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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Hong Kong Ratifies Stablecoin Legislation and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong Ratifies Stablecoin Legislation
  • Japan Morning Connection: Apple Suppliers Continue Higher but SMCI and AMD Disappoint After-Hours
  • NSDL Vs. CDSL: Who Can Drive More Growth Ahead in This Duopoly?


Hong Kong Ratifies Stablecoin Legislation

By David Blennerhassett

  • Hong Kong’s Stablecoins Ordinance issued by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority on the 1st August 2025, is the world’s first dedicated legislation targeting stablecoins. 
  • Stablecoins, like Tether (USDT CURNCY), are considered a less volatile type of cryptocurrency as they are pegged to fiat currencies (like the US$/euro), short-term treasuries, and commodities (such as gold).
  • Proponents of stablecoins, backed by real currency, just need to espouse how they can be a surrogate/improvement on just using … the real currency. 

Japan Morning Connection: Apple Suppliers Continue Higher but SMCI and AMD Disappoint After-Hours

By Andrew Jackson

  • Skyworks and Cirrus both beating should help the likes of Nitto Denko and Alps.
  • SMCI tanking -16% as investor confidence shaken by a swift U-turn from previous bullish guidance.
  • Mitsubishi Heavy continues to surge with its earnings lifted by strong growth for its gas turbine business.

NSDL Vs. CDSL: Who Can Drive More Growth Ahead in This Duopoly?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • India’s depository duopoly shows strong growth, with NSDL (NSDL IN) leading in institutional assets and Central Depository Services (CDSL IN) dominating the expanding retail investor base.
  • Financially, CDSL shows superior growth (37% revenue CAGR) and higher profitability margins, while NSDL has grown revenue at a 23% CAGR.
  • NSDL’s settlement value market share has declined to 66% from 82% in FY19, as competitor CDSL gains ground by partnering with high-volume, new-age retail brokers.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Ports, Tata Motors
  • UST yields fell slightly yesterday, led by the long end, with yield movements muted ahead of this week’s heavy slate of bond auctions. The yield on the 2Y UST declined 1 bp to 3.68%, while the yield on the 10Y UST fell 2 bps to 4.19%.
  • Equities recovered from last Friday’s sell-off, driven by solid earnings and expectations of Fed rate cuts.

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Daily Brief ECM: Hong Kong 2025 Placements – Year so Far and Trends for Potential Primary Placements and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong 2025 Placements – Year so Far and Trends for Potential Primary Placements
  • Beijing Roborock A/H Listing: Leader in Its Niche but Tariffs and Competition Risks
  • Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust Placement: DPU Accretive Acquisition for a Familiar Asset
  • Innogen (银诺医药) Pre-IPO: Thoughts on Valuation
  • Knowledge Realty Trust IPO – Steady FY25 Growth, Digestible Pricing
  • Vigonvita Life Sciences (旺山旺水) Pre-IPO: Structural Challenges for Commercialization
  • Beta Bionic Inc (BBNX) Six Month Summary: From Breakout to Breakdown
  • Pre-IPO Guangzhou Innogen Pharmaceutical Group (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention
  • Smithfield Foods Inc (SFD) Six Month Summary: Rough Start with a Resilient IPO Turnaround


Hong Kong 2025 Placements – Year so Far and Trends for Potential Primary Placements

By Sumeet Singh

  • 2025 has seen a sharp turnaround in HK placements, with 36 US$100m+ deals so far. This compares to only 14 in 2022, 13 in 2023, and 15 in 2024.
  • Most of the 2025 placements have been primary raising and have come from a handful of sectors/backdrops.
  • In this note, we try to identify the possible primary placements that could take place over the rest of the year.

Beijing Roborock A/H Listing: Leader in Its Niche but Tariffs and Competition Risks

By Nicholas Tan

  • Beijing Roborock Technology (688169 CH), a robot vacuum maker, aims to raise around US$500m in its H-share listing.
  • It was founded in 2014, backed by Xiaomi, and is a global leader in intelligent home robotics.
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust Placement: DPU Accretive Acquisition for a Familiar Asset

By Nicholas Tan

  • Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP) is looking to raise at least S$500M (US$388m) in a primary placement.
  • The deal represents 9.7 days of 3 month ADV and ~3% of market cap.
  • In this note, we comment on the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Innogen (银诺医药) Pre-IPO: Thoughts on Valuation

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Innogen, a China-based near-commercial stage biotech company, is looking to raise at least USD 100 million via a Hong Kong listing. CITIC Securities and CICC are the joint sponsors.
  • In our previous note, we have examined the company’s core product namely efsubaglutide alfa, and updates in various filings.
  • In this note, we will provide a valuation for the company’s core product.

Knowledge Realty Trust IPO – Steady FY25 Growth, Digestible Pricing

By Akshat Shah

  • Knowledge Realty Trust (258259D IN) is looking to raise around US$551m in its India IPO. It has undertaken a pre-IPO placement round of around INR14bn (US$160m) in June 2025.
  • Knowledge Realty Trust (KRT) owns and manages a high-quality office portfolio in India covering 87% of India’s office supply and gross absorption between CY16-1QCY25, as per the CBRE report.
  • In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range.

Vigonvita Life Sciences (旺山旺水) Pre-IPO: Structural Challenges for Commercialization

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Vigonvita is looking to raise at least US$100 million via a Hong Kong listing. The book runner is CITIC.
  • The company refiled its prospectus and dropped VV116, the commercialized COVID-19 anti-viral drug, from its core asset list.
  • In this note, we look at changes between filings and also further examine the prospect of LV232 and TPN171.

Beta Bionic Inc (BBNX) Six Month Summary: From Breakout to Breakdown

By IPO Boutique

  • The company priced an upsized 12.0 million share offering at $17.00—above the initial range—and opened 29.4% higher at $22.00.
  • In March, amid broader sector weakness across the medical device space, the stock broke below its IPO price.
  • The company did report better than expected sales in its most recent quarterly report last week with guidance raised giving long term investors more confidence in its execution moving forward.

Pre-IPO Guangzhou Innogen Pharmaceutical Group (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Compared to competitors, the competitive advantage of Efsubaglutide Alfa is not obvious.The weight loss effect of single target mechanism could be weaker than that of competing dual and triple agonists
  • Before Innogen filed for listing, some pre-IPO investors chose to transfer the Company’s equity they held at a discount, indicating that these investors lack confidence in the Company’s prospects.
  • Under the double pressure of a single pipeline and lagging commercialization, pre-IPO valuation of RMB4.65bn is more like a dangerous bubble game.We shared our views on valuation and post-IPO performance.

Smithfield Foods Inc (SFD) Six Month Summary: Rough Start with a Resilient IPO Turnaround

By IPO Boutique

  • The company priced 26.08 million shares at $20.00—a reduced offering from the original 34.8 million shares and below the initial $23–$27 range.
  • Since then, Smithfield has staged a steady and impressive climb. On Monday, shares reached a new post-IPO high of $25.22—a 26% gain from the issue price.
  • A lesson can be learned: when the market punishes early entries, strong fundamentals and time can still pave the road to recovery.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Korea’s Next Policy Momentum Play: Rapid Unfolding of the National Growth Fund and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea’s Next Policy Momentum Play: Rapid Unfolding of the National Growth Fund
  • [Japan M&A] Nikkei Says Blackstone to Buy TechnoPro Holdings (6028) For “Roughly ¥500bn”
  • Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): Core Designation Does Not Change Yageo’s Calculus
  • TechnoPro (6028 JP): Blackstone’s Rumoured Takeunder Offer
  • HKBN (1310 HK): China Mobile’s Offer Now Open


Korea’s Next Policy Momentum Play: Rapid Unfolding of the National Growth Fund

By Sanghyun Park

  • From a trading view, no confirmed new ETFs under the National Growth Fund yet; market expects existing ETFs to be the main liquidity and sector play tools instead.
  • Out of the KRW 150tn, ETF flows likely come from the 100tn private pool—conservative case: ~3% (KRW 4.5tn), base case: 5–7%, aggressive: up to 10% (KRW 15tn).
  • Even conservatively, about KRW 3 trillion could flow into sector ETFs, a signficant AUM boost, mainly concentrated in AI, defense, aerospace, and biotech—driving notable inflow impact.

[Japan M&A] Nikkei Says Blackstone to Buy TechnoPro Holdings (6028) For “Roughly ¥500bn”

By Travis Lundy

  • There was an article in mid-May saying Technopro Holdings (6028 JP) might be privatised. It is an appropriate candidate. The stock popped 20% immediately, and has since risen another 20%. 
  • Today’s article follows one which came out ~2 weeks ago with non-sourced editorial content suggesting the price might be 20x EBITDA (i.e. a lot higher). 
  • Today, an article says Blackstone will buy the firm for “Roughly ¥500bn” which would be 3% down from yesterday. Beware the Nikkei. Beware expectations.

Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): Core Designation Does Not Change Yageo’s Calculus

By Arun George

  • Reuters reports that the Ministry of Finance of Japan reclassified Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP) from a Type 1 (non-designated business sector) to Type 3 (core designated company).
  • Reportedly, Yageo’s application was made with a view to Shibaura’s businesses falling under the core category. A blocked deal would set back Prime Minister Ishiba’s goal to improve China relations. 
  • The change to Shibaura’s designation to core helps explain the elongated approval process, as the Ministry of Finance and Yageo need time to agree on acceptable undertakings. 

TechnoPro (6028 JP): Blackstone’s Rumoured Takeunder Offer

By Arun George

  • The Nikkei reports that Blackstone (BX US) will launch the tender offer for Technopro Holdings (6028 JP) just below JPY4,900, a 44.6% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • While the rumoured offer is 1.5% below the last close, it is attractive as it resulted from an auction and represents a pre-media rumour all-time high.
  • It is unclear if the offer is preconditional on regulatory approvals. Blackstone is likely to secure irrevocables from activists like Orbis to project a secure path to completion. 

HKBN (1310 HK): China Mobile’s Offer Now Open

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 1st August, HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) announced China Mobile (941 HK) had satisfied all pre-cons. The Offer Doc is now out.
  • The First Close is the 3rd September with payment potentially on or around the 12th September – if the Offer turns unconditional on the First Close.
  • There is no IFA opinion in this Doc. That will be present in the Response Doc, which is expected to be dispatched on or before the 20th August. 

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Royal Gold Inc, SICC, Copper, Pennar Industries, T Hasegawa, Pokarna Ltd, Eagle Materials, MPLX LP, Graphic Packaging Holding Company and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • [Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Sep25 Rebal: Multiple Changes Possible; ~US$400mn One-Way
  • SICC A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium
  • Global Commodities: Tariff shockwaves churn crude and copper markets
  • M&B Engineering Ltd. IPO Analysis
  • T Hasegawa (4958 JP): Q3 FY09/25 flash update
  • Copper Prices Collapse – But Hazelnut Prices Explode
  • Business Breakdown: Pokarna Limited, A Niche Quartz Player Facing Challenge Due to US Tariff
  • Eagle Materials Rides Infrastructure Boom With Surging Cement Demand & Pricing Power!
  • MPLX’s $2.4 Billion Power Play Set To Shake Up The Permian Basin!
  • Graphic Packaging International: An Insight Into Its Market Conditions


[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Sep25 Rebal: Multiple Changes Possible; ~US$400mn One-Way

By Travis Lundy

  • The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. We like it because of impact. 
  • This index is reviewed semiannually in March/September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index. 
  • There are several expected ADDs/DELs for the September 2025 index rebal event. There will also be flows for the other index members due to capping.

SICC A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

By Sumeet Singh

  • SICC (688234 CH), a manufacturer of high-quality SiC substrates, aims to raise up to US$250m in its H-share listing.
  • In terms of market share, as per Frost & Sullivan, based on 2024 sales, its market share was at 16.7%.
  • In this note, we look at the PHIP updates and talk about the likely A/H premium.

Global Commodities: Tariff shockwaves churn crude and copper markets

By At Any Rate

  • Market expected tariffs on cathode and other copper products, but final announcement only included tariffs on scrap
  • Change in tariff decision led to collapse in premium of COMEX over LME
  • Import influx of copper in US may now flow to LME warehouses, potentially affecting prices and supply security efforts

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


M&B Engineering Ltd. IPO Analysis

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • M&B Engineering, a leader in the PEB space, launched a INR 650 crore IPO with a price band of INR 366-385, opening July 30, 2025.
  • The company will use the INR 275 crore fresh issue proceeds for capital expenditure to expand manufacturing facilities, upgrade technology, and repay certain borrowings.
  • Growth is fueled by 60% capacity expansion by FY28 and a booming PEB market; valuation appears reasonable given its high PAT CAGR of 53%.

T Hasegawa (4958 JP): Q3 FY09/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue increased 3.5% YoY to JPY54.5bn, with major subsidiaries in the US, China, and Malaysia contributing growth.
  • Operating profit decreased 3.3% YoY to JPY7.2bn due to higher SG&A expenses, despite revenue growth and improved cost ratio.
  • Flavor Division revenue rose 4.4% YoY to JPY48.7bn, while Fragrance Division revenue declined 3.3% YoY to JPY5.8bn.

Copper Prices Collapse – But Hazelnut Prices Explode

By The Commodity Report

  • The story of the week was probably the 20% decline in COMEX copper futures during the week.
  • A short recap: The gloating voices would perhaps claim that the Trump administration has realized that the high tariffs on copper would significantly harm its own country in the current situation.
  • Copper prices collapsed by roughly 20% on Wednesday after President Trump announced that refined metals including copper cathodes will be exempt from the 50% tariff plans.

Business Breakdown: Pokarna Limited, A Niche Quartz Player Facing Challenge Due to US Tariff

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Pokarna is India’s leading quartz exporter, leveraging italian Bretonstone technology to deliver industry-leading margins, growth in Natural Quartz segment.
  • Company is doing major capex worth Rs. 440Crs, that will add an additional 500Cr in topline once fully operational.
  • The company is facing demand challenges due to the US 25% Tariff since more than 80% revenue is coming from the US.

Eagle Materials Rides Infrastructure Boom With Surging Cement Demand & Pricing Power!

By Baptista Research

  • Eagle Materials reported a strong start to its fiscal year 2026, achieving record first-quarter revenue of $634.7 million, up 4% from the previous year, and delivered diluted net earnings per share of $3.76.
  • The company continued its operational focus despite dealing with challenging weather conditions in many of its cement, concrete, and aggregate markets.
  • The result underscores Eagle Materials’ ability to maintain resilience across market cycles, emphasized through their low-cost producer status and enhanced operational metrics.

MPLX’s $2.4 Billion Power Play Set To Shake Up The Permian Basin!

By Baptista Research

  • The energy midstream sector is buzzing as MPLX LP (NYSE:MPLX) inches closer to finalizing a $2.375 billion cash deal for Northwind Midstream, a natural gas gathering, treating, and processing developer with over 200,000 dedicated acres in New Mexico’s Delaware Basin.
  • Coming on the heels of MPLX’s strategic bolt-ons in the BANGL NGL pipeline, Whiptail crude gathering, and Matterhorn Express expansion, this acquisition could bolt high-quality, low-breakeven Permian volumes directly into MPLX’s burgeoning NGL, natural gas, and crude value chains.
  • The Northwind system already boasts more than 200 miles of gathering lines, two acid gas injection wells at 20 MMcf/d (soon to grow to 37 MMcf/d), and 150 MMcf/d of sour-gas treat-ing capacity—set to balloon to 440 MMcf/d by H2 2026.

Graphic Packaging International: An Insight Into Its Market Conditions

By Baptista Research

  • Graphic Packaging Holding Company, a global leader in sustainable consumer packaging, presented its results for the second quarter of 2025, revealing a mixed financial and operational landscape.
  • The company’s sales for the period were $2.2 billion, and the adjusted EBITDA was reported at $336 million, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 15.3%.
  • The adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.42.

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Daily Brief Industrials: BayCurrent Consulting , Hoshizaki Corporation, King Slide Works, Hyundai Motor, Thirumalai Chemicals, Firefly Aerospace, Sambhv Steel Tubes, Titan International , World Holdings, Armstrong World Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • [Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep25 Rebal: Final Liquidity Rankings
  • Hoshizaki Corp (6465 JP): Close Global Index Deletion in August
  • King Slide Works (2059 TT): Sliding into a Global Index
  • Boston Dynamics – Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won Expected; Potential IPO in 2027/2028 in NASDAQ
  • The Beat Ideas: Thirumalai Chemicals – A ₹2,000 Cr Capex Bet on the Next Growth Cycle
  • Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY): Industry Tailwinds, Lucrative Backlog Highlight Bull Case for IPO
  • Sambhv Steel: Anchor Lock-In Opens, Bet on Capacity Expansion, Debt Reduction & Value Addition
  • TWI: Titan International reports 2nd quarter 2025 financial and operating results. The company discusses the effects of global tariffs on its business.
  • World Holdings (2429 JP): 1H FY12/25 flash update
  • Armstrong World Industries: Disrupting Ceilings With Groundbreaking TEMPLOK Innovation!


[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep25 Rebal: Final Liquidity Rankings

By Travis Lundy

  • The five year data period for the September 2025 Nikkei 225 rebalance is now over (as of 31 July). First obvious news? No Fast Retailing (9983 JP) capping.
  • That was obvious a couple months ago, and the BayCurrent Consulting (6532 JP) buying to come has been known for five months.
  • The Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) Offering last month makes it more likely an ADD than it was in June (when it didn’t replace NTT Data), but not a done deal.

Hoshizaki Corp (6465 JP): Close Global Index Deletion in August

By Brian Freitas

  • Hoshizaki Corporation (6465 JP)‘s stock price has dropped over the last 3 months, and the lower market cap could result in global index deletion in August. 
  • An early cutoff in the review period could result in the stock staying on in the index but that puts it at risk of deletion in November.
  • There has been an increase in short interest and cumulative excess volume over the last couple of months and that indicates positioning in the stock.

King Slide Works (2059 TT): Sliding into a Global Index

By Brian Freitas

  • King Slide Works (2059 TT)‘s stock price has more than doubled over the last 4 months and that should result in global index inclusion in August.
  • King Slide Works (2059 TT) has outperformed its peer group over the last few months and now trades at a big valuation premium.
  • There has been a lot of short covering, and positioning in the stock appears to be smaller than the estimated passive buying.

Boston Dynamics – Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won Expected; Potential IPO in 2027/2028 in NASDAQ

By Douglas Kim

  • There has been an increasing probability that Boston Dynamics (BD) announces a fourth rights offering capital raise worth about 1.2 trillion won (US$870 million) in the next several weeks.
  • All the Hyundai Motor Group related entities are expected to increase their ownership stakes in Boston Dynamics whereas it is expected to decline for Softbank post the capital raise.
  • The current valuation estimates of Boston Dynamics (post capital raise) vary widely from about 4 trillion won to 10 trillion won.

The Beat Ideas: Thirumalai Chemicals – A ₹2,000 Cr Capex Bet on the Next Growth Cycle

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Thirumalai Chemicals is nearing completion of two transformative capex projects in Dahej (India) and West Virginia (USA) set to expand capacity by over 130,000 TPA across commodity and specialty chemicals. 
  • These investments position TCL to capture demand in both domestic import-substitution and underserved global food ingredient markets, while reducing dependency on cyclical PAN margins. 
  • The company is transitioning from a commodity-heavy profile to a more diversified, global specialty player, unlocking long-term margin expansion and reducing volatility in earnings.

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY): Industry Tailwinds, Lucrative Backlog Highlight Bull Case for IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • The company will be offering 16.2mm shares at $35-$39 with an expected market cap between $4.9b and $5.5b and to debut on August 7th.
  • According to our sources, the deal is being classified as multiple-times oversubscribed.
  • FireFly is in growth mode and the ability to scale with improving margins and a significant and visible backlog makes this deal extremely attractive. 

Sambhv Steel: Anchor Lock-In Opens, Bet on Capacity Expansion, Debt Reduction & Value Addition

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • In Sambhv Steel Tubes (SAMBHV IN), the anchor investor lock-in expiry ends brought expected selling pressure, testing the stock’s resilience and investor conviction in its fundamentals.
  • The company posted record Q1 revenue and profit, driven by strong volumes and margin expansion from its strategic value-added product focus.
  • Management guides for sustained 12-13% EBITDA margins, backed by aggressive brownfield and greenfield expansions to capture future market demand.

TWI: Titan International reports 2nd quarter 2025 financial and operating results. The company discusses the effects of global tariffs on its business.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Titan International is a global manufacturer of off-the-road tires, wheels and undercarriages.
  • The company serves the agricultural, earthmoving / construction, and consumer markets.
  • Long-term secular tailwinds exist in the global agricultural, infrastructure and construction markets.

World Holdings (2429 JP): 1H FY12/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue was JPY131.8bn (+18.9% YoY), operating profit JPY5.0bn (+111.0% YoY), and net income JPY2.7bn (+259.6% YoY).
  • Products HR business revenue was JPY58.4bn (+9.9% YoY), segment profit JPY1.7bn (+46.0% YoY), driven by semiconductor demand.
  • Real Estate business revenue was JPY24.8bn (+81.9% YoY), segment profit JPY2.1bn (+578.2% YoY), despite delayed property handovers.

Armstrong World Industries: Disrupting Ceilings With Groundbreaking TEMPLOK Innovation!

By Baptista Research

  • Armstrong World Industries Inc. reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, demonstrating resilience amid market uncertainties.
  • The company achieved record sales and earnings, marked by a 16% increase in net sales and a 23% rise in adjusted EBITDA, with a notable expansion in EBITDA margins by 200 basis points to 36%.
  • This growth was reflected in a 29% year-over-year increase in adjusted diluted earnings per share, its highest since its separation from the flooring business in 2016.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Softbank Group, Qi An Xin Technology Group , Paytm, Taiyo Yuden, China Mobile, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, ASE Technology Holding , Whitefiber, Hennge KK, Cellebrite DI and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Softbank Group (9984 JP) Results on 7 Aug: Expected Move and Option Insights
  • Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50/100 Sep25: Final Expectations; New Pair Trades
  • PayTM Block – US$434m Clean-Up by Antfin
  • Taiyo Yuden (6976):  A Slightly Different Path to Massively Higher Margins
  • China Mobile (941 HK) Results on 7 Aug: Low Volatility History Faces Test
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s Arizona Surprise – 2nm by 2026?; Signs of Hyperscaler Growth Acceleration
  • ASE Technology: Expanding Globally & Tackling Geopolitical Risks & Power AI Innovation!
  • WhiteFiber, Inc. (WYFI): Subsidiary of Bit Digital, CoreWeave Comp Attracting IPO Interest
  • Hennge KK (4475 JP): Q3 FY09/25 flash update
  • Anek Capital’s Orel Levy’s Cellebrite Thesis $CLBT


Softbank Group (9984 JP) Results on 7 Aug: Expected Move and Option Insights

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • SoftBank Group (9984 JP) reports Q1 FY2025 earnings on 7 August at 15:30 JST, with a conference call at 16:30 JST.
  • Highlights: SoftBank’s post-earnings moves are often sharp and unpredictable — with outliers above ±12%. Options markets flag the results day as a high-volatility event to watch.
  • Why Read: Essential for investors or options traders focused on Japan: Understand how timing, historic patterns and current volatility pricing shape both opportunity and risk around SoftBank earnings.

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50/100 Sep25: Final Expectations; New Pair Trades

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • STAR 100 index tracks the next 100 names (51st-150th ranks) and it represents the mid-cap segment of the STAR market.
  • In this insight, we have presented our final predictions for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 indices for the September 2025 index rebal event.

PayTM Block – US$434m Clean-Up by Antfin

By Akshat Shah

  • Antfin (Netherlands) Holding B.V. (Antfin) is looking to raise up to US$434 via a cleanup of its remaining 5.8% stake in Paytm (PAYTM IN).
  • Antfin has been selling off its stake in PayTM since it pared around 12% in Nov 2021 IPO. It last sold a 4% stake to raise upto US$242m in May2025.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

Taiyo Yuden (6976):  A Slightly Different Path to Massively Higher Margins

By Michael Allen

  • Taiyo Yuden underperformed its peers in electronic components by 29% over the past year, but its change in operating profit margin should outperform peers by 68% in the current year.
  • Exposure to the U.S. is less than 7% of direct sales, but probably 25% including indirect exposure. Still, based on supply/demand analysis, we think Yuden is probably tariff proof.  
  • While rivals have prioritized high-margin device modules to offset component sales declines, Yuden doubled down on its core capacitor and inductor strengths and appears to be coming out ahead.

China Mobile (941 HK) Results on 7 Aug: Low Volatility History Faces Test

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • China Mobile (941 HK) / China Mobile (600941 CH) will release 2024 interim results on Thursday, 7 August 2025. The stock is a key constituent of the HSI and HSCEI.
  • Highlights: Past earnings moves have been modest, but the options skew hints at potential for surprises. Dividend decision also due.
  • Why Read: Helps time exposure and evaluate short-term risks ahead of results and dividend announcement for cash investors and option traders.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s Arizona Surprise – 2nm by 2026?; Signs of Hyperscaler Growth Acceleration

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • U.S. 2nm Production May Begin Sooner Than Expected — Is TSMC Responding to Unprecedented N2 Demand?
  • Hyperscalers 2Q25: Revenue Growth Accelerates, Cloud Revenues Accelerate, Capex Higher 
  • TechChain Insights: Taiwan’s Battery Cell Moment? USA & EU Supply Chain Under Strategic Pressure 

ASE Technology: Expanding Globally & Tackling Geopolitical Risks & Power AI Innovation!

By Baptista Research

  • ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. delivered a robust performance in the second quarter of 2025, with advancements in several key business segments contributing to the company’s overall growth.
  • The company reported an unconsolidated revenue increase of 9% year-over-year and 2% on a sequential basis, expressed in new Taiwan dollars.
  • On a U.S. dollar basis, revenues grew by 7% sequentially and 11% annually.

WhiteFiber, Inc. (WYFI): Subsidiary of Bit Digital, CoreWeave Comp Attracting IPO Interest

By IPO Boutique

  • WhiteFiber is offering 7.8 million shares at $15-$17 equating to a potential market cap of $523m-$593m.
  • Insiders are buying in this offering which adds to the bullish thesis.
  • They expect revenue to come between $17.7m-$19.6m for Q2 2025 after posting revenue of $16.8m in Q1 2025. 

Hennge KK (4475 JP): Q3 FY09/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue reached JPY8.0bn (+32.3% YoY), with HENNGE One contributing JPY7.5bn (+34.3% YoY) and Professional Service JPY506mn (+8.1% YoY).
  • Operating profit was JPY1.6bn (+72.3% YoY), with a margin of 19.7% (+4.6pp YoY); gross profit was JPY6.9bn (+35.7% YoY).
  • SG&A expenses rose to JPY5.3bn (+27.6% YoY), including JPY618mn in advertising (+34.1% YoY) and JPY2.0bn in personnel (+21.9% YoY).

Anek Capital’s Orel Levy’s Cellebrite Thesis $CLBT

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • Cellebrite is a quality business in digital forensics, a market leader in the industry
  • Cellebrite has strong financials, including high margins, free cash flow conversion, and a bootstrap structure

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


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Daily Brief Australia: ADX Energy Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): High Production at Z&G.


ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): High Production at Z&G.

By Auctus Advisors

  • 2Q25 net production of 303 boe/d was higher than our expectations of ~270 boe/d following a 5 well intervention programme at the Zisterdorf and Gaiselberg fields in the Vienna Basin.
  • The programme included (1) repair of subsurface equipment, (2) clean out of a down hole sand control (3) perforation of a new oil production zone in a well.
  • Despite a drop in oil price revenue during June, adjusted 2Q25 sales were A$3.5 mm.

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Daily Brief Thailand: Thai Union Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • Thai Union (TU TB): Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP)’s Partial Tender


Thai Union (TU TB): Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP)’s Partial Tender

By David Blennerhassett

  • Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP), currently holding 6.19% in Thai Union Group (TU TB), a global seafood leader, is seeking to lift its stake to 20% via a Partial Offer. 
  • Mitsubishi is offering THB12.50/share for 532.27mn shares in Thai Union, or 13.81% of shares out (excluding treasuries), an outlay of ~US$200mn. If <13.81% tender, the Offer lapses.
  • Last month Mitsubishi expanded its salmon farming by acquiring additional businesses in Norway and Canada for ~US$1bn.

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Daily Brief Industrials: BayCurrent Consulting , Hoshizaki Corporation, King Slide Works, Hyundai Motor, Thirumalai Chemicals, Firefly Aerospace, Sambhv Steel Tubes, Titan International , World Holdings, Armstrong World Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • [Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep25 Rebal: Final Liquidity Rankings
  • Hoshizaki Corp (6465 JP): Close Global Index Deletion in August
  • King Slide Works (2059 TT): Sliding into a Global Index
  • Boston Dynamics – Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won Expected; Potential IPO in 2027/2028 in NASDAQ
  • The Beat Ideas: Thirumalai Chemicals – A ₹2,000 Cr Capex Bet on the Next Growth Cycle
  • Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY): Industry Tailwinds, Lucrative Backlog Highlight Bull Case for IPO
  • Sambhv Steel: Anchor Lock-In Opens, Bet on Capacity Expansion, Debt Reduction & Value Addition
  • TWI: Titan International reports 2nd quarter 2025 financial and operating results. The company discusses the effects of global tariffs on its business.
  • World Holdings (2429 JP): 1H FY12/25 flash update
  • Armstrong World Industries: Disrupting Ceilings With Groundbreaking TEMPLOK Innovation!


[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep25 Rebal: Final Liquidity Rankings

By Travis Lundy

  • The five year data period for the September 2025 Nikkei 225 rebalance is now over (as of 31 July). First obvious news? No Fast Retailing (9983 JP) capping.
  • That was obvious a couple months ago, and the BayCurrent Consulting (6532 JP) buying to come has been known for five months.
  • The Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) Offering last month makes it more likely an ADD than it was in June (when it didn’t replace NTT Data), but not a done deal.

Hoshizaki Corp (6465 JP): Close Global Index Deletion in August

By Brian Freitas

  • Hoshizaki Corporation (6465 JP)‘s stock price has dropped over the last 3 months, and the lower market cap could result in global index deletion in August. 
  • An early cutoff in the review period could result in the stock staying on in the index but that puts it at risk of deletion in November.
  • There has been an increase in short interest and cumulative excess volume over the last couple of months and that indicates positioning in the stock.

King Slide Works (2059 TT): Sliding into a Global Index

By Brian Freitas

  • King Slide Works (2059 TT)‘s stock price has more than doubled over the last 4 months and that should result in global index inclusion in August.
  • King Slide Works (2059 TT) has outperformed its peer group over the last few months and now trades at a big valuation premium.
  • There has been a lot of short covering, and positioning in the stock appears to be smaller than the estimated passive buying.

Boston Dynamics – Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won Expected; Potential IPO in 2027/2028 in NASDAQ

By Douglas Kim

  • There has been an increasing probability that Boston Dynamics (BD) announces a fourth rights offering capital raise worth about 1.2 trillion won (US$870 million) in the next several weeks.
  • All the Hyundai Motor Group related entities are expected to increase their ownership stakes in Boston Dynamics whereas it is expected to decline for Softbank post the capital raise.
  • The current valuation estimates of Boston Dynamics (post capital raise) vary widely from about 4 trillion won to 10 trillion won.

The Beat Ideas: Thirumalai Chemicals – A ₹2,000 Cr Capex Bet on the Next Growth Cycle

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Thirumalai Chemicals is nearing completion of two transformative capex projects in Dahej (India) and West Virginia (USA) set to expand capacity by over 130,000 TPA across commodity and specialty chemicals. 
  • These investments position TCL to capture demand in both domestic import-substitution and underserved global food ingredient markets, while reducing dependency on cyclical PAN margins. 
  • The company is transitioning from a commodity-heavy profile to a more diversified, global specialty player, unlocking long-term margin expansion and reducing volatility in earnings.

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY): Industry Tailwinds, Lucrative Backlog Highlight Bull Case for IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • The company will be offering 16.2mm shares at $35-$39 with an expected market cap between $4.9b and $5.5b and to debut on August 7th.
  • According to our sources, the deal is being classified as multiple-times oversubscribed.
  • FireFly is in growth mode and the ability to scale with improving margins and a significant and visible backlog makes this deal extremely attractive. 

Sambhv Steel: Anchor Lock-In Opens, Bet on Capacity Expansion, Debt Reduction & Value Addition

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • In Sambhv Steel Tubes (SAMBHV IN), the anchor investor lock-in expiry ends brought expected selling pressure, testing the stock’s resilience and investor conviction in its fundamentals.
  • The company posted record Q1 revenue and profit, driven by strong volumes and margin expansion from its strategic value-added product focus.
  • Management guides for sustained 12-13% EBITDA margins, backed by aggressive brownfield and greenfield expansions to capture future market demand.

TWI: Titan International reports 2nd quarter 2025 financial and operating results. The company discusses the effects of global tariffs on its business.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Titan International is a global manufacturer of off-the-road tires, wheels and undercarriages.
  • The company serves the agricultural, earthmoving / construction, and consumer markets.
  • Long-term secular tailwinds exist in the global agricultural, infrastructure and construction markets.

World Holdings (2429 JP): 1H FY12/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue was JPY131.8bn (+18.9% YoY), operating profit JPY5.0bn (+111.0% YoY), and net income JPY2.7bn (+259.6% YoY).
  • Products HR business revenue was JPY58.4bn (+9.9% YoY), segment profit JPY1.7bn (+46.0% YoY), driven by semiconductor demand.
  • Real Estate business revenue was JPY24.8bn (+81.9% YoY), segment profit JPY2.1bn (+578.2% YoY), despite delayed property handovers.

Armstrong World Industries: Disrupting Ceilings With Groundbreaking TEMPLOK Innovation!

By Baptista Research

  • Armstrong World Industries Inc. reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, demonstrating resilience amid market uncertainties.
  • The company achieved record sales and earnings, marked by a 16% increase in net sales and a 23% rise in adjusted EBITDA, with a notable expansion in EBITDA margins by 200 basis points to 36%.
  • This growth was reflected in a 29% year-over-year increase in adjusted diluted earnings per share, its highest since its separation from the flooring business in 2016.

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