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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Dovish Fed Speak and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Dovish Fed Speak
  • Australia Banks – Negative Loan Growth Reaches August 2021 Levels
  • Shroom Shmooz – Spotlight on Psilocybin


Ohayo Japan | Dovish Fed Speak

By Mark Chadwick

  • Tech-Driven gains pushed the S&P 500 up by 0.74%, while the Nasdaq Composite hit a record high, surging 1.68%
  • Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida addressed U.S. legislators, emphasizing Japan’s readiness to share the responsibility of upholding the international order
  • Fujifilm Holdings plans to invest $4.5 billion by 2028 to expand its biopharmaceutical contract manufacturing business

Australia Banks – Negative Loan Growth Reaches August 2021 Levels

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Australia domestic credit growth is now at -2.2% YoY in January 2024, the worst figure since August 2021.
  • There are negative implications for the delta of net interest income for Australia’s banks as loan growth moves negative.
  • Risk of rising credit costs is higher, not only from worsening insolvencies with corporates, but also with rising mortgage bad loans.

Shroom Shmooz – Spotlight on Psilocybin

By Water Tower Research

  • From ancient rituals to modern medicine. Psilocybin is a natural psychedelic compound contained in more than 200 species of (magic) mushrooms that grow in diverse natural environments worldwide, from humid tropical forests to grassy meadows to urban green spaces.
  • Psilocybin has a long history of use in religious rituals and divinatory ceremonies of indigenous cultures going back millennia, but in more modern times has attracted a growing interest from modern medicine for its potential therapeutic effects on the neural pathways.
  • The properties of psilocybin and its active form psilocin closely resemble serotonin.


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Daily Brief Event-Driven: JAPAN ACTIVISM:  Mitsui Fudosan (8801) Responds to Elliott with Buyback and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • JAPAN ACTIVISM:  Mitsui Fudosan (8801) Responds to Elliott with Buyback, Amended Long-Term Plan
  • CGN New Energy (1811 HK): Evaluating a Potential Privatisation
  • StubWorld: Melco Gains As Lawrence Ho Buys
  • NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance Preview: Canara Bank Still Cheap; Double Deletion for Bandhan?
  • Boral Backs Seven’s “Enhanced” Offer
  • Novartis/Morphosys: Start of Offer Period


JAPAN ACTIVISM:  Mitsui Fudosan (8801) Responds to Elliott with Buyback, Amended Long-Term Plan

By Travis Lundy

  • 9 weeks ago, the FT reported Elliott Management had a stake in Mitsui Fudosan (8801 JP) and had asked them to sell cross-holdings and do a ¥1trln buyback. 
  • The stock popped 7% the next day to ¥1302, on the highest volume since the covid crash, hesitated a day, then powered almost 20% higher through the end of March. 
  • Today, Mitsui Fudosan responded with an Amendment to their Plan out to 2030. It has a higher dividend, a share buyback, higher EPS target growth, and higher ROE target. But…

CGN New Energy (1811 HK): Evaluating a Potential Privatisation

By Arun George

  • Bloomberg reports that CGN, the parent and largest shareholder, is reconsidering taking CGN New Energy Holdings (1811 HK) private. 
  • CGN New Energy shares have underperformed the median peer’s shares since the announcement of CGN’s previous aborted privatisation attempt (2 March 2020) and on the last twelve-month basis.
  • The probability of an offer is high as CGN, an SOE has access to financing, and CGN New Energy’s valuation is low. We estimate a potential offer range of HK$2.80-4.30.

StubWorld: Melco Gains As Lawrence Ho Buys

By David Blennerhassett

  • Melco International (200 HK) gains as Lawrence Ho increases his position. Melco and 51.1%-held Melco Resorts (MLCO US) are the two worst performing gaming stocks over the past year.
  • Preceding my comments on Melco are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance Preview: Canara Bank Still Cheap; Double Deletion for Bandhan?

By Brian Freitas


Boral Backs Seven’s “Enhanced” Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • After Boral (BLD AU) rejected Seven Group (SVW AU)‘s cash/scrip Offer, Seven slammed the Independent Expert’s report, calling the Target Statement “unbalanced, selective and risks fundamentally misleading Boral minority shareholders“.
  • Seven has now waived certain tendering thresholds, increasing the cash terms to A$1.70/share from A$1.50/share. Boral will also pay a fully-franked dividend of A$0.26/share, providing A$0.11/share of franking credits. 
  • The IE now considers the Offer to be reasonable. Boral’s board recommends shareholders to accept. This is done.

Novartis/Morphosys: Start of Offer Period

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Novartis published its offer document for MorphoSys AG (MOR GR) (US: MorphoSys AG (MOR US)) following approval by BaFin. The acceptance period has commenced on 11 April, and will expire on 13 May.
  • I remain confident NVS’ acquisition of MOR closes on track. I maintain my TP at €68/share, $18.25/ADR offer price, as deal will highly likely close in H1, in my view.
  • As of 11 April, gross spread is 0.82% and the estimated annual return is 7.78%. Long and tender.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Spending on Customers Precedes Customer Spending and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Spending on Customers Precedes Customer Spending
  • Fast Retailing(9983) | Not So Fast
  • COSCO Shipping Energy (1138 HK): Surfing the High Tide
  • Builders Firstsource (BLDR) – Wednesday, Jan 10, 2024
  • M&C Saatchi – Moving into alignment
  • Sixt Se (SIX2) – Wednesday, Jan 10, 2024
  • DRX: Another Quarter, Another Beat; Increasing Target Price
  • Chesnara (CSN): Good 2023 results set platform for future progress
  • Wia Gold (WIA) – Thursday, Jan 11, 2024
  • Distribution Solutio Gro Inc (DSGR) – Wednesday, Jan 10, 2024


Spending on Customers Precedes Customer Spending

By Ying Pan

  • We expect Alibaba to report CY1Q24 top-line, non-GAAP EBITA and non-GAAP net income in-line, (14.2%) and (7.4%) vs. consensus. We cut non-GAAP EBITA by 10% and kept topline unchanged;
  • BABA is prioritizing growth of both AliCloud and cross-border ecommerce (AliExpress), which will weaken profitability in the near-term but is the right thing to do. 
  • BABA is transforming itself into Chinese Microsoft with hopes of e-commerce mainly pinned on overseas. We maintain BUY and US$ 85 TP, implying 9.5x CY24 P/E.

Fast Retailing(9983) | Not So Fast

By Mark Chadwick

  • Fast Retail missed analyst estimates for Q2 sales and operating profit. Revenue growth slowed to 5% YoY
  • Full year operating profit guidance maintained at Y450 billion, just slightly below the street 
  • The stock is trading at 27x EV/EBIT, in-line with historical averages, but still expensive in absolute terms and versus global peers

COSCO Shipping Energy (1138 HK): Surfing the High Tide

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Despite YTD strengths in share price, Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK) is still cheap at 5.7x PER and 0.9x P/B.
  • VLCC is forecast to stay undersupplied in FY24 and FY25, supporting the rates and CSET’s profitability. YTD, the VLCC rates have recovered by 19.5%.
  • LNG transportation generated 19% of FY23 earnings. With 40 more vessels on order, compared with a current fleet of 43, there is immense upside from this segment.

Builders Firstsource (BLDR) – Wednesday, Jan 10, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Builders FirstSource focuses on value-added and specialty products
  • Maintains industry-leading gross margins of 35%
  • Expands reach and solidifies position through strategic acquisitions and strong customer base

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


M&C Saatchi – Moving into alignment

By Edison Investment Research

There has been a lot going on under M&C Saatchi’s operational bonnet, so delivering FY23 results a shade above market forecasts is a good result, especially given the difficult market backdrop. Earlier issues regarding outstanding put option liabilities are in retreat, with minority interests in FY23 down to 13% from 25% in FY22, and most remaining liabilities are expected to be settled in FY24. The focus is now firmly on optimising the operational structure. There has already been good progress, simplifying and achieving greater coherence on a regional-first approach, with better alignment to how clients (and potential clients) want to utilise the group’s global capabilities. The incoming CEO, Zaid Al-Qassab, who starts in May, should be taking on the group’s navigation in less stormy waters.


Sixt Se (SIX2) – Wednesday, Jan 10, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Sixt is focused on increasing its market share and expanding into key markets such as Germany and Europe
  • The company’s strategy includes focusing on premium vehicles, strong relationships with OEMs, and utilizing franchise operations for global expansion
  • The Sixt family’s involvement and significant ownership stake indicate a commitment to the company’s success and continuity in leadership

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


DRX: Another Quarter, Another Beat; Increasing Target Price

By Atrium Research

  • ADF Group reported Q4 & FY24 financial results this morning that beat our expectations across the board.
  • For Q4, revenue came in at $88.4M (+72% YoY) vs. our estimate of $77.1M and EBITDA came in at $15.5M (+164% YoY) vs. our estimate of $13.6M.
  • FY24 marked another stellar year for ADF as it benefits from infrastructure spending across North America and the automation capex program at its Terrebonne facility.

Chesnara (CSN): Good 2023 results set platform for future progress

By Hardman & Co

  • Chesnara has announced its 2023 results.
  • Positive returns from equity markets and gains from acquisitions in the first half were somewhat offset by adverse changes to operating assumptions in the second.
  • Economic Value profit of £59.1m marked a good turnaround from a loss of £85.1m in 2022.

Wia Gold (WIA) – Thursday, Jan 11, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • WIA Gold is an ASX-listed gold exploration junior with a JORC compliant Resource of 1.3m ozs at its Kokoseb project in Namibia
  • WIA controls tenements adjacent to Osino Resources’ Eureka project and is in close proximity to Osino’s merger with Dundee Precious Metals (DPM)
  • The company recently raised A$11m to accelerate exploration at its projects in Namibia and Cote d’Ivoire, with plans for production at Kokoseb in less than 4 years, potentially resulting in a quick return on investment for WIA shareholders through collaboration with DPM.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Distribution Solutio Gro Inc (DSGR) – Wednesday, Jan 10, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Market gaining confidence in DSGR’s management and growth strategy for potential multiple expansion
  • Strong acquisition pipeline and track record of successful integrations positioning DSGR for long-term success
  • DSGR offers an attractive investment opportunity with potential for significant upside due to recent developments and discounted valuation

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief Credit: Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings, Yuexiu Property


Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings, Yuexiu Property

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief Crypto: Crypto Moves #23 – The Bitcoin ETFs Run the World and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Crypto Moves #23 – The Bitcoin ETFs Run the World


Crypto Moves #23 – The Bitcoin ETFs Run the World

By Mads Eberhardt

  • 2024 stands out as the landmark year for exchange-traded crypto products, especially those related to Bitcoin.
  • After years of existing somewhat separately from traditional finance, the crypto market is finally being recognized as a legitimate part of the broader financial landscape.
  • The United States set the stage in January by securing approval from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for the first US-based Bitcoin spot ETFs. To any observer, it is unmistakably clear that the United States has triggered a wave of global approvals for exchange-traded crypto products.

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Daily Brief Macro: EIA Lifts Price Forecast on Higher Oil Consumption Plus Tighter Supply and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • EIA Lifts Price Forecast on Higher Oil Consumption Plus Tighter Supply
  • Indonesia Economics: Disinflation Setbacks Tie Central Bank’s Hands Tighter
  • Running Out of Runway
  • Indonesia Economics: More of the Same Won’t Cut It
  • [US CPI Review] Energy, Housing, And Services Keep Inflation Hotter Than Expected
  • Company Earnings: They Will Go Up, and Expectations Are Far from Excessive
  • ECB Loosely Tied to Cut in June
  • G3 Rates Watch: No one’s got a clue on R*, yet the market is convinced that it does!


EIA Lifts Price Forecast on Higher Oil Consumption Plus Tighter Supply

By Suhas Reddy

  • EIA raised its crude oil price forecast for 2024 and 2025, cites higher global oil consumption outlook and concerns over geopolitical tensions.
  • The agency also increased global liquid fuels production outlook for 2024 compared to the previous month.
  • Increased forecast on US retail gasoline prices relative to March STEO, expects lower gasoline inventories and higher net exports drive price rise.

Indonesia Economics: Disinflation Setbacks Tie Central Bank’s Hands Tighter

By Manu Bhaskaran

  • The latest figures show headline inflation inch further away from the central bank’s target, showcasing the difficulties caused by volatile food inflation worldwide. 
  • In addition to sticky inflation, fiscal policy uncertainty also lurks in the background; the new government has many big-ticket manifesto pledges that need to be funded. 
  • Still-Strong growth, sticky inflation, and depreciationary risks to the rupiah will cause Bank Indonesia to delay rate cuts, possibly for the whole year. 

Running Out of Runway

By Jeroen Blokland

  • US Services ex Shelter inflation spiked to over 8% in March!
  • Powell must work magic to stick to three rate cuts for this year.
  • Yet the odds remain high that we will see three or more rate cuts, but that doesn’t help you much now.

Indonesia Economics: More of the Same Won’t Cut It

By Manu Bhaskaran

  • Can Indonesia finally fulfil its potential as an economic superpower, or will it merely be able to maintain its stable but middling growth performance?
  • The Widodo inheritance has been mixed at best; the economy has not diversified away from its reliance on commodities, while the quality of governance has deteriorated. 
  • Unless Prabowo pursues deep-rooted reform to liberalize and diversify the Indonesian economy, it risks merely continuing to grow at around 5%, which is simply not enough. 

[US CPI Review] Energy, Housing, And Services Keep Inflation Hotter Than Expected

By Pranay Yadav

  • March CPI print came in above expectations at 3.5% YoY. CPI has come in above expectations for the past four months.
  • Gasoline, shelter, and transportation services were the major inflation drivers.
  • Dollar was the winner following the release as other currencies weakened. Euro declined the most while JPY weakened the least.

Company Earnings: They Will Go Up, and Expectations Are Far from Excessive

By Jeroen Blokland

  • Three out of my four global earnings indicators point to significant earnings growth.
  • Chinese producer prices are the outlier, but it’s no surprise that domestic factors are at play here.
  • Equally important, investor expectations do not deviate all that much from the growth in earnings-per-share forecasted by the aggregate global earnings bellwether.

ECB Loosely Tied to Cut in June

By Phil Rush

  • The ECB maintained its policy rates and did not pre-commit to a June cut. However, a few members wanted to cut now, and the statement added explicit conditionality.
  • Guidance now ties the ECB to a June cut, albeit with ongoing data dependence preserving wriggle room. Sticky services inflation and Fed rates won’t stay its hand.
  • Resilient data are rolling back Fed views to our September call, but we now doubt the ECB will want to delay past June. The BoE would probably only then wait until Nov-24.

G3 Rates Watch: No one’s got a clue on R*, yet the market is convinced that it does!

By Andreas Steno

  • What a week in Fixed Income space! The bloodbath after the hot US CPI report partially continued today, but equities have a tremendous ability to recover fast after inflation/rate shocks these months as the anticipated lean from central banks remains dovish.
  • In this short G3 rates watch, we take a practical stance on the R* concept.
  • If an economy can re-accelerate given current rate levels, it seems likely that R* is even higher than thought by many economists including the entire ilk of PhDs at the Federal Reserve.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings, BQE Water and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): Pass The🍿as the Board Responds to AZ-COM Maruwa (9090 JP)
  • BQE: Q4 Financials Preview


Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): Pass The🍿as the Board Responds to AZ-COM Maruwa (9090 JP)

By Arun George

  • The Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) Board has responded with several questions regarding AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP)’s pre-conditional hostile offer of JPY3,000 per share.
  • The Board questions the transaction’s schedule, terms and potential synergies. The Board has also used the ruse that due diligence access would justify a higher offer price.
  • Expect several rounds of Q&A and a delay to the tender start. If shares continue trading through terms ahead of the tender start, AZ-COM Maruwa will likely have to bump. 

BQE: Q4 Financials Preview

By Atrium Research

  • BQE will be reporting Q4 & 2023 financial results in ~2 weeks, we are expecting proportional revenue of $4.2M, gross margin of 45%, and adj. EBITDA of $0.6M (14% margin).
  • Metals prices have been rising steadily over the last month with copper up 9%.
  • BQE’s China JV has leverage to the copper price as it sells recovered metals.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Copper, iShares MSCI Emerging Markets, Chariot Limited, Valeura Energy Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Will Copper Shine Brighter than Gold?
  • Long-Term Breakouts for Emerging and Frontier Markets; Treasury Yields and Commodities Rising YTD
  • Chariot Limited (AIM: CHAR): Initiating a strategic review of the Transitional Power business to focus on gas
  • Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Net cash up by >US$40 mm since YE23


Will Copper Shine Brighter than Gold?

By Pranay Yadav

  • Copper supply facing headwinds with a shortage of copper ore which has led to spiraling copper refining margins.
  • Copper futures trading sharply higher than cash prices and term structure for copper futures has steepened. 
  • Gold to copper ratio can be used to express a bullish view on copper prices with relatively lower risk compared to a straightforward long copper position. 

Long-Term Breakouts for Emerging and Frontier Markets; Treasury Yields and Commodities Rising YTD

By Joe Jasper

  • The bullish outlook we initiated in early November 2023 remains intact. The SPX and QQQ still refuse to close below their 20-day MAs/21-day EMAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days.
  • Even if/when they do, important supports are close by, including 4983-5050 on the S&P 500 and $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24). Anything above 4800 SPX is a buy.
  • We continue to get an ever-increasing number of global indexes/Sectors with long-term breakouts, the latest being the MSCI Emerging Market and Frontier indexes. Clearly risk-on behavior.

Chariot Limited (AIM: CHAR): Initiating a strategic review of the Transitional Power business to focus on gas

By Auctus Advisors

  • The farm-out transaction with Energean has now completed.
  • Chariot has received the US$10 mm cash upfront payment and retains 30% of in the Lixus licence (where the Anchois project is located) and 37.5% of the Rissana licence, offshore Morocco.
  • A rig contract has also been signed with Stena Drilling to drill the high impact Anchois-East appraisal and development well in 3Q24.

Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Net cash up by >US$40 mm since YE23

By Auctus Advisors

  • 1Q24 production was 21.9 mbbl/d in line with our expectations.
  • Production at the end of March was ~23 mbbl/d.
  • Net cash of US$193.6 mm (US$176.3 mm unrestricted) was high given that the company sold only 1.8 mmbbl in 1Q24 with inventory building-up ~0.21 mmbbl vs YE23 to 0.9 mmbbl.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: 3peak , ICTK, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), Bharti Hexacom, Netgear Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Jun 24: 3 ADDs/DELs Possible but Should Be Monitored Closely
  • ICTK IPO Preview
  • TSMC Snags US CHIPS Act Funding & Ups The Ante On Intel
  • Bharti Hexacom IPO: Index Inclusion Timeline
  • NTGR: The Value of an Upgrade Cycle


Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Jun 24: 3 ADDs/DELs Possible but Should Be Monitored Closely

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential ADDs and DELs for the STAR 50 index during the June 2024 index rebal event.
  • I currently expect three changes resulting in a one-way flow of around US$531mn but there is still room for the expectations to change.

ICTK IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • ICTK is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSDAQ in May. The IPO price range is from 13,000 won to 16,000 won. 
  • According to the bankers’ valuation, the expected market cap of the company after the listing is 171 billion won to 210 billion won. 
  • ICTK is a security company specializing in Internet of Things (IoT) based on physical copy prevention technology. 

TSMC Snags US CHIPS Act Funding & Ups The Ante On Intel

By William Keating

  • TSMC snags $6.6 billion in US CHIPS Act funding, along with loans up to $5 billion and tax credits up to 25% on eligible capital expenditures
  • TSMC has committed to building a third fab in Arizona, scheduled to begin operations around 2030
  • TSMC’s reiteration of their world class CAGR, Gross Margin & ROE numbers shines a light on Intel’s vastly inferior performance outlook.

Bharti Hexacom IPO: Index Inclusion Timeline

By Brian Freitas

  • Telecommunications Consultants India Limited (TCIL) raised US$513m by selling 15% of the shares outstanding in Bharti Hexacom (6597372Z IN). Post the sale, they still hold 15% of the company.
  • Bharti Hexacom (6597372Z IN) will start trading on 12 April and the grey market indicates the stock will open at INR 664/share, 16.5% higher than the IPO price.
  • Bharti Hexacom should be added to one smallcap index in August and another smallcap index in December. A move above INR 700/share could result in midcap inclusion in December.

NTGR: The Value of an Upgrade Cycle

By Hamed Khorsand

  • The first quarter is seasonally the softest for selling wireless routers. The expectations for NTGR are for the firm to generate positive free cash flow while revenue declines sequentially. 
  • We are anticipating NTGR’s cash per share to reach approximately $12 for the March quarter and maintain a forecast of $14 per share by the end of 2024
  • The price competition at the lower end remains unchanged and dependent on NTGR clearing out inventory ahead of the peak selling period in the second half of the year

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Daily Brief Industrials: Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings, BQE Water and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): Pass The🍿as the Board Responds to AZ-COM Maruwa (9090 JP)
  • BQE: Q4 Financials Preview


Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): Pass The🍿as the Board Responds to AZ-COM Maruwa (9090 JP)

By Arun George

  • The Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) Board has responded with several questions regarding AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP)’s pre-conditional hostile offer of JPY3,000 per share.
  • The Board questions the transaction’s schedule, terms and potential synergies. The Board has also used the ruse that due diligence access would justify a higher offer price.
  • Expect several rounds of Q&A and a delay to the tender start. If shares continue trading through terms ahead of the tender start, AZ-COM Maruwa will likely have to bump. 

BQE: Q4 Financials Preview

By Atrium Research

  • BQE will be reporting Q4 & 2023 financial results in ~2 weeks, we are expecting proportional revenue of $4.2M, gross margin of 45%, and adj. EBITDA of $0.6M (14% margin).
  • Metals prices have been rising steadily over the last month with copper up 9%.
  • BQE’s China JV has leverage to the copper price as it sells recovered metals.

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