All Posts By

Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Event-Driven: Douzone Bizon: First Real Test for Korea’s De Facto Mandatory Tender? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Douzone Bizon: First Real Test for Korea’s De Facto Mandatory Tender?
  • Vivendi: Mandatory Buyout in Motion – High-Conviction Risk Arb with 30%+ Upside
  • Clearing a Common Misconception — No Pre-Cover Needed in Hanil Stock-For-Stock Swap
  • Next Science Asset Sale to Demetra Holdings: Potential 13% Upside with Capital Return and Strategic Acquisition


Douzone Bizon: First Real Test for Korea’s De Facto Mandatory Tender?

By Sanghyun Park

  • Founder Kim reportedly looking to offload his 21.5% stake, with EQT eyeing a ~30% control block including Shinhan’s. No succession plans, deal said to be under serious review.
  • Kim’s control premium ask could trigger Korea’s first test case of expanded fiduciary duty, with minority holders potentially suing if tender terms aren’t seen as fair under new rules.
  • Buyer likely prepping a Q3 tender offer; key watch is how minority premium stacks vs control block — could be Korea’s first de facto test case of mandatory tender mechanics.

Vivendi: Mandatory Buyout in Motion – High-Conviction Risk Arb with 30%+ Upside

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Vivendi trades at a 37.7% discount to NAV, with a mandated buyout by Bolloré offering a realistic upside of 22–37% within six months pending French Supreme Court review.
  • The AMF has ruled that Bolloré must launch a tender offer. Vivendi’s simplified structure, anchored by UMG, enables clear valuation through a detailed SOTP showing €5.26/share NAV.
  • With liquidity exceeding €3bn, Bolloré can finance a buyout of minority shareholders. Even conservative pricing scenarios imply strong returns for arbitrage investors seeking event-driven upside.

Clearing a Common Misconception — No Pre-Cover Needed in Hanil Stock-For-Stock Swap

By Sanghyun Park

  • Some still think we must close the borrow pre-settlement in a stock-for-stock merger. But KSD handles it fine — no need to pre-cover if shares stay lendable post-swap.
  • Spread flipped negative — rare setup in Korea. Tight float on both sides (insider-heavy) is killing liquidity and borrow, leading to this reverse arb play.
  • Deal break risk is minimal, new share listing is relatively soon, and the negative spread may widen—making this a compelling setup for a reverse arb play.

Next Science Asset Sale to Demetra Holdings: Potential 13% Upside with Capital Return and Strategic Acquisition

By Special Situation Investments

  • Next Science plans to distribute net proceeds of US$30m from asset sale to shareholders, equating to A$0.158/share.
  • The asset sale requires shareholder approval, with major stakeholders like the Walker family likely supporting the transaction.
  • Uncertainties include FDA compliance issues, tax treatment of distribution, and potential changes in net proceeds estimate.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Alinco Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Alinco Inc (5933 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update


Alinco Inc (5933 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Q1 FY03/26 revenue rose 6.1% YoY to JPY15.4bn; operating profit increased 16.9% YoY to JPY644mn.
  • Recurring profit fell 20.5% YoY to JPY614mn; net income attributable to owners dropped 40.4% YoY to JPY399mn.
  • Construction demand and rental shifts impacted segment revenues and profits, with mixed YoY results across business areas.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Crypto: Singapore Emerges as the Stablecoin Safehouse and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Singapore Emerges as the Stablecoin Safehouse


Singapore Emerges as the Stablecoin Safehouse

By GEMS Research – Aletheia Capital

  • Singapore has emerged as one of the earliest jurisdictions to establish a comprehensive regulatory regime for fiat-referenced stablecoins.
  • The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has adopted the Single-Currency Stablecoin (SCS) Framework.
  • The adoption is mainly in institutional trials and crypto-native payment flows, but the potential is immense.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Hanil Cement Co Ltd/New, James Hardie Industries , TotalEnergies , Iron Ore, Crude Oil, Northern Star Resources, Zephyr Energy, Santos Ltd, Andean Precious Metals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Clearing a Common Misconception — No Pre-Cover Needed in Hanil Stock-For-Stock Swap
  • James Hardie Industries: Initiation of Coverage- $625 Million Synergy Blueprint Set to Reshape Industry Dynamics!
  • [Earnings Preview] Crude and LNG Slump to Undercut TotalEnergies Q2 Performance
  • [IO Technicals 2025/29] Near Term Bullish Trend to Persist
  • [ETP 2025/29] Chevron Secures Guyana Win as SLB Surprises; WTI Slips, Henry Hub Snaps Losing Streak
  • Northern Star Resources: Initiation of Coverage- Why Mining Stabilization at Super Pit Could Be a Game-Changer!
  • Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Refining the path to first production in the Paradox. About to start drilling in the Rockies
  • Santos Limited: Initiation of Coverage- Power Moves in Contracts, Decommissioning, & Growth!
  • APM: Q2 Production Results; Expecting Large Cashflow


Clearing a Common Misconception — No Pre-Cover Needed in Hanil Stock-For-Stock Swap

By Sanghyun Park

  • Some still think we must close the borrow pre-settlement in a stock-for-stock merger. But KSD handles it fine — no need to pre-cover if shares stay lendable post-swap.
  • Spread flipped negative — rare setup in Korea. Tight float on both sides (insider-heavy) is killing liquidity and borrow, leading to this reverse arb play.
  • Deal break risk is minimal, new share listing is relatively soon, and the negative spread may widen—making this a compelling setup for a reverse arb play.

James Hardie Industries: Initiation of Coverage- $625 Million Synergy Blueprint Set to Reshape Industry Dynamics!

By Baptista Research

  • James Hardie Industries Plc demonstrated a mixed performance in its fiscal fourth quarter of 2025, underpinned by its strategic growth initiatives amidst challenging market conditions.
  • Despite facing a softer demand environment and macroeconomic uncertainties, the company managed to achieve its financial targets, indicative of its strategic agility and operational discipline.
  • On the positive side, James Hardie’s focus on strategic investments and scaling the organization has borne fruit.

[Earnings Preview] Crude and LNG Slump to Undercut TotalEnergies Q2 Performance

By Suhas Reddy

  • TotalEnergies’ Q2 2025 revenue is expected to drop 17.2% QoQ and 19.4% YoY. Similarly, its EPS is projected to drop 8.7% QoQ and 15.7% YoY.
  • TotalEnergies is expected to post its weakest quarterly revenue and EPS reading since Q1 2021, as falling crude and LNG prices overshadow gains in refining.
  • With 80% of earnings tied to upstream and LNG, even strong production and steady downstream performance leave little room for upside.

[IO Technicals 2025/29] Near Term Bullish Trend to Persist

By Umang Agrawal

  • Iron ore prices topped $100/ton as Beijing’s push on steel overcapacity and hopes of property support lifted sentiment, alongside tighter inventories fuelling restocking expectations.
  • Rio Tinto’s early Simandou shipments from November sparked fresh interest, though RBC sees output reaching just 12 million tons by 2026, ramping up slowly.
  • Prices are holding firm above key moving averages, pointing to continued upward momentum, while the MACD above its signal line reinforces the bullish trend.

[ETP 2025/29] Chevron Secures Guyana Win as SLB Surprises; WTI Slips, Henry Hub Snaps Losing Streak

By Suhas Reddy

  • Chevron’s arbitration win over ExxonMobil unlocks Guyana’s Stabroek Block, a key asset underpinning its USD 53 billion Hess acquisition.
  • SLB outperformed Q2 estimates despite YoY declines and also completed its ChampionX acquisition amid regulatory challenges.
  • WTI crude found support late-week after better-than-expected economic data tempered demand fears, despite early pressure from inventory and macro concerns.

Northern Star Resources: Initiation of Coverage- Why Mining Stabilization at Super Pit Could Be a Game-Changer!

By Baptista Research

  • Northern Star Resources Ltd’s March 2025 quarterly results showcased a strong financial and operational performance, despite facing some operational challenges.
  • The company generated robust net mine cash flow of $295 million, with positive contributions from all production centers.
  • The gold price, exceeding AUD 5,000 per ounce, aided this financial strength, alongside the company’s low-risk mining jurisdictions in Western Australia and Alaska.

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Refining the path to first production in the Paradox. About to start drilling in the Rockies

By Auctus Advisors

  • • The Paradox initial processing capacity is envisaged to be able to handle 5-10 mmcf/d.
  • Our base case assumes a conservative 5 mmcf/d, although throughput capacity is expected to increase with the tie-in of additional wells, including 16-2LN-CC and 28-11.
  • Notably, the plant’s initial capacity is below the production potential of the 36-2R well.

Santos Limited: Initiation of Coverage- Power Moves in Contracts, Decommissioning, & Growth!

By Baptista Research

  • Santos Limited reported its 2024 full-year financial and operational results, presenting a detailed picture of the company’s current status, achievements, and challenges.
  • The company highlighted a strong financial performance supported by disciplined cost controls, robust revenues, and significant strategic projects either completed or progressing as scheduled.
  • On the positive side, Santos reported sales revenue of $5.4 billion, which translated into $3.7 billion in EBITDAX and $1.2 billion in profit after tax.

APM: Q2 Production Results; Expecting Large Cashflow

By Atrium Research

  • What you need to know: • APM reported its Q2 production results, producing 24.3Koz AuEq between its Golden Queen and San Bartolome assets, softer than our estimates (primarily due to seasonality that we have now adjusted for).
  • • Management reiterated that 60% of its annual production will be mined in H2 and that it remains on track for the top end of guidance.
  • APM remains set up to generate large cash flow in the quarter, growing into H2.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Financials: USD Coin, Longfor Properties and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Singapore Emerges as the Stablecoin Safehouse
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Singapore Emerges as the Stablecoin Safehouse

By GEMS Research – Aletheia Capital

  • Singapore has emerged as one of the earliest jurisdictions to establish a comprehensive regulatory regime for fiat-referenced stablecoins.
  • The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has adopted the Single-Currency Stablecoin (SCS) Framework.
  • The adoption is mainly in institutional trials and crypto-native payment flows, but the potential is immense.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Longfor Group, Adani Ports, Adani Green Energy
  • UST yields were broadly stable yesterday. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 1 bp to 3.91%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was unchanged at 4.45%. Equities rallied, following the release of strong retail sales data. The S&P 500 rose 0.5% to a new high of 6,297, while the Nasdaq was up 0.7% at 20,886.
  • Several Fed officials spoke yesterday. New York Fed President John Williams said it is “entirely appropriate” to maintain the current modestly restrictive monetary policy stance, as he expects inflation to increase in the coming months. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic also said that he still supports holding interest rates steady, stating that inflation may be at an “inflection point” after several months of soft price increases.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Macro: HEW: Inflation Persists and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • HEW: Inflation Persists, But Cuts Loom
  • Walker’s Weekly: Dr. Jim’s Summary of Key Global Macro Developments – 18 July 2025
  • [IO Technicals 2025/29] Near Term Bullish Trend to Persist
  • [ETP 2025/29] Chevron Secures Guyana Win as SLB Surprises; WTI Slips, Henry Hub Snaps Losing Streak
  • India: More Rate Cuts Likely as Inflation Edges to the Bottom of RBI’s Target Range
  • CX Daily: Late Beverage Tycoon’s Secret Children Go to War With Official Heir Over Billions
  • BMW Turns to Chinese Smart Driving Expertise to Regain Market Ground


HEW: Inflation Persists, But Cuts Loom

By Phil Rush

  • Persistent upside inflation surprises and sticky wage growth are lifting hawkish market narratives, defying central bank and consensus hopes for a quick return to target.
  • UK inflation jumped well above forecast in June, strengthening the hawkish case, while US core inflation shows tariffs adding to excessive underlying price pressures.
  • Next week, attention turns to the ECB decision, July flash PMIs, and UK public finances, as markets weigh central banks’ willingness to ignore resurgent inflation.

Walker’s Weekly: Dr. Jim’s Summary of Key Global Macro Developments – 18 July 2025

By Dr. Jim Walker

  • China’s Q2 GDP beat expectations, but nominal growth and the property sector remain weak despite strong exports and monetary support.

  • Indonesia cut rates again, yet real rates are still too high to boost meaningful growth.

  • Japan faces political uncertainty with likely election losses, raising concerns over its future role in global currency markets.


[IO Technicals 2025/29] Near Term Bullish Trend to Persist

By Umang Agrawal

  • Iron ore prices topped $100/ton as Beijing’s push on steel overcapacity and hopes of property support lifted sentiment, alongside tighter inventories fuelling restocking expectations.
  • Rio Tinto’s early Simandou shipments from November sparked fresh interest, though RBC sees output reaching just 12 million tons by 2026, ramping up slowly.
  • Prices are holding firm above key moving averages, pointing to continued upward momentum, while the MACD above its signal line reinforces the bullish trend.

[ETP 2025/29] Chevron Secures Guyana Win as SLB Surprises; WTI Slips, Henry Hub Snaps Losing Streak

By Suhas Reddy

  • Chevron’s arbitration win over ExxonMobil unlocks Guyana’s Stabroek Block, a key asset underpinning its USD 53 billion Hess acquisition.
  • SLB outperformed Q2 estimates despite YoY declines and also completed its ChampionX acquisition amid regulatory challenges.
  • WTI crude found support late-week after better-than-expected economic data tempered demand fears, despite early pressure from inventory and macro concerns.

India: More Rate Cuts Likely as Inflation Edges to the Bottom of RBI’s Target Range

By Prasenjit K. Basu

  • With CPI inflation at 2.1%YoY in Jun’25, the real policy rate is +3.4% — higher than in Jan’25 (+2.19%) before the 100bp of repo rate cuts. 
  • Despite a shift to a larger rate cut (accompanied by reductions in CRR), the RBI is still a bit behind the curve. We expect another 100bp of cuts by Feb’26. 
  • Vegetable deflation will persist through H2CY25, so we expect headline CPI inflation to average 2.9% in FY26, obliging more rate cuts, enabling real GDP growth of 8.5%+ in FY26. 

CX Daily: Late Beverage Tycoon’s Secret Children Go to War With Official Heir Over Billions

By Caixin Global

  • Dispute / Late beverage tycoon’s secret children go to war with official heir over billions
  • Nvidia /: Nvidia will soon be allowed to resume sales of AI chips to China, CEO says
  • AMCs /: China tightens rules for local AMCs to curb risks in bad-debt market

BMW Turns to Chinese Smart Driving Expertise to Regain Market Ground

By Caixin Global

  • As foreign automakers struggle to keep pace in China’s fast-evolving electric vehicle (EV) and smart car market, companies such as BMW are turning to top Chinese tech firms to stay in the race.
  • BMW has signed a partnership with autonomous driving startup Momenta to co-develop advanced driver-assistance systems for its next-generation China-built models, which are due to launch in 2026. The deal represents a significant step in BMW’s local adaptation strategy as the German carmaker fights to reclaim its footing in its largest single market.
  • Earlier this year, BMW announced collaborations with Huawei Technologies Co.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Douzone Bizon, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Vivendi SE, Alphabet , Apple and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Douzone Bizon: First Real Test for Korea’s De Facto Mandatory Tender?
  • TSMC Q225. Surfing The AI Tidal Wave With Style
  • Vivendi: Mandatory Buyout in Motion – High-Conviction Risk Arb with 30%+ Upside
  • GOOGL: Q2 Vol Pricing, Performance Trends, and Earnings Setup
  • TSMC (2330.TT) Outlook Post Strong Q2: Our Model Says “EXTREME OVERBOUGHT CONDITION”
  • Smartphone 2Q25: Boring Boring


Douzone Bizon: First Real Test for Korea’s De Facto Mandatory Tender?

By Sanghyun Park

  • Founder Kim reportedly looking to offload his 21.5% stake, with EQT eyeing a ~30% control block including Shinhan’s. No succession plans, deal said to be under serious review.
  • Kim’s control premium ask could trigger Korea’s first test case of expanded fiduciary duty, with minority holders potentially suing if tender terms aren’t seen as fair under new rules.
  • Buyer likely prepping a Q3 tender offer; key watch is how minority premium stacks vs control block — could be Korea’s first de facto test case of mandatory tender mechanics.

TSMC Q225. Surfing The AI Tidal Wave With Style

By William Keating

  • TSMC reported Q225 revenues of $30.1 billion, up 44% YoY, up 17.8% QoQ and handily beating the high end of the $29.2 billion guidance.
  • Full year 2025 guidance raised to 30% YoY growth, and that may still not be enough
  • Resumption of H20 sales to China not yet baked into forecast, an army of ex Intel employees coming on the job market & potential Fx reversal are all possible tailwinds

Vivendi: Mandatory Buyout in Motion – High-Conviction Risk Arb with 30%+ Upside

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Vivendi trades at a 37.7% discount to NAV, with a mandated buyout by Bolloré offering a realistic upside of 22–37% within six months pending French Supreme Court review.
  • The AMF has ruled that Bolloré must launch a tender offer. Vivendi’s simplified structure, anchored by UMG, enables clear valuation through a detailed SOTP showing €5.26/share NAV.
  • With liquidity exceeding €3bn, Bolloré can finance a buyout of minority shareholders. Even conservative pricing scenarios imply strong returns for arbitrage investors seeking event-driven upside.

GOOGL: Q2 Vol Pricing, Performance Trends, and Earnings Setup

By John Ley

  • GOOGL is set to release Q2 earnings on Wednesday, July 23 after the close, having rallied 15.39% since Q1 results.
  • Q2 has historically delivered strong average returns and the largest average absolute 1-day move.
  • We explore how volatility and past earnings reactions frame expectations for the upcoming release.

TSMC (2330.TT) Outlook Post Strong Q2: Our Model Says “EXTREME OVERBOUGHT CONDITION”

By Nico Rosti

  • As reported by Patrick Liao and William Keating , Taiwan Semiconductor (2330 TT) is currently in very good shape, for multiple reasons, I invite you to read their insights. 
  • The problem is: the stock closed at 1155 on Friday, blowing past through the roof of what our model has identified as a very extremely overbought “Tails” move.
  • We said BUY in June, and know market euphoria can defy models when sentiment takes over, but our tools consistently flag overstretched conditions — a clear caution to late-stage buyers!

Smartphone 2Q25: Boring Boring

By Nicolas Baratte

  • IDC and Counterpoint released their 2Q25 smartphone estimates. Smartphone units increased 1-2% YoY. Best performer: Samsung +8% YoY, but this didn’t help 2Q operating profits. Vivo +5%, Apple +2%.
  • The smartphone market is desperately flat – or in slow decline. Smartphone is 76% of revenues for Qualcomm, 57% for Mediatek, 50% Apple and Xiaomi, 35% Samsung, 31% TSMC. Problem?
  • For Semiconductor firms (QCOM, MTK, TSM), chips ASP increases 10-15% at each generation, between node migration (N3, N2) and increasing AI functionalities. For hardware vendors (Apple, Samsung, Xiaomi), it’s worse.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: TSMC Q225. Surfing The AI Tidal Wave With Style and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • TSMC Q225. Surfing The AI Tidal Wave With Style
  • Samsonite (1910 HK): Trading Cheap, Yet Tariffs Loom. And Shorts At All-Time High
  • Cochlear Limited: Initiation of Coverage- Can Cutting-Edge Innovation & R&D Fuel the Next Growth Surge?
  • James Hardie Industries: Initiation of Coverage- $625 Million Synergy Blueprint Set to Reshape Industry Dynamics!
  • [Earnings Preview] Crude and LNG Slump to Undercut TotalEnergies Q2 Performance
  • Agilent: Back To The Lab – [Business Breakdowns, EP.223]
  • Northern Star Resources: Initiation of Coverage- Why Mining Stabilization at Super Pit Could Be a Game-Changer!
  • Smartphone 2Q25: Boring Boring
  • Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Refining the path to first production in the Paradox. About to start drilling in the Rockies
  • Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: Initiation of Coverage- How Airvo 3 & Consumable Growth Fuel Explosive Revenue Potential!


TSMC Q225. Surfing The AI Tidal Wave With Style

By William Keating

  • TSMC reported Q225 revenues of $30.1 billion, up 44% YoY, up 17.8% QoQ and handily beating the high end of the $29.2 billion guidance.
  • Full year 2025 guidance raised to 30% YoY growth, and that may still not be enough
  • Resumption of H20 sales to China not yet baked into forecast, an army of ex Intel employees coming on the job market & potential Fx reversal are all possible tailwinds

Samsonite (1910 HK): Trading Cheap, Yet Tariffs Loom. And Shorts At All-Time High

By David Blennerhassett

  • Samsonite (1910 HK), the world’s leading travel luggage manufacturer/retailer, is trading well below its historical metrics. 
  • The share price is up ~30% from its recent low, but down ~22% YTD following a ~31% fall over a 10-day period in early-April, shortly after Trump’s “Liberation Day” speech. 
  • Management initiated a US$200mn buyback program last August. Overhangs include tariff and weak retail market in Asia and North America. Plus short selling has touched an all-time high.

Cochlear Limited: Initiation of Coverage- Can Cutting-Edge Innovation & R&D Fuel the Next Growth Surge?

By Baptista Research

  • Cochlear Limited recently announced its half-year results for fiscal year 2025.
  • In its earnings call, the company disclosed a mixed performance across its business segments.
  • On the positive side, the company reported a strong 13% growth in Cochlear implant revenue and an even stronger 22% growth in Acoustics revenue, leading to an overall net sales increase of 6% in constant currency.

James Hardie Industries: Initiation of Coverage- $625 Million Synergy Blueprint Set to Reshape Industry Dynamics!

By Baptista Research

  • James Hardie Industries Plc demonstrated a mixed performance in its fiscal fourth quarter of 2025, underpinned by its strategic growth initiatives amidst challenging market conditions.
  • Despite facing a softer demand environment and macroeconomic uncertainties, the company managed to achieve its financial targets, indicative of its strategic agility and operational discipline.
  • On the positive side, James Hardie’s focus on strategic investments and scaling the organization has borne fruit.

[Earnings Preview] Crude and LNG Slump to Undercut TotalEnergies Q2 Performance

By Suhas Reddy

  • TotalEnergies’ Q2 2025 revenue is expected to drop 17.2% QoQ and 19.4% YoY. Similarly, its EPS is projected to drop 8.7% QoQ and 15.7% YoY.
  • TotalEnergies is expected to post its weakest quarterly revenue and EPS reading since Q1 2021, as falling crude and LNG prices overshadow gains in refining.
  • With 80% of earnings tied to upstream and LNG, even strong production and steady downstream performance leave little room for upside.

Agilent: Back To The Lab – [Business Breakdowns, EP.223]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Agilent is a leading provider of instruments, services, and consumables for labs in the life sciences, diagnostics, applied chemical markets, and R&D sectors
  • With a market cap of $30 billion, Agilent was born within Hewlett Packard and spun off more than 25 years ago
  • Agilent has a total addressable market of $160 billion and has a history dating back to 1938, starting as a testing instrument for audio equipment used by Disney in the production of Fantasia

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Northern Star Resources: Initiation of Coverage- Why Mining Stabilization at Super Pit Could Be a Game-Changer!

By Baptista Research

  • Northern Star Resources Ltd’s March 2025 quarterly results showcased a strong financial and operational performance, despite facing some operational challenges.
  • The company generated robust net mine cash flow of $295 million, with positive contributions from all production centers.
  • The gold price, exceeding AUD 5,000 per ounce, aided this financial strength, alongside the company’s low-risk mining jurisdictions in Western Australia and Alaska.

Smartphone 2Q25: Boring Boring

By Nicolas Baratte

  • IDC and Counterpoint released their 2Q25 smartphone estimates. Smartphone units increased 1-2% YoY. Best performer: Samsung +8% YoY, but this didn’t help 2Q operating profits. Vivo +5%, Apple +2%.
  • The smartphone market is desperately flat – or in slow decline. Smartphone is 76% of revenues for Qualcomm, 57% for Mediatek, 50% Apple and Xiaomi, 35% Samsung, 31% TSMC. Problem?
  • For Semiconductor firms (QCOM, MTK, TSM), chips ASP increases 10-15% at each generation, between node migration (N3, N2) and increasing AI functionalities. For hardware vendors (Apple, Samsung, Xiaomi), it’s worse.

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Refining the path to first production in the Paradox. About to start drilling in the Rockies

By Auctus Advisors

  • • The Paradox initial processing capacity is envisaged to be able to handle 5-10 mmcf/d.
  • Our base case assumes a conservative 5 mmcf/d, although throughput capacity is expected to increase with the tie-in of additional wells, including 16-2LN-CC and 28-11.
  • Notably, the plant’s initial capacity is below the production potential of the 36-2R well.

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare: Initiation of Coverage- How Airvo 3 & Consumable Growth Fuel Explosive Revenue Potential!

By Baptista Research

  • Fisher & Paykel Healthcare’s recent financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, reveal a balanced mix of robust growth and strategic challenges, providing a comprehensive overview of the company’s current performance and future outlook.
  • On the positive front, the company reported operating revenue of $2.02 billion, marking a 16% increase from the previous year.
  • This growth is primarily driven by broad-based expansion across its hospital consumables portfolio and significant contributions from the obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) masks.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Consumer: Samsonite, Hang Seng Index, Betterware de Mexico Sab de CV, Sligro Food Group Nv, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, Yoshinoya Holdings and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Samsonite (1910 HK): Trading Cheap, Yet Tariffs Loom. And Shorts At All-Time High
  • Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (July 14 – 18): HSI at Fresh Highs But Option Volumes Lag
  • BWMX: 2Q Preview: Back to Normal?; Reiterate Buy, $22.50 PT
  • What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 18 July (Sligro Food Group)
  • Companies Seem Reluctant to Hold Online AGMs with Online Attendance
  • Yoshinoya Holdings (9861 JP): Q1 FY02/26 flash update


Samsonite (1910 HK): Trading Cheap, Yet Tariffs Loom. And Shorts At All-Time High

By David Blennerhassett

  • Samsonite (1910 HK), the world’s leading travel luggage manufacturer/retailer, is trading well below its historical metrics. 
  • The share price is up ~30% from its recent low, but down ~22% YTD following a ~31% fall over a 10-day period in early-April, shortly after Trump’s “Liberation Day” speech. 
  • Management initiated a US$200mn buyback program last August. Overhangs include tariff and weak retail market in Asia and North America. Plus short selling has touched an all-time high.

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (July 14 – 18): HSI at Fresh Highs But Option Volumes Lag

By John Ley

  • HSI continued its rally, breaking out to the highest level since early 2022.
  • Breadth was solid and all sectors finished the week higher, led by standout moves in Health Care.
  • Call volumes were underwhelming given the breakout to new highs.

BWMX: 2Q Preview: Back to Normal?; Reiterate Buy, $22.50 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $22.50 price target and projections, with Betterware de Mexico announcing 2Q25 (June) results after the close on Thursday.
  • After a surprising miss (and dividend cut) in 1Q, driven by United States tariff worries, which led Mexican consumers to look for bargains (and resulted in lower-than-expected Betterware operating margins), 2Q will answer whether the shift was an over-reaction, which will position the company to return to strong overall cash flow generation, or a new normal.
  • Given BWMX is now trading at over 40% below its 52-week high and providing a dividend yield (based on the lower 1Q25 dividend rate) of 12%, we believe investors are viewing 1Q results as a harbinger, and are implying management will have to lower their current 2025 guidance (we note Street consensus is already materially below Betterware management’s 2025 guidance).

What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 18 July (Sligro Food Group)

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • Sligro Food Group | post analyst meeting comment

Companies Seem Reluctant to Hold Online AGMs with Online Attendance

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Online AGMs using Internet account for 18%. More than 90% of these meetings are limited to broadcasting the meeting, without allowing shareholders to exercise their voting rights during the meeting.
  • Technical issues are cited as the reason why online shareholder meetings are not increasing, and the Ministry of Justice’s advisory board is discussing legal reforms.
  • For companies whose goal is to pass company proposals at AGMs and end quickly, even if the resolution of issues is included in legal revision, it will have little effect.

Yoshinoya Holdings (9861 JP): Q1 FY02/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • The company achieved FY02/25 sales of JPY205.0bn, surpassing the JPY180.0bn target, driven by agile menu pricing.
  • Operating profit for FY02/25 reached JPY7.3bn, exceeding the JPY7.0bn target, despite rising raw material and labor costs.
  • The company maintained a strong operating margin of 6.3% in FY02/25, supported by cost control and efficiency improvements.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars



Daily Brief Industrials: Alinco Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Alinco Inc (5933 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update


Alinco Inc (5933 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Q1 FY03/26 revenue rose 6.1% YoY to JPY15.4bn; operating profit increased 16.9% YoY to JPY644mn.
  • Recurring profit fell 20.5% YoY to JPY614mn; net income attributable to owners dropped 40.4% YoY to JPY399mn.
  • Construction demand and rental shifts impacted segment revenues and profits, with mixed YoY results across business areas.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars