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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief United States: Coinbase Global , SPDR Gold Shares, Liberty Broadband A and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Coinbase 2025 High Conviction Call Update: Limited Near-Term Upside from Current Valuation
  • An Update on Gold: Time for a Pause?
  • Weekly Update (GCI, IGT/BRSL, Greenblatt)


Coinbase 2025 High Conviction Call Update: Limited Near-Term Upside from Current Valuation

By Alec Tseung

  • Using SOTP is likely the best way to value COIN going forward as its subscription and services revenue is now more substantial and Circle has just gone public.
  • Non-Transaction revenue is being valued at a much higher multiple than transaction revenue. SOTP valuation indicates limited near-term upside from COIN’s current market capitalization.
  • Circle’s impact on Coinbase is now twofold: 1) driving its revenue mix shift toward non-transaction revenue; 2) acting as a key benchmark for its non-transaction revenue valuation.

An Update on Gold: Time for a Pause?

By Cam Hui

  • Gold violated its rising trend line in all major currencies except yen, which may be a technical warning of a tiring bull. Is it time to turn cautious?
  • We remain gold bulls. Gold prices are consolidating after strong gains in H1 2025, but the trend is still up.
  • Bullish sentiment isn’t stretched and central bank buying provides long-term demand.

Weekly Update (GCI, IGT/BRSL, Greenblatt)

By Richard Howe

  • In November 2024, Liberty Broadband (Nasdaq: LBRDA/LBRDK) agreed to be acquired by Charter Communications (CHTR) in an all‑stock deal.

  • Under the merger agreement, each Liberty Broadband common share will convert into 0.236 share of Charter common stock (plus cash for fractional shares), and each Liberty preferred share will convert to a new Charter preferred share.

  • As part of the deal, Liberty Broadband will spin off its fully owned Alaska telecom business (GCI, LLC) to Liberty shareholders before the Charter merger closes.


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Daily Brief India: Indian Energy Exchange Ltd, NSDL, JSW Steel Ltd, Tata Steel Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • IEX Powers Ahead: Volume Growth Signals Strong Q1 and Strategic Evolution
  • NSDL IPO: The Bear Case
  • JSW Steel: Steady Output Amid Pricing Pressure; Record Volumes Likely Ahead
  • Tata Steel – 1QFY26: Stable Output, Soft Deliveries Amid Planned Maintenance


IEX Powers Ahead: Volume Growth Signals Strong Q1 and Strategic Evolution

By Rahul Jain

  • Volume Data: IEX volumes rose 15% YoY in Q1 FY26, led by strong RTM and Green Market growth.
  • Near-Term Outlook: Higher volumes should lift Q1 earnings, with EBITDA and PAT expected to rise ~22%.
  • Future Plans: IEX is launching new products like G-RTM and LDCs, and investing in P2P and smart grid tech.

NSDL IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • National Securities Depository Limited/NSDL (NSDL IN) is the largest depository in India. It is seeking to raise US$400 million.
  • In NSDL IPO: The Bull Case, I highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, I outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on the core business’s lower growth and margins compared to its key peer and the banking services’ weak performance.

JSW Steel: Steady Output Amid Pricing Pressure; Record Volumes Likely Ahead

By Rahul Jain

  • Volume: JSW Steel reported 7.26 Mnt of crude steel production in Q1 FY26, up 14% YoY, despite seasonal and maintenance-related disruptions.
  • Expansion: The company is on track to scale up its capacity from 35.7 MTPA to 43.4 MTPA by FY28, led by ramp-ups at Vijayanagar, Dolvi, and greenfield Odisha.
  • BPSL: Legal clarity on the BPSL acquisition remains pending, though operations have been successfully ramped up to 4.5 MTPA under JSW’s management.

Tata Steel – 1QFY26: Stable Output, Soft Deliveries Amid Planned Maintenance

By Rahul Jain

  • Tata Steel’s total crude steel production stood at 7.29 million tons in 1QFY26, flat YoY but down 3% QoQ due to upstream maintenance disruptions in India.
  • In Europe, the Netherlands saw steady output, while the UK is progressing with its 3.2 MTPA EAF transition at Port Talbot, slated to begin construction in July 2025.
  • With blast furnace relining at Jamshedpur nearing completion and NINL operations normalized, volume recovery is expected from Q2 onward.

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Daily Brief China: Guangzhou Automobile Group, Zijin Mining Group , Meituan, Hang Seng Index, Orient Overseas International, Geely Auto, Baige Online Digital Technology and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 11 July 2025):  “Beautiful Skew” Continues – BIG AH Premia Compression
  • Zijin Mining: Strong H1 Guidance, FY25 Upgrades Likely, Gold Listing Adds Catalyst
  • ECM Weekly (14 July 2025) – Meituan, SBI, Kokusai, NTT, Daehan, Anthem, SICC, CIG, FWD
  • Global Markets Tactical Outlook: Week of July 14 – July 19
  • Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Something Seems Not Quite Right!
  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 11 July 2025); Volumes Up, Net Buying Up, Non-Bank Financials Hot
  • Baige Online Digital Technology – The Business Model and the Risks Behind


A/H Premium Tracker (To 11 July 2025):  “Beautiful Skew” Continues – BIG AH Premia Compression

By Travis Lundy

  • AH premia flat among liquid names but “beautiful skew” of wide premia converging more than narrow premia continues bigly. It has paid well to be long wide H discounts.
  • Weeks ago I said, “It has paid to be long the H on those H/A pairs with the biggest H discounts. I would continue to ride that trend.” Ride on.
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers. 

Zijin Mining: Strong H1 Guidance, FY25 Upgrades Likely, Gold Listing Adds Catalyst

By Rahul Jain

  • Zijin has guided for a 54% YoY rise in H1 FY2025 net profit to RMB 23.2 billion, driven by strong copper and gold pricing and volume gains.
  • Based on this, we see scope to revise our FY2025 PAT and EPS estimates up by 16–19%, and EBITDA by 35–50%.
  • The proposed listing of Zijin Gold International in Hong Kong could unlock value from its high-margin overseas gold assets and enhance investor visibility.

ECM Weekly (14 July 2025) – Meituan, SBI, Kokusai, NTT, Daehan, Anthem, SICC, CIG, FWD

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
  • On the IPO front, the previous week was another busy week for listings, with mixed results.
  • On the placements front, we looked at the possible placements for Meituan (3690 HK) and State Bank Of India (SBIN IN).

Global Markets Tactical Outlook: Week of July 14 – July 19

By Nico Rosti


Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Something Seems Not Quite Right!

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Orient Overseas International (316 HK)‘s 25.9% YTD surge in share price is difficult to justify, as the load factor started to contract and the average freight rate declined.  
  • Transpacific and Asia-Europe freight rates plunged by 14.7% and 17.3% in 2Q25, respectively. The transpacific volume also registered the first YoY decline in the quarter. 
  • Its P/B of 0.85x is 1SD above average, and is way higher than FY21-22. However, the FY25F earnings of US$1.5bn are incomparable to US$7-10bn in FY21-22.

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 11 July 2025); Volumes Up, Net Buying Up, Non-Bank Financials Hot

By Travis Lundy

  • Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes up to US$17+bn a day this past 5-day week. Net buying strong at +US$700mm a day.
  • Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, FINANCIALS stood out, dramatically. Again. Neither INFO TECH nor Tencent were the big sells this week.
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers. 

Baige Online Digital Technology – The Business Model and the Risks Behind

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Baige’s business model is B2B2C, connecting insurance companies/channel partners and C-end users.By mining long-tail needs of end-customers and customizing small/refined/fragmented insurance products according to personalized needs, Baige significantly boost sales.
  • High customer acquisition costs (referral fees, commissions/service fees) are the pain points, putting pressure on profit margin. The trend of “disintermediation” in the industry is becoming increasingly evident.
  • The post-money valuation after Series C financing reached about RMB2 billion. Due to smaller revenue scale and lower profitability, we think valuation of Baige should be lower than peers.

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Daily Brief Japan: Shibaura Electronics, Casio Computer, Toyota Industries, Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co, Mani Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Merger Arb Mondays (14 Jul) – Shibaura, Topcon, Nissin, OneConnect, Insignia, PointsBet, ENN Energy
  • Japan Activism Briefs | Casio, Nittoku
  • Weekly Deals Digest (13 Jul) – Toyota Industries, OneConnect, Great Eastern, Johns Lyng, NTT DC REIT
  • Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical (4530 JP): Guidance Reiterated Amid Seemingly Temporary Hiccup in Q1FY26
  • Mani Inc (7730 JP): Dental Recalls Still a Pain Point, Guidance Revised Downwards



Japan Activism Briefs | Casio, Nittoku

By Mark Chadwick

  • Oasis Management disclosed a 5.2% stake, increasing pressure on Casio to improve capital efficiency and strategic clarity.
  • City Index disclosed a 5.1% stake, signalling intent to drive value at Nittoku via capital return and improved governance.
  • 3D Investment continue to add to Square Enix position. 3D and Dalton likely to target weak margins, bloated cash, and capital inefficiency – lots to work with.

Weekly Deals Digest (13 Jul) – Toyota Industries, OneConnect, Great Eastern, Johns Lyng, NTT DC REIT

By Arun George


Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical (4530 JP): Guidance Reiterated Amid Seemingly Temporary Hiccup in Q1FY26

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP) Q1FY26 revenue of ¥34.7B down 3% YoY, mainly driven by subdued performance in Salonpas focused OTC pharmaceutical products.
  • Rx business revenues grew 7% as Zicthoru, Apohide, Combipatch,Vivelle-Dot etc clocked healthy numbers excepting Mohrus product line.
  • Hisamitsu reiterated FY26 guidance expecting revenue to be ¥165B with profits growth expected to decelerate on higher cost.

Mani Inc (7730 JP): Dental Recalls Still a Pain Point, Guidance Revised Downwards

By Tina Banerjee

  • Mani Inc (7730 JP) 9MFY25 revenue increased 3% YoY to ¥22.3B mainly due to strong sales of Surgical products and Eyeless Needle products, while Dental segment sales dipped on recall.
  • Operating margin deteriorated to 27.5% in 9MFY25, down 260bps. Segment wise, dental segment reported the worst operating margin decline from 19.6% to 10.4%.
  • Management revised FY25 guidance downwards, now expecting revenue to be ¥29.6B (previous guidance ¥30.2B), up 3.8% YoY. Profits and margins also witnessed a downward revision.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Orient Overseas International and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Something Seems Not Quite Right!


Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Something Seems Not Quite Right!

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Orient Overseas International (316 HK)‘s 25.9% YTD surge in share price is difficult to justify, as the load factor started to contract and the average freight rate declined.  
  • Transpacific and Asia-Europe freight rates plunged by 14.7% and 17.3% in 2Q25, respectively. The transpacific volume also registered the first YoY decline in the quarter. 
  • Its P/B of 0.85x is 1SD above average, and is way higher than FY21-22. However, the FY25F earnings of US$1.5bn are incomparable to US$7-10bn in FY21-22.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Perenti Global, Zijin Mining Group , Indian Energy Exchange Ltd, Iron Ore, Provaris Energy , SPDR Gold Shares, JSW Steel Ltd, Tata Steel Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • ASX200 Index AdHoc Rebalance Preview: Potential Replacement for Spartan Resources (SPR AU)
  • Zijin Mining: Strong H1 Guidance, FY25 Upgrades Likely, Gold Listing Adds Catalyst
  • IEX Powers Ahead: Volume Growth Signals Strong Q1 and Strategic Evolution
  • Iron Ore: Mill Spreads Continue to Improve, Bullish Ore To 110 USD/Ton
  • Provaris Energy Ltd – On the cusp of commerciality
  • An Update on Gold: Time for a Pause?
  • JSW Steel: Steady Output Amid Pricing Pressure; Record Volumes Likely Ahead
  • Tata Steel – 1QFY26: Stable Output, Soft Deliveries Amid Planned Maintenance


ASX200 Index AdHoc Rebalance Preview: Potential Replacement for Spartan Resources (SPR AU)

By Brian Freitas

  • There will be an ad hoc inclusion for the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 22 July following Spartan Resources (SPR AU)‘s acquisition by Ramelius Resources (RMS AU)
  • There are a couple of stocks that are trading neck and neck on average free float market cap and one of them is likely to be added to the index.
  • Both stocks have seen a big increase in cumulative excess volume over the last few weeks, indicative of positioning in the stock.

Zijin Mining: Strong H1 Guidance, FY25 Upgrades Likely, Gold Listing Adds Catalyst

By Rahul Jain

  • Zijin has guided for a 54% YoY rise in H1 FY2025 net profit to RMB 23.2 billion, driven by strong copper and gold pricing and volume gains.
  • Based on this, we see scope to revise our FY2025 PAT and EPS estimates up by 16–19%, and EBITDA by 35–50%.
  • The proposed listing of Zijin Gold International in Hong Kong could unlock value from its high-margin overseas gold assets and enhance investor visibility.

IEX Powers Ahead: Volume Growth Signals Strong Q1 and Strategic Evolution

By Rahul Jain

  • Volume Data: IEX volumes rose 15% YoY in Q1 FY26, led by strong RTM and Green Market growth.
  • Near-Term Outlook: Higher volumes should lift Q1 earnings, with EBITDA and PAT expected to rise ~22%.
  • Future Plans: IEX is launching new products like G-RTM and LDCs, and investing in P2P and smart grid tech.

Iron Ore: Mill Spreads Continue to Improve, Bullish Ore To 110 USD/Ton

By Sameer Taneja


Provaris Energy Ltd – On the cusp of commerciality

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Provaris Energy Ltd (ASX:PV1) represents a unique investment opportunity as a leveraged play on the growing shift to alternative energy and carbon reduction, particularly in Europe, but applicable on a global basis.
  • The keystone to production and growth is the company’s proprietary ‘storage tank’ IP, enabling greater volumes of compressed gases to transport at lower cost (‘more for less’).
  • The company holds a material early-mover advantage with a number of strategic partnerships and two hydrogen supply, offtake and shipping agreements expected to become unconditional over the next 12 months.

An Update on Gold: Time for a Pause?

By Cam Hui

  • Gold violated its rising trend line in all major currencies except yen, which may be a technical warning of a tiring bull. Is it time to turn cautious?
  • We remain gold bulls. Gold prices are consolidating after strong gains in H1 2025, but the trend is still up.
  • Bullish sentiment isn’t stretched and central bank buying provides long-term demand.

JSW Steel: Steady Output Amid Pricing Pressure; Record Volumes Likely Ahead

By Rahul Jain

  • Volume: JSW Steel reported 7.26 Mnt of crude steel production in Q1 FY26, up 14% YoY, despite seasonal and maintenance-related disruptions.
  • Expansion: The company is on track to scale up its capacity from 35.7 MTPA to 43.4 MTPA by FY28, led by ramp-ups at Vijayanagar, Dolvi, and greenfield Odisha.
  • BPSL: Legal clarity on the BPSL acquisition remains pending, though operations have been successfully ramped up to 4.5 MTPA under JSW’s management.

Tata Steel – 1QFY26: Stable Output, Soft Deliveries Amid Planned Maintenance

By Rahul Jain

  • Tata Steel’s total crude steel production stood at 7.29 million tons in 1QFY26, flat YoY but down 3% QoQ due to upstream maintenance disruptions in India.
  • In Europe, the Netherlands saw steady output, while the UK is progressing with its 3.2 MTPA EAF transition at Port Talbot, slated to begin construction in July 2025.
  • With blast furnace relining at Jamshedpur nearing completion and NINL operations normalized, volume recovery is expected from Q2 onward.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Orient Overseas International and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Something Seems Not Quite Right!


Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Something Seems Not Quite Right!

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Orient Overseas International (316 HK)‘s 25.9% YTD surge in share price is difficult to justify, as the load factor started to contract and the average freight rate declined.  
  • Transpacific and Asia-Europe freight rates plunged by 14.7% and 17.3% in 2Q25, respectively. The transpacific volume also registered the first YoY decline in the quarter. 
  • Its P/B of 0.85x is 1SD above average, and is way higher than FY21-22. However, the FY25F earnings of US$1.5bn are incomparable to US$7-10bn in FY21-22.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Baige Online Digital Technology, Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co, Mani Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Baige Online Digital Technology – The Business Model and the Risks Behind
  • Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical (4530 JP): Guidance Reiterated Amid Seemingly Temporary Hiccup in Q1FY26
  • Mani Inc (7730 JP): Dental Recalls Still a Pain Point, Guidance Revised Downwards


Baige Online Digital Technology – The Business Model and the Risks Behind

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Baige’s business model is B2B2C, connecting insurance companies/channel partners and C-end users.By mining long-tail needs of end-customers and customizing small/refined/fragmented insurance products according to personalized needs, Baige significantly boost sales.
  • High customer acquisition costs (referral fees, commissions/service fees) are the pain points, putting pressure on profit margin. The trend of “disintermediation” in the industry is becoming increasingly evident.
  • The post-money valuation after Series C financing reached about RMB2 billion. Due to smaller revenue scale and lower profitability, we think valuation of Baige should be lower than peers.

Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical (4530 JP): Guidance Reiterated Amid Seemingly Temporary Hiccup in Q1FY26

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP) Q1FY26 revenue of ¥34.7B down 3% YoY, mainly driven by subdued performance in Salonpas focused OTC pharmaceutical products.
  • Rx business revenues grew 7% as Zicthoru, Apohide, Combipatch,Vivelle-Dot etc clocked healthy numbers excepting Mohrus product line.
  • Hisamitsu reiterated FY26 guidance expecting revenue to be ¥165B with profits growth expected to decelerate on higher cost.

Mani Inc (7730 JP): Dental Recalls Still a Pain Point, Guidance Revised Downwards

By Tina Banerjee

  • Mani Inc (7730 JP) 9MFY25 revenue increased 3% YoY to ¥22.3B mainly due to strong sales of Surgical products and Eyeless Needle products, while Dental segment sales dipped on recall.
  • Operating margin deteriorated to 27.5% in 9MFY25, down 260bps. Segment wise, dental segment reported the worst operating margin decline from 19.6% to 10.4%.
  • Management revised FY25 guidance downwards, now expecting revenue to be ¥29.6B (previous guidance ¥30.2B), up 3.8% YoY. Profits and margins also witnessed a downward revision.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Shibaura Electronics, Mediatek Inc, Kinatico and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Merger Arb Mondays (14 Jul) – Shibaura, Topcon, Nissin, OneConnect, Insignia, PointsBet, ENN Energy
  • MediaTek (2454.TT): 3Q25 Outlook Is Expected to Decline by Approximately 0–6%.
  • Kinatico RaaS Interview Transcript 14 July 2025
  • Kinatico Ltd – Q4 SaaS revenue surpasses 50%, RaaS forecasts beat



MediaTek (2454.TT): 3Q25 Outlook Is Expected to Decline by Approximately 0–6%.

By Patrick Liao

  • For Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)’s 3Q25 outlook, its revenue is expected to decline by approximately 0–6% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting a relative low seasonal factors and order adjustments.  
  • Regarding Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)’s partnership with Alphabet (GOOGL US), the TPU v7e is expected to begin tape-out in September 2025.  
  • Based on current project developments using TSMC’s 2nm process, MediaTek is highly likely to co-develop the next-generation MTIA v4 ASIC with Meta (META US).

Kinatico RaaS Interview Transcript 14 July 2025

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Kinatico (ASX:KYP) CEO Michael Ivanchenko discusses the company’s Q4 trading update with RaaS director Finola Burke.

Kinatico Ltd – Q4 SaaS revenue surpasses 50%, RaaS forecasts beat

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Kinatico Ltd (ASX:KYP) is a ‘Know Your People’ regtech company providing workforce compliance monitoring and management technology and services.
  • The company has announced that total revenue in Q4 increased 15% to $8.5m, with higher-margin SaaS (Software-as-a-Service) revenue making up 52% of the total, compared with 38% of total Q4 revenue in FY24.
  • SaaS revenue grew 57% in the quarter on the previous corresponding period (pcp) to $4.4m and is tracking at $17.5m on an annualised basis.

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Daily Brief Financials: NTT DC REIT, Shinyoung Securities, Abacus Storage King, NSDL, Hang Seng Index, National Storage REIT, Coinbase Global and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • NTT DC REIT IPO: Trading Debut
  • Mandatory Cancellation of Existing Treasury Shares: A Historic Stock Market Event in the Making
  • Abacus Storage (ASK AU): Kirsh/Public Storage Bump And Afforded Due Diligence
  • NTT DC REIT IPO Trading – Decent Demand, High Yield and Discount Should Help
  • NSDL IPO: The Bear Case
  • Global Markets Tactical Outlook: Week of July 14 – July 19
  • National Storage REIT – The Monday Report – 14 July 2025
  • Coinbase 2025 High Conviction Call Update: Limited Near-Term Upside from Current Valuation


NTT DC REIT IPO: Trading Debut

By Arun George


Mandatory Cancellation of Existing Treasury Shares: A Historic Stock Market Event in the Making

By Sanghyun Park

  • The bill’s side notes clearly state that the mandatory cancellation rule applies retroactively to existing treasury shares without any exemptions.
  • If this passes the Assembly as-is, it’ll trigger a historic forced cancellation of treasury stock across ~1,660 companies—about three-quarters of the K-equities market.
  • Watch if this punchy bill clears committee and floor without cuts. Dems plan to fast-track it Sept 1, holding the majority to push it solo, aiming for year-end rollout.

Abacus Storage (ASK AU): Kirsh/Public Storage Bump And Afforded Due Diligence

By David Blennerhassett

  • Two months ago, Abacus Storage King (ASK AU) announced, and subsequently rejected, a A$1.47/share NBIO, by way of a Scheme, from Nathan Kirsh’s Ki Corporation and Public Storage (PSA US)
  • The Kirsh-led consortium has now bumped non-binding terms 14.7% to A$1.65/share, and has been granted six weeks of due diligence.  
  • Nathan Kirsh directly/indirectly holds a 59.47% stake in ASK. Abacus has never closed above A$1.60/share. 

NTT DC REIT IPO Trading – Decent Demand, High Yield and Discount Should Help

By Sumeet Singh

  • NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP), a data center REIT, raised around US$772m in its Singapore IPO.
  • The IPO portfolio comprises six mainly freehold data centres in the U.S., Austria and Singapore with an aggregate appraised valuation of US$1.6bn
  • We have looked at the past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

NSDL IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • National Securities Depository Limited/NSDL (NSDL IN) is the largest depository in India. It is seeking to raise US$400 million.
  • In NSDL IPO: The Bull Case, I highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, I outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on the core business’s lower growth and margins compared to its key peer and the banking services’ weak performance.

Global Markets Tactical Outlook: Week of July 14 – July 19

By Nico Rosti


National Storage REIT – The Monday Report – 14 July 2025

By FNArena

  • Wrap of events affecting the market on Friday night and the weekend and a preview of the week ahead

Coinbase 2025 High Conviction Call Update: Limited Near-Term Upside from Current Valuation

By Alec Tseung

  • Using SOTP is likely the best way to value COIN going forward as its subscription and services revenue is now more substantial and Circle has just gone public.
  • Non-Transaction revenue is being valued at a much higher multiple than transaction revenue. SOTP valuation indicates limited near-term upside from COIN’s current market capitalization.
  • Circle’s impact on Coinbase is now twofold: 1) driving its revenue mix shift toward non-transaction revenue; 2) acting as a key benchmark for its non-transaction revenue valuation.

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