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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: InterGlobe Aviation Ltd, Lyft , Koninklijke Bam Groep Nv, Parsons Corp, Rocket Lab USA , Esab , Siemens , Middleby Corp, Parker Hannifin and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement – Second US$800m+ Deal by Co-Founder This Year
  • Lyft Inc: Can AV Partnerships & Its New European Strategy Fuel Long-Term Growth?
  • What’s News in Amsterdam – 26 August (BAM Group | Retail sales | Dutch politics)
  • Parsons Corporation: Will The Acquisition of CTI for Expansion of Defense Capabilities Be A Game Changer?
  • Rocket Lab USA: Neutron Rocket Development to Amplify Revenue Opportunities & Market Competitiveness!
  • ESAB’s New Revolutionary React Welding Tech & 5 Major Challenges In Its Path!
  • Siemens AG: Growth in Automation & Digital Industries Powering Our Optimism!
  • Middleby Inside the M&A Pipeline: What Frigomeccanica Brings to the Table!
  • Parker-Hannifin: A Closer Look At Its Infrastructure, Construction Recovery & Key Growth Catalysts!


Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement – Second US$800m+ Deal by Co-Founder This Year

By Akshat Shah

  • InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN) co-founder, Rakesh Gangwal, aims to raise around US$802m via selling around a 3% stake in Indigo.
  • He had earlier stated his intention to pare down his stake after a long drawn, and very public battle, with his co-founder Rahul Bhatia. He has sold many times before.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

Lyft Inc: Can AV Partnerships & Its New European Strategy Fuel Long-Term Growth?

By Baptista Research

  • Lyft’s second-quarter 2025 results demonstrate a mix of strong financial performance and strategic expansion initiatives, though not without associated challenges and considerations.
  • The company reported record-breaking metrics across several financial measures, including gross bookings, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flows, marking substantial growth in its operational performance.
  • Additionally, Lyft executed a substantial $200 million stock buyback program, signaling confidence in its valuation and future prospects.

What’s News in Amsterdam – 26 August (BAM Group | Retail sales | Dutch politics)

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • BAM Group | awarded EUR 600m contract from Enexis and WML • Dutch retail sales | up 3.3% YoY in value terms in 2Q25; up 1.1% in volume terms • Dutch politics | former high-level civil servant recommends an interim cabinet • Dutch politics | latest poll after last Friday’s events

Parsons Corporation: Will The Acquisition of CTI for Expansion of Defense Capabilities Be A Game Changer?

By Baptista Research

  • Parsons Corporation’s second quarter 2025 results reflect a mixed but promising outlook for the company.
  • During this period, the company delivered revenue and adjusted EBITDA that aligned with expectations and guidance assumptions.
  • A notable highlight was the impressive cash flow, which exceeded forecasts.

Rocket Lab USA: Neutron Rocket Development to Amplify Revenue Opportunities & Market Competitiveness!

By Baptista Research

  • Rocket Lab Corporation’s recent quarterly financial disclosures portray a period of positive revenue growth, coming in at $144.5 million, a 36% increase compared to the same period last year.
  • This figure is notably above the high end of Rocket Lab’s prior guidance, signifying robust demand and operational execution, with growth driven by both the Space Systems and Launch Services segments.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

ESAB’s New Revolutionary React Welding Tech & 5 Major Challenges In Its Path!

By Baptista Research

  • The second quarter results for ESAB display both strengths and challenges, offering a balanced outlook on the company’s current position and future trajectory.
  • ESAB reported a total sales growth of 2% and achieved a record adjusted EBITDA margin of 20.4%, highlighting strong operational performance.
  • This robust margin performance is attributed to the company’s disciplined execution of its strategies and the ability to navigate a challenging market environment.

Siemens AG: Growth in Automation & Digital Industries Powering Our Optimism!

By Baptista Research

  • Siemens AG’s third-quarter performance in 2025 reflects both strengths and challenges in a complex global environment.
  • The company maintains a robust position, driven by strategic investments and an integrated approach while facing geopolitical and economic uncertainties.
  • In the third quarter, Siemens reported impressive order growth, highlighted by a significant 28% increase in group orders to €24.7 billion.

Middleby Inside the M&A Pipeline: What Frigomeccanica Brings to the Table!

By Baptista Research

  • The Middleby Corporation’s latest quarterly earnings call highlights the complex environment the company is navigating.
  • While facing economic challenges impacting key markets, the call outlines a series of strategic investments aimed at fortifying the company’s position and driving long-term growth.
  • Positively, the company has made significant strides across its business segments through strategic investments over the past three years.

Parker-Hannifin: A Closer Look At Its Infrastructure, Construction Recovery & Key Growth Catalysts!

By Baptista Research

  • Parker Hannifin Corporation recently reported its fiscal year 2025 fourth quarter and full-year financial results, showcasing strong performance metrics that set several records.
  • The company posted full-year sales of $19.9 billion, a record adjusted segment operating margin of 26.1%, and a record adjusted EBITDA margin of 26.4%.
  • Cash flow from operations also reached an unprecedented $3.8 billion, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) up by 7%.

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Daily Brief Financials: LHN Ltd, Shengjing Bank Co Ltd H, Plymouth Industrial REIT , FT Intermediate, Greentown China and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • LHN’s Co-Living Spin-Off And HK Delisting
  • Shengjing Bank (2066 HK): A Light Conditional VGO and Delisting Proposal
  • Shengjing Bank (2066 HK): Dire Status, Dire Offer Price
  • PLYM Faces Potential Takeover by Sixth Street Capital Amid Management Incentives and Shareholder Pressure
  • FT Intermediate, Inc.(FIGR): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Blockchain Powered Lender Platform
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


LHN’s Co-Living Spin-Off And HK Delisting

By David Blennerhassett

  • LHN Ltd (LHN SP) is delisting its secondary listing in Hong Kong and concurrently spinning off its co-living business.
  • The Hong Kong-listing, which was illiquid from the onset, has received approval from the HK Listing Committee to delist. Shareholders will vote on the spin-off on the 9th September. 
  • LHN is up 95% since the spin-off announcement. The accretion from the new listing is well baked in. And then some. 

Shengjing Bank (2066 HK): A Light Conditional VGO and Delisting Proposal

By Arun George

  • Shengjing Bank Co Ltd H (2066 HK) disclosed a voluntary conditional offer and delisting proposal by Shenyang SASAC at HK$1.32 per H Share, a 15.8% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The key conditions are H Shareholder approval of the delisting and a minimum acceptance condition (50% of outstanding and 90% of H Shares). The offer has NOT been declared final.
  • The offer is unattractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples and historical trading ranges. The satisfaction of the minimum acceptance condition is the key risk.  

Shengjing Bank (2066 HK): Dire Status, Dire Offer Price

By David Blennerhassett

  • HK$1.32/Share, a 15.79% premium to undisturbed, and a massive 86.49% discount to NAV. For a rural commercial bank privatisation, there is nothing pretty in those numbers.
  • Even the Offers for Bank Of Jinzhou (416 HK) and Jilin Jiutai Rural Comm Bank (6122 HK) were pitched (slightly) higher, from a P/NAV standpoint. And both were perennially suspended.
  • This is privatisation via a voluntary offer, NOT a privatisation via a Merger by Absorption. As such there is scheme-like vote AND a 90% tendering condition.

PLYM Faces Potential Takeover by Sixth Street Capital Amid Management Incentives and Shareholder Pressure

By Special Situation Investments

  • PLYM received a $24.10/share takeover bid from Sixth Street Capital, with a 14-15% spread to the bid price.
  • Sixth Street has a prior relationship with PLYM, having invested $250m for a 65% stake in PLYM’s Chicago portfolio JV.
  • PLYM’s governance structure lacks staggered boards and dual-class shares, making management vulnerable to activist investors.

FT Intermediate, Inc.(FIGR): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Blockchain Powered Lender Platform

By IPO Boutique

  • The company with proprietary technology that powers next-generation lending, trading and investing activities in areas such as consumer credit and digital assets filed for an IPO on August 18th.
  • For the six months ended June 30, 2025 and 2024, they generated net revenue of $191 million and $156 million, respectively.
  • They are a first mover in what some analyst see as an industry that could be transformed by the blockchain.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greentown China, SK Hynix, JSW Infrastructure
  • UST yields rose slightly amid limited new catalysts yesterday, reversing a portion of the steep declines from last Friday.
  • The yield on the 2Y UST advanced 3 bps to 3.72%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 2 bps at 4.28%. Equities retreated, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq down 0.4% and 0.2% at 6,439 and 21,449, respectively.

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Daily Brief Health Care: CareCloud , Chongqing Taiji Industry (Group) A, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group, Eli Lilly & Co, Insulet Corp, Natera Inc, Oryzon Genomics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • CCLD: Accretive Acquisition of Leading Hospital IT Solutions Provider Transaction Enhances CCLD’s Scale in Key High-Growth Market
  • Chongqing Taiji Industry (Group) (600129.CH) 25H1- CNPGC Commits to Resolving Horizontal Competition
  • CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): Finished Drugs Drag 1H25; 2H25 Expected To End with More Licensing Deals
  • Eli Lilly Expands Beyond Diabetes—Can New Pain & Liver Therapies Disrupt Traditional Care?
  • Insulet Corporation: Expansion of Omnipod 5 in International Markets & Other Major Drivers!
  • Natera Inc.: An Insight Into Its Strategic Collaborations, AI Initiatives & Other Major Drivers!
  • Oryzon Genomics — Foray into sickle cell disease


CCLD: Accretive Acquisition of Leading Hospital IT Solutions Provider Transaction Enhances CCLD’s Scale in Key High-Growth Market

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Key takeaways from the Medsphere acquisition: 1) post-acquisition, the company’s platform will span Medsphere’s hospital IT services along with CCLD’s Artificial Intelligence (AI) capabilities culminating in comprehensive/differentiated solutions offered within competitive cost structures 2) management plans to tap into Medsphere’s existing inpatient EHR and RCM relationships across small- and mid-sized hospitals, aligning with ongoing initiatives to further expand CCLD’s footprint to drive sustainable growth 3) we are raising our Adjusted EPS estimates after layering in incremental revenue related to the transaction and 4) expected Medsphere revenue of approximately $16.5 million on an annualized basis equates to 15% of the midpoint of management’s prior 2025 revenue guidance range of $111 million to $114 million.

Chongqing Taiji Industry (Group) (600129.CH) 25H1- CNPGC Commits to Resolving Horizontal Competition

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • According to the disclosure in 25H1 report, CNPGC will still fulfill its commitment to resolving the issue of horizontal competition.So, the merger of China TCM and Taiji remains an option.
  • Although Taiji’s performance declined sharply in 25H1, the announcement of the stock repurchase indicates that the Company remains optimistic about its prospects and tries to protect the interests of shareholders.
  • There’s high possibility of performance recovery in 2026.In 2027, Taiji would enter a new round of growth. So, 2025 is the low point, which provides a good opportunity to buy.

CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): Finished Drugs Drag 1H25; 2H25 Expected To End with More Licensing Deals

By Tina Banerjee

  • CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) 1H25 revenue dropped 18.5% YoY as finished drugs witnessed decrease on VBP and NRDL inclusion. Bulk products and license fees compensated to an extent.
  • More license and collaboration in relation to the development, manufacturing and commercialization of certain products of the company awaited in 2H25 and augurs well in terms of future revenue visibility.
  • CSPC Pharmaceutical aims to expand into the high-end market to achieve competitive differentiation and thereby command higher prices.

Eli Lilly Expands Beyond Diabetes—Can New Pain & Liver Therapies Disrupt Traditional Care?

By Baptista Research

  • Eli Lilly and Company’s second-quarter 2025 financial results represent a blend of remarkable achievements and strategic foresight, coupled with challenges typical of the pharmaceutical industry.
  • The company reported a robust 38% increase in revenue compared to Q2 2024, driven primarily by key products like Mounjaro, Zepbound, and Verzenio.
  • This outcome highlights the strong demand for its therapies across major therapeutic areas, especially in cardiometabolic health and oncology.

Insulet Corporation: Expansion of Omnipod 5 in International Markets & Other Major Drivers!

By Baptista Research

  • The second quarter results for Insulet Corporation, a leader in insulin management systems, indicate a robust performance with significant development across key financial metrics.
  • The company reported a notable 31% revenue growth year-over-year, reaching $649 million, surpassing the $600 million benchmark for the first time.
  • This impressive growth is attributed to increasing consumer adoption across various segments including U.S. Type 1, Type 2, and international markets, largely driven by the Omnipod 5’s technology and its clinical benefits.

Natera Inc.: An Insight Into Its Strategic Collaborations, AI Initiatives & Other Major Drivers!

By Baptista Research

  • Natera reported a promising financial and operational performance for Q2 2025.
  • The company’s revenue reached $547 million, representing a 32% year-on-year increase, which, when excluding revenue adjustments, marked an organic growth of 34%.
  • This performance was bolstered by substantial demand for its oncology products, particularly Signatera, which saw a record of 189,000 processed tests during the quarter.

Oryzon Genomics — Foray into sickle cell disease

By Edison Investment Research

Oryzon Genomics has announced that the European Medicines Agency (EMA) has provided regulatory clearance for a Phase Ib trial of iadademstat in sickle cell disease. The Phase Ib study (named RESTORE) is expected to enrol 40 adult patients with the condition, and will be based across multiple sites in Spain. The trial is primarily designed to assess the safety and tolerability of the drug candidate, as well as to determine the recommended Phase II dose, with secondary objectives focused on measurements of foetal haemoglobin. While we acknowledge that this is an early-stage programme, we believe it represents a key milestone for Oryzon, since it will be the first investigation of iadademstat in a non-malignant haematological indication.


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Daily Brief Macro: Russia/Ukraine: What Now? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Russia/Ukraine: What Now?
  • A Monetary View on US Inflation
  • U.S. LNG Surge: Growth on Track, but Golden Pass Stumbles
  • CX Daily: China’s Stock Market Roars Back to Life — But Can It Outrun Economic Gravity?
  • Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 25 August
  • Briefing. Jackson Hole Comments, Canada Relationship Reset, Home Depot Growing, Meta Hiring Freeze
  • Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 25 August
  • Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 25 August
  • Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 25 August
  • Understanding Commodity Indices: S&P GSCI (GSG) Vs Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM ETF)


Russia/Ukraine: What Now?

By Alastair Newton

  • A week after the event, it is clear that the Trump/Putin summit presented the latter with a big win at little, if any, cost.
  • Donald Trump is unlikely to come up with anything that will bring Mr Putin to the negotiating table in good faith once his latest two-week ‘deadline’ expires.
  • Furthermore, Mr Trump remains philosophically inclined to favour Russia, a leaning that probably poses a greater risk to Kyiv than Mr Putin himself does.

A Monetary View on US Inflation

By Kok Peng Chan

  • The current neglect on the role played by money supply and the monetary base is, in our view a serious analytical gap
  • In a nutshell, we think private money growth – defined as M2 minus monetary base- is right now in a Goldilocks phase. This augurs well for US inflation
  • With the Fed inclined to ease rather than tighten, and with inflation shocks likely to prove one-off, risk assets remain supported

U.S. LNG Surge: Growth on Track, but Golden Pass Stumbles

By Suhas Reddy

  • U.S. LNG capacity is set to nearly double by 2028, reinforcing America’s dominance in global energy markets.
  • Golden Pass LNG faces major delays due to contractor bankruptcy, highlighting execution risks in megaprojects.
  • Most other projects, including Plaquemines, Rio Grande, and Port Arthur LNG, remain on or near schedule.

CX Daily: China’s Stock Market Roars Back to Life — But Can It Outrun Economic Gravity?

By Caixin Global

  • Stocks / Cover Story: China’s stock market roars back to life — but can it outrun economic gravity?
  • Trade /: China offers Brazil’s coffee-makers a partial escape from U.S. tariffs
  • Chips /: AI chipmaker Cambricon inches closer to becoming China’s priciest stock

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 25 August

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds firm at levels that incentivize refiners to maintain or raise output.
  • Firm margins point to still-tight supply-demand fundamentals.
  • Margins hold firm even with prospect of rise in surplus base oils supply in Asia in Q3 2025 in response to pick-up in output and slowdown in demand.

Briefing. Jackson Hole Comments, Canada Relationship Reset, Home Depot Growing, Meta Hiring Freeze

By The Synopsis

  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish signal at Jackson Hole boosted markets and broke a five-day losing streak
  • July Fed minutes showed a hawkish tone regarding inflation risk and reluctance to cut rates, but Powell hinted at possible rate cut in September
  • US labor market concerns deepen with rising jobless claims, while housing market shows weakness and retail sales increase 4% in July; Canada to remove half of retaliatory tariffs on US goods

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 25 August

By Iain Pocock

  • Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm relative to light and heavy neutrals so far in Q3 2025.
  • Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm versus feedstock vacuum gasoil price so far in Q3 2025.
  • Europe Group I export brightstock price maintains steep premium to imported cargo prices in markets like India.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 25 August

By Iain Pocock

  • Global base oils prices hold at levels versus feedstock and competing fuel prices that sustain incentive for refiners to maintain or raise output.
  • Margins hold firm even at time of year when surplus supply typically starts to build amid seasonal slowdown in demand.
  • Firm margins could point to supply-demand fundamentals that are tighter than usual for time of year.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 25 August

By Iain Pocock

  • US base oils demand likely to stay cautious in face of healthy availability of supply and lower crude/diesel prices.
  • Weaker fundamentals and lower feedstock prices increase exposure to risk of drop in outright prices.
  • Recent drop in Group I/Group II domestic prices could ease some of the downward price-pressure.

Understanding Commodity Indices: S&P GSCI (GSG) Vs Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM ETF)

By Rahul Jain

  • The S&P GSCI (GSG) and Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM ETF) are the two key benchmarks for commodity investing, but both track futures contracts, not spot prices.
  • Over 10 years, spot oil, copper, and gold rose strongly, yet these indices delivered flat to negative returns due to roll yield drag, rebalancing, and higher fees.
  • They work best as tactical inflation hedges — GSCI for high-beta oil exposure, BCOM for more diversified commodity exposure — not as long-term compounding assets.

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Daily Brief Australia: PointsBet Holdings , Glencore , New Hope Corp and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • PointsBet (PBH AU): Betr Bumps a Second Time but Fails to Check Its Work
  • JSE Sep ‘25 Rebalance: GLN Expected to Enter Top 40, APN to Fall Out
  • Higher Lows Supporting New Hope Shares


PointsBet (PBH AU): Betr Bumps a Second Time but Fails to Check Its Work

By Arun George

  • BETR Entertainment (BBT AU) has disclosed revised terms but has failed to check its work. The announcement has two revised scrip ratios – 4.735 (in bold) and 4.375. 
  • To match the stated PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU) offer value, the scrip ratio should be 4.375. The revised terms suggest that Betr is struggling to secure acceptances. 
  • The key issue remains that Betr will be unable to exercise compulsory acquisition rights to realise its stated synergies, a key pitch for shareholders to favour its all-scrip offer.

JSE Sep ‘25 Rebalance: GLN Expected to Enter Top 40, APN to Fall Out

By Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

  • Last night, the price snapshot was taken for the JSE September 2025 rebalance.
  • GLN is expected to enter the Top 40 index, with APN falling out.
  • No changes are expected for the FINDI, FINI, INDI or RESI indices.

Higher Lows Supporting New Hope Shares

By FNArena

  • Michael Gable of Fairmont Equities notes shares in New Hope Corp are finding technical support from a series of higher lows on the price chart.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Austindo Nusantara Jaya and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Austindo (ANJT IJ): First Resources (FR SP)’s MTO


Austindo (ANJT IJ): First Resources (FR SP)’s MTO

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 10th March 2025, First Resources (FR SP) entered into a SPA to acquire a 91.17% stake in oil plantation producer Austindo Nusantara Jaya (ANJT IJ).
  • The completion of the transaction would trigger an mandatory tender offer (MTO). The sale was completed on the 6th May. 
  • The MTO kicks off today. The Offer Price is IDR 1,813/share. Payment is the 3rd October.

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Most Read: Sanrio, Dongfeng Motor, Ashimori Industry, Xiaomi, SK Inc, Caliway Biopharmaceuticals, Aux Electric, LHN Ltd, Fast Retailing and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Sep25: Performance of Potential Adds/Deletes & Positioning
  • Dongfeng (489 HK)’s Privatisation And EV Backdoor Listing
  • [Japan M&A] Toyoda Gosei Buys Out Affiliate Ashimori Industry at 1.000x Mar25 Book
  • Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII): Methodology Change & Impact
  • Near-Term Flows to Watch on Mandatory Treasury Share Cancellation in Korea
  • Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Hat Trick for Caliway Biopharma?
  • Russia/Ukraine: What Now?
  • Aux Electric IPO: Smallest Player but Superior Growth and Margins
  • LHN’s Co-Living Spin-Off And HK Delisting
  • Fast Retailing (9983 JP) Tactical Outlook: Turning OVERSOLD, Potential BUY Ahead of Sep-25 Rebalance


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Sep25: Performance of Potential Adds/Deletes & Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • The changes to the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) as part of the September rebalance should be announced in just over 2 weeks. We expect 2 changes at the review.
  • BayCurrent Consulting‘s PAF will double, Fast Retailing‘s CPAF will stay the same, and Sony Financial Group will be deleted from the index following its spinoff from Sony Corp (6758 JP)
  • Sanrio (8136 JP)‘s improved liquidity increases the probability of index inclusion, and the stock could be added to the index at the next rebalance if it misses in September.

Dongfeng (489 HK)’s Privatisation And EV Backdoor Listing

By David Blennerhassett

  • Dongfeng Motor (489 HK) has announced a privatisation; together with a concurrent listing of its EV arm.
  • The same day as the dual proposals, Dongfeng announced an interim loss (1H25). Evidently, the way forward – from an investor standpoint – is electric, not internal combustion engines. 
  • The cash terms + scrip (into the EV listing) under the proposals are attractive. Even after this morning’s move (+53.6%) in Dongfeng’s share price.

[Japan M&A] Toyoda Gosei Buys Out Affiliate Ashimori Industry at 1.000x Mar25 Book

By Travis Lundy

  • Toyota Motor (7203 JP) subsidiary Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP) is buying out its own equity affiliate Ashimori Industry (3526 JP) at a near-all-time high price of ¥4,140/share.
  • It’s not a great price, but it is just over 1x book after writedowns this past quarter. It basically requires cross-holders and half a retail to tender. 
  • But this autoparts business is a strong grower, and has no EV risk. And its non-autoparts business is more interesting. The “fair” multiples are low. But it’ll get done.

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII): Methodology Change & Impact

By Brian Freitas

  • Last evening, Hang Seng announced a methodology change for the Hang Seng Internet & Information Technology Index (HSIII Index) with implementation in two phases.
  • The capping methodology will be updated at the September rebalance and the turnover and sector requirements will be updated at the December rebalance.
  • The updated capping scheme increases turnover and flow in September, while there could be one constituent change for the index at the December rebalance.

Near-Term Flows to Watch on Mandatory Treasury Share Cancellation in Korea

By Sanghyun Park

  • Dems likely to push 3rd package in Q4; near-term flows chasing treasury stock cancellation theme, with locals screening >₩1tn mkt cap, >10% treasury shares of float.
  • Little pushback on mandatory treasury cancellations; debate focused on timeline — grace period vs. immediate rollout — highlighting how much leeway government may grant differing governance structures.
  • Too early for governance plays; near-term momentum flows likely in names with highest treasury stock relative to float, where cancellation is expected to hit flows hardest.

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Hat Trick for Caliway Biopharma?

By Brian Freitas


Russia/Ukraine: What Now?

By Alastair Newton

  • A week after the event, it is clear that the Trump/Putin summit presented the latter with a big win at little, if any, cost.
  • Donald Trump is unlikely to come up with anything that will bring Mr Putin to the negotiating table in good faith once his latest two-week ‘deadline’ expires.
  • Furthermore, Mr Trump remains philosophically inclined to favour Russia, a leaning that probably poses a greater risk to Kyiv than Mr Putin himself does.

Aux Electric IPO: Smallest Player but Superior Growth and Margins

By Nicholas Tan

  • Aux Electric (2580 HK)  is looking to raise up to US$460m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • It is one of the global top five air conditioner providers, with capabilities covering the design, R&D, production, sales and related services of household and central air conditioners.
  • In this note, we examine the IPO dynamics, and look at the firm’s valuation.

LHN’s Co-Living Spin-Off And HK Delisting

By David Blennerhassett

  • LHN Ltd (LHN SP) is delisting its secondary listing in Hong Kong and concurrently spinning off its co-living business.
  • The Hong Kong-listing, which was illiquid from the onset, has received approval from the HK Listing Committee to delist. Shareholders will vote on the spin-off on the 9th September. 
  • LHN is up 95% since the spin-off announcement. The accretion from the new listing is well baked in. And then some. 

Fast Retailing (9983 JP) Tactical Outlook: Turning OVERSOLD, Potential BUY Ahead of Sep-25 Rebalance

By Nico Rosti

  • In his recent insight, Brian Freitas stated that Fast Retailing (9983 JP)‘s CPAF will stay the same at the September 25 Nikkei 225 Index rebalance.
  • The stock is turning oversold—not yet extreme, but notable. Historically, this short-term downtrend pattern often reversed after two weeks of declines; we are now in the second consecutive week lower.
  • Monitor the 47150 support level: the stock is trading at 47810 at the moment of writing, if it goes at or below 47150 it will start to be clearly oversold.

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Daily Brief South Korea: SK Telecom, HD Hyundai , Nota and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • SKT Foreign Room Play Heating up — Entry Could Come Sooner than Expected with Today’s Fine Out
  • HD Hyundai Robotics Raises 200 Billion Won and NAV Analysis of HD Hyundai
  • Nota IPO Valuation Analysis


SKT Foreign Room Play Heating up — Entry Could Come Sooner than Expected with Today’s Fine Out

By Sanghyun Park

  • SKT foreign room rising ahead of PIPC sanction decision today; fine confirmation could trigger ESG fund exits.
  • Large ESG money still in SKT; post-sanction exits could push foreign room past 25% sooner than expected — a key factor for trading setup.
  • Nov review momentum could hit early; post-fine, a foreign room surge toward 25% signals our entry, with the pullback setting up the SKT Nov inclusion trade.

HD Hyundai Robotics Raises 200 Billion Won and NAV Analysis of HD Hyundai

By Douglas Kim

  • HD Hyundai Robotics will raise 200 billion won ($144 million) valuing the company at 1.8 trillion won.
  • Korea Development Bank and KY PE will be investing 200 billion won in HD Hyundai Robotics through a redeemable convertible preference shares in September.
  • Our NAV valuation analysis of HD Hyundai suggests target price of 168,561 won per share, which represents a 27% upside from current levels.

Nota IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Nota suggests target price of 11,948 won per share, which represents 31% higher than the high end of the IPO price range (9,100 won).
  • Nota’s technology enables efficient operation of high-performance AI models. It has been able to develop one of the first commercially available generative AI-based intelligent video surveillance solution in Korea.
  • We estimate Nota to generate revenue of 13.8 billion won (up 65% YoY) in 2025 and 21.7 billion won (up 57% YoY) in 2026. 

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Daily Brief United States: Palantir Technologies , Amazon, Black Rock Coffee Bar, NVIDIA Corp, Take Two Interactive Software, Inc, Plymouth Industrial REIT , Lyft , Expedia Group, Inc., FT Intermediate, Natural Gas and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Palantir Technologies Inc:  Rotation Signals Momentum Shift
  • Amazon.com Inc – Amazon Just Entered The Used-Car Market—Is Carvana In Trouble?
  • Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Operator of Drive-Thru Chain
  • Nvidia’s $Billion China Gamble: Downgraded Chips, Government Cuts, & Geopolitics!
  • Take-Two Interactive Software: Innovative Content & Technology Integration As A Pivotal Growth Lever!
  • PLYM Faces Potential Takeover by Sixth Street Capital Amid Management Incentives and Shareholder Pressure
  • Lyft Inc: Can AV Partnerships & Its New European Strategy Fuel Long-Term Growth?
  • Expedia Group: How Diversification Into B2B Could Become Its Secret Growth Engine!
  • FT Intermediate, Inc.(FIGR): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Blockchain Powered Lender Platform
  • U.S. LNG Surge: Growth on Track, but Golden Pass Stumbles


Palantir Technologies Inc:  Rotation Signals Momentum Shift

By Steven Holden

  • Palantir ownership among global funds hit a record 11.3% in July 2025, nearly doubling in six months, led by growth strategies.
  • Despite a 500% rally and rising index weights, most fund positions remain modest; only three exceed 2%.
  • Now the fourth most held AI/software peer, Palantir risks becoming a Tesla-style underweight challenge for active managers.

Amazon.com Inc – Amazon Just Entered The Used-Car Market—Is Carvana In Trouble?

By Baptista Research

  • Amazon has officially stepped into the online used-car market through a high-profile partnership with Hertz, potentially disrupting an industry already in flux.
  • After quietly testing car listings through its Amazon Autos vertical for over a year, Amazon is now allowing customers in select U.S. states to browse Hertz’s used vehicle inventory and complete much of the transaction through its platform — a move designed to provide a more convenient and digital car-buying experience.
  • Delivery or pick-up logistics are handled by Hertz, while Amazon facilitates discovery, payments, and logistics support.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Operator of Drive-Thru Chain

By IPO Boutique

  • The operator of guest-centric, drive-thru coffee bars offering premium caffeinated beverages and an elevated in-store experience crafted by our engaging baristas filed for an IPO on August 18th.
  • They have 158 locations spanning seven states as of June 30, 2025, from the Pacific Northwest to Texas.
  • Store revenue increased $18.6 million, or 24.3%, to $95.1 million for the six months ended June 30, 2025, compared to $76.5 million for the six months ended June 30, 2024.

Nvidia’s $Billion China Gamble: Downgraded Chips, Government Cuts, & Geopolitics!

By Baptista Research

  • As geopolitical tensions intensify, Nvidia is walking a tightrope between U.S. export controls and China’s increasingly assertive push for self-reliance in critical technologies.
  • The chipmaker’s position as the dominant provider of AI semiconductors has forced it into delicate strategic maneuvers, especially in China, where demand remains strong but political scrutiny is mounting.
  • To preserve a foothold in this crucial market, Nvidia has introduced weakened chip designs to comply with U.S. restrictions, explored revenue-sharing deals with local partners, and restructured its supply chain to insulate operations from further shocks.

Take-Two Interactive Software: Innovative Content & Technology Integration As A Pivotal Growth Lever!

By Baptista Research

  • Take-Two Interactive Software reported strong financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, ending June 30, 2025.
  • The company reported net bookings of $1.42 billion, significantly surpassing its guidance range of $1.25 to $1.3 billion, indicating robust demand across its portfolio.
  • Take-Two’s core franchises, particularly NBA 2K and the Grand Theft Auto series, continue to perform exceptionally, which has supported an upward revision of the company’s net bookings outlook for fiscal year 2026 to a range of $6.05 to $6.15 billion.

PLYM Faces Potential Takeover by Sixth Street Capital Amid Management Incentives and Shareholder Pressure

By Special Situation Investments

  • PLYM received a $24.10/share takeover bid from Sixth Street Capital, with a 14-15% spread to the bid price.
  • Sixth Street has a prior relationship with PLYM, having invested $250m for a 65% stake in PLYM’s Chicago portfolio JV.
  • PLYM’s governance structure lacks staggered boards and dual-class shares, making management vulnerable to activist investors.

Lyft Inc: Can AV Partnerships & Its New European Strategy Fuel Long-Term Growth?

By Baptista Research

  • Lyft’s second-quarter 2025 results demonstrate a mix of strong financial performance and strategic expansion initiatives, though not without associated challenges and considerations.
  • The company reported record-breaking metrics across several financial measures, including gross bookings, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flows, marking substantial growth in its operational performance.
  • Additionally, Lyft executed a substantial $200 million stock buyback program, signaling confidence in its valuation and future prospects.

Expedia Group: How Diversification Into B2B Could Become Its Secret Growth Engine!

By Baptista Research

  • Expedia Group’s Q2 2025 results show both strengths and challenges in their performance.
  • On the positive side, the company has managed to surpass expectations for gross bookings, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA margins, indicating effective execution amid a soft U.S. travel market.
  • Gross bookings grew by 5%, while revenue increased by 6%, suggesting solid underlying business momentum.

FT Intermediate, Inc.(FIGR): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Blockchain Powered Lender Platform

By IPO Boutique

  • The company with proprietary technology that powers next-generation lending, trading and investing activities in areas such as consumer credit and digital assets filed for an IPO on August 18th.
  • For the six months ended June 30, 2025 and 2024, they generated net revenue of $191 million and $156 million, respectively.
  • They are a first mover in what some analyst see as an industry that could be transformed by the blockchain.

U.S. LNG Surge: Growth on Track, but Golden Pass Stumbles

By Suhas Reddy

  • U.S. LNG capacity is set to nearly double by 2028, reinforcing America’s dominance in global energy markets.
  • Golden Pass LNG faces major delays due to contractor bankruptcy, highlighting execution risks in megaprojects.
  • Most other projects, including Plaquemines, Rio Grande, and Port Arthur LNG, remain on or near schedule.

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Daily Brief India: InterGlobe Aviation Ltd, Reliance Industries, Deep Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement – Second US$800m+ Deal by Co-Founder This Year
  • India’s Industrial Transformation: A Comprehensive Ind Primer on Reliance Ind Multi-Sector Dominance
  • Deep Industries: An Oil & Gas Powerhouse Proxy of India


Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement – Second US$800m+ Deal by Co-Founder This Year

By Akshat Shah

  • InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN) co-founder, Rakesh Gangwal, aims to raise around US$802m via selling around a 3% stake in Indigo.
  • He had earlier stated his intention to pare down his stake after a long drawn, and very public battle, with his co-founder Rahul Bhatia. He has sold many times before.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

India’s Industrial Transformation: A Comprehensive Ind Primer on Reliance Ind Multi-Sector Dominance

By Viral Kishorchandra Shah

  • Jio dominates telecom with 42% market share and 480M+ subscribers, driving India’s 5G revolution.
  • Spans oil-chemicals, retail, digital services, renewable energy with vertical integration advantages across sectors.
  • Targeting Net Carbon Zero by 2035 with 100 GW renewable capacity and world’s largest green energy ecosystem.

Deep Industries: An Oil & Gas Powerhouse Proxy of India

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Deep Industries has posted stellar Q1 FY26 results, fueled by aggressive revenue growth and a strengthened, diversified order book.
  • The company’s strategic focus on high-value, long-tenure contracts and new business verticals positions it for sustained, high double digit growth in a supportive market.
  • Company re-emphasized 30% revenue growth for the next year, along with potential recovery from bad assets.

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