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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings, Hanwha Ocean , Braemar Shipping Services PLC, Stericycle Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • SG Holdings to Launch TOB on C&F Logistics (9099) At A Whopping ¥5,740/Share – HUGE Governance Win
  • End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 45 Companies in Korea in June 2024
  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): SG Holdings’ Stunning JPY5,740 Offer
  • Braemar – Diversification underpins resilience
  • Stericycle Inc. – What Factors Will Lead To The Company Getting Acquired? What Valuation Can It Extract? – Key Drivers


SG Holdings to Launch TOB on C&F Logistics (9099) At A Whopping ¥5,740/Share – HUGE Governance Win

By Travis Lundy

  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) was near an all-time high in late March when it closed at ¥2,041 the day AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) bid ¥3,000/share.
  • That was hostile, and C&F’s Board reacted swiftly, looking for a market check and competitive process. It got one. It was VERY successful in getting the best bid. 
  • SG Holdings (9143 JP) has bid ¥5,740 – a very full multiple and 91% higher than AZ-Com’s price. I don’t expect an overbidder. Huge governance win for Japan minorities. 

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 45 Companies in Korea in June 2024

By Douglas Kim

  • We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 45 stocks in Korea in June 2024, among which 5 are in KOSPI and 40 are in KOSDAQ.
  • These 45 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in June and could underperform relative to the market.
  • The top three market cap stocks including those of which at least 1% of outstanding shares could be sold in June include Hanwha Ocean, LS Materials, and Komico. 

Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): SG Holdings’ Stunning JPY5,740 Offer

By Arun George


Braemar – Diversification underpins resilience

By Edison Investment Research

Braemar’s FY24 results were in line with expectations with revenues flat, but operating profits down, having been hit by one-off costs and strong comparatives. The underlying operations continue to expand and diversify, which drove an 8% increase in FY24 fixtures, and the company remains well-positioned to drive its future growth strategy. The trading outlook for FY25 is promising and Braemar should be able to leverage its strong balance sheet in pursuit of strategic growth. We have maintained our underlying revenue and operating profit estimates for FY25 and FY26, but rolled over the base year for the valuation, which results in a modest increase in the valuation from 500p to 535p per share, offering c 70% upside.


Stericycle Inc. – What Factors Will Lead To The Company Getting Acquired? What Valuation Can It Extract? – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is a special one-time report on Stericycle as the company is exploring a sale.
  • Its recent results paint a largely positive picture for the company, with some minor setbacks due to the implementation of the new ERP system.
  • As Stericycle explores a potential sale, the company continues to target improvements in operations to increase efficiency and reduce costs, with expectations of improved results in the coming quarters.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Infocom Corp, Cainiao Smart Logistics Network, Qualcomm Inc, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Zoom Video Communications Inc, NVIDIA Corp, Oki Electric Industry, Canon Inc, Bel Fuse Inc Cl B, Palo Alto Networks and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Infocom (4348 JP): Blackstone’s Rumoured JPY260bn Bid to Acquire Teijin’s Stake
  • CaiNiao Q4FY Results: After IPO Withdrawn, Margins Fell | Retention Payments, or Something Else?
  • Qualcomm. Watch This Space…
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Computex & Apple WDC Imminent; Apple Releasing New AI Voice Interface for IPhone
  • Zoom Video Communications: A Story Of Continued Growth in Enterprise Customer Base! – Major Drivers
  • NVIDIA Corporation: On Track To Become The World’s Largest Company With Enhanced AI Capabilities? – Major Drivers
  • Oki Electric Industry (6703): Full-Year FY03/24 Update
  • Buy the Pullback; Market Dynamics Remain Healthy; Buys in Tech, Discretionary, Healthcare, Utilities
  • Bel Fuse Inc (BELFB) – Friday, Mar 1, 2024
  • Palo Alto Networks: Will Its Investments In AI Capabilities Provide A Much Needed Competitive Edge? – Major Drivers


Infocom (4348 JP): Blackstone’s Rumoured JPY260bn Bid to Acquire Teijin’s Stake

By Arun George

  • Bloomberg reports that Blackstone (BX US) has agreed to acquire Teijin Ltd (3401 JP)’s 55% stake in Infocom Corp (4348 JP) at a rumoured valuation of JPY260 billion. 
  • The potential minority offer price depends on whether the rumoured valuation refers to market cap or enterprise value and whether Teijin will share TOB tax benefits. 
  • The most likely scenario is that the valuation refers to the market cap, with Teijin sharing TOB tax benefits, resulting in a minority offer of around JPY5,720 per share. 

CaiNiao Q4FY Results: After IPO Withdrawn, Margins Fell | Retention Payments, or Something Else?

By Daniel Hellberg

  • After CaiNiao halted IPO in late March, company reported lower Q4 margins
  • What drove Q4 margin deterioration, retention payments or weaker X-border?
  • With IPO off the table, supporting AliExpress becomes CaiNiao’s main role

Qualcomm. Watch This Space…

By William Keating

  • Automotive revenues for Q1CY24 amounted to $603 million, up 35% YoY. This compares to MobilEye’s revenue of $239 million, down 48% YoY
  • Automotive design-win pipeline is now $45 billion, up from $30 billion less than two years ago
  • CEO Amon said “Every time we enter a new market, we end up building a very strong position”. That’s a shot across the bows for Intel and AMD…

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Computex & Apple WDC Imminent; Apple Releasing New AI Voice Interface for IPhone

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Market Largely Influenced by Macro Trends and Nvidia Movements This Past Week
  • Key Events: Computex, Apple WDC, Key Taiwan May Revenue Releases
  • Apple (AAPL US) Is Overhauling Siri In Order to Create a Beautiful Voice-based AI Interface for the iPhone

Zoom Video Communications: A Story Of Continued Growth in Enterprise Customer Base! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Zoom reported total Q1 revenue of $1.141 billion, a 3% year-on-year increase.
  • Enterprise revenue, which represented 58% of total revenue, grew 5% year-on-year.
  • Gross margin was 79.3%, slightly lower than the 80.5% recorded in the same quarter last year due to investments in AI innovation.

NVIDIA Corporation: On Track To Become The World’s Largest Company With Enhanced AI Capabilities? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • NVIDIA Corporation is on track to become the largest company in the world, purely on the basis of its leadership in the artificial intelligence (AI) and graphics processing units (GPU).
  • The company, reported its first quarter earnings of the fiscal year 2025.
  • The company generated record revenue of $26 billion which is sequentially up by 18% and YoY up by 262%, significantly surpassing its estimated outlook of $24 billion.

Oki Electric Industry (6703): Full-Year FY03/24 Update

By Shared Research

  • Founded in 1881, Oki Electric Industry Co., Ltd. manufactures electrical and communications equipment, ICT equipment, and systems that utilize these products.
  • In FY03/24, OKI reported full-year consolidated sales of JPY421.9bn, operating profit of JPY18.7bn, recurring profit of JPY18.3bn, and net income of JPY25.6bn.
  • OKI Electric Industry Co., Ltd. announced that it expects to record income taxes–deferred in its consolidated and non-consolidated financial results for FY03/24.

Buy the Pullback; Market Dynamics Remain Healthy; Buys in Tech, Discretionary, Healthcare, Utilities

By Joe Jasper

  • Global MSCI indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM) are pulling back following recent breakouts to multi-year highs. Europe, Japan also pulling back to uptrend supports.
  • Short-Term supports to watch-discussed in our May 23, 2024 Int’l Compass-include $110.50 on ACWI-US, $53.50 on ACWX-US, $80 on EFA-US, and $41-42 on EEM-US; buy this pullback
  • As long as these supports hold, we anticipate significantly higher prices ahead. Combination of supports holding and healthy market dynamics continues to validate our bullish outlook on global equities.

Bel Fuse Inc (BELFB) – Friday, Mar 1, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Company previously written up by starfox02 has doubled in price since August 2022
  • Author sees potential for stock price to double again and provides a refresher on investment thesis
  • Company specializes in manufacturing reliable and high-quality fuses, connectors, and power components for industries; trading at a low earnings multiple with opportunities for growth and margin expansion

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Palo Alto Networks: Will Its Investments In AI Capabilities Provide A Much Needed Competitive Edge? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Palo Alto Networks, a cybersecurity company, has reported a strong fiscal third quarter 2024.
  • The company continues to observe robust cyberattack activities, with an increasing focus on software supply chain and hardware vulnerabilities.
  • Notably, the adoption and experimentation of artificial intelligence (AI) by their customers have introduced a new set of threats, leading to the development of security products designed specifically to secure AI usage.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Alibaba Health Information Tec, Jiangxi Rimag Group, Glenmark Pharmaceuticals, CervoMed , Humana Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Baba’s Babies: They’re All Grown Up!: Alibaba Health (241 HK) Temperature’s Rising!
  • Jiangxi Rimag IPO (2522.HK): Global Offering and Valuation Update
  • Glenmark Pharma- Value Erosion Not Something New
  • CRVO: Enrollment Set to Complete in Phase 2b RewinD-LB Trial in 2Q24 Topline Data in 4Q24
  • Humana Inc.: Impacts on Pharmacy Benefit Managers (PBMs) Resulting From IRA Changes & Other Major Drivers


Baba’s Babies: They’re All Grown Up!: Alibaba Health (241 HK) Temperature’s Rising!

By David Mudd

  • Alibaba Health Information Tec (241 HK) operates an online platform for healthcare services and products.  Post COVID the company has maintained and grown it the online healthcare market.
  • The company which is 53%-owned by Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) , recently reported results for 2023 which beat analyst estimates, recording a 65% increase in net profit.
  • The company recently bought AJK Technology from Taobao which gives Ali Health  operational rights for advertising of online healthcare merchants on Tmall (Alimama).

Jiangxi Rimag IPO (2522.HK): Global Offering and Valuation Update

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Jiangxi Rimag Group, a China-based medical imaging center operator and provider of Rimag cloud services, set terms for an IPO and plans to raise ~HK$280M (~$36M) in Hong Kong.
  • The IPO is expected to be between HK$14.60 and HK$16.80. At the midpoint of the range, Jiangxi Rimag will have a market value of ~HK$5.6B based on 356.3M outstanding shares.
  • CITIC Securities is leading the offering. CMB International and Huatai International act as joint global coordinators, joint bookrunners and joint lead managers.

Glenmark Pharma- Value Erosion Not Something New

By Nitin Mangal

  • Glenmark Pharmaceuticals (GNP IN) FY24 results have seen PBT reducing from INR 2.4 bn to INR 365 mn i.e. by nearly 85%. 
  • This was on account for exceptional line items, which included gains from sale stake in Glenmark Lifesciences, but was offset by losses pertaining to legalities and heavy impairment in assets.
  • The habit of having exceptional items, especially impairments is not something new or one-offs. There have been regular impairments carried in the past as well. 

CRVO: Enrollment Set to Complete in Phase 2b RewinD-LB Trial in 2Q24 Topline Data in 4Q24

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • On May 15, 2024, CervoMed Inc. (CRVO) announced financial results for the first quarter of 2024 and provided a business update.
  • Enrollment is ongoing in the RewinD-LB Phase 2b clinical trial of neflamapimod in patients with dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB).
  • We anticipate enrollment completing in the second quarter of 2024 with topline data from the trial expected in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Humana Inc.: Impacts on Pharmacy Benefit Managers (PBMs) Resulting From IRA Changes & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Humana Inc., a leading health insurance provider, posted its first quarter results for 2024 and provided some important insights into the company’s financial performance and future outlook.
  • CEO Bruce Broussard and CFO Susan Diamond shared their insights in a Q&A session following the earnings call.
  • Broussard highlighted Humana’s solid start to 2024, stating the company reaffirmed its full-year adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance at approximately $16 with an increased individual MA membership growth outlook.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Mitsubishi Motors, Bloks Group, PDD Holdings, Modine Manufacturing Co, Guess? Inc, Dixon Technologies India Ltd, Urban Outfitters, Global-e Online , Lowe’s Companies Inc, Skyline Champion and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2024: End-May 2024 Estimates
  • Bloks Group Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • PDD Holdings: Will The Focus On Agricultural Strategy Convert Into Positive Revenue Growth? – Major Drivers
  • Modine Manufacturing Company: Will The Recovery in Heating
  • GES: 1Q Review; Creating a Powerful Model; Reiterate Buy, $37 PT
  • Dixon Technologies- Forensic Analysis (Update)
  • Urban Outfitters: Impact Of New Facility On Their Logistics & Profitability & Other Major Drivers
  • Global-e Online Ltd.: Expanding Merchant Base and Launch Plans! – Major Drivers
  • Lowe’s Companies: Front-End Transformation and Investment in Technology! – Major Drivers
  • Skyline Champion Corporation: Can The Acquisition of Regional Homes Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers


Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2024: End-May 2024 Estimates

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents.
  • A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. We look at the rankings of the potential ADDs/DELs every month.
  • In this insight, we take a look at potential ADDs/DELs for the JPX-Nikkei 400 index rebal event to come in August 2024 based on trading data as of end-May 2024.

Bloks Group Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Goldman Sachs, and Huatai International.
  • Bloks Groups (Bloks) operates in the toy segment where it primarily assembles character toys. Its portfolio contains both self-developed and renowned licensed intellectual property (IPs).
  • According to F&S, Bloks was China’s largest player in the assembly character toy segment with an approximate gross merchandise value (GMV) of RMB1.8bn in 2023.

PDD Holdings: Will The Focus On Agricultural Strategy Convert Into Positive Revenue Growth? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • PDD Holdings Inc., an innovative online retail company based in China, seems to show a strong future trajectory based on its first quarter 2024 earnings conference call.
  • The company surpassed its year-on-year growth with total revenue reaching RMB 86.8 billion, marking a 131% increase.
  • This impressive growth serves as a testament to PDD Holdings’s efforts to deepen its access and widely influence the consumer market.

Modine Manufacturing Company: Will The Recovery in Heating

By Baptista Research

  • Modine Manufacturing Company (Modine) reported upbeat performance for its fiscal 2024 with record sales and adjusted EBITDA being noted for the second consecutive year.
  • Sales increased by 5% to reach $2.4 billion while adjusted EBITDA surged by 48% to $314 million; a significant margin improvement indicating the company’s effective commitment to its 80/20 principle.
  • Modine successfully shifted its business to targeted markets with growth potential where its innovative solutions are well-regarded, leading to sustainable margins.

GES: 1Q Review; Creating a Powerful Model; Reiterate Buy, $37 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating and $37 price target for Guess?
  • and tweaking and further back-end loading our FY25 and FY26 projections after Guess?
  • announced 1QFY25 top and bottom line upside, driven by Europe and Domestic wholesale results, as the rag & bone acquisition proved to be a key positive and the company continues to take share in Europe.

Dixon Technologies- Forensic Analysis (Update)

By Nitin Mangal

  • Dixon Technologies India Ltd (DIXON IN) growth is driven by mobile and EMS segment; majority of other businesses are muted in the last two years.  
  • The company is able to convert earnings to cash quickly but cash yield is close to zero.
  • The company has reported significant amount of refund liability, but is silent on its accounting policy. Other forensics takeaways include non-reconciliation of asset disposals, high forex risk, etc.

Urban Outfitters: Impact Of New Facility On Their Logistics & Profitability & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Urban Outfitters, Inc. had an exceptional first quarter for fiscal 2025, performing better than expected with four out of five brands posting record revenues leading to an overall revenue of $1.2 billion.
  • Anthropologie, Free People, FP Movement, and Nuuly all experienced double-digit growth, with record operating incomes reported for 3 of their brands.
  • These strong results, however, were somewhat tempered by continuous weak performance at the Urban Outfitters brand.

Global-e Online Ltd.: Expanding Merchant Base and Launch Plans! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In the Q1 2024 earnings, Global-E Online Ltd reaffirmed its strong growth trajectory and bullish outlook for the rest of the year.
  • For Q1, the company reported growth in gross merchandise volume (GMV), revenues, and adjusted EBITDA, surpassing the forecasted range for the quarter.
  • GMV grew 32% YoY, revenues grew 24%, and adjusted EBITDA grew 47%.

Lowe’s Companies: Front-End Transformation and Investment in Technology! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Lowe’s Companies reported its recent earnings and maintained the company’s expectations for fiscal 2024.
  • Their first quarter sales were $21.4 billion, with comparable sales down 4.1% from the same period last year.
  • Despite the continued pressure in DIY big ticket discretionary spending, the company delivered better-than-expected spring seasonal sales.

Skyline Champion Corporation: Can The Acquisition of Regional Homes Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In Fiscal 2024, Skyline Champion Corporation prioritized investments to offer integrated turnkey solutions for retail, financial services, and home completion.
  • They experienced some decrease year over-year in their unit volume.
  • However, the company reported over $2 billion in top-line revenue, indicating a solid financial year nonetheless.

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Daily Brief Financials: Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Xinyi Glass Holdings, Mankind Pharma, Chang Hwa Commercial Bank, China Vanke , American International Group, Metlife Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Hot Topic Among Local Institutions in Recent Days: Utilizing COE in Value-Up Investing
  • Xinyi Glass (868): Beneficiary of Chinese RE Rejuvenation
  • Indian Companies Are Betting on Booming Capital Markets with Unplanned Fund Raisings
  • Chang Hwa Commercial Bank – April Monthly Profit Figures Suggest Slowing Growth
  • China Vanke – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics
  • American International Group (AIG): What Has Been Their Path to Value Creation Post-Financial Crisis? – Major Drivers
  • MetLife Inc.: A Story Of Capital Deployment to Achieve Responsible Growth and Boost Shareholder Value! – Major Drivers


Hot Topic Among Local Institutions in Recent Days: Utilizing COE in Value-Up Investing

By Sanghyun Park

  • Local institutional investors were disappointed Kiwoom omitted COE from their value-up disclosure. They seek clearer plans to address low-yield assets and reduce COE.
  • Rapidly rising interest in COE among local institutional investors is now shaping the screening criteria for the Korea Exchange’s value-up index, possibly using COE as a primary factor for inclusion.
  • Competition likely centers on selecting and weighting stocks, including those beyond KOSPI 200. Key metric: COE linked with ROE.

Xinyi Glass (868): Beneficiary of Chinese RE Rejuvenation

By Henry Soediarko

  • The majority of its revenue comes from selling float glass, which is used in buildings and construction. 
  • The Chinese government has started home ownership relaxation that will reinvigorate the real estate market. 
  • It is still trading at 67% lower to 3 years ago. 

Indian Companies Are Betting on Booming Capital Markets with Unplanned Fund Raisings

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • With Indian capital markets booming, companies are tapping capital markets regularly for fundraising even though they have recently raised funds.
  • There are also cases where company after concluding IPO in recent years are going for fund raise
  • The market are jittery about possible equity dilution and unclear fund raising objectives

Chang Hwa Commercial Bank – April Monthly Profit Figures Suggest Slowing Growth

By Daniel Tabbush

  • April monthly data on pre-tax income shows slowing YoY growth compared with YTD growth
  • NIM pressure was severe in past six months and this can be a key driver of less profit growth
  • Credit costs in decline supported net profit delta, but this may not longer be sustainable

China Vanke – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess China Vanke’s ESG as “Adequate”. The company has “Adequate” scores for all three pillars. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Strong”.


American International Group (AIG): What Has Been Their Path to Value Creation Post-Financial Crisis? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • American International Group Inc. (AIG) reported a solid performance for the first quarter of 2024, showing significant improvements.
  • Peter Zaffino, the company’s Chairman and CEO, remarked on the steady growth witnessed this year, with the report indicating a 9% year-on-year increase in adjusted after-tax income, seeing it to $1.2 billion or $1.77 per diluted common share.
  • Some key factors driving this growth include the expansion of AIG’s operations, particularly via its General Insurance underwriting segment, which experienced a 19% year-over-year increase, translating to underwriting income of $596 million in Q1 2024.

MetLife Inc.: A Story Of Capital Deployment to Achieve Responsible Growth and Boost Shareholder Value! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • MetLife Inc. delivered solid financial results for the first quarter of 2024 with strong top-line growth, consistent execution, and sustained momentum.
  • The company reported adjusted earnings of $1.3 billion or $1.83 per share, up 20% per share from the prior year period, reflecting a partial rebound in variable investment income led by private equity gains.
  • Net income for the first quarter was $800 million, taking a sharp rise from $14 million from the prior year period.

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Daily Brief ESG: Why Are Companies with High Corporate Governance Practices Ratings More Profitable? and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Why Are Companies with High Corporate Governance Practices Ratings More Profitable?


Why Are Companies with High Corporate Governance Practices Ratings More Profitable?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Companies with higher ratings for Corporate Governance Practices (Board Practices and Key Actions) tend to have significantly higher profitability, market capitalization and valuations.
  • Foreign ownership has the highest correlation with the Metrical CG score, suggesting that years of overseas investor engagement have improved the companies’ corporate governance practices and profitability.
  • The pace of efforts varies with criteria of Corporate Governance Practices.  Companies with Metrical CG scores of over 70% are ahead in % independent directors and % female board members.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Trump Guilty and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Trump Guilty
  • #4 India Insight: India Gets S&P Upgrade, Adani Green Ambition Creates Doubt, Jio App Launch
  • Banks Prefer Bonds
  • China Property Developers In Distress – Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | May 24-30, 2024
  • [Blue Lotus Daily]:NIO US/1810 HK/ LI US/BEKE US/981 HK/1347 HK/ACMR/9926 HK
  • [Blue Lotus Daily – TMT Update]:700 HK/BIDU US/SE US/BABA US/1519 HK
  • China’s Internet Giants Lead the Way Raising $6.5 Billion Through Convertible Bonds
  • #8 Business Buzz: BHP’s Setback, China Fine on PwC, Tesla’s FSD in China, Slower US GDP, Twitter


Ohayo Japan | Trump Guilty

By Mark Chadwick

  • Donald Trump has been found guilty on all 34 counts of falsifying business records, sparking market concerns.
  • Stocks closed lower Thursday, led by Salesforce’s worst day in nearly two decades, down 19.7% on weak revenue.
  • Kansai Paint (4613) announced a share buyback of up to 80 billion yen, purchasing up to 40 million shares (19.01% of issued shares)

#4 India Insight: India Gets S&P Upgrade, Adani Green Ambition Creates Doubt, Jio App Launch

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • S&P Upgrades India’s Outlook: Positive Signals for the Indian Economy
  • Jio Financial Services Launches ‘JioFinance’ App: A Leap Towards Digital Financial Inclusion
  • Adani Green ambitions are running short says global analyst; raising concern on capital and returns

Banks Prefer Bonds

By Rikki Malik

  • The JGB  market is doing the BoJ’s work for it
  • Japanese financials will continue to perform in this market environment
  • US bonds follow the same pattern as inflation and bond issuance rises

China Property Developers In Distress – Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | May 24-30, 2024

By Robert Ciemniak

  • This note is a weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress
  • We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news (‘local signals’), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market
  • We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; See direct links to sources

[Blue Lotus Daily]:NIO US/1810 HK/ LI US/BEKE US/981 HK/1347 HK/ACMR/9926 HK

By Eric Wen

  • NIO US/1810 HK/ LI US: EV sales in the 20th week of 2024 NIO, Xiaomi and LI performed well(/////)
  • BEKE US: Shanghai implements central government policies to further stimulate property market demand from nine aspects.(+)
  • 981 HK/1347 HK/1810 HK/ACMR/China semiconductor: China launches Big Fund III to support semiconductor development (+)

[Blue Lotus Daily – TMT Update]:700 HK/BIDU US/SE US/BABA US/1519 HK

By Ying Pan

  • 700 HK: Tencent’s <DNF Mobile> achieved nearly RMB 1 bn gross billings in the first week of the operation(+)
  • 700 HK: Tencent will release a mobile version of the classic basketball game <NBA 2K All-Star>. (+)
  • BIDU US: Baidu Apollo received complaints from users in the important city of Wuhan, saying that autonomous driving caused traffic congestion(/)

China’s Internet Giants Lead the Way Raising $6.5 Billion Through Convertible Bonds

By Caixin Global

  • More Chinese technology companies might turn to convertible bonds after Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and JD.com Inc. raised a combined $6.5 billion through such notes, said UBS, the joint book runner for JD.com’s issuance.
  • Both enterprises said the proceeds will be used for share buybacks, which are expected to boost their stock prices and show some positive signs in the capital market for other Chinese tech companies, Selina Cheung, co-head of UBS Asia equity capital markets, said Tuesday.
  • Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com announced the completion of its $2 billion offering of convertible senior notes last Thursday.

#8 Business Buzz: BHP’s Setback, China Fine on PwC, Tesla’s FSD in China, Slower US GDP, Twitter

By Nimish Maheshwari


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Daily Brief ECM: Shift Up IPO: Valuation Insights and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Shift Up IPO: Valuation Insights
  • AMMB Holdings Placement – Last Selldown Did Well, This One Will Remove the Overhang


Shift Up IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George

  • Shift Up (462870 KS) is Korea’s leading game development studio. It is seeking to raise up to US$320 million.
  • We previously discussed the IPO in Shift Up IPO: The Investment Case
  • We examine the syndicate’s valuation methodology. Our analysis suggests that Shift Up is attractively valued in the IPO price range. We would participate in the IPO.

AMMB Holdings Placement – Last Selldown Did Well, This One Will Remove the Overhang

By Clarence Chu

  • ANZ Funds is looking to raise around US$149m from selling its remaining stake in AMMB Holdings (AMM MK).
  • ANZ has sold the majority of its stake in AMMB earlier in Mar 2024. Coming to markets again to sell its remaining stake, the deal here should be well flagged.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: Shui On Land and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: Shui On Land
  • Morning Views Asia: Fosun International, Lenovo, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, NTPC Ltd, Rakuten


Morning Views Asia: Shui On Land

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Morning Views Asia: Fosun International, Lenovo, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust, NTPC Ltd, Rakuten

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Exedy (7278) Huge Offering Resized – Watch the Dynamics Here and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Exedy (7278) Huge Offering Resized – Watch the Dynamics Here
  • Infocom (4348 JP) – Reports of an Exclusive Negotiation May Give Hints
  • Detailed Summary of Today’s Second Trial Ruling in Chey Tae-Won’s Divorce Case Involving SK Inc
  • Kansai Paint (4613) – Going Hard with a BIG Buyback and More Capital Moves Beyond
  • Zomato Placement Lockup Expiry – US$800m Overhang
  • Legal Complications on Put Options on SSG.Com to Result in Ongoing Concerns for Emart and Shinsegae
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: US$1.1bn Index Inflow for Engie if Nokia’s Rank Falls by ONE
  • SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Changes as Review Period Ends Today
  • Brookfield to Launch Mandatory Offer for Neoen


Exedy (7278) Huge Offering Resized – Watch the Dynamics Here

By Travis Lundy

  • On Monday 27 May, Aisin (7259 JP) announced an offering to sell ALL of its 36+% stake in equity affiliate Exedy Corp (7278 JP) for likely ¥40bn+. 
  • Exedy announced a big buyback to go with it. It bought back 30% of the total on Weds morning, and that reduced the size of the offer. 
  • I had expected “short-term games” but we haven’t really had them. Which is a bit weird. This update shows the details and dynamics (they differ).

Infocom (4348 JP) – Reports of an Exclusive Negotiation May Give Hints

By Travis Lundy


Detailed Summary of Today’s Second Trial Ruling in Chey Tae-Won’s Divorce Case Involving SK Inc

By Sanghyun Park

  • The first trial in December 2022 ordered Chey to pay 67.5 billion KRW; today’s ruling increased this to 1.38 trillion KRW plus 2 billion KRW, including splitting SK Inc. shares.
  • The increased settlement and SK Inc. share split could spark a management rights battle, causing SK Inc.’s stock price to jump as investors and shareholders react.
  • It may take a year for the final verdict, making a sustained stock price increase unlikely. Yet, differences between trial rulings could alter Chey’s SK Inc. stake, sustaining market interest.

Kansai Paint (4613) – Going Hard with a BIG Buyback and More Capital Moves Beyond

By Travis Lundy

  • 24mos ago, Kansai Paint (4613 JP) announced a new MTMP, a large buyback, and plans to unwind cross-holdings. Big. 15mos ago a large secondary offering kicked off the festivities.
  • Key was Toyota sold. Then KP could sell its Toyota shares – two-thirds of its cross-holdings. The offering was one to buy. A buyback followed. KP vs Nippon Paint doubled.
  • KP offered a CB recently with the delta hedge done by TN-3. Now there is a HUGE new buyback. Really big. This gets rid of more cross-holders. And there’s more.

Zomato Placement Lockup Expiry – US$800m Overhang

By Sumeet Singh

  • Antfin will come out of its placement linked lockup for its remaining stake in Zomato soon.
  • Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Mar 2024. It still has over US$800m worth of shares left to sell.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Legal Complications on Put Options on SSG.Com to Result in Ongoing Concerns for Emart and Shinsegae

By Douglas Kim

  • Emart and Shinsegae are facing concerns about put options of nearly 1 trillion won on private equity investors’ investment in SSG.com nearly six years ago. 
  • From AEP and BRV’s point of views, they want to get their money back through put options since an IPO is not likely in the near term.
  • The most probable result appears to be that this is likely to be dragged on for some time, which will cause continued concerns on both Emart and Shinsegae. 

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: US$1.1bn Index Inflow for Engie if Nokia’s Rank Falls by ONE

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked and followed indices in Europe and the annual index review takes place in September every year.
  • This annual index rebal event usually results in some of the most significant index flow events in Europe every year, typically amounting to billions of dollars of flows.
  • In this insight, we take a look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2024.

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: 4 Changes as Review Period Ends Today

By Brian Freitas

  • With one day left in the review period, we see 4 potential changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
  • Berli Jucker (BJC TB) could be added to the index following the market consultation that lowered the inclusion thresholds for Average Daily Trading Values and Turnover ratios.
  • An equally weighted basket of potential adds has outperformed the potential deletes but there has been a deterioration in performance over the last month.

Brookfield to Launch Mandatory Offer for Neoen

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Brookfield (BN CN) has entered exclusive negotiations with the top shareholders of Neoen (NEOEN FP) to acquire a 53.32% stake at €39.85/share, 26.9% premium, which will trigger a mandatory offer.
  • The offer represents 15.1x EV/NTM Fwd EBITDA vs. the median of peers at 9.3x. My fair-value estimate (DCF-based) is €33.76/share, therefore the offer is generous, in my view.
  • Expect the shares to close the spread tomorrow and trade around 3% gross spread and the convertibles to price higher (2% 06/25 at around €51.85, 2.875% 09/27 around 111.72%).

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