
In today’s briefing:
- GAPack (468 HK): IFA Says “Reject”. But Mengniu Selling Down
- IO Weekly Technicals Review [2025/01]: IO Poised for Recovery
- Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Deep Value, >35% of Mkt Cap in Cash, 2.5x PE/0.3 EV-EBITDA on Ramp Up
- Sintana Energy Inc. : Mopane-2A Encounters Gas Condensate in the Sweet Spot
- Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
- Food Prices Went Up Again in 2024 // Neutral Sentiment in Oil & Gas Industry
- Pulsar Helium Inc.: Raising New Equity at a Premium. Imminent High Impact Drilling Newsflow
- Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Triton Back on Stream. Compressor Vulnerability to Be Fixed in 1Q25.
- Fineotex Chemical Limited (BSE: 533333) – Monday, Oct 7, 2024

GAPack (468 HK): IFA Says “Reject”. But Mengniu Selling Down
- Quite a lot of new news to digest – GAPack (468 HK)‘s IFA, not altogether surprisingly, concluded that shareholders should not accept the Offer – in bold, red caps.
- But more surprisingly, is the disclosure announcement that China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK) has reduced its stake below 5%.
- Evidently Mengniu is keeping its options open to tender – or not – and not have to make public disclosures. Keep an eye out on CCASS movements.
IO Weekly Technicals Review [2025/01]: IO Poised for Recovery
- SGX IO Futures closed USD 0.35/ton lower for the week ending on 03/Jan. It traded in a range of USD 4.35/ton, which was smaller than the prior week.
- For the week ending 03/Jan, China’s port iron ore stockpiles rose 0.2% WoW to 145.22 million tons, while daily imported ore pick-up volume fell 47k tons to 3.08 million tons.
- FIIs hold a net long position of 130.6k lots across all futures and options expiries. Managed Money and Physical market participants are net short by 19.6k and 82.1k lots, respectively.
Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Deep Value, >35% of Mkt Cap in Cash, 2.5x PE/0.3 EV-EBITDA on Ramp Up
- Fenix Resources (FEX AU) will increase production from 1.4 to 4.1 million tons annually in early CY25, placing it at 2.5x PE/0.3x EV-EBITDA FY26e (~100 USD/ton iron ore px assumption).
- On our estimates, if the company pays no dividend and capex is 60 mn AUD in both FY25 and FY26, net cash>market capitalization. (Conclusion: Board Pays Dividend)
- We will look for the next quarterly production update for more color this month. Read our last update Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Positive Developments At Iron Ridge And Other Catalysts
Sintana Energy Inc. : Mopane-2A Encounters Gas Condensate in the Sweet Spot
- The Mopane-2A well at PEL-83 found a hydrocarbon column of gas-condensate in AVO-3 with a thin net pay in the reservoir sweet spot.
- Encountering AVO-3 at Mopane-2A confirms the lateral extent of the reservoir.
- The thin net pay is in line with the geological model.
Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
- In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Hongqiao, Adani Green Energy, Fosun International
- In the US, the final services PMI for December 2024 edged up to 56.8 (56.1 p), while the composite PMI rose to 55.4 (54.9 p). Separately in November, factory orders declined 0.4% (-0.3% e / 0.5% revised p), and the final durable goods orders fell 1.2% (-0.5% e / -1.1% p).
- Long-end treasury yields climbed, with the UST curve bear-steepening after a weak auction of 3Y notes and amid a large supply of US corporate bond issuances.
Food Prices Went Up Again in 2024 // Neutral Sentiment in Oil & Gas Industry
The FAO Food Price Index stood at 127.0 points in December 2024, down 0.6 points (0.5%) from its November level.
The index stood 8.0 points (6.7%) above its corresponding level one year ago, yet remained 33.2 points (20.7%) below the peak reached in March 2022.
While the news is dominated by sky-high cocoa and coffee prices, you can clearly see from the data that on the one hand, vegetable oil prices were a primary driver of higher food prices throughout the year.
Pulsar Helium Inc.: Raising New Equity at a Premium. Imminent High Impact Drilling Newsflow
- Pulsar is raising up to US$7.5 mm of new equity at a price of U$0.38 (£0.30 equivalent) per share which is higher than the closing price of £0.26 per share the day prior to the announcement.
- University Bank from Michigan will also provide a line of credit of up to US$4.0 mm to Pulsar’s major shareholder ABCrescent enabling ABC to exercise its 15.5 mm share purchase warrants at an exercise price of C$0.36 per share.
- Overall, Pulsar could receive a total of up to US$11.5 mm in new equity.
Serica Energy Plc (AIM: SQZ): Triton Back on Stream. Compressor Vulnerability to Be Fixed in 1Q25.
- Triton production resumed on 27 December 2024 following a shut-down of about three weeks, within the guidance of two to four weeks.
- There was brief period of unscheduled downtime at Bruce due to a subsea intervention associated with the Rhum field.
- Production at Bruce has now resumed.
Fineotex Chemical Limited (BSE: 533333) – Monday, Oct 7, 2024
- Fineotex Chemical is a small mid cap business in India with a $480 million enterprise value, listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange since 2011
- The author predicts the stock to multiply 5x in the next decade and outperform the Sensex and NIFTY indices
- Fineotex is a specialty chemical manufacturer with strong growth potential, increased production capacity, and a wide export network, positioning it for long-term success.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.