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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Singapore: Comfortdelgro Corp, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Acer Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Comfortdelgro (CD): Growth Evident and Cheap
  • Seasonal Surge Lifts Vietnam’s Rubber Exports In June Amid Price Strain
  • kopi-C with Winking Studios – How Winking Studios is driving business growth through joy and entertainment


Comfortdelgro (CD): Growth Evident and Cheap

By Henry Soediarko

  • Public transport and taxi segments in Singapore provide much-needed stability for the group, not much downside surprise is expected. Now 54% of its revenue is generated overseas. 
  • Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP) subsidiary, Vicom Ltd (VCM SP) is in charge of the OBU upgrade in Singapore, providing some high-margin incremental operating profit.
  • It trades at 14x PE, and its share price is almost at historical low, creating another reason to build positions on this.  

Seasonal Surge Lifts Vietnam’s Rubber Exports In June Amid Price Strain

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Exports to Indonesia surge 154% MoM in June  
  • China drives monthly rubber trade rebound  
  • Typhoon Kajiki disrupts supply and pushes up prices  

kopi-C with Winking Studios – How Winking Studios is driving business growth through joy and entertainment

By Geoff Howie

  • Winking Studios reported a 27.3% year-on-year revenue growth to US$19.4 million in the first half of 2025.
  • The acquisition of Shanghai Mineloader contributed US$4.1 million in revenue, boosting Winking Studios’ overall performance.
  • Winking Studios maintains a strong balance sheet with US$27.1 million in cash, zero debt, and US$49.4 million in indicative bookings.

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Most Read: Sanrio, Fast Retailing, SK Telecom, Shibaura Electronics, HD Hyundai Heavy Industries , PointsBet Holdings , Mixue Group, Metaplanet and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Sep25: Performance of Potential Adds/Deletes & Positioning
  • Fast Retailing (9983 JP) Tactical Outlook: Turning OVERSOLD, Potential BUY Ahead of Sep-25 Rebalance
  • SKT Foreign Room Play Heating up — Entry Could Come Sooner than Expected with Today’s Fine Out
  • Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): Yageo Poised to Secure FEFTA Approval
  • [Japan M&A] YAGEO Says It Expects FDI Clearance on Shibaura – Minebea Likely To Fold
  • HHI–Mipo Merger Swap: Deal Mechanics & Spread Play Opportunities
  • A Merger Between HD Hyundai Heavy Industries and HD Hyundai Mipo
  • PointsBet (PBH AU): Betr’s Dyslexic Bump. Mixi’s Now Holding 42.38%
  • MIXUE IPO Lockup – US$480m Cornerstone Lockup Release
  • Metaplanet Placement: US$1bn Punt; Dependent on Bitcoin Performance


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Sep25: Performance of Potential Adds/Deletes & Positioning

By Brian Freitas

  • The changes to the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) as part of the September rebalance should be announced in just over 2 weeks. We expect 2 changes at the review.
  • BayCurrent Consulting‘s PAF will double, Fast Retailing‘s CPAF will stay the same, and Sony Financial Group will be deleted from the index following its spinoff from Sony Corp (6758 JP)
  • Sanrio (8136 JP)‘s improved liquidity increases the probability of index inclusion, and the stock could be added to the index at the next rebalance if it misses in September.

Fast Retailing (9983 JP) Tactical Outlook: Turning OVERSOLD, Potential BUY Ahead of Sep-25 Rebalance

By Nico Rosti

  • In his recent insight, Brian Freitas stated that Fast Retailing (9983 JP)‘s CPAF will stay the same at the September 25 Nikkei 225 Index rebalance.
  • The stock is turning oversold—not yet extreme, but notable. Historically, this short-term downtrend pattern often reversed after two weeks of declines; we are now in the second consecutive week lower.
  • Monitor the 47150 support level: the stock is trading at 47810 at the moment of writing, if it goes at or below 47150 it will start to be clearly oversold.

SKT Foreign Room Play Heating up — Entry Could Come Sooner than Expected with Today’s Fine Out

By Sanghyun Park

  • SKT foreign room rising ahead of PIPC sanction decision today; fine confirmation could trigger ESG fund exits.
  • Large ESG money still in SKT; post-sanction exits could push foreign room past 25% sooner than expected — a key factor for trading setup.
  • Nov review momentum could hit early; post-fine, a foreign room surge toward 25% signals our entry, with the pullback setting up the SKT Nov inclusion trade.

Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): Yageo Poised to Secure FEFTA Approval

By Arun George

  • A day before the close of Minebea Mitsumi (6479 JP)’s offer, Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) has strategically stated that it expects to receive FEFTA approval by 10 September. 
  • Minebea had tried to convince shareholders that its lower offer provides an opportunity to monetise their shares quickly and with certainty. This line of reasoning is no longer credible. 
  • As Minebea will not increase its offer or extend the closing date, Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)‘s Board will have to recommend Yageo’s offer.  

[Japan M&A] YAGEO Says It Expects FDI Clearance on Shibaura – Minebea Likely To Fold

By Travis Lundy

  • Last weekend then post-close Monday, Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) raised its TOB Price for Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP) to ¥7,130 – a full 15% through Minebea’s proposed ¥6,200/share terms.
  • Minebea was playing chicken with the result, closing its tender on 28 August, before Japan’s Foreign Direct Investment approval (FEFTA approval) was cleared, expected 1 Sep or later.
  • Today post-close, YAGEO announced it had concluded discussions with METI, would make all required regulatory submissions today, and expects to obtain approval “no later than 10 September”

HHI–Mipo Merger Swap: Deal Mechanics & Spread Play Opportunities

By Sanghyun Park

  • HHI–Mipo merger spread looks minimal, but today’s MASGA-driven pop signals momentum flows—likely to mean-revert toward appraisal rights once the theme dissipates.
  • Froth lifted prices past fundamentals—once it unwinds, HHI–Mipo could diverge from swap ratio, creating the spread window where traders can get paid.
  • This isn’t classic merger arb—it’s about fading a policy-fueled pop, riding the snapback toward appraisal baseline, with flow-driven swings creating short-term tactical arb setups.

A Merger Between HD Hyundai Heavy Industries and HD Hyundai Mipo

By Douglas Kim

  • It was announced today that HD Hyundai Heavy Industries will merge with HD Hyundai Mipo. The merger ratio between HD Hyundai Heavy Industries and HD Hyundai Mipo is 1:0.4059146. 
  • HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering (009540 KS) will own a 66.29% stake in the merged entity.
  • HD KSOE is proceeding with this merger of its two major subsidiaries ahead of the full-scale launch of the MASGA (“Make America Shipbuilding Great Again”) project.

PointsBet (PBH AU): Betr’s Dyslexic Bump. Mixi’s Now Holding 42.38%

By David Blennerhassett

  • Betr Entertainment (BBT AU) has bumped scrip terms to 4.375 betr shares per PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU) share, equivalent to A$1.31/share, based on betr’s last traded price. 
  • True to form with betr, there’s a typo in its latest announcement stating a 4.735 ratio. betr just issued a Bidder’s Statement with the correct info.
  • Apologies: in my last note I mentioned Mixi Inc (2121 JP) had bumped to A$1.30/share. However, that was predicated on Mixi securing 90%, which won’t happen if betr doesn’t tender.

MIXUE IPO Lockup – US$480m Cornerstone Lockup Release

By Sumeet Singh

  • Mixue Group (2097 HK) raised around US$450m in its Hong Kong IPO in March 2025. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.
  • MIXUE Group (MIXUE) is a freshly-made drinks company providing affordable products to consumers, including freshly-made fruit drinks, tea, ice cream and coffee, typically priced at around one USD per item.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.

Metaplanet Placement: US$1bn Punt; Dependent on Bitcoin Performance

By Nicholas Tan

  • Metaplanet (3350 JP) is looking to raise around US$1bn from a primary placement.
  • The deal is a relatively small one, representing 4.4 days of the stock’s three month ADV, despite being 23.7% of total shares outstanding.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

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Daily Brief Japan: Shibaura Electronics, Metaplanet, Toyota Motor, Tsubakimoto Kogyo, Medical Data Vision and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): Yageo Poised to Secure FEFTA Approval
  • [Japan M&A] YAGEO Says It Expects FDI Clearance on Shibaura – Minebea Likely To Fold
  • Metaplanet Offering: 555m New Shares to Accelerate BTC Treasury Growth
  • Metaplanet Placement: US$1bn Punt; Dependent on Bitcoin Performance
  • Shibaura Electronics (6590 JP) – Takeover Battle: Minebea Certainty Vs. YAGEO Premium
  • Toyota (7203 JP // TM US) Hits Overbought: Rich Options for Tactical Shorts
  • Tsubakimoto Kogyo (8052 JP) – Q1 FY2026/3 off to a Strong Start
  • Medical Data Vision Co., Ltd (3902 JP): Research Update


Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): Yageo Poised to Secure FEFTA Approval

By Arun George

  • A day before the close of Minebea Mitsumi (6479 JP)’s offer, Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) has strategically stated that it expects to receive FEFTA approval by 10 September. 
  • Minebea had tried to convince shareholders that its lower offer provides an opportunity to monetise their shares quickly and with certainty. This line of reasoning is no longer credible. 
  • As Minebea will not increase its offer or extend the closing date, Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)‘s Board will have to recommend Yageo’s offer.  

[Japan M&A] YAGEO Says It Expects FDI Clearance on Shibaura – Minebea Likely To Fold

By Travis Lundy

  • Last weekend then post-close Monday, Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) raised its TOB Price for Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP) to ¥7,130 – a full 15% through Minebea’s proposed ¥6,200/share terms.
  • Minebea was playing chicken with the result, closing its tender on 28 August, before Japan’s Foreign Direct Investment approval (FEFTA approval) was cleared, expected 1 Sep or later.
  • Today post-close, YAGEO announced it had concluded discussions with METI, would make all required regulatory submissions today, and expects to obtain approval “no later than 10 September”

Metaplanet Offering: 555m New Shares to Accelerate BTC Treasury Growth

By Mark Chadwick

  • Metaplanet launches international equity raise of up to 555m shares, potentially almost doubling share count, targeting approximately ¥130b in proceeds subject to pricing and demand.
  • Proceeds earmarked primarily for Bitcoin purchases, potentially adding 4,800–26,800 BTC to treasury holdings, accelerating NAV growth and reinforcing positioning as a Bitcoin balance sheet company.
  • Suspension of 20th–22nd series stock acquisition rights through September ensures offering stability and clears path for subsequent preferred share issuance capacity.

Metaplanet Placement: US$1bn Punt; Dependent on Bitcoin Performance

By Nicholas Tan

  • Metaplanet (3350 JP) is looking to raise around US$1bn from a primary placement.
  • The deal is a relatively small one, representing 4.4 days of the stock’s three month ADV, despite being 23.7% of total shares outstanding.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Shibaura Electronics (6590 JP) – Takeover Battle: Minebea Certainty Vs. YAGEO Premium

By Rahul Jain

  • Shibaura Electronics (6590 JP) is at the center of a takeover battle between MinebeaMitsumi and Taiwan’s YAGEO.
  • Minebea has bid ¥6,200/share with 23% locked in and management support, while YAGEO counters at ¥7,130/share, pending FEFTA clearance.
  • Financial investors may wait for FEFTA clarity and lean YAGEO for price, while risk‑averse or aligned holders favor Minebea’s certainty.

Toyota (7203 JP // TM US) Hits Overbought: Rich Options for Tactical Shorts

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: After three consecutive up weeks, Toyota (7203 JP) / Toyota ADR (TM US) now screens as overbought, with quantitative models signaling a high probability of a trend reversal.
  • Trade Idea: Elevated implied volatility (82–83rd percentile) makes short call strategies attractive. Selling near-term calls captures rich premium while aligning with downside risk.
  • Why Read: This Insight highlights a timely opportunity where technical overbought signals and historically rich IV converge — ideal for investors seeking a tactical setup.

Tsubakimoto Kogyo (8052 JP) – Q1 FY2026/3 off to a Strong Start

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd., (hereafter, the Company) announced Q1 FY2026/3 result on July 25, 2025.
  • The Company delivered a strong start to FY2026, posting double-digit sales growth and significant profit increase, supported by substantial order backlog.
  • This marked a notable YoY rebound, as Q1 FY2025/3 temporarily declined due to reactionary effects from FY2024/3. 

Medical Data Vision Co., Ltd (3902 JP): Research Update

By Nippon Investment Bespoke Research UK

  • FY25 1H results summary Medical Data Vision [MDV] reported FY25 1H (Dec year-end) results with sales coming in largely in line with the firm’s guidance while reporting an operating loss in Q2, on higher costs [COGS and personnel] incurred to boost sales in 2H.
  • MDV produced 1H gross profit [GP] of ¥2,126mil (+3.2% YoY) and an operating loss of -¥5mil (vs FY24 1H OP of ¥26mil) on sales of ¥3,034mil (+9.1% YoY).
  • The topline increase was achieved thanks to improved sales in the Data Utilisation segment.

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Daily Brief Indonesia: Medco Energi, Criterium Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): Flow rate of up to 8 mmcf/d at South East MGH. Reducing FY25 capex guidance


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Medco Energi, Yuexiu Property, Xiaomi Corp, Nissan Motor
  • The UST curve twisted steeper yesterday, as front-end yields declined on the back of a solid auction for 2Y notes. That said, long-dated yields ended higher, amid concerns over the US central bank’s independence after President Donald Trump moved to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook. The yield on the 2Y UST fell 4 bps to 3.68%, while that on the 10Y UST was down 1 bp at 4.26%.
  • Equities climbed, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both up 0.4% at 6,466 and 21,544, respectively

Criterium Energy Ltd (TSX-V: CEQ): Flow rate of up to 8 mmcf/d at South East MGH. Reducing FY25 capex guidance

By Auctus Advisors

  • • The SEM-01 well at South East MGH flowed 7–8 mmcf/d on test on 40/54” and 48/64” choke sizes.
  • Further choke expansion was constrained by surface facility limitations.
  • This follows the MGH-20 well at North MGH, which flowed at 2.8 mmcf/d on test.

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Daily Brief China: Akeso Biopharma Inc, Laopu Gold, Xiaomi, Anta Sports Products, Pop Mart, Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited, Aux Electric, China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech, Beijing Sinotau International Pharmaceutical Technology, New Oriental Education & Techn and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Akeso Inc Placement – Another Opportunistic Raise, Mixed past Deal but Is Relatively Small
  • Laopu Gold Placement – Relatively Small Deal, past One Did Well
  • Xiaomi (1810 HK): Earnings Recap & Volatility Dynamics
  • Anta Sports (2020 HK): 1H25, Revenue Up by 14% with “Other Brands” Up by 61%
  • Labubu Carries Pop Mart Stock to All-Time High
  • Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO Trading – Decent Demand, Despite Lack of Track Record
  • AUX Electric IPO: Forecasts and Valuation
  • CNRE (600111.SH) – H1 FY25 Beat, Downstream Expansion; Valuations Look Stretched
  • Pre-IPO Beijing Sinotau International Pharmaceutical Technology – The Pipeline and the Outlook
  • Guinea Value’s Jingshu Zhang on $EDU


Akeso Inc Placement – Another Opportunistic Raise, Mixed past Deal but Is Relatively Small

By Sumeet Singh

  • Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) is looking to raise around US$460m from a mix of primary placement and selldown by its founders.
  • Past deals in the name have been mixed, but the shares have been doing well and the deal size remains small.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Laopu Gold Placement – Relatively Small Deal, past One Did Well

By Sumeet Singh

  • What seems to be the controlling shareholder of Laopu Gold (6181 HK), aims to raise around US$250m via selling 1.6% of the company.
  • The shares have done very well since its listing and the previous deal in the name did well too.
  • In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Xiaomi (1810 HK): Earnings Recap & Volatility Dynamics

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Xiaomi (1810 HK) reported 2Q25 results on 19 Aug, beating expectations. This Insight analyzes price reactions in Hong Kong and two overseas markets.
  • Highlights: Implied volatility dropped sharply post-earnings, both across the term structure and skew.
  • Why it matters: With Xiaomi’s implied volatility now at historically cheap levels, investors may find opportunities in long-volatility strategies ahead of the next earnings in November.

Anta Sports (2020 HK): 1H25, Revenue Up by 14% with “Other Brands” Up by 61%

By Ming Lu

  • Anta Sports acquired Jack Wolfskin in April 2025 so that “other brands” revenues surged by 61% YoY in 1H25.
  • The margin pressure came from e-commerce promotion and product function development.
  • We conclude an upside of 18% and a price target of HK$120. Buy.

Labubu Carries Pop Mart Stock to All-Time High

By Caixin Global

  • Shares of Pop Mart International Group Ltd. hit an all-time high after the Chinese toymaker posted strong half-year earnings, fueled by frenzied demand for its Labubu plushies in the U.S. and other overseas markets.
  • The Hong Kong-listed company’s profit soared 385.6% year-on-year to nearly 4.7 billion yuan ($654.9 million) in the first half of 2025, while revenue jumped 204.4% to almost 13.9 billion yuan, according to a stock exchange filing on Tuesday.
  • Notably, Pop Mart’s revenue from the Americas skyrocketed more than twelvefold from the first half of 2024, while sales in Europe and other regions excluding Asia-Pacific jumped more than eightfold.

Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO Trading – Decent Demand, Despite Lack of Track Record

By Sumeet Singh

  • Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited(JIRI) raised around US$153m in its Hong Kong IPO.
  • Jiaxin International owns exclusive rights to a globally significant tungsten asset, supported by Jiangxi Copper. Commercial production began in April 2025, with full ramp-up expected by 2027
  • We have looked at the company’s background and pricing in our earlier note, in this note we talk about the trading dynamics.

AUX Electric IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

By Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

  • Aux Electric (2580 HK) has announced terms for its HKEx IPO and plans to issue 207m shares at HK$16.00-17.42 per share and will raise around US$460m.
  • The company’s low-price strategy has helped expand its top line and market share in a short span of time; however, margins lag behind large air conditioner peers.
  • We think AUX should be compared against Hisense due to their higher dependence on ODM sales and believe AUX’s IPO is valued attractively compared to Hisense.

CNRE (600111.SH) – H1 FY25 Beat, Downstream Expansion; Valuations Look Stretched

By Rahul Jain

  • CNRE (600111.SH) posted record H1 FY25 profits with strong production and margin gains.
  • The company is ramping alloy, magnet, and separation capacity into 2026 to lift downstream integration.
  • Shares have surged over 200% in 12 months, leaving valuations stretched and bubble-like.

Pre-IPO Beijing Sinotau International Pharmaceutical Technology – The Pipeline and the Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The mature and complete upstream to downstream industrial chain of nuclear medicine has high barriers. It is unknown whether the entire nuclear drug market can reach the scale of ADC.
  • There’re uncertainties in commercialization of Sinotau’s pipeline, which faces the pressure of lowering price, NRDL negotiation, challenge from generic drugs. Uneven distribution of nuclear resources constrains the application of products.
  • Short-Term performance mainly relies on the commercialization breakthrough of XTR008 and XTR005. Our forecast is revenue could reach RMB300-500 million in 2026. Pre-IPO valuation of RMB5.188 billion is not cheap.

Guinea Value’s Jingshu Zhang on $EDU

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • New Oriental is an education service company based in China that has seen significant growth and success since its founding in 1993.
  • The company faced challenges in 2021 due to policy changes in China, but has since recovered and is deemed undervalued by Xu Zhong Xu.
  • Xu Zhong Xu, a knowledgeable investor with background in the education industry, provides insights on the company’s history, growth trajectory, and potential for continued success.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


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Daily Brief United States: NVIDIA Corp, Netskope, Gevo, Soluna Holdings , Tuya Inc, APA , Unit Corp, Atlassian , Choice Hotels Intl and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • NVDA 2Q26 (Jul-25) Small Beat. 3Q26 (Sept-25) Small Beat. Everything Is on Track, Don’t Blink.
  • Netskope, Inc. (NTSK): Peeking at the IPO Propsectus of the Next Cybersecurity Firm
  • Netskope IPO Valuation Analysis: Multiple In Excess of the Security Software Market Is Well Deserved
  • Gevo, Inc: Transformation Underway; Opportunity in Future Undersupplied US Jet Fuel Market
  • Soluna Holdings, Inc: Two New Sites Push Generation Past 1 GW
  • Tuya, Inc: 2Q25 Growth Continues in a Challenging Environment
  • APA Corporation Partners with TotalEnergies—Will This Offshore Alliance Be a Game-Changer?
  • Unit Corp – Updating Projections After a Strong Q2
  • Atlassian Corporation: Their Enterprise Go-To-Market Strategy Is Driving Our Optimism!
  • Choice Hotels International: Enhanced Effective Royalty Rates & Partnership Revenue Expansion…


NVDA 2Q26 (Jul-25) Small Beat. 3Q26 (Sept-25) Small Beat. Everything Is on Track, Don’t Blink.

By Nicolas Baratte

  • 2Q26 (Jul-25) revenue growth 56% YoY, despite a sharp decline in China revenue (-24% YoY). No H20 revenues from China. H20 charges normalize, margins improve, Net Income 5% above Consensus. 
  • 3Q26 revenue growth stable at 54% YoY, not including any H20 revenues from China. Upside from H20 at $2-5bn, max revenue growth 68% YoY. 3Q guidance ~3% above Consensus.   
  • The stock is not expensive. Trading at its average 47x trailing PEx, 33x forward. Very little risk to Consensus expectations over FY26-28. 

Netskope, Inc. (NTSK): Peeking at the IPO Propsectus of the Next Cybersecurity Firm

By IPO Boutique

  • The company built a unified, cloud-native platform to solve the challenge of securing and accelerating the digital interactions of enterprises filed for its IPO on August 22nd. 
  • . As of July 31, 2025, they had 4,317 customers, a 21% year-over-year increase from 3,571 customers as of July 31, 2024.
  • The company’s revenue jumped 30.7% from the 1H of 2025 versus 1H of 2024. 

Netskope IPO Valuation Analysis: Multiple In Excess of the Security Software Market Is Well Deserved

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Netskope Inc., a high growth provider of enterprise network security platform called Netskope One platform, is expected to IPO in September.
  • The amount the cybersecurity company is planning to raise is not yet disclosed, but it’s likely to exceed $800M.  
  • Netskope’s growth profile at scale looks strong coupled with leadership position, large TAM and the company’s FCF-breakeven. Thus, a premium multiple is deserved.  

Gevo, Inc: Transformation Underway; Opportunity in Future Undersupplied US Jet Fuel Market

By Water Tower Research

  • Gevo is focused on making cost-effective, scalable, drop- in fuels and chemicals.
  • These include low-carbon ethanol, synthetic aviation fuel (SAF), renewable natural gas (RNG), and other products.
  • Gevo’s strategy is to have profitable and scalable carbon-abating operations that transform output, like corn, and ethanol from rural communities into products that satisfy significant global demand, like SAF. 

Soluna Holdings, Inc: Two New Sites Push Generation Past 1 GW

By Water Tower Research

  • Soluna recently announced it has passed the major milestone of 1 GW of clean energy generation.
  • The company is accelerating its mission to make clean computing the standard for AI and Bitcoin by expanding its data center platform with a 2.8-GW power pipeline.
  • Soluna has reached a 1-GW milestone with the launch of two new projects in Texas: Project Fei and Project Gladys. 

Tuya, Inc: 2Q25 Growth Continues in a Challenging Environment

By Water Tower Research

  • Tuya reported another solid quarter in a challenging environment, with revenue of $80.1 million, up 9% Y/Y. Gross margin increased Y/Y by 40 bps to 48.4%, while PaaS revenue increased 7% Y/Y to $58.1 million.
  • Cash and equivalents decreased to $1,006 million due to a cash dividend and the company has no debt.
  • Management had noted that the rollercoaster of 1Q25 could continue, and it seems to have done just that.

APA Corporation Partners with TotalEnergies—Will This Offshore Alliance Be a Game-Changer?

By Baptista Research

  • The second quarter of 2025 was notable for APA Corporation, reflecting significant operational and financial strides.
  • The company reported consolidated net income of $603 million, with an adjusted net income at $313 million, indicating strong financial health.
  • The quarter’s performance benefited from asset sales in New Mexico and effective trading operations, and the company noted a marked improvement in operational efficiency across its portfolio.

Unit Corp – Updating Projections After a Strong Q2

By Richard Howe

  • Last week, I spoke to the CFO of Unit Corp and wanted to share a brief update (full notes from my call below).

  • The big surprise this quarter was that production GREW (+16% y/y in the quarter). I’ve become used to seeing 10% to 15% annual declines, and while management had guided that production would start to flatten out given increased drilling activity, it was still very nice to see.

  • The company is in the process of drilling 2 net new wells this year and results have been quite strong.

Atlassian Corporation: Their Enterprise Go-To-Market Strategy Is Driving Our Optimism!

By Baptista Research

  • Atlassian reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025.
  • The company achieved over $5.2 billion in revenue and generated more than $1.4 billion in free cash flow, maintaining a balanced Rule of 40+ performance.
  • The company’s customer base grew to over 300,000, with a significant increase in deals over $1 million in annual contract value, indicating a robust enterprise sales performance.

Choice Hotels International: Enhanced Effective Royalty Rates & Partnership Revenue Expansion…

By Baptista Research

  • Choice Hotels International reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results, reflecting both strategic advancements and noticeable challenges.
  • The company reported significant achievements, with adjusted EBITDA hitting $165 million, marking a year-over-year increase.
  • This was driven by a more than 2% net increase in global rooms, including a 3% rise in more revenue-intensive rooms.

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: DJI and Russell 2000 Breaking Out; Staying Bullish; Bullish Developments Continue and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • DJI and Russell 2000 Breaking Out; Staying Bullish; Bullish Developments Continue


DJI and Russell 2000 Breaking Out; Staying Bullish; Bullish Developments Continue

By Joe Jasper

  • We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as…
  • …market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, the 3-month uptrend (currently at ~6380), 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059
  • Bullish Developments Continue: DJI and Russell 2000 Breakouts and Much More

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Daily Brief Industrials: InterGlobe Aviation Ltd, Lyft , Koninklijke Bam Groep Nv, Parsons Corp, Rocket Lab USA , Esab , Siemens , Middleby Corp, Parker Hannifin and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement – Second US$800m+ Deal by Co-Founder This Year
  • Lyft Inc: Can AV Partnerships & Its New European Strategy Fuel Long-Term Growth?
  • What’s News in Amsterdam – 26 August (BAM Group | Retail sales | Dutch politics)
  • Parsons Corporation: Will The Acquisition of CTI for Expansion of Defense Capabilities Be A Game Changer?
  • Rocket Lab USA: Neutron Rocket Development to Amplify Revenue Opportunities & Market Competitiveness!
  • ESAB’s New Revolutionary React Welding Tech & 5 Major Challenges In Its Path!
  • Siemens AG: Growth in Automation & Digital Industries Powering Our Optimism!
  • Middleby Inside the M&A Pipeline: What Frigomeccanica Brings to the Table!
  • Parker-Hannifin: A Closer Look At Its Infrastructure, Construction Recovery & Key Growth Catalysts!


Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement – Second US$800m+ Deal by Co-Founder This Year

By Akshat Shah

  • InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN) co-founder, Rakesh Gangwal, aims to raise around US$802m via selling around a 3% stake in Indigo.
  • He had earlier stated his intention to pare down his stake after a long drawn, and very public battle, with his co-founder Rahul Bhatia. He has sold many times before.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

Lyft Inc: Can AV Partnerships & Its New European Strategy Fuel Long-Term Growth?

By Baptista Research

  • Lyft’s second-quarter 2025 results demonstrate a mix of strong financial performance and strategic expansion initiatives, though not without associated challenges and considerations.
  • The company reported record-breaking metrics across several financial measures, including gross bookings, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flows, marking substantial growth in its operational performance.
  • Additionally, Lyft executed a substantial $200 million stock buyback program, signaling confidence in its valuation and future prospects.

What’s News in Amsterdam – 26 August (BAM Group | Retail sales | Dutch politics)

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • BAM Group | awarded EUR 600m contract from Enexis and WML • Dutch retail sales | up 3.3% YoY in value terms in 2Q25; up 1.1% in volume terms • Dutch politics | former high-level civil servant recommends an interim cabinet • Dutch politics | latest poll after last Friday’s events

Parsons Corporation: Will The Acquisition of CTI for Expansion of Defense Capabilities Be A Game Changer?

By Baptista Research

  • Parsons Corporation’s second quarter 2025 results reflect a mixed but promising outlook for the company.
  • During this period, the company delivered revenue and adjusted EBITDA that aligned with expectations and guidance assumptions.
  • A notable highlight was the impressive cash flow, which exceeded forecasts.

Rocket Lab USA: Neutron Rocket Development to Amplify Revenue Opportunities & Market Competitiveness!

By Baptista Research

  • Rocket Lab Corporation’s recent quarterly financial disclosures portray a period of positive revenue growth, coming in at $144.5 million, a 36% increase compared to the same period last year.
  • This figure is notably above the high end of Rocket Lab’s prior guidance, signifying robust demand and operational execution, with growth driven by both the Space Systems and Launch Services segments.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

ESAB’s New Revolutionary React Welding Tech & 5 Major Challenges In Its Path!

By Baptista Research

  • The second quarter results for ESAB display both strengths and challenges, offering a balanced outlook on the company’s current position and future trajectory.
  • ESAB reported a total sales growth of 2% and achieved a record adjusted EBITDA margin of 20.4%, highlighting strong operational performance.
  • This robust margin performance is attributed to the company’s disciplined execution of its strategies and the ability to navigate a challenging market environment.

Siemens AG: Growth in Automation & Digital Industries Powering Our Optimism!

By Baptista Research

  • Siemens AG’s third-quarter performance in 2025 reflects both strengths and challenges in a complex global environment.
  • The company maintains a robust position, driven by strategic investments and an integrated approach while facing geopolitical and economic uncertainties.
  • In the third quarter, Siemens reported impressive order growth, highlighted by a significant 28% increase in group orders to €24.7 billion.

Middleby Inside the M&A Pipeline: What Frigomeccanica Brings to the Table!

By Baptista Research

  • The Middleby Corporation’s latest quarterly earnings call highlights the complex environment the company is navigating.
  • While facing economic challenges impacting key markets, the call outlines a series of strategic investments aimed at fortifying the company’s position and driving long-term growth.
  • Positively, the company has made significant strides across its business segments through strategic investments over the past three years.

Parker-Hannifin: A Closer Look At Its Infrastructure, Construction Recovery & Key Growth Catalysts!

By Baptista Research

  • Parker Hannifin Corporation recently reported its fiscal year 2025 fourth quarter and full-year financial results, showcasing strong performance metrics that set several records.
  • The company posted full-year sales of $19.9 billion, a record adjusted segment operating margin of 26.1%, and a record adjusted EBITDA margin of 26.4%.
  • Cash flow from operations also reached an unprecedented $3.8 billion, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) up by 7%.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Equities Advance Despite Trump’s Move Against Fed Governor and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Equities Advance Despite Trump’s Move Against Fed Governor
  • Japan Morning Connection: Tech up Ahead of NVDA Numbers with Sentiment Solid Despite China Concerns
  • Thematic Report on Indian Hospitals – Boring but Beautiful?
  • Singapore Market Roundup (26-Aug-2025): RHB’s Yeo raises Venture Corp target price to $15.
  • Exencial Industry Tidings 26/08/2025
  • HK Banks – Dah Sing’s Credit Costs in Macau and China Rose 4x YoY in 1H25


Ohayo Japan | Equities Advance Despite Trump’s Move Against Fed Governor

By Mark Chadwick

  • US equities rose as investors looked past President Trump’s unprecedented attempt to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, with the S&P 500 up 0.4%
  • Long-Term Treasury yields climbed while short-term yields fell, steepening the curve on expectations of near-term cuts but longer-term inflation risks
  • Nvidia shares advanced about 1% ahead of results that will test high expectations for megacap tech

Japan Morning Connection: Tech up Ahead of NVDA Numbers with Sentiment Solid Despite China Concerns

By Andrew Jackson

  • Lutnick floating the idea that US defense companies may be targets for the US Govt to take stakes in.
  • Good results for Eli Lily’s obesity drug will be a positive for Chugai Pharma.
  • EssilorLuxottica looking to raise its stake in Nikon to 20% from the current 9%. Expect a big squeeze

Thematic Report on Indian Hospitals – Boring but Beautiful?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • The Indian hospital sector is entering an aggressive expansion phase with top hospitals adding 32% to their bed base by FY27E, supported by brownfield and stronger return ratios.
  • With medical tourism offering 67–91% cost arbitrage versus global peers and insurance penetration gradually deepening, hospitals are positioned to capture both domestic and international demand profitably.
  • From being seen as defensive and “boring,” hospitals are transforming into high-growth, cash-generating businesses. Robust balance sheets and rising ARPOBs suggest that hospital chains are entering a golden growth cycle.

Singapore Market Roundup (26-Aug-2025): RHB’s Yeo raises Venture Corp target price to $15.

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • RHB’s Yeo lifts Venture Corp target price to $15 after lower Malaysia tariffs.
  • UOBKH remains ‘overweight’ on S-REITs, favoring CLAR, CLAS, and LREIT as top picks.
  • OCBC’s Lim starts coverage of Hong Leong Asia with ‘buy’ and $3.40 target.

Exencial Industry Tidings 26/08/2025

By Viral Kishorchandra Shah

  • Food & agro-based products industry’s sales grow by 18.7% in June 2025 quarter
  • India’s cotton output for 2025-26 likely to be around 31.4 mln bales: USDA
  • Pulses on 400,000 hectares affected in Karnataka due to rain

HK Banks – Dah Sing’s Credit Costs in Macau and China Rose 4x YoY in 1H25

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Dah Sing saw its Macau and China credit costs rise by 4x in 1H25 YoY
  • Headline total provision rise of 34% YoY gives a flattering view of credit metrics
  • Loan migration from benign to worse overdue loan buckets is dramatic, not visible in headlines

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: HD Hyundai , Reliance Industries, Natural Gas, Deep Industries, Base Oil, Glencore , Cheniere Energy, Canadian Natural Resources , Crescent Energy and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • HD Hyundai Robotics Raises 200 Billion Won and NAV Analysis of HD Hyundai
  • India’s Industrial Transformation: A Comprehensive Ind Primer on Reliance Ind Multi-Sector Dominance
  • U.S. LNG Surge: Growth on Track, but Golden Pass Stumbles
  • Deep Industries: An Oil & Gas Powerhouse Proxy of India
  • Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 25 August
  • JSE Sep ‘25 Rebalance: GLN Expected to Enter Top 40, APN to Fall Out
  • Cheniere Energy Secures JERA Deal: Can Such Long-Term Partnerships Improve Its Market Position?
  • Canadian Natural Resources Unlocks 1
  • Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 25 August
  • Crescent Energy Eyes Vital Energy: The $600 Million Shale Move That Could Redraw Permian Power Maps!


HD Hyundai Robotics Raises 200 Billion Won and NAV Analysis of HD Hyundai

By Douglas Kim

  • HD Hyundai Robotics will raise 200 billion won ($144 million) valuing the company at 1.8 trillion won.
  • Korea Development Bank and KY PE will be investing 200 billion won in HD Hyundai Robotics through a redeemable convertible preference shares in September.
  • Our NAV valuation analysis of HD Hyundai suggests target price of 168,561 won per share, which represents a 27% upside from current levels.

India’s Industrial Transformation: A Comprehensive Ind Primer on Reliance Ind Multi-Sector Dominance

By Viral Kishorchandra Shah

  • Jio dominates telecom with 42% market share and 480M+ subscribers, driving India’s 5G revolution.
  • Spans oil-chemicals, retail, digital services, renewable energy with vertical integration advantages across sectors.
  • Targeting Net Carbon Zero by 2035 with 100 GW renewable capacity and world’s largest green energy ecosystem.

U.S. LNG Surge: Growth on Track, but Golden Pass Stumbles

By Suhas Reddy

  • U.S. LNG capacity is set to nearly double by 2028, reinforcing America’s dominance in global energy markets.
  • Golden Pass LNG faces major delays due to contractor bankruptcy, highlighting execution risks in megaprojects.
  • Most other projects, including Plaquemines, Rio Grande, and Port Arthur LNG, remain on or near schedule.

Deep Industries: An Oil & Gas Powerhouse Proxy of India

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Deep Industries has posted stellar Q1 FY26 results, fueled by aggressive revenue growth and a strengthened, diversified order book.
  • The company’s strategic focus on high-value, long-tenure contracts and new business verticals positions it for sustained, high double digit growth in a supportive market.
  • Company re-emphasized 30% revenue growth for the next year, along with potential recovery from bad assets.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 25 August

By Iain Pocock

  • Asia’s base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds firm at levels that incentivize refiners to maintain or raise output.
  • Firm margins point to still-tight supply-demand fundamentals.
  • Margins hold firm even with prospect of rise in surplus base oils supply in Asia in Q3 2025 in response to pick-up in output and slowdown in demand.

JSE Sep ‘25 Rebalance: GLN Expected to Enter Top 40, APN to Fall Out

By Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

  • Last night, the price snapshot was taken for the JSE September 2025 rebalance.
  • GLN is expected to enter the Top 40 index, with APN falling out.
  • No changes are expected for the FINDI, FINI, INDI or RESI indices.

Cheniere Energy Secures JERA Deal: Can Such Long-Term Partnerships Improve Its Market Position?

By Baptista Research

  • Cheniere Energy, Inc. reported its second-quarter results for 2025, highlighting a mix of operational achievements and strategic initiatives aimed at bolstering its position in the global LNG market.
  • The company reported consolidated adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.4 billion, with distributable cash flow reaching around $920 million, and a net income of about $1.6 billion.
  • These financial results reflect a robust operational performance, driven primarily by strategic initiatives and market conditions favorable to LNG trading activities.

Canadian Natural Resources Unlocks 1

By Baptista Research

  • Canadian Natural Resources Limited’s (CNRL) second-quarter 2025 performance is characterized by strong operational outcomes and strategic acquisitions that contribute to the company’s long-term growth prospects.
  • A key highlight is the company’s robust production capabilities, which saw 1.420 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d) even with a five-day-early completion of a planned turnaround at Albian Sands, Alberta Oil Sands Project (AOSP), enhancing operational efficiencies.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 25 August

By Iain Pocock

  • Global base oils prices hold at levels versus feedstock and competing fuel prices that sustain incentive for refiners to maintain or raise output.
  • Margins hold firm even at time of year when surplus supply typically starts to build amid seasonal slowdown in demand.
  • Firm margins could point to supply-demand fundamentals that are tighter than usual for time of year.

Crescent Energy Eyes Vital Energy: The $600 Million Shale Move That Could Redraw Permian Power Maps!

By Baptista Research

  • Crescent Energy (NYSE:CRGY) is reportedly in advanced talks to acquire Vital Energy (NASDAQ:VTLE), a deal that could significantly bolster its footprint in the Permian Basin—America’s most prolific oil-producing region.
  • While the transaction is still under negotiation and not guaranteed, industry sources indicate a deal could be announced as soon as next week.
  • Vital Energy, with a market cap of approximately $600 million and carrying $2.3 billion in long-term debt, has seen its stock jump over 7% on acquisition speculation, while Crescent dipped slightly.

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