; Minsheng, on the other hand, remains exposed to a worsening of the credit quality cycle

Weekly Wrap – 23 Jun 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. China Jinmao Holdings
  2. Lifestyle International Holdings
  3. Geely Auto
  4. First Pacific Co
  5. Tata Motors Ltd

and more…


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  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Energy/Materials: SK Innovation and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • SK Innovation: Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won at a 21% Discount to Current Price


SK Innovation: Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won at a 21% Discount to Current Price

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 23 June, SK Innovation (096770 KS) announced that the company will conduct a rights offering worth 1.2 trillion won. 
  • We have a positive view on SK Innovation’s rights offering of 1.2 trillion won. The expected rights offering price is 143,800 won which is 21% discount to current price. 
  • Although we have a positive view of SK Innovation over the next 12 months, its share price could face some weakness in the near term due to this capital increase. 

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Most Read: ZOZO Inc, Mercari Inc, SK Biopharmaceuticals Co Ltd, Celltrion Inc, SK Square, PCCW Ltd, Alibaba (ADR), Almac and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2023): Ranking, Capping, Funding & Other Changes
  • Nikkei 225 Sep 2023 Review – The Mercari Conundrum
  • KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Interesting Changes Emerging
  • Celltrion Merger Announcement in July: Trading Angles Utilizing Appraisal Rights Exercise Dynamics
  • SK Square’s Special Dividend Momentum Trading: Entry Timing at Month End.
  • Vivendi Acquires A Stake In PCCW’s Viu
  • Alibaba’s Cloud Intelligence Group Spin-Off: The First Look
  • SK Square: Share Cancellation and More Share Buyback Likely from Sale of SK Shieldus in 2H 2023
  • Almac IPO: Change in IPO Regulation & Trading Strategy in First Day of Trading
  • EM Growth Funds Raise Out-Of-Benchmark Exposure to Japan


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2023): Ranking, Capping, Funding & Other Changes

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) September rebalance ends end July. We take another stab at identifying potential inclusions and exclusions.
  • There will be a big impact on the potential index changes. Fast Retailing (9983 JP)‘s index weight could be capped and there will be a big funding trade. 
  • There are many things to watch out for that could affect the impact on the inclusions, including stock splits among potential adds and stepwise inclusion of stocks in the index.

Nikkei 225 Sep 2023 Review – The Mercari Conundrum

By Travis Lundy

  • Mercari Inc (4385 JP) is potentially a leading candidate for inclusion in the Nikkei 225 in September. 
  • There are other technical reasons to think it is not. 
  • This insight looks at the issue of why it might be a leading candidate and why it might not be. 

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Interesting Changes Emerging

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.
  • There is one change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet and Game indices. Plus there are a couple of changes for the BBIG indices.
  • SK Biopharmaceuticals Co Ltd (326030 KS) has overtaken SK Bioscience (302440 KS) on average market cap and there will be large flows on both stocks at the rebalance.

Celltrion Merger Announcement in July: Trading Angles Utilizing Appraisal Rights Exercise Dynamics

By Sanghyun Park

  • According to Invest Chosun, Celltrion plans to submit a merger registration statement to the KRX in July, with Mirae Asset Securities acting as the lead underwriter.
  • Given that the approximate timing of the merger registration statement submission has already been exposed to the market, we can track the difference between the spot and exercise prices.
  • Celltrion Inc will likely attempt to minimize the appraisal rights price. We can consider capitalizing on this possibility by shorting Celltrion Inc while going long on the other two companies.

SK Square’s Special Dividend Momentum Trading: Entry Timing at Month End.

By Sanghyun Park

  • The market’s attention has shifted to the second part, which is the additional utilization of a portion of the harvest result for shareholder returns.
  • There is a significant possibility that the timing to allocate the ₩200B for shareholder returns will be advanced to late July or early August.
  • We should set up a position aiming for the potential for a special dividend, which may lead to momentum trading flow just before the quarterly ex-div date later this month.

Vivendi Acquires A Stake In PCCW’s Viu

By David Blennerhassett

  • PCCW Ltd (8 HK) is selling an initial 26.1% equity stake in its streaming platform Viu, to Vivendi SA (VIV FP)‘s Canal+, for US$200mn.
  • Via a staggered investment, Canal+ can increase its equity to US$300mn. In addition, a further investment, at Canal+’s option, could result in increasing its stake in Viu to 51%.  
  • Elsewhere, PCCW’s 18% discount to NAV is the narrowest in over two years.

Alibaba’s Cloud Intelligence Group Spin-Off: The First Look

By Arun George

  • Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) aims to complete a spin-off of the Cloud Intelligence Group via a stock dividend distribution, with it becoming publicly listed in the next 12 months.  
  • The Cloud business is pursuing a land-grab strategy to reignite growth. While it is the only profitable Chinese cloud platform, the profitability gap to Amazon AWS highlights the opportunity. 
  • The aim to bring in external strategic investors before the spin-off will provide a valuation benchmark. Our analysis points to a Cloud business valuation range of US$45-58 billion. 

SK Square: Share Cancellation and More Share Buyback Likely from Sale of SK Shieldus in 2H 2023

By Douglas Kim

  • SK Square announced that it will cancel treasury shares worth 2.5 million shares on 4 October 2023, which represents 1.8% of its current outstanding shares.
  • Our NAV analysis of SK Square suggests NAV of 9.4 trillion won or NAV per share of 66,421 won, representing a 45% upside from current levels.
  • SK Square’s positive shareholder return policies including higher share buybacks, cancellations, and dividends are result in further outperformance of SK Square relative to KOSPI this year. 

Almac IPO: Change in IPO Regulation & Trading Strategy in First Day of Trading

By Douglas Kim

  • Almac IPO is likely to benefit from the change in IPO regulations in Korea, which could result in a spike in its share price in the first day of trading.
  • Starting next week, the Korean IPO rules are changed so that the price limit on the newly listed companies will be expanded to 60-400% of the IPO price.
  • We believe Almac’s shares could OVERSHOOT by more than 200-250% versus the IPO price on the first day of trading, which would be 150,000 won to 175,000 won per share.

EM Growth Funds Raise Out-Of-Benchmark Exposure to Japan

By Steven Holden

  • Active Emerging Market funds in the Aggressive Growth style group raise out-of-benchmark exposure in Japanese stocks to record levels.
  • Nearly a fifth of funds are now invested, with Unicharm Corp (8113 JP) and Hoya Corp (7741 JP) the key stock holdings.
  • Japan is the 9th largest country overweight among Aggressive Growth EM funds, underscoring the commitment of active managers in identifying Emerging Market opportunities beyond conventional indices.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Asahi Broadcasting, Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix, Wynn Macau Ltd and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation (9405 JP) – 4Q Follow-Up
  • Awareness of ROE Has Increased, but Now at the Stage of Implementing Short-Term Measures
  • Wynn Macau – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics


Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation (9405 JP) – 4Q Follow-Up

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Over the last 5 years, share prices of major terrestrial TV broadcasters have substantially underperformed TOPIX, in large part due to the unprecedented, challenging environment as annual data by Dentsu showed total internet advertising expenditures exceeded total television media advertising expenditures in 2019 for the first time ever, and the annual MIC survey on average time spent using main media showed internet usage time exceeded TV real-time viewing in 2020.
  • However, this underperformance trend has begun to change in 2023, as the stock market begins to discount the potential to commercialize the IP value of broadcaster content libraries.
  • In February, USEN-NEXT HOLDINGS announced plans to acquire Premium PlatformJapan, Inc. (PPJ), the operator of “Paravi” subscription video distribution service.

Awareness of ROE Has Increased, but Now at the Stage of Implementing Short-Term Measures

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Since a few companies include ROE and ROIC as KPIs in their mid-term management plans and present compelling measures, now is the time to promote shareholder returns in short-term measures.
  • Companies that expect stock price to rise should ensure that they make progress on the issues that overseas investors are focused on (improving profitability, corporate governance, capital allocation and disclosures).
  • Companies with foreign ownership in 30% range are expected to work on issues of interest to overseas investors, while companies with low foreign ownership take indifferent response to shareholder proposals.

Wynn Macau – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Wynn Macau’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with its Environmental, Social and Governance scores. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Adequate”.


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  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Software AG, Ambarella Inc, Amkor Technology, Cirrus Logic and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Silver Lake/Software AG: Bain Clears the Way
  • Ambarella Inc.: A New AI Powerhouse? – Key Drivers
  • Amkor Technology: 4 Key Factors That Will Help Offset The Revenue Decline – Financial Forecasts
  • Cirrus Logic Inc.: The Role Of Innovation & Other Factors In The Company’s Success – Key Drivers


Silver Lake/Software AG: Bain Clears the Way

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Silver Lake announced it waived the minimum acceptance threshold of 50% + 1 share in  its offer for Software AG (SOW GR) . The acceptance period has been extended until 28 June.
  • Bain Capital abandons the pursuit and will sell its 10.01% stake to Silver Lake, which will now controls 41%, plus another 10% from a convertible bond.
  • Silver Lake is now pressing the minority shareholders to tender. Spread is 1.44%/15.13% (gross/annualised), assuming settlement on 31 July. I believe that Silver Lake will be successful. Long and tender.

Ambarella Inc.: A New AI Powerhouse? – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Ambarella managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings.
  • However, despite these headwinds, the company’s Q1 results exceeded expectations.
  • The introduction of the CV3 platform marks a new phase in the development of the AI market for Ambarella.

Amkor Technology: 4 Key Factors That Will Help Offset The Revenue Decline – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Amkor Technology delivered a disappointing set of results as the company was unable to meet the revenue expectations as well as earnings expectations of Wall Street.
  • Despite the decline in revenue, the company’s diversified end-market exposure provided stability and resilience.
  • Amkor’s technology leadership in advanced packaging allowed them to win new programs in the communications market, offsetting the softening of the consumer and computing markets.

Cirrus Logic Inc.: The Role Of Innovation & Other Factors In The Company’s Success – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cirrus Logic managed to surpass the revenue expectations as well as the earnings expectations of Wall Street.
  • The company achieved a significant revenue of $1.9 billion.
  • We give Cirrus Logic a ‘Hold’ rating with a revised target price.

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  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Financials: JMT Network Services, Industrial Bank Co Ltd A, Powerlong Real Estate Holdings, Yanlord Land and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • JMT Network Services – SET Elimination, ROA Halving, Worsening Credit Metrics
  • China Banks Screen; Focus on the Credit Quality Risks
  • Weekly Wrap – 23 Jun 2023
  • Yanlord Land – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics


JMT Network Services – SET Elimination, ROA Halving, Worsening Credit Metrics

By Daniel Tabbush

  • JMT Network services does debt collection for banks in Thailand
  • Earnings are good but not relative to its asset growth with worsening provisions
  • Its ROA appears to be in structural decline, with worsening credit metrics in 1Q23

China Banks Screen; Focus on the Credit Quality Risks

By Victor Galliano

  • In this China banks screener; we focus on the potential for increased credit quality headwinds going forward, given the weak GDP growth outlook
  • China bank shares have been poor performers and still we see selective buy opportunities, with better credit quality metrics
  • We favour Industrial Bank and CCB both of which have attractive valuations; Minsheng, on the other hand, remains exposed to a worsening of the credit quality cycle

Weekly Wrap – 23 Jun 2023

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.

In this Insight:

  1. China Jinmao Holdings
  2. Lifestyle International Holdings
  3. Geely Auto
  4. First Pacific Co
  5. Tata Motors Ltd

and more…


Yanlord Land – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Yanlord Land’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with its Environmental, Social and Governance scores. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Strong”.


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  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Health Care: Celltrion Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Celltrion Merger Announcement in July: Trading Angles Utilizing Appraisal Rights Exercise Dynamics


Celltrion Merger Announcement in July: Trading Angles Utilizing Appraisal Rights Exercise Dynamics

By Sanghyun Park

  • According to Invest Chosun, Celltrion plans to submit a merger registration statement to the KRX in July, with Mirae Asset Securities acting as the lead underwriter.
  • Given that the approximate timing of the merger registration statement submission has already been exposed to the market, we can track the difference between the spot and exercise prices.
  • Celltrion Inc will likely attempt to minimize the appraisal rights price. We can consider capitalizing on this possibility by shorting Celltrion Inc while going long on the other two companies.

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Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 23rd): Tencent’s HKD1.6bn Buybacks and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 23rd): Tencent’s HKD1.6bn Buybacks


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jun 23rd): Tencent’s HKD1.6bn Buybacks

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jun 23rd based on HKEx daily reports.
  • In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).
  • In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).

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