Daily Briefs

• Following the methodology update for the HSIII Index, there could be up to 5 constituent changes in December.
• Estimated one-way turnover is 12.8% and that will result in a round-trip trade of HK$9.8bn (US$1.25bn).
• Xiaomi (1810 HK) is the biggest beneficiary of the new methodology while there will be large funding outflows for a lot of the current index constituents.

• There could be 12 changes at the December rebalance with the Information Technology sector gaining 2 index spots and a smaller number of changes in the other sectors.
• We estimate one-way turnover of 2.7% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 69.8bn (US$9.8bn). There are 8 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.
• The forecast adds have outperformed the CSI 300 Index over the last 5 months while the forecast deletes have underperformed the index.

• In mid-September, global index provider M _ _ _ announced that they were conducting an index consultation on Digital Asset Treasury Cos. I wrote about it here.
• My recommended short at the time is down 30%, despite announcing a large buyback program. Others have lost significant premium vs underlying digital assets. 
• The same index provider expanded their list of affected names on 29 Oct. And a DIFFERENT Index provider this week added DATCOs to a US Advisory Panel Meeting Agenda Wednesday.

• Just Dial is a dominant player in India’s local search market, boasting a vast database of listings and a strong brand recall built over two decades. The company is currently in a growth phase, evidenced by a significant 102.04% 3-year CAGR in net income.
• The strategic acquisition of a majority stake by Reliance Retail Ventures Ltd. provides substantial synergistic opportunities, access to capital, and integration into a larger digital ecosystem, which is expected to accelerate the growth of its B2B platform, JD Mart.
• Despite strong financial performance, the company faces intense competition from Google’s local search offerings and various specialized vertical players, which poses a significant threat to its market share and pricing power. The company’s future success hinges on its ability to innovate and effectively monetize its new ventures.

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• Welcome to Curator’s Cut — a fortnightly roundup of standout themes from the 1,500+ insights published on Smartkarma. 
• In this cut, we revisit memory stocks’ stellar year, unpack results from the best pure-play gaming franchise, and spotlight airline stocks poised for lift-off.
• Want to dig deeper? Comment or message with the themes you’d like to see highlighted next.

• Context: Some of Hong Kong’s largest and most prominent companies will report in the coming days, representing 20% of the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) 
• Highlight: This Insight quantifies option-implied swings which serve as a gauge for post-earnings reactions.
• Why Read: Prepare for a busy earnings week by understanding where single-stock and broader market volatility may be elevated.

• Cognex Corporation reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing a solid strategic direction and improved operational efficiencies.
• The company’s focus on AI technology for industrial machine vision is evident in its performance and the introduction of innovative products like the SLX, aimed at enhancing logistics applications.
• Positive aspects from the results include achieving double-digit revenue growth and reaching the highest adjusted EBITDA margin since Q2 of 2023.

• Advantest’s updated guidance and MTP3 targets confirm its dominant, long-term growth trajectory as a key supplier for the high-performance computing and AI semiconductor supply chain.
• Despite a strong structural growth story, the stock faces near-term headwinds from a sequential decline in Q2 operating income and an elevated valuation that reflects peak market optimism.
• We suggest a tactical adjustment to vega exposure due to market dynamics, recommending a strategy to monetize the heightened implied and realized volatility following the strong earnings report.

• EchoStar’s recently amended agreement to sell its unpaired AWS-3 spectrum licenses to SpaceX for $2.6 billion in SpaceX stock represents a pivotal shift in its operational and strategic trajectory.
• Building on a previous September deal where EchoStar committed to transferring AWS-4 and H-block licenses to SpaceX for up to $17 billion (half cash, half stock), this new AWS-3 transaction strengthens both firms’ long-term ambitions.
• For EchoStar, this move not only unlocks immediate financial runway and positions it to operate more flexibly but also furthers its transformation from a spectrum-heavy, capital-intensive business into a leaner, investment-focused entity.

• While approximately 80% of pair trades play out according to plan, a small subset of trades fails to produce a trade close signal within the expected timeframe.
• This Insight investigates the phenomenon of parameter drift and how to manage its adverse effects.
• Analyzing challenging trades provides valuable insights into model behavior, enhancing both risk management and preparedness for future market shifts.