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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Macro: Is Japan Back? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Is Japan Back?
  • EM Fixed Income: Reviewing the global & previewing the upcoming idiosyncratic
  • Be Careful With Metals & Why we currently don’t touch Oil Markets
  • China/US: Sauce For The Goose…
  • Global FX: Japan focus, US/China, PMIs, Fed/ECB
  • At Any Rate: Of funding and refundings
  • Why The World Started Hedging Its US Dollar Exposure
  • Oil futures: Crude mixed, but steepest weekly gains since June
  • From London to Beijing
  • Asian Equities: Divergent EPS Trajectory, Narrowing Valuation Spread; KR-TW Leading EPS Upgrades


Is Japan Back?

By Trillions

  • Japan, a country big in ETFs, is discussed in the Trillions podcast with guest Jeremy Schwartz from WisdomTree
  • DXJ, the WisdomTree Japan Hedged ETF, had a successful run in 2013 but later underperformed, potentially due to currency manipulation and changes in leadership
  • Despite past fluctuations, Japan never left and DXJ has outperformed the S&P 500 since 2012, highlighting the potential for growth and investment opportunities in Japan

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


EM Fixed Income: Reviewing the global & previewing the upcoming idiosyncratic

By At Any Rate

  • EM markets trading with strong global beta, lack of US key data due to government shutdown affecting market direction
  • EM currencies look okay, EM rates may be less favorable, EM credit suffering from tight spreads
  • Key takeaways from IMF conference in Washington include focus on impact of AI-related investments on global growth and employment, overall mood on growth is flat with risks but no panic or euphoria

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Be Careful With Metals & Why we currently don’t touch Oil Markets

By The Commodity Report

  • Our strategy approach is to filter various information sources and apply our clear investment process on top of it.
  • There are two reasons for us to enter a trade: …our quant system tells us to do so …or we make a discretionary manager decision based on market fundamentals that the quant system will only grasp with a time-lag
  • While not only moving sideways, the oil complex is currently drastically underperforming other parts of the commodity complex.

China/US: Sauce For The Goose…

By Alastair Newton

  • Donald Trump and Xi Jinping’s 30 October summit will likely stave off, for now, any further escalation of trade tensions between China and the US.
  • However, thanks to its monopoly on strategic minerals and Xi Jinping’s willingness to play a long game — even beyond ‘mere’ trade — China holds the stronger hand.
  • Irrespective of whatever Mr Trump concedes this week to secure a ‘headline grabber’, Xi Jinping will therefore come back for more, not least on Taiwan.

Global FX: Japan focus, US/China, PMIs, Fed/ECB

By At Any Rate

  • FX and gold oil ratio have decoupled this year, leading to low volatility and focus on US data, exogenous shocks, and geopolitics in FX trading.
  • Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi delivered a speech on economic policy, focusing on fiscal measures and debt reduction, without mentioning monetary or FX policy.
  • Despite interventionist stance of Takaichi and Finance Minister Katayama, it is unlikely they will strongly intervene in BOJ policy, with expectations of a rate hike next week due to economic and market developments.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


At Any Rate: Of funding and refundings

By At Any Rate

  • Funding pressures have been gradually increasing due to various factors such as a new easing cycle by the Fed, rebuilding of tga, and QT draining liquidity from the system.
  • Money funds began extending duration and shifting balances, leading to evidence of funding pressures in September which intensified in October.
  • Funding markets are becoming more sensitive to incremental collateral adds and repo markets are operating with more frictions, impacting the effectiveness of SRF operations in redistributing reserves and controlling repo rates.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Why The World Started Hedging Its US Dollar Exposure

By Odd Lots

  • Verizon Business offers a new My biz plan with customizable mobile options starting at $25 per line
  • Odd Thoughts podcast discusses big market stories, including the fall of the dollar, rise in gold prices, and enthusiasm for AI in the stock market
  • Hyun Sung Shin of the Bank for International Settlements discusses the unusual market trends of the year and their implications.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Oil futures: Crude mixed, but steepest weekly gains since June

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude prices were mixed Friday, but consolidated the sharp rally driven by new US sanctions on Russia’s top oil producers, as both benchmarks headed for their biggest weekly gain since June.
  • Front-month December ICE Brent was up to $66.01/b at 2011 BST, while December NYMEX WTI dipped slightly to $61.58/b , after jumping more than 5% on Thursday.
  • The pullback followed Washington’s sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil, which together account for roughly half of Russia’s crude output and exports.

From London to Beijing

By BMO Equity Research Metal Matters

  • Turbulent macro backdrop with concerns over US-China trade relations and credit quality affecting global economy and metals demand
  • Mixed sentiments on copper market balances for next year, with varying views on supply from DRC and Chinese demand
  • Aluminium narrative looking positive with China’s X supply growth and debate on market balances centered around capacity ramp up from Indonesia

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Asian Equities: Divergent EPS Trajectory, Narrowing Valuation Spread; KR-TW Leading EPS Upgrades

By Manishi Raychaudhuri

  • Asia’s valuation rerating seems over. Future market performance would likely be driven by earnings growth. On current consensus forecasts, Taiwan, Korea, China and India lead the future earnings growth leaderboard.
  • Growth adjusted relative valuations are similar to early 2025, but markets are more closely aligned along the trendline. India is relatively less expensive and Korea relatively less cheap than previously.
  • Analysts are turning more bullish on 2026 than on 2025. For most large markets, especially Korea and Taiwan, 2026 consensus EPS estimates have moved up while 2025 estimates have declined.

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Daily Brief Crypto: My Pet Hooligans: Unlocking Players with Web3 and AI and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • My Pet Hooligans: Unlocking Players with Web3 and AI


My Pet Hooligans: Unlocking Players with Web3 and AI

By Animoca Brands Research

  • AMGI Studios combines animation expertise with gaming technology to explore new entertainment formats.
  • Its first title, My Pet Hooligan (MPH), is a multiplayer shooter with open-world gameplay, tokenized assets, and on-chain progression.
  • To expand its audience, AMGI leverages Web3 and AI. Web3 features like $KARRAT tokens, NFTs, and an on-chain marketplace attract blockchain-native players and reward engagement, while Studio Chain is designed to support fast, scalable, and secure transactions.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: [Japan M&A/Activism] Ashimori Industry (3526 JP) Minimum Lower and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan M&A/Activism] Ashimori Industry (3526 JP) Minimum Lower, May Be a Tough Call
  • LG Chem (051910 KS): Palliser Targets Steep NAV Discount
  • Running Through the Context Behind Chatter of HMC Rolling Out a Pref‑tilted First‑leg Buyback
  • Comcast (Nasdaq: CMCSA) To Spin-Off Versant: SOTP Favors the Breakup
  • Honeywell International (Nasdaq: HON) To Spin-Off Solstice on October 30
  • High Arctic Overseas: Good Things Coming
  • Weekly Update (TKMS, NATL, HOH.V)
  • Copper Convergence — Votes & De Beers in Focus
  • AAM-Dowlais: EU Cleared, 7/10 Approvals — Spread ~3.4%, Close Now Guided to Q1’26


[Japan M&A/Activism] Ashimori Industry (3526 JP) Minimum Lower, May Be a Tough Call

By Travis Lundy

  • In August, Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP) announced a deal for Ashimori Industry (3526 JP) at 1.000x book value after writedowns. That was not a coincidence.
  • The takeover is cheap for what it is. No synergies were counted. But it wasn’t truly offensive. MURAKAMI Takateru aimed an activist broadside, bought 19.73% across four entities. Then stopped. 
  • The Bidder lowered the Tender Offer Minimum from 2.3081mm shares (38.29%) to 1.8001mm shares (29.86%). Shares dropped. As of 24-Sep, 2,111,226 shares had been tendered. This looks done. Maybe. 

LG Chem (051910 KS): Palliser Targets Steep NAV Discount

By David Blennerhassett

  • Last week, London-based activist Palliser Capital tapped LG Chem (051910 KS) to remedy its NAV market discount. Palliser also said it now holds a little over 1% in LG Chem.
  • LG Chem’s large NAV discount is well known. It has been present since ~82%-held LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) (LGES) was listed in January 2022. 
  • An obvious solution is to pare down the LGES stake, and buy back shares. Yet the discount remains as the market views management as being (stubbornly) set in their ways.

Running Through the Context Behind Chatter of HMC Rolling Out a Pref‑tilted First‑leg Buyback

By Sanghyun Park

  • HMC buyback ~₩0.8–1.0tn (~1.5% SO). Street focus is ord/pref split, with prefs at ~25% discount. Mgmt urgency: lift equity value as K‑market rallies.
  • Narrowing the pref gap seen as the cleanest lever—shareholder‑friendly signal, draws real money/offshore flows, de‑risks policy optics—so locals expect the first buyback leg skewed to prefs.
  • Street sees HMC aiming mid‑teens pref discount via year‑end pref‑heavy buyback and dividend tax reform. Catalysts make narrowing trend look achievable.

Comcast (Nasdaq: CMCSA) To Spin-Off Versant: SOTP Favors the Breakup

By Garvit Bhandari

  • Comcast’s planned spin-off of Versant Media creates two sharper investment profiles – broadband and infrastructure (Comcast ex-Versant) versus content and networks (Versant) – enabling clearer strategic focus and capital discipline.
  • Post-Spin, Comcast retains $117B revenue and 30% margins, while Versant will have $7B media portfolio with 40% EBITDA margins.
  • Our sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation assigns 6.0× to Comcast and 8.4× to Versant, implying combined equity value of $146.5B, or $39 per share.

Honeywell International (Nasdaq: HON) To Spin-Off Solstice on October 30

By Garvit Bhandari

  • Honeywell will complete the tax-free spin-off of its Advanced Materials division as Solstice Advanced Materials Inc. (Nasdaq: SOLS) on October 30, 2025.
  • We value HON(ex-SOLS) at $228/share on a SOTP basis. We value Solstice at $60/share based on 10.9× FY2026E EBITDA of $1.0B, implying ~31% upside to the when-issued price of $45.75
  • SOLS has greater upside potential at current levels. Given its smaller market capitalization, index rebalancing flows post-listing could trigger near-term technical selling pressure, which may provide even better entry point.

High Arctic Overseas: Good Things Coming

By Richard Howe

I had a chance to talk to the management team from High Arctic Overseas this week, and I came away encouraged.

The stock is trading at a negative enterprise value, but we are seeing signs of stability in the business and a potential upward inflection.

The management team is entrepreneurial and working to cut its cash burn down to zero. 


Weekly Update (TKMS, NATL, HOH.V)

By Richard Howe

  • Before I get into my regular update, I want to flag one chart that caught my eye.
  • The chart below shows that margins have held in there in the face tariffs. This is somewhat surprising to me.
  • This week was relatively quiet on the open-recommendations front, but I expect the news flow to pick up in the coming weeks as earnings season gets underway

Copper Convergence — Votes & De Beers in Focus

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • De Beers sale shows competitive tension: Endiama bid vs Botswana match rights; potential $2.5–4bn proceeds improve Anglo’s simplification and special-dividend optics.
  • Votes: circular early/mid-Nov; same-day early-Dec. Teck-B 66⅔% remains higher-beta; interloper low pre-vote, very low post-vote.
  • Spread: AAL 2,832p; TECK C$58.50; GBPCAD 1.86685 → implied TECK C$70.32; ~16.7% discount (~20.1% upside). Trade: long TECK(B)/short 1.3301× AAL, fully FX-hedged.

AAM-Dowlais: EU Cleared, 7/10 Approvals — Spread ~3.4%, Close Now Guided to Q1’26

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • EU clearance confirmed 27 Oct 2025; seven of ten jurisdictions approved. Remaining reviews in Brazil, Mexico, and China progress. Management now targets Q1 2026 completion, extending earlier Q4 2025 timeline.
  • Implied offer value 85.8 p (AXL $6.49; GBP/USD 1.3313) vs DWL 83 p yields 3.4 % spread, or ~7–10 % annualised return under the revised Q1 2026 closing guidance.
  • Funding and shareholder approvals complete; deal risk remains low and primarily timing-related. Residual focus on SAMR clearance and FX/AXL volatility driving daily implied consideration.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Kasumigaseki Capital, LG Chem Ltd, Dian Swastatika Sentosa, Peric Special Gases, Gold, Crude Oil, Copper, High Arctic Overseas Holdings, ThyssenKrupp AG and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan Offering] Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP) – BIG Primary for Big Plans
  • LG Chem (051910 KS): Palliser Targets Steep NAV Discount
  • IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Plenty of Change with 4 Days to Trade
  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI All Share Semiconductors Dec25: Some Names Have Crossed the Border
  • Be Careful With Metals & Why we currently don’t touch Oil Markets
  • Oil futures: Crude mixed, but steepest weekly gains since June
  • COMEX Gold: Trading Gold’s Moment in the Options Market Spotlight
  • From London to Beijing
  • High Arctic Overseas: Good Things Coming
  • Weekly Update (TKMS, NATL, HOH.V)


[Japan Offering] Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP) – BIG Primary for Big Plans

By Travis Lundy

  • On Friday, Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP) announced Aug-25 earnings and a combination ¥45-50bn primary+secondary offering worth 5.3mm shares, 6x ADV, and a float increase of 37%. Shares fell 15% today.
  • 2yrs ago they did a large offering. It went well. They’d had a ridiculous plan to grow OP 6x from ¥3.5bn to ¥20bn in 2yrs to Aug-26. Then by Aug-25. 
  • They got to ¥8.5bn in Aug-24 and now ¥18.9bn in Aug-25 and now guide to ¥26.5bn in Aug-26 (the original plan having been ¥20bn). 

LG Chem (051910 KS): Palliser Targets Steep NAV Discount

By David Blennerhassett

  • Last week, London-based activist Palliser Capital tapped LG Chem (051910 KS) to remedy its NAV market discount. Palliser also said it now holds a little over 1% in LG Chem.
  • LG Chem’s large NAV discount is well known. It has been present since ~82%-held LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) (LGES) was listed in January 2022. 
  • An obvious solution is to pare down the LGES stake, and buy back shares. Yet the discount remains as the market views management as being (stubbornly) set in their ways.

IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Plenty of Change with 4 Days to Trade

By Brian Freitas


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI All Share Semiconductors Dec25: Some Names Have Crossed the Border

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI All Share Semiconductors Index represents the largest and most-liquid stocks in the Semiconductor Industry Group from the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing Exchanges.
  • In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
  • We expect up to four ADDs and two DELs for the CSI All Share Semiconductors Index during this index review event based on the latest available data. Flows are small.

Be Careful With Metals & Why we currently don’t touch Oil Markets

By The Commodity Report

  • Our strategy approach is to filter various information sources and apply our clear investment process on top of it.
  • There are two reasons for us to enter a trade: …our quant system tells us to do so …or we make a discretionary manager decision based on market fundamentals that the quant system will only grasp with a time-lag
  • While not only moving sideways, the oil complex is currently drastically underperforming other parts of the commodity complex.

Oil futures: Crude mixed, but steepest weekly gains since June

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude prices were mixed Friday, but consolidated the sharp rally driven by new US sanctions on Russia’s top oil producers, as both benchmarks headed for their biggest weekly gain since June.
  • Front-month December ICE Brent was up to $66.01/b at 2011 BST, while December NYMEX WTI dipped slightly to $61.58/b , after jumping more than 5% on Thursday.
  • The pullback followed Washington’s sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil, which together account for roughly half of Russia’s crude output and exports.

COMEX Gold: Trading Gold’s Moment in the Options Market Spotlight

By Jay Cameron

  • Global monetary shifts and diversification from the U.S. dollar are creating a favorable environment for gold, supported by central bank activity and strong physical demand.
  • The market is showing signs of declining volatility after a recent price drop, suggesting an opportune moment for strategic options trading.
  • Careful consideration of resistance levels and downside risks is key to optimizing this particular market strategy.

From London to Beijing

By BMO Equity Research Metal Matters

  • Turbulent macro backdrop with concerns over US-China trade relations and credit quality affecting global economy and metals demand
  • Mixed sentiments on copper market balances for next year, with varying views on supply from DRC and Chinese demand
  • Aluminium narrative looking positive with China’s X supply growth and debate on market balances centered around capacity ramp up from Indonesia

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


High Arctic Overseas: Good Things Coming

By Richard Howe

I had a chance to talk to the management team from High Arctic Overseas this week, and I came away encouraged.

The stock is trading at a negative enterprise value, but we are seeing signs of stability in the business and a potential upward inflection.

The management team is entrepreneurial and working to cut its cash burn down to zero. 


Weekly Update (TKMS, NATL, HOH.V)

By Richard Howe

  • Before I get into my regular update, I want to flag one chart that caught my eye.
  • The chart below shows that margins have held in there in the face tariffs. This is somewhat surprising to me.
  • This week was relatively quiet on the open-recommendations front, but I expect the news flow to pick up in the coming weeks as earnings season gets underway

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

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  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
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Daily Brief Health Care: Porton Pharma Solutions, Vigonvita Life Sciences, SeaStar Medical Holding , MapLight Therapeutics, Wing Tai Holdings, Genmab A/S, Integris Medtech Limited, Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Dec25: New Expected DEL Due to Liquidity; US$345mn One-Way
  • Vigonvita Life Sciences (旺山旺水) Pre-IPO: Window Dressing
  • Seastar Medical Holding Corp (ICU) – Friday, Jul 25, 2025
  • MapLight Therapeutics Inc. (MPLT): Oversubscribed Neuroscience IPO Launches with a Bright Start
  • Real Estate Directors Continue to Build Interests
  • Primer: Genmab A/S (GEN DC) – Oct 2025
  • Integris Medtech Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Pre-IPO Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group – The Business Model, Peer Comparison, and the Outlook


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Dec25: New Expected DEL Due to Liquidity; US$345mn One-Way

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI Medical Service represents the top 50 largest and most-liquid stocks involved in medical devices, medical care, medical informatization, and other medical theme from the Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing Exchanges.
  • In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
  • We expect up to six ADDs and six DELs for the CSI Medical Service index during this index review event based on the latest available data.

Vigonvita Life Sciences (旺山旺水) Pre-IPO: Window Dressing

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Vigonvita is looking to raise at least US$100 million via a Hong Kong listing. The book runner is CITIC.
  • The company filed its post-hearing prospectus and dropped VV116, the commercialized COVID-19 anti-viral drug, from its key asset list.
  • In this note, we look at changes between filings and recent company and market updates.

Seastar Medical Holding Corp (ICU) – Friday, Jul 25, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • SeaStar Medical is developing the Selective Cytopheretic Device (SCD) to treat critically ill patients with hyperinflammation.
  • The SCD has received FDA approval for pediatric acute kidney injury and is expected to generate interim data from its adult trial by late Q3 next year.
  • The company currently has $10 million in cash but may need to raise additional funds for growth and to support its adult trial.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


MapLight Therapeutics Inc. (MPLT): Oversubscribed Neuroscience IPO Launches with a Bright Start

By IPO Boutique

  • MapLight Therapeutics Inc. (MPLT) priced 14.75 million shares at $17.00 and opened at $19.00, marking an initial gain of 11.7% on first trade.
  • The offering included a $40 million anchor order from T. Rowe Price and a $8.1 million concurrent private placement led by Goldman Sachs.
  • Channel checks indicate the deal was multiple times oversubscribed, with strong participation from long-only mutual funds and high-quality healthcare specialists.

Real Estate Directors Continue to Build Interests

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks with a S$57 million inflow, reversing a previous S$167 million outflow.
  • Eleven companies conducted share buybacks totaling S$13.6 million; United Overseas Bank led with 300,000 shares at S$34.57.
  • CapitaLand India Trust’s 3Q 2025 update is due Oct 31; recent divestments aim to enhance financial flexibility.

Primer: Genmab A/S (GEN DC) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Genmab is a leader in the antibody therapeutics space, underpinned by its innovative and proprietary technology platforms (DuoBody®, HexaBody®) that have yielded a portfolio of approved, revenue-generating products and a deep clinical pipeline.
  • The company’s hybrid business model, which combines in-house development with strategic, high-value partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies like AbbVie, Pfizer, and Janssen, diversifies risk and provides significant, recurring royalty and milestone revenue.
  • Future growth is contingent on the continued success of key partnered products like DARZALEX, the successful commercialization of new therapies such as Epkinly and Tivdak, and the progression of its extensive oncology-focused pipeline.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Integris Medtech Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Integris Medtech Limited (1234518D IN) is looking to raise about US$340m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by ICICI, Axis, Citi and IIFL.
  • Integris Medtech Limited is a diversified India-based global MedTech company engaged in the development, manufacturing, and commercialization of medical devices and laboratory solutions.
  • The Lab Solutions segment provides laboratory and clinical diagnostic products across hospitals and industrial labs. The Cardiovascular segment focuses on interventional cardiology devices used treatments of coronary artery disease.

Pre-IPO Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group – The Business Model, Peer Comparison, and the Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The core of WANCHEN’s business model is to build a virtuous cycle system based on economies of scale. However, the pain point is large scale but low profit margin.
  • WANCHEN would maintain high-speed growth throughout 2025, but the growth rate will gradually slow down. Our forecast is revenue YoY growth from 2025 to 2027 is 80%, 40%, 25%, respectively.
  • WANCHEN’s peer is BUSY MING, but they have different investment logic and growth story. Which company has a higher valuation largely depends on which narrative logic the capital market favors.  

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Daily Brief Industrials: Nidec Corp, Sany Heavy Industry, Westinghouse Electric Company, Honeywell International, Kosaido, United Tractors, CTR Holdings, Delek US Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: 🚨Ibiden (4062 JP) To Replace Nidec (6594 JP) 🚨
  • SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Trading Debut
  • Sany Heavy Industries A/H Trading – Strong Insti, Weak Retail. Pricing Still Tight
  • A Special Cross Asset Morning Update: Nidec, Ibiden, and BoJ This Week
  • Westinghouse Is Dominating the Rail Tech Game—How Its Global Strategy Is Paying Off!
  • Honeywell International (Nasdaq: HON) To Spin-Off Solstice on October 30
  • Primer: Kosaido (7868 JP) – Oct 2025
  • United Tractors (PUTKY) – Saturday, Jul 26, 2025
  • Primer: CTR Holdings (1416 HK) – Oct 2025
  • Delek Us Holdings Inc (DK) – Sunday, Jul 27, 2025


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: 🚨Ibiden (4062 JP) To Replace Nidec (6594 JP) 🚨

By Brian Freitas


SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Trading Debut

By Arun George


Sany Heavy Industries A/H Trading – Strong Insti, Weak Retail. Pricing Still Tight

By Sumeet Singh

  • Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), raised around US$2.0bn in its H-share listing.
  • Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost & Sullivan.
  • We have looked at the past performance and valuation in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

A Special Cross Asset Morning Update: Nidec, Ibiden, and BoJ This Week

By Jay Cameron

  • Japanese markets are seeing significant developments, including Nikkei 225 rebalancing with Nidec’s removal due to alert and Ibiden’s addition, impacting tracking funds, delta one trading strategies, and investors with position.
  • The BoJ’s cautious normalization path continues to shape the JGB curve, with a notable steepening in the long end affecting asset-liability management.
  • We detail the trades and execution of the trade idea, which may require special attention this week especially on the rebalance.

Westinghouse Is Dominating the Rail Tech Game—How Its Global Strategy Is Paying Off!

By Baptista Research

  • Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (Wabtec) reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing significant growth in various operational metrics and continued strategic progress.
  • The company’s performance was characterized by an 8% increase in sales compared to the previous year, reaching $2.9 billion.
  • Both the Freight and Transit segments contributed to this growth, bolstered by the acquisition of Inspection Technologies at the beginning of the quarter.

Honeywell International (Nasdaq: HON) To Spin-Off Solstice on October 30

By Garvit Bhandari

  • Honeywell will complete the tax-free spin-off of its Advanced Materials division as Solstice Advanced Materials Inc. (Nasdaq: SOLS) on October 30, 2025.
  • We value HON(ex-SOLS) at $228/share on a SOTP basis. We value Solstice at $60/share based on 10.9× FY2026E EBITDA of $1.0B, implying ~31% upside to the when-issued price of $45.75
  • SOLS has greater upside potential at current levels. Given its smaller market capitalization, index rebalancing flows post-listing could trigger near-term technical selling pressure, which may provide even better entry point.

Primer: Kosaido (7868 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Kosaido is undergoing a significant business transformation, shifting its focus from the mature printing industry to high-growth areas, particularly the funeral services and asset consulting businesses. This strategic pivot is driven by Japan’s aging population, which presents a substantial market opportunity for end-of-life services.
  • The Funeral Services segment, operated through its subsidiary Tokyo Hakuzen, is the primary growth engine. Holding a dominant market share of cremations in Tokyo’s 23 wards, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing mortality rate. Expansion of funeral hall capacity is a key pillar of their growth strategy.
  • While the legacy Information (printing) and Human Resources segments face challenges, management is focused on cost optimization and a return to profitability. The nascent Asset Consulting business, which provides inheritance-related services, is a promising high-margin venture that leverages synergies with the funeral business.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


United Tractors (PUTKY) – Saturday, Jul 26, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • United Tractors, founded in 1972 and listed in 1991, is Indonesia’s largest heavy equipment distributor with exclusive rights for brands like Komatsu and Scania.
  • The company provides sales, parts, assembly, and repair services, and has diversified into mining and renewable energy sectors.
  • Its subsidiary PAMA leads in mining services, while United Tractors manages coal and gold mining assets and invests in renewable energy projects.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Primer: CTR Holdings (1416 HK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • CTR Holdings is a Singapore-based contractor specializing in structural engineering and wet architectural works, primarily serving public and private sector projects in Singapore.
  • The company has demonstrated remarkable revenue and net income growth over the past three years, however, this has been accompanied by significant margin compression and a declining stock price.
  • While the forward outlook for the construction sector in its key markets shows moderate growth, the industry is characterized by intense competition, rising costs, and sensitivity to economic cycles, posing significant risks to sustained profitability.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Delek Us Holdings Inc (DK) – Sunday, Jul 27, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Delek owns 34.1 million units of DKL, representing 64% of its shares, below the threshold for a tax-free spin-off.
  • The refineries are valued at approximately $505 million, with projected mid-cycle EBITDA of $455.1 million.
  • Delek’s share price has potential for significant upside, with a favorable 3.5x risk-reward ratio as earnings improvements are expected.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Industrials: Nidec Corp, Sany Heavy Industry, Westinghouse Electric Company, Honeywell International, Kosaido, United Tractors, CTR Holdings, Delek US Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: 🚨Ibiden (4062 JP) To Replace Nidec (6594 JP) 🚨
  • SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Trading Debut
  • Sany Heavy Industries A/H Trading – Strong Insti, Weak Retail. Pricing Still Tight
  • A Special Cross Asset Morning Update: Nidec, Ibiden, and BoJ This Week
  • Westinghouse Is Dominating the Rail Tech Game—How Its Global Strategy Is Paying Off!
  • Honeywell International (Nasdaq: HON) To Spin-Off Solstice on October 30
  • Primer: Kosaido (7868 JP) – Oct 2025
  • United Tractors (PUTKY) – Saturday, Jul 26, 2025
  • Primer: CTR Holdings (1416 HK) – Oct 2025
  • Delek Us Holdings Inc (DK) – Sunday, Jul 27, 2025


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: 🚨Ibiden (4062 JP) To Replace Nidec (6594 JP) 🚨

By Brian Freitas


SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Trading Debut

By Arun George


Sany Heavy Industries A/H Trading – Strong Insti, Weak Retail. Pricing Still Tight

By Sumeet Singh

  • Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), raised around US$2.0bn in its H-share listing.
  • Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost & Sullivan.
  • We have looked at the past performance and valuation in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

A Special Cross Asset Morning Update: Nidec, Ibiden, and BoJ This Week

By Jay Cameron

  • Japanese markets are seeing significant developments, including Nikkei 225 rebalancing with Nidec’s removal due to alert and Ibiden’s addition, impacting tracking funds, delta one trading strategies, and investors with position.
  • The BoJ’s cautious normalization path continues to shape the JGB curve, with a notable steepening in the long end affecting asset-liability management.
  • We detail the trades and execution of the trade idea, which may require special attention this week especially on the rebalance.

Westinghouse Is Dominating the Rail Tech Game—How Its Global Strategy Is Paying Off!

By Baptista Research

  • Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (Wabtec) reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing significant growth in various operational metrics and continued strategic progress.
  • The company’s performance was characterized by an 8% increase in sales compared to the previous year, reaching $2.9 billion.
  • Both the Freight and Transit segments contributed to this growth, bolstered by the acquisition of Inspection Technologies at the beginning of the quarter.

Honeywell International (Nasdaq: HON) To Spin-Off Solstice on October 30

By Garvit Bhandari

  • Honeywell will complete the tax-free spin-off of its Advanced Materials division as Solstice Advanced Materials Inc. (Nasdaq: SOLS) on October 30, 2025.
  • We value HON(ex-SOLS) at $228/share on a SOTP basis. We value Solstice at $60/share based on 10.9× FY2026E EBITDA of $1.0B, implying ~31% upside to the when-issued price of $45.75
  • SOLS has greater upside potential at current levels. Given its smaller market capitalization, index rebalancing flows post-listing could trigger near-term technical selling pressure, which may provide even better entry point.

Primer: Kosaido (7868 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Kosaido is undergoing a significant business transformation, shifting its focus from the mature printing industry to high-growth areas, particularly the funeral services and asset consulting businesses. This strategic pivot is driven by Japan’s aging population, which presents a substantial market opportunity for end-of-life services.
  • The Funeral Services segment, operated through its subsidiary Tokyo Hakuzen, is the primary growth engine. Holding a dominant market share of cremations in Tokyo’s 23 wards, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing mortality rate. Expansion of funeral hall capacity is a key pillar of their growth strategy.
  • While the legacy Information (printing) and Human Resources segments face challenges, management is focused on cost optimization and a return to profitability. The nascent Asset Consulting business, which provides inheritance-related services, is a promising high-margin venture that leverages synergies with the funeral business.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


United Tractors (PUTKY) – Saturday, Jul 26, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • United Tractors, founded in 1972 and listed in 1991, is Indonesia’s largest heavy equipment distributor with exclusive rights for brands like Komatsu and Scania.
  • The company provides sales, parts, assembly, and repair services, and has diversified into mining and renewable energy sectors.
  • Its subsidiary PAMA leads in mining services, while United Tractors manages coal and gold mining assets and invests in renewable energy projects.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Primer: CTR Holdings (1416 HK) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • CTR Holdings is a Singapore-based contractor specializing in structural engineering and wet architectural works, primarily serving public and private sector projects in Singapore.
  • The company has demonstrated remarkable revenue and net income growth over the past three years, however, this has been accompanied by significant margin compression and a declining stock price.
  • While the forward outlook for the construction sector in its key markets shows moderate growth, the industry is characterized by intense competition, rising costs, and sensitivity to economic cycles, posing significant risks to sustained profitability.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Delek Us Holdings Inc (DK) – Sunday, Jul 27, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Delek owns 34.1 million units of DKL, representing 64% of its shares, below the threshold for a tax-free spin-off.
  • The refineries are valued at approximately $505 million, with projected mid-cycle EBITDA of $455.1 million.
  • Delek’s share price has potential for significant upside, with a favorable 3.5x risk-reward ratio as earnings improvements are expected.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Ibiden Co Ltd, Intel Corp, Tencent, Dassault Systemes , Mininglamp Technology, Cig Shanghai, Euronet Worldwide, ASML Holding NV, CoreWeave, CompoSecure and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan Special] Ibiden (4062) Replaces Nidec (6594) In Nikkei 225 on Accounting – A VERY BIG DEAL
  • Intel: You’re Buying Hopes of a Better 2027
  • Tencent Holdings Ltd (TCTZF) – Friday, Jul 25, 2025
  • Dassault Systèmes Inside: How Its Generative AI & Token Models Could Reshape the Industry?
  • Mininglamp Technology IPO: Inflection into Profitability but Priced at a Steep Premium
  • CIG Shanghai IPO Trading: Tight Premium but Strong Insti Demand
  • SSOI Podcast: Colin King and I Discuss NATL, AMVO, and SOLS
  • Asml Holding Nv (ASML) – Sunday, Jul 27, 2025
  • CoreWeave Inc (CRWV): Six Month Summary: AI Hyperscaler that Re-Priced the IPO Playbook
  • CompoSecure: Heavy Metal – [Business Breakdowns, EP.232]


[Japan Special] Ibiden (4062) Replaces Nidec (6594) In Nikkei 225 on Accounting – A VERY BIG DEAL

By Travis Lundy

  • In June, Nidec Corp (6594 JP) announced they would delay the release of their yuho for three months because of an internal investigation into NIDEC FIR INTERNATIONAL (Italy).
  • In September they launched a special committee. Shares fell 22%. Last Thursday, the company cancelled its interim dividend. Today, the JPX designated Nidec as Security on Special Alert.
  • This is a VERY BIG DEAL. Nikkei225 deletes Nidec 5-Nov-2025, replaced by Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP) (PAF 1.0x). Designation also triggers TOPIX deletion for Nidec, likely on 30 October. 

Intel: You’re Buying Hopes of a Better 2027

By Nicolas Baratte

  • 3Q beat on margins, is it price hikes or inventory? Growth comes from PC, not Data Center. 18A high enough yields driving a margins recovery is for 2027.
  • Unspecified ASIC and AI “new” strategy but the details in the conf call point strongly to x86 as the core.
  • The stock is very expensive, ie the market bets on a swift and sharp recovery. Lots of room for disappointment.

Tencent Holdings Ltd (TCTZF) – Friday, Jul 25, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Tencent has 1.4 billion users on Weixin/WeChat, establishing it as a leading digital platform.
  • The company is positioned to enhance monetization through AI integration across its services.
  • Despite its strengths, Tencent’s core business is undervalued, trading at 14 times the consensus 2026 earnings per share.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Dassault Systèmes Inside: How Its Generative AI & Token Models Could Reshape the Industry?

By Baptista Research

  • Dassault Systèmes reported its financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, revealing nuanced outcomes with both positive and negative aspects.
  • The overarching theme of the report was the company’s focus on driving top-line growth and margin expansion, enabled by the 3DEXPERIENCE platform.
  • This platform is pivotal in the company’s transition towards subscription-based and recurring revenue models, which are currently experiencing a notable 16% growth in subscriptions this quarter.

Mininglamp Technology IPO: Inflection into Profitability but Priced at a Steep Premium

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Mininglamp Technology (1912140D HK) is looking to raise US$131m in its Hong Kong IPO.
  • Mininglamp Technology (formerly known as Leading Smart Holdings), is a data intelligence software provider in China, specializing in transforming enterprises’ marketing and operational decision-making through large model driven analytics.
  • In this note, we will talk about the company’s past performances and valuations.

CIG Shanghai IPO Trading: Tight Premium but Strong Insti Demand

By Nicholas Tan

  • Cig Shanghai (603083 CH) , telecommunications equipment company, is looking to raise up to US$594m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • CIG was founded in 2005, and is a provider of critical infrastructure components for the development of AI.
  • We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

SSOI Podcast: Colin King and I Discuss NATL, AMVO, and SOLS

By Richard Howe

During this episode of SSOI podcast, I spoke with Colin King of Circle City Capital. Colin runs Value Don’t Lie where he shares his highest conviction ideas. In this episode, Colin and I discuss NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL), Aumovio SE (AMVO), and Solstice (SOLS).


Asml Holding Nv (ASML) – Sunday, Jul 27, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • ASML is the only company producing EUV lithography machines for advanced chip fabrication under 7 nanometers.
  • The EUV technology involves a complex process using molten tin droplets and lasers to create plasma for radiation.
  • ASML has a 100% market share in EUV systems and over 90% in leading-edge DUV tools, after 30 years of development.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


CoreWeave Inc (CRWV): Six Month Summary: AI Hyperscaler that Re-Priced the IPO Playbook

By IPO Boutique

  • CoreWeave priced a downsized IPO — 37.5 million shares at $40.00 — well below the marketed $47–$55 range.
  • He debut was muted (opened at ~$39 and closed at the $40 IPO price), but the stock ripped higher in the weeks that followed and peaked at $187 in June.
  • By late October CoreWeave ranked among the top performing 2025 IPOs, sitting behind Circle Internet Group and Karman Holdings in aftermarket returns.

CompoSecure: Heavy Metal – [Business Breakdowns, EP.232]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Portrait Research offers qualitative attributes to help identify businesses
  • Portrait customizes research report generation to assist with framing conversations
  • Portrait provides intelligent thesis monitoring by assessing thousands of data points each day for valuable insights

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


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Most Read: Nidec Corp, Tsuruha Holdings, Ibiden Co Ltd, Rio Tinto , Seres Group , Kasumigaseki Capital, Ashimori Industry, Lenskart Solutions, LG Chem Ltd, Hyundai Motor and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: 🚨Ibiden (4062 JP) To Replace Nidec (6594 JP) 🚨
  • Tsuruha (3391 JP)/Welcia (3141 JP): Index Promotion & Passive Flows Likely Priced In
  • [Japan Special] Ibiden (4062) Replaces Nidec (6594) In Nikkei 225 on Accounting – A VERY BIG DEAL
  • Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Capping Changes
  • Seres (9927 HK): Index Inclusion Timeline for a Max Offering of US$2.2bn; Big Discount to A-Shares
  • [Japan Offering] Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP) – BIG Primary for Big Plans
  • [Japan M&A/Activism] Ashimori Industry (3526 JP) Minimum Lower, May Be a Tough Call
  • Lenskart IPO: Earliest Index Inclusion in June
  • LG Chem (051910 KS): Palliser Targets Steep NAV Discount
  • Running Through the Context Behind Chatter of HMC Rolling Out a Pref‑tilted First‑leg Buyback


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: 🚨Ibiden (4062 JP) To Replace Nidec (6594 JP) 🚨

By Brian Freitas


Tsuruha (3391 JP)/Welcia (3141 JP): Index Promotion & Passive Flows Likely Priced In

By Brian Freitas


[Japan Special] Ibiden (4062) Replaces Nidec (6594) In Nikkei 225 on Accounting – A VERY BIG DEAL

By Travis Lundy

  • In June, Nidec Corp (6594 JP) announced they would delay the release of their yuho for three months because of an internal investigation into NIDEC FIR INTERNATIONAL (Italy).
  • In September they launched a special committee. Shares fell 22%. Last Thursday, the company cancelled its interim dividend. Today, the JPX designated Nidec as Security on Special Alert.
  • This is a VERY BIG DEAL. Nikkei225 deletes Nidec 5-Nov-2025, replaced by Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP) (PAF 1.0x). Designation also triggers TOPIX deletion for Nidec, likely on 30 October. 

Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Capping Changes

By Brian Freitas

  • Solactive has announced the review results for the Global Lithium Index. There are two additions for the index and there will also be capping changes for some stocks.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 26.3% and will result in a round-trip trade of US$813m. There are some stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade.
  • The index has broken out of the secular downtrend, but investors continue to redeem units from the ETFs tracking the index.

Seres (9927 HK): Index Inclusion Timeline for a Max Offering of US$2.2bn; Big Discount to A-Shares

By Brian Freitas

  • Seres Group (601127 CH) could raise up to HK$17.4bn (US$2.24bn) in its H-share listing if the Offer Size Adjustment Option and the Overallotment Option are both exercised.
  • There is a big allocation to cornerstone investors that is locked up for 6 months. That eliminates the already small possibility of Fast Entry inclusion to global indexes.
  • Seres (9927 HK) should be added to Southbound Stock Connect from the open of trading on 1 December following the end of the Price Stabilisation period.

[Japan Offering] Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP) – BIG Primary for Big Plans

By Travis Lundy

  • On Friday, Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP) announced Aug-25 earnings and a combination ¥45-50bn primary+secondary offering worth 5.3mm shares, 6x ADV, and a float increase of 37%. Shares fell 15% today.
  • 2yrs ago they did a large offering. It went well. They’d had a ridiculous plan to grow OP 6x from ¥3.5bn to ¥20bn in 2yrs to Aug-26. Then by Aug-25. 
  • They got to ¥8.5bn in Aug-24 and now ¥18.9bn in Aug-25 and now guide to ¥26.5bn in Aug-26 (the original plan having been ¥20bn). 

[Japan M&A/Activism] Ashimori Industry (3526 JP) Minimum Lower, May Be a Tough Call

By Travis Lundy

  • In August, Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP) announced a deal for Ashimori Industry (3526 JP) at 1.000x book value after writedowns. That was not a coincidence.
  • The takeover is cheap for what it is. No synergies were counted. But it wasn’t truly offensive. MURAKAMI Takateru aimed an activist broadside, bought 19.73% across four entities. Then stopped. 
  • The Bidder lowered the Tender Offer Minimum from 2.3081mm shares (38.29%) to 1.8001mm shares (29.86%). Shares dropped. As of 24-Sep, 2,111,226 shares had been tendered. This looks done. Maybe. 

Lenskart IPO: Earliest Index Inclusion in June

By Brian Freitas

  • Lenskart Solutions (0370405Z IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling 181.05m shares via a primary and secondary offering to raise US$829m at a valuation of US$7.95bn.
  • The price band has been set at INR 382-402/share, and the issue is likely to price at the top end of the range.
  • The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances will commence in June 2026 but flow will be small given the low float.

LG Chem (051910 KS): Palliser Targets Steep NAV Discount

By David Blennerhassett

  • Last week, London-based activist Palliser Capital tapped LG Chem (051910 KS) to remedy its NAV market discount. Palliser also said it now holds a little over 1% in LG Chem.
  • LG Chem’s large NAV discount is well known. It has been present since ~82%-held LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) (LGES) was listed in January 2022. 
  • An obvious solution is to pare down the LGES stake, and buy back shares. Yet the discount remains as the market views management as being (stubbornly) set in their ways.

Running Through the Context Behind Chatter of HMC Rolling Out a Pref‑tilted First‑leg Buyback

By Sanghyun Park

  • HMC buyback ~₩0.8–1.0tn (~1.5% SO). Street focus is ord/pref split, with prefs at ~25% discount. Mgmt urgency: lift equity value as K‑market rallies.
  • Narrowing the pref gap seen as the cleanest lever—shareholder‑friendly signal, draws real money/offshore flows, de‑risks policy optics—so locals expect the first buyback leg skewed to prefs.
  • Street sees HMC aiming mid‑teens pref discount via year‑end pref‑heavy buyback and dividend tax reform. Catalysts make narrowing trend look achievable.

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Daily Brief Financials: Kasumigaseki Capital, Nikkei 225, JPY, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Insignia Financial, Dollar Index, Karrat, Anabuki Kosan, Shizuoka Bank, Seazen (Formerly Future Land) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • Kasumigaseki Capital Placement: Primary Offering for Ambitious Expansion Plans
  • Nikkei 225 (NKY) Outlook After Surprise Nov 5 Rebalance
  • Global FX: Japan focus, US/China, PMIs, Fed/ECB
  • CBA, ANZ, Westpac, NAB: Volatility Runs High Ahead of Imminent Catalysts
  • Primer: Insignia Financial (IFL AU) – Oct 2025
  • Why The World Started Hedging Its US Dollar Exposure
  • My Pet Hooligans: Unlocking Players with Web3 and AI
  • Primer: Anabuki Kosan (8928 JP) – Oct 2025
  • Primer: Shizuoka Bank (8355 JP) – Oct 2025
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Kasumigaseki Capital Placement: Primary Offering for Ambitious Expansion Plans

By Nicholas Tan

  • Kasumigaseki Capital (3498 JP), is looking to raise US$250m in a primary placement.
  • The purpose is for financing of its medium-term management plan phase 2 which includes strengthening KC’s domestic hotel, logistics and healthcare businesses, and for expansions abroad (Dubai, US).
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Nikkei 225 (NKY) Outlook After Surprise Nov 5 Rebalance

By Nico Rosti

  • As reported by Brian Freitas, the JPX on Oct 27 suddenly announced that Nidec Corp (6594 JP) would be deleted from the Nikkei 225 and replaced by Ibiden (4062 JP).
  • The date  of replacement is November 5, the Nikkei will experience passive flows, in this insight we want to have a look at the possible moves caused by this catalyst.
  • At the moment the index is overbought, according to our models.

Global FX: Japan focus, US/China, PMIs, Fed/ECB

By At Any Rate

  • FX and gold oil ratio have decoupled this year, leading to low volatility and focus on US data, exogenous shocks, and geopolitics in FX trading.
  • Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi delivered a speech on economic policy, focusing on fiscal measures and debt reduction, without mentioning monetary or FX policy.
  • Despite interventionist stance of Takaichi and Finance Minister Katayama, it is unlikely they will strongly intervene in BOJ policy, with expectations of a rate hike next week due to economic and market developments.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


CBA, ANZ, Westpac, NAB: Volatility Runs High Ahead of Imminent Catalysts

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: Volatility cones provide a straightforward framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich. This Insight provides volatility analysis for the S&P/ASX 200 and ten prominent Australian stocks.
  • Highlights: Implied volatility across Australia’s major banks remains rich ahead of earnings and the RBA decision.
  • Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.

Primer: Insignia Financial (IFL AU) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Insignia Financial is in the midst of a significant transformation, focusing on simplification, cost reduction, and integration following the acquisition of MLC Wealth. The successful separation from NAB’s systems is a major milestone, expected to unlock cost synergies and operational efficiencies.
  • Financial performance has been volatile, with a return to profitability in the most recent year after a significant loss. However, long-term trends in net income and EPS are negative, and the dividend has been suspended, reflecting the ongoing challenges and restructuring costs.
  • The company’s forward strategy hinges on leveraging its scale to become a leading, efficient wealth manager by 2030, targeting substantial cost savings and driving growth through its four key business lines: Advice, Wrap, Master Trust, and Asset Management. Execution on this complex strategy remains the key risk and opportunity.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Why The World Started Hedging Its US Dollar Exposure

By Odd Lots

  • Verizon Business offers a new My biz plan with customizable mobile options starting at $25 per line
  • Odd Thoughts podcast discusses big market stories, including the fall of the dollar, rise in gold prices, and enthusiasm for AI in the stock market
  • Hyun Sung Shin of the Bank for International Settlements discusses the unusual market trends of the year and their implications.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


My Pet Hooligans: Unlocking Players with Web3 and AI

By Animoca Brands Research

  • AMGI Studios combines animation expertise with gaming technology to explore new entertainment formats.
  • Its first title, My Pet Hooligan (MPH), is a multiplayer shooter with open-world gameplay, tokenized assets, and on-chain progression.
  • To expand its audience, AMGI leverages Web3 and AI. Web3 features like $KARRAT tokens, NFTs, and an on-chain marketplace attract blockchain-native players and reward engagement, while Studio Chain is designed to support fast, scalable, and secure transactions.

Primer: Anabuki Kosan (8928 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Anabuki Kosan is a diversified real estate company with a strong foothold in regional Japanese markets, primarily involved in condominium development, sales, and property management. The company’s integrated model provides a stable revenue base, though it faces challenges from declining profitability and highly volatile cash flows.
  • The company’s shares appear attractively valued, trading at low price-to-earnings and price-to-book multiples. This is supported by a high Smartkarma Value score of 5/5, suggesting a significant discount to its intrinsic value.
  • Despite steady long-term revenue growth, recent financial performance shows signs of stress, including negative net income in several recent quarters and deeply negative operating and free cash flows. This indicates potential operational inefficiencies or challenging market conditions impacting profitability and liquidity.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Shizuoka Bank (8355 JP) – Oct 2025

By αSK

  • Dominant Regional Franchise with Strong Capitalization: Shizuoka Bank is one of Japan’s largest and most respected regional banks, boasting a commanding market share in its home prefecture of Shizuoka. Its credit ratings are among the highest for any Japanese financial institution, reflecting a strong capital base and sound asset quality.
  • Poised to Benefit from Monetary Policy Normalization: After years of margin compression from the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) ultra-low interest rate policies, the recent shift towards normalization presents a significant tailwind. Higher interest rates are expected to improve net interest margins (NIMs), a key driver of profitability for the banking sector.
  • Structural Headwinds and Competitive Pressures Remain: The bank faces long-term challenges from Japan’s demographic trends, including a shrinking and aging population in its core operating region, which dampens loan demand. Competition is also intensifying from larger “megabanks,”other regional players, and non-bank financial institutions.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Seazen Group, Meituan
  • UST yields ended little changed on Friday, after unwinding declines earlier in the day following the weaker than projected CPI data. The UST curve marginally twisted steeper, with the yield on the 2Y UST down 1 bp to 3.48%, while that on the 10Y UST was unchanged at 4.00%. Equities advanced, as the soft CPI data affirmed market expectations for further Fed easing.
  • The S&P 500 rose 0.8% to 6,792, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.1% to 23,205. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Sunday that the US has worked out a framework agreement with China.

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