
In today’s briefing:
- Coinbase 2025 High Conviction Call Update: Limited Near-Term Upside from Current Valuation
- An Update on Gold: Time for a Pause?
- Weekly Update (GCI, IGT/BRSL, Greenblatt)

Coinbase 2025 High Conviction Call Update: Limited Near-Term Upside from Current Valuation
- Using SOTP is likely the best way to value COIN going forward as its subscription and services revenue is now more substantial and Circle has just gone public.
- Non-Transaction revenue is being valued at a much higher multiple than transaction revenue. SOTP valuation indicates limited near-term upside from COIN’s current market capitalization.
- Circle’s impact on Coinbase is now twofold: 1) driving its revenue mix shift toward non-transaction revenue; 2) acting as a key benchmark for its non-transaction revenue valuation.
An Update on Gold: Time for a Pause?
- Gold violated its rising trend line in all major currencies except yen, which may be a technical warning of a tiring bull. Is it time to turn cautious?
- We remain gold bulls. Gold prices are consolidating after strong gains in H1 2025, but the trend is still up.
- Bullish sentiment isn’t stretched and central bank buying provides long-term demand.
Weekly Update (GCI, IGT/BRSL, Greenblatt)
In November 2024, Liberty Broadband (Nasdaq: LBRDA/LBRDK) agreed to be acquired by Charter Communications (CHTR) in an all‑stock deal.
Under the merger agreement, each Liberty Broadband common share will convert into 0.236 share of Charter common stock (plus cash for fractional shares), and each Liberty preferred share will convert to a new Charter preferred share.
As part of the deal, Liberty Broadband will spin off its fully owned Alaska telecom business (GCI, LLC) to Liberty shareholders before the Charter merger closes.