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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Event-Driven: Korea’s Next Policy Momentum Play: Rapid Unfolding of the National Growth Fund and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea’s Next Policy Momentum Play: Rapid Unfolding of the National Growth Fund
  • [Japan M&A] Nikkei Says Blackstone to Buy TechnoPro Holdings (6028) For “Roughly ¥500bn”
  • Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): Core Designation Does Not Change Yageo’s Calculus
  • TechnoPro (6028 JP): Blackstone’s Rumoured Takeunder Offer
  • HKBN (1310 HK): China Mobile’s Offer Now Open


Korea’s Next Policy Momentum Play: Rapid Unfolding of the National Growth Fund

By Sanghyun Park

  • From a trading view, no confirmed new ETFs under the National Growth Fund yet; market expects existing ETFs to be the main liquidity and sector play tools instead.
  • Out of the KRW 150tn, ETF flows likely come from the 100tn private pool—conservative case: ~3% (KRW 4.5tn), base case: 5–7%, aggressive: up to 10% (KRW 15tn).
  • Even conservatively, about KRW 3 trillion could flow into sector ETFs, a signficant AUM boost, mainly concentrated in AI, defense, aerospace, and biotech—driving notable inflow impact.

[Japan M&A] Nikkei Says Blackstone to Buy TechnoPro Holdings (6028) For “Roughly ¥500bn”

By Travis Lundy

  • There was an article in mid-May saying Technopro Holdings (6028 JP) might be privatised. It is an appropriate candidate. The stock popped 20% immediately, and has since risen another 20%. 
  • Today’s article follows one which came out ~2 weeks ago with non-sourced editorial content suggesting the price might be 20x EBITDA (i.e. a lot higher). 
  • Today, an article says Blackstone will buy the firm for “Roughly ¥500bn” which would be 3% down from yesterday. Beware the Nikkei. Beware expectations.

Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): Core Designation Does Not Change Yageo’s Calculus

By Arun George

  • Reuters reports that the Ministry of Finance of Japan reclassified Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP) from a Type 1 (non-designated business sector) to Type 3 (core designated company).
  • Reportedly, Yageo’s application was made with a view to Shibaura’s businesses falling under the core category. A blocked deal would set back Prime Minister Ishiba’s goal to improve China relations. 
  • The change to Shibaura’s designation to core helps explain the elongated approval process, as the Ministry of Finance and Yageo need time to agree on acceptable undertakings. 

TechnoPro (6028 JP): Blackstone’s Rumoured Takeunder Offer

By Arun George

  • The Nikkei reports that Blackstone (BX US) will launch the tender offer for Technopro Holdings (6028 JP) just below JPY4,900, a 44.6% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • While the rumoured offer is 1.5% below the last close, it is attractive as it resulted from an auction and represents a pre-media rumour all-time high.
  • It is unclear if the offer is preconditional on regulatory approvals. Blackstone is likely to secure irrevocables from activists like Orbis to project a secure path to completion. 

HKBN (1310 HK): China Mobile’s Offer Now Open

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 1st August, HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) announced China Mobile (941 HK) had satisfied all pre-cons. The Offer Doc is now out.
  • The First Close is the 3rd September with payment potentially on or around the 12th September – if the Offer turns unconditional on the First Close.
  • There is no IFA opinion in this Doc. That will be present in the Response Doc, which is expected to be dispatched on or before the 20th August. 

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Royal Gold Inc, SICC, Copper, Pennar Industries, T Hasegawa, Pokarna Ltd, Eagle Materials, MPLX LP, Graphic Packaging Holding Company and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • [Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Sep25 Rebal: Multiple Changes Possible; ~US$400mn One-Way
  • SICC A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium
  • Global Commodities: Tariff shockwaves churn crude and copper markets
  • M&B Engineering Ltd. IPO Analysis
  • T Hasegawa (4958 JP): Q3 FY09/25 flash update
  • Copper Prices Collapse – But Hazelnut Prices Explode
  • Business Breakdown: Pokarna Limited, A Niche Quartz Player Facing Challenge Due to US Tariff
  • Eagle Materials Rides Infrastructure Boom With Surging Cement Demand & Pricing Power!
  • MPLX’s $2.4 Billion Power Play Set To Shake Up The Permian Basin!
  • Graphic Packaging International: An Insight Into Its Market Conditions


[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Sep25 Rebal: Multiple Changes Possible; ~US$400mn One-Way

By Travis Lundy

  • The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. We like it because of impact. 
  • This index is reviewed semiannually in March/September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index. 
  • There are several expected ADDs/DELs for the September 2025 index rebal event. There will also be flows for the other index members due to capping.

SICC A/H Listing – PHIP Updates and Thoughts on A/H Premium

By Sumeet Singh

  • SICC (688234 CH), a manufacturer of high-quality SiC substrates, aims to raise up to US$250m in its H-share listing.
  • In terms of market share, as per Frost & Sullivan, based on 2024 sales, its market share was at 16.7%.
  • In this note, we look at the PHIP updates and talk about the likely A/H premium.

Global Commodities: Tariff shockwaves churn crude and copper markets

By At Any Rate

  • Market expected tariffs on cathode and other copper products, but final announcement only included tariffs on scrap
  • Change in tariff decision led to collapse in premium of COMEX over LME
  • Import influx of copper in US may now flow to LME warehouses, potentially affecting prices and supply security efforts

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


M&B Engineering Ltd. IPO Analysis

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • M&B Engineering, a leader in the PEB space, launched a INR 650 crore IPO with a price band of INR 366-385, opening July 30, 2025.
  • The company will use the INR 275 crore fresh issue proceeds for capital expenditure to expand manufacturing facilities, upgrade technology, and repay certain borrowings.
  • Growth is fueled by 60% capacity expansion by FY28 and a booming PEB market; valuation appears reasonable given its high PAT CAGR of 53%.

T Hasegawa (4958 JP): Q3 FY09/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue increased 3.5% YoY to JPY54.5bn, with major subsidiaries in the US, China, and Malaysia contributing growth.
  • Operating profit decreased 3.3% YoY to JPY7.2bn due to higher SG&A expenses, despite revenue growth and improved cost ratio.
  • Flavor Division revenue rose 4.4% YoY to JPY48.7bn, while Fragrance Division revenue declined 3.3% YoY to JPY5.8bn.

Copper Prices Collapse – But Hazelnut Prices Explode

By The Commodity Report

  • The story of the week was probably the 20% decline in COMEX copper futures during the week.
  • A short recap: The gloating voices would perhaps claim that the Trump administration has realized that the high tariffs on copper would significantly harm its own country in the current situation.
  • Copper prices collapsed by roughly 20% on Wednesday after President Trump announced that refined metals including copper cathodes will be exempt from the 50% tariff plans.

Business Breakdown: Pokarna Limited, A Niche Quartz Player Facing Challenge Due to US Tariff

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Pokarna is India’s leading quartz exporter, leveraging italian Bretonstone technology to deliver industry-leading margins, growth in Natural Quartz segment.
  • Company is doing major capex worth Rs. 440Crs, that will add an additional 500Cr in topline once fully operational.
  • The company is facing demand challenges due to the US 25% Tariff since more than 80% revenue is coming from the US.

Eagle Materials Rides Infrastructure Boom With Surging Cement Demand & Pricing Power!

By Baptista Research

  • Eagle Materials reported a strong start to its fiscal year 2026, achieving record first-quarter revenue of $634.7 million, up 4% from the previous year, and delivered diluted net earnings per share of $3.76.
  • The company continued its operational focus despite dealing with challenging weather conditions in many of its cement, concrete, and aggregate markets.
  • The result underscores Eagle Materials’ ability to maintain resilience across market cycles, emphasized through their low-cost producer status and enhanced operational metrics.

MPLX’s $2.4 Billion Power Play Set To Shake Up The Permian Basin!

By Baptista Research

  • The energy midstream sector is buzzing as MPLX LP (NYSE:MPLX) inches closer to finalizing a $2.375 billion cash deal for Northwind Midstream, a natural gas gathering, treating, and processing developer with over 200,000 dedicated acres in New Mexico’s Delaware Basin.
  • Coming on the heels of MPLX’s strategic bolt-ons in the BANGL NGL pipeline, Whiptail crude gathering, and Matterhorn Express expansion, this acquisition could bolt high-quality, low-breakeven Permian volumes directly into MPLX’s burgeoning NGL, natural gas, and crude value chains.
  • The Northwind system already boasts more than 200 miles of gathering lines, two acid gas injection wells at 20 MMcf/d (soon to grow to 37 MMcf/d), and 150 MMcf/d of sour-gas treat-ing capacity—set to balloon to 440 MMcf/d by H2 2026.

Graphic Packaging International: An Insight Into Its Market Conditions

By Baptista Research

  • Graphic Packaging Holding Company, a global leader in sustainable consumer packaging, presented its results for the second quarter of 2025, revealing a mixed financial and operational landscape.
  • The company’s sales for the period were $2.2 billion, and the adjusted EBITDA was reported at $336 million, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 15.3%.
  • The adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.42.

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Daily Brief Industrials: BayCurrent Consulting , Hoshizaki Corporation, King Slide Works, Hyundai Motor, Thirumalai Chemicals, Firefly Aerospace, Sambhv Steel Tubes, Titan International , World Holdings, Armstrong World Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • [Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep25 Rebal: Final Liquidity Rankings
  • Hoshizaki Corp (6465 JP): Close Global Index Deletion in August
  • King Slide Works (2059 TT): Sliding into a Global Index
  • Boston Dynamics – Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won Expected; Potential IPO in 2027/2028 in NASDAQ
  • The Beat Ideas: Thirumalai Chemicals – A ₹2,000 Cr Capex Bet on the Next Growth Cycle
  • Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY): Industry Tailwinds, Lucrative Backlog Highlight Bull Case for IPO
  • Sambhv Steel: Anchor Lock-In Opens, Bet on Capacity Expansion, Debt Reduction & Value Addition
  • TWI: Titan International reports 2nd quarter 2025 financial and operating results. The company discusses the effects of global tariffs on its business.
  • World Holdings (2429 JP): 1H FY12/25 flash update
  • Armstrong World Industries: Disrupting Ceilings With Groundbreaking TEMPLOK Innovation!


[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep25 Rebal: Final Liquidity Rankings

By Travis Lundy

  • The five year data period for the September 2025 Nikkei 225 rebalance is now over (as of 31 July). First obvious news? No Fast Retailing (9983 JP) capping.
  • That was obvious a couple months ago, and the BayCurrent Consulting (6532 JP) buying to come has been known for five months.
  • The Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) Offering last month makes it more likely an ADD than it was in June (when it didn’t replace NTT Data), but not a done deal.

Hoshizaki Corp (6465 JP): Close Global Index Deletion in August

By Brian Freitas

  • Hoshizaki Corporation (6465 JP)‘s stock price has dropped over the last 3 months, and the lower market cap could result in global index deletion in August. 
  • An early cutoff in the review period could result in the stock staying on in the index but that puts it at risk of deletion in November.
  • There has been an increase in short interest and cumulative excess volume over the last couple of months and that indicates positioning in the stock.

King Slide Works (2059 TT): Sliding into a Global Index

By Brian Freitas

  • King Slide Works (2059 TT)‘s stock price has more than doubled over the last 4 months and that should result in global index inclusion in August.
  • King Slide Works (2059 TT) has outperformed its peer group over the last few months and now trades at a big valuation premium.
  • There has been a lot of short covering, and positioning in the stock appears to be smaller than the estimated passive buying.

Boston Dynamics – Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won Expected; Potential IPO in 2027/2028 in NASDAQ

By Douglas Kim

  • There has been an increasing probability that Boston Dynamics (BD) announces a fourth rights offering capital raise worth about 1.2 trillion won (US$870 million) in the next several weeks.
  • All the Hyundai Motor Group related entities are expected to increase their ownership stakes in Boston Dynamics whereas it is expected to decline for Softbank post the capital raise.
  • The current valuation estimates of Boston Dynamics (post capital raise) vary widely from about 4 trillion won to 10 trillion won.

The Beat Ideas: Thirumalai Chemicals – A ₹2,000 Cr Capex Bet on the Next Growth Cycle

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Thirumalai Chemicals is nearing completion of two transformative capex projects in Dahej (India) and West Virginia (USA) set to expand capacity by over 130,000 TPA across commodity and specialty chemicals. 
  • These investments position TCL to capture demand in both domestic import-substitution and underserved global food ingredient markets, while reducing dependency on cyclical PAN margins. 
  • The company is transitioning from a commodity-heavy profile to a more diversified, global specialty player, unlocking long-term margin expansion and reducing volatility in earnings.

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY): Industry Tailwinds, Lucrative Backlog Highlight Bull Case for IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • The company will be offering 16.2mm shares at $35-$39 with an expected market cap between $4.9b and $5.5b and to debut on August 7th.
  • According to our sources, the deal is being classified as multiple-times oversubscribed.
  • FireFly is in growth mode and the ability to scale with improving margins and a significant and visible backlog makes this deal extremely attractive. 

Sambhv Steel: Anchor Lock-In Opens, Bet on Capacity Expansion, Debt Reduction & Value Addition

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • In Sambhv Steel Tubes (SAMBHV IN), the anchor investor lock-in expiry ends brought expected selling pressure, testing the stock’s resilience and investor conviction in its fundamentals.
  • The company posted record Q1 revenue and profit, driven by strong volumes and margin expansion from its strategic value-added product focus.
  • Management guides for sustained 12-13% EBITDA margins, backed by aggressive brownfield and greenfield expansions to capture future market demand.

TWI: Titan International reports 2nd quarter 2025 financial and operating results. The company discusses the effects of global tariffs on its business.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Titan International is a global manufacturer of off-the-road tires, wheels and undercarriages.
  • The company serves the agricultural, earthmoving / construction, and consumer markets.
  • Long-term secular tailwinds exist in the global agricultural, infrastructure and construction markets.

World Holdings (2429 JP): 1H FY12/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue was JPY131.8bn (+18.9% YoY), operating profit JPY5.0bn (+111.0% YoY), and net income JPY2.7bn (+259.6% YoY).
  • Products HR business revenue was JPY58.4bn (+9.9% YoY), segment profit JPY1.7bn (+46.0% YoY), driven by semiconductor demand.
  • Real Estate business revenue was JPY24.8bn (+81.9% YoY), segment profit JPY2.1bn (+578.2% YoY), despite delayed property handovers.

Armstrong World Industries: Disrupting Ceilings With Groundbreaking TEMPLOK Innovation!

By Baptista Research

  • Armstrong World Industries Inc. reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, demonstrating resilience amid market uncertainties.
  • The company achieved record sales and earnings, marked by a 16% increase in net sales and a 23% rise in adjusted EBITDA, with a notable expansion in EBITDA margins by 200 basis points to 36%.
  • This growth was reflected in a 29% year-over-year increase in adjusted diluted earnings per share, its highest since its separation from the flooring business in 2016.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Softbank Group, Qi An Xin Technology Group , Paytm, Taiyo Yuden, China Mobile, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, ASE Technology Holding , Whitefiber, Hennge KK, Cellebrite DI and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Softbank Group (9984 JP) Results on 7 Aug: Expected Move and Option Insights
  • Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50/100 Sep25: Final Expectations; New Pair Trades
  • PayTM Block – US$434m Clean-Up by Antfin
  • Taiyo Yuden (6976):  A Slightly Different Path to Massively Higher Margins
  • China Mobile (941 HK) Results on 7 Aug: Low Volatility History Faces Test
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s Arizona Surprise – 2nm by 2026?; Signs of Hyperscaler Growth Acceleration
  • ASE Technology: Expanding Globally & Tackling Geopolitical Risks & Power AI Innovation!
  • WhiteFiber, Inc. (WYFI): Subsidiary of Bit Digital, CoreWeave Comp Attracting IPO Interest
  • Hennge KK (4475 JP): Q3 FY09/25 flash update
  • Anek Capital’s Orel Levy’s Cellebrite Thesis $CLBT


Softbank Group (9984 JP) Results on 7 Aug: Expected Move and Option Insights

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • SoftBank Group (9984 JP) reports Q1 FY2025 earnings on 7 August at 15:30 JST, with a conference call at 16:30 JST.
  • Highlights: SoftBank’s post-earnings moves are often sharp and unpredictable — with outliers above ±12%. Options markets flag the results day as a high-volatility event to watch.
  • Why Read: Essential for investors or options traders focused on Japan: Understand how timing, historic patterns and current volatility pricing shape both opportunity and risk around SoftBank earnings.

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50/100 Sep25: Final Expectations; New Pair Trades

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
  • STAR 100 index tracks the next 100 names (51st-150th ranks) and it represents the mid-cap segment of the STAR market.
  • In this insight, we have presented our final predictions for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 indices for the September 2025 index rebal event.

PayTM Block – US$434m Clean-Up by Antfin

By Akshat Shah

  • Antfin (Netherlands) Holding B.V. (Antfin) is looking to raise up to US$434 via a cleanup of its remaining 5.8% stake in Paytm (PAYTM IN).
  • Antfin has been selling off its stake in PayTM since it pared around 12% in Nov 2021 IPO. It last sold a 4% stake to raise upto US$242m in May2025.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

Taiyo Yuden (6976):  A Slightly Different Path to Massively Higher Margins

By Michael Allen

  • Taiyo Yuden underperformed its peers in electronic components by 29% over the past year, but its change in operating profit margin should outperform peers by 68% in the current year.
  • Exposure to the U.S. is less than 7% of direct sales, but probably 25% including indirect exposure. Still, based on supply/demand analysis, we think Yuden is probably tariff proof.  
  • While rivals have prioritized high-margin device modules to offset component sales declines, Yuden doubled down on its core capacitor and inductor strengths and appears to be coming out ahead.

China Mobile (941 HK) Results on 7 Aug: Low Volatility History Faces Test

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • China Mobile (941 HK) / China Mobile (600941 CH) will release 2024 interim results on Thursday, 7 August 2025. The stock is a key constituent of the HSI and HSCEI.
  • Highlights: Past earnings moves have been modest, but the options skew hints at potential for surprises. Dividend decision also due.
  • Why Read: Helps time exposure and evaluate short-term risks ahead of results and dividend announcement for cash investors and option traders.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s Arizona Surprise – 2nm by 2026?; Signs of Hyperscaler Growth Acceleration

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • U.S. 2nm Production May Begin Sooner Than Expected — Is TSMC Responding to Unprecedented N2 Demand?
  • Hyperscalers 2Q25: Revenue Growth Accelerates, Cloud Revenues Accelerate, Capex Higher 
  • TechChain Insights: Taiwan’s Battery Cell Moment? USA & EU Supply Chain Under Strategic Pressure 

ASE Technology: Expanding Globally & Tackling Geopolitical Risks & Power AI Innovation!

By Baptista Research

  • ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. delivered a robust performance in the second quarter of 2025, with advancements in several key business segments contributing to the company’s overall growth.
  • The company reported an unconsolidated revenue increase of 9% year-over-year and 2% on a sequential basis, expressed in new Taiwan dollars.
  • On a U.S. dollar basis, revenues grew by 7% sequentially and 11% annually.

WhiteFiber, Inc. (WYFI): Subsidiary of Bit Digital, CoreWeave Comp Attracting IPO Interest

By IPO Boutique

  • WhiteFiber is offering 7.8 million shares at $15-$17 equating to a potential market cap of $523m-$593m.
  • Insiders are buying in this offering which adds to the bullish thesis.
  • They expect revenue to come between $17.7m-$19.6m for Q2 2025 after posting revenue of $16.8m in Q1 2025. 

Hennge KK (4475 JP): Q3 FY09/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue reached JPY8.0bn (+32.3% YoY), with HENNGE One contributing JPY7.5bn (+34.3% YoY) and Professional Service JPY506mn (+8.1% YoY).
  • Operating profit was JPY1.6bn (+72.3% YoY), with a margin of 19.7% (+4.6pp YoY); gross profit was JPY6.9bn (+35.7% YoY).
  • SG&A expenses rose to JPY5.3bn (+27.6% YoY), including JPY618mn in advertising (+34.1% YoY) and JPY2.0bn in personnel (+21.9% YoY).

Anek Capital’s Orel Levy’s Cellebrite Thesis $CLBT

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • Cellebrite is a quality business in digital forensics, a market leader in the industry
  • Cellebrite has strong financials, including high margins, free cash flow conversion, and a bootstrap structure

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


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Daily Brief Australia: ADX Energy Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): High Production at Z&G.


ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): High Production at Z&G.

By Auctus Advisors

  • 2Q25 net production of 303 boe/d was higher than our expectations of ~270 boe/d following a 5 well intervention programme at the Zisterdorf and Gaiselberg fields in the Vienna Basin.
  • The programme included (1) repair of subsurface equipment, (2) clean out of a down hole sand control (3) perforation of a new oil production zone in a well.
  • Despite a drop in oil price revenue during June, adjusted 2Q25 sales were A$3.5 mm.

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Daily Brief Thailand: Thai Union Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • Thai Union (TU TB): Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP)’s Partial Tender


Thai Union (TU TB): Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP)’s Partial Tender

By David Blennerhassett

  • Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP), currently holding 6.19% in Thai Union Group (TU TB), a global seafood leader, is seeking to lift its stake to 20% via a Partial Offer. 
  • Mitsubishi is offering THB12.50/share for 532.27mn shares in Thai Union, or 13.81% of shares out (excluding treasuries), an outlay of ~US$200mn. If <13.81% tender, the Offer lapses.
  • Last month Mitsubishi expanded its salmon farming by acquiring additional businesses in Norway and Canada for ~US$1bn.

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Daily Brief Industrials: BayCurrent Consulting , Hoshizaki Corporation, King Slide Works, Hyundai Motor, Thirumalai Chemicals, Firefly Aerospace, Sambhv Steel Tubes, Titan International , World Holdings, Armstrong World Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • [Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep25 Rebal: Final Liquidity Rankings
  • Hoshizaki Corp (6465 JP): Close Global Index Deletion in August
  • King Slide Works (2059 TT): Sliding into a Global Index
  • Boston Dynamics – Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won Expected; Potential IPO in 2027/2028 in NASDAQ
  • The Beat Ideas: Thirumalai Chemicals – A ₹2,000 Cr Capex Bet on the Next Growth Cycle
  • Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY): Industry Tailwinds, Lucrative Backlog Highlight Bull Case for IPO
  • Sambhv Steel: Anchor Lock-In Opens, Bet on Capacity Expansion, Debt Reduction & Value Addition
  • TWI: Titan International reports 2nd quarter 2025 financial and operating results. The company discusses the effects of global tariffs on its business.
  • World Holdings (2429 JP): 1H FY12/25 flash update
  • Armstrong World Industries: Disrupting Ceilings With Groundbreaking TEMPLOK Innovation!


[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep25 Rebal: Final Liquidity Rankings

By Travis Lundy

  • The five year data period for the September 2025 Nikkei 225 rebalance is now over (as of 31 July). First obvious news? No Fast Retailing (9983 JP) capping.
  • That was obvious a couple months ago, and the BayCurrent Consulting (6532 JP) buying to come has been known for five months.
  • The Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) Offering last month makes it more likely an ADD than it was in June (when it didn’t replace NTT Data), but not a done deal.

Hoshizaki Corp (6465 JP): Close Global Index Deletion in August

By Brian Freitas

  • Hoshizaki Corporation (6465 JP)‘s stock price has dropped over the last 3 months, and the lower market cap could result in global index deletion in August. 
  • An early cutoff in the review period could result in the stock staying on in the index but that puts it at risk of deletion in November.
  • There has been an increase in short interest and cumulative excess volume over the last couple of months and that indicates positioning in the stock.

King Slide Works (2059 TT): Sliding into a Global Index

By Brian Freitas

  • King Slide Works (2059 TT)‘s stock price has more than doubled over the last 4 months and that should result in global index inclusion in August.
  • King Slide Works (2059 TT) has outperformed its peer group over the last few months and now trades at a big valuation premium.
  • There has been a lot of short covering, and positioning in the stock appears to be smaller than the estimated passive buying.

Boston Dynamics – Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won Expected; Potential IPO in 2027/2028 in NASDAQ

By Douglas Kim

  • There has been an increasing probability that Boston Dynamics (BD) announces a fourth rights offering capital raise worth about 1.2 trillion won (US$870 million) in the next several weeks.
  • All the Hyundai Motor Group related entities are expected to increase their ownership stakes in Boston Dynamics whereas it is expected to decline for Softbank post the capital raise.
  • The current valuation estimates of Boston Dynamics (post capital raise) vary widely from about 4 trillion won to 10 trillion won.

The Beat Ideas: Thirumalai Chemicals – A ₹2,000 Cr Capex Bet on the Next Growth Cycle

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Thirumalai Chemicals is nearing completion of two transformative capex projects in Dahej (India) and West Virginia (USA) set to expand capacity by over 130,000 TPA across commodity and specialty chemicals. 
  • These investments position TCL to capture demand in both domestic import-substitution and underserved global food ingredient markets, while reducing dependency on cyclical PAN margins. 
  • The company is transitioning from a commodity-heavy profile to a more diversified, global specialty player, unlocking long-term margin expansion and reducing volatility in earnings.

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY): Industry Tailwinds, Lucrative Backlog Highlight Bull Case for IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • The company will be offering 16.2mm shares at $35-$39 with an expected market cap between $4.9b and $5.5b and to debut on August 7th.
  • According to our sources, the deal is being classified as multiple-times oversubscribed.
  • FireFly is in growth mode and the ability to scale with improving margins and a significant and visible backlog makes this deal extremely attractive. 

Sambhv Steel: Anchor Lock-In Opens, Bet on Capacity Expansion, Debt Reduction & Value Addition

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • In Sambhv Steel Tubes (SAMBHV IN), the anchor investor lock-in expiry ends brought expected selling pressure, testing the stock’s resilience and investor conviction in its fundamentals.
  • The company posted record Q1 revenue and profit, driven by strong volumes and margin expansion from its strategic value-added product focus.
  • Management guides for sustained 12-13% EBITDA margins, backed by aggressive brownfield and greenfield expansions to capture future market demand.

TWI: Titan International reports 2nd quarter 2025 financial and operating results. The company discusses the effects of global tariffs on its business.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Titan International is a global manufacturer of off-the-road tires, wheels and undercarriages.
  • The company serves the agricultural, earthmoving / construction, and consumer markets.
  • Long-term secular tailwinds exist in the global agricultural, infrastructure and construction markets.

World Holdings (2429 JP): 1H FY12/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue was JPY131.8bn (+18.9% YoY), operating profit JPY5.0bn (+111.0% YoY), and net income JPY2.7bn (+259.6% YoY).
  • Products HR business revenue was JPY58.4bn (+9.9% YoY), segment profit JPY1.7bn (+46.0% YoY), driven by semiconductor demand.
  • Real Estate business revenue was JPY24.8bn (+81.9% YoY), segment profit JPY2.1bn (+578.2% YoY), despite delayed property handovers.

Armstrong World Industries: Disrupting Ceilings With Groundbreaking TEMPLOK Innovation!

By Baptista Research

  • Armstrong World Industries Inc. reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, demonstrating resilience amid market uncertainties.
  • The company achieved record sales and earnings, marked by a 16% increase in net sales and a 23% rise in adjusted EBITDA, with a notable expansion in EBITDA margins by 200 basis points to 36%.
  • This growth was reflected in a 29% year-over-year increase in adjusted diluted earnings per share, its highest since its separation from the flooring business in 2016.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Heartflow, Chemed Corp, Incyte Corp, Kyowa Kirin Co Ltd, Penumbra , Radiopharm Theranostics, Raffles Medical Group, Bausch Health Companies, SK Bioscience and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • HeartFlow Inc. (HTFL): Revenue Growth, Strong Margin Profile Highlights IPO Bull Case
  • Chemed Corporation Bets Big on Florida & Digital—Will This Bold Strategy Pay Off?
  • Incyte Corporation’s Jakafi Focus & Recent Commercial Blitz Can Turn Heads on Wall Street!
  • Kyowa Kirin (4151 JP): 1H25 Stay Muted, Guidance Reaffirmed, Ziftomenib Approval Decision Awaited
  • Penumbra Inc.: Thrombectomy Business Expansion As a Significant Driver For Overall Market Share Growth!
  • RADX: July 2025 Update
  • iFAST Books S$50M Net Institutional Inflow 5 Five sessions
  • Bausch Health Strikes Bold With Durect Buy: A Strategic Bet On Liver Therapies?
  • SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Strong Base Business and IDT Contribution Drive 2Q25 Performance


HeartFlow Inc. (HTFL): Revenue Growth, Strong Margin Profile Highlights IPO Bull Case

By IPO Boutique

  • HeartFlow is offering 12.5 million shares at a $15-$17 range which equates to a valuation of around $1.32 billion. 
  • According to guidance the deal is being classified as oversubscribed with early long-only and healthcare dedicated conversions. 
  • Combine durable revenues, strong underwriting and backers with a tailwind from a healthcare segment with a touch of AI, it is our opinion that this IPO will be well-received.

Chemed Corporation Bets Big on Florida & Digital—Will This Bold Strategy Pay Off?

By Baptista Research

  • Chemed Corporation’s second-quarter 2025 earnings highlight a mixed performance across its two major operating segments, VITAS and Roto-Rooter.
  • For VITAS, the hospice care segment, admissions showed a 4.9% increase when adjusted for the prior year acquisition, but the overall business grappled with significant Medicare cap challenges, particularly in Florida.
  • The Medicare cap billing limitations resulted in a $16.4 million hit during the quarter, attributed to a sharper than anticipated reimbursement rate hike in Florida compared to the national average.

Incyte Corporation’s Jakafi Focus & Recent Commercial Blitz Can Turn Heads on Wall Street!

By Baptista Research

  • Incyte Corporation’s second quarter of 2025 results reflect a strategic focus on expanding their product portfolio, particularly within the hematology-oncology and immunology sectors.
  • A notable highlight includes strong financial performance, with total product revenues reaching $1.06 billion, marking a 17% increase year-over-year.
  • This growth was driven by increased demand for their key products, Jakafi and Opzelura, as well as the continued launch of Niktimvo.

Kyowa Kirin (4151 JP): 1H25 Stay Muted, Guidance Reaffirmed, Ziftomenib Approval Decision Awaited

By Tina Banerjee

  • Kyowa Kirin Co Ltd (4151 JP) revenue declined 1% YoY to ¥230.7B, impacted by APAC business restructuring, reduced drug prices in Japan, despite the growth in North America and EMEA.
  • The company remains heavily dependent on Crysvita generating almost 43% of the total revenue of the company. Crysvita sales rose 10% YoY to ¥99.8B in 1H25.
  • The next big trigger to the stock price would be the FDA decision on approval of ziftomenib, due in November.

Penumbra Inc.: Thrombectomy Business Expansion As a Significant Driver For Overall Market Share Growth!

By Baptista Research

  • Penumbra’s second quarter results reflect significant execution across multiple areas, showing both strengths and challenges that contribute to the overall investment thesis for the company.
  • The company’s revenue reached $339.5 million, a 13.4% increase year-over-year on a reported basis and 12.7% in constant currency, highlighting strong underlying growth.
  • This growth was driven by robust performance in the U.S. thrombectomy business, especially in the venous thromboembolism (VTE) sector, which saw an impressive 42% year-over-year growth, due to adoption of innovative products like the Flash 2.0 and Bolt 12.

RADX: July 2025 Update

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Radiopharm Theranostics is advancing a portfolio of imaging and therapeutic radiopharmaceutical candidates in oncology.
  • Its approach recognizes the opportunities in tumors beyond prostate, thyroid & neuroendocrine targets originated by precision oncology & validated by clinical trials & regulatory approval.
  • RAD101, an 18F radioisotope developed to image brain metastases is the most advanced asset.

iFAST Books S$50M Net Institutional Inflow 5 Five sessions

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks with a S$351 million outflow, reversing the prior S$334 million inflow.
  • iFAST Corporation saw S$50.3 million net institutional inflow, reversing its year-to-date outflow to S$42.9 million inflow.
  • Raffles Medical and Keppel led share buybacks, with Raffles purchasing 3.3 million shares and Keppel announcing a S$500 million program.

Bausch Health Strikes Bold With Durect Buy: A Strategic Bet On Liver Therapies?

By Baptista Research

  • Bausch Health Companies (NYSE:BHC) has made headlines with its definitive agreement to acquire liver-focused biotech Durect Corporation (NASDAQ:DRRX) for $1.75 per share in cash, representing a ~217% premium to DRRX’s pre-announcement closing price and valuing the deal at approximately $63 million upfront.
  • In addition, contingent milestone payments linked to commercial sales could push the total consideration to $413 million.
  • The acquisition, expected to close in Q3 2025, adds Durect’s lead candidate larsucosterol to Bausch’s pipeline—a drug that has demonstrated encouraging Phase 2 data for alcoholic hepatitis (AH) and is preparing for a Phase 3 registrational program.

SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Strong Base Business and IDT Contribution Drive 2Q25 Performance

By Tina Banerjee

  • SK Bioscience (302440 KS) continues to report business recovery, with 2Q25 base business revenue increasing 22% YoY and IDT Biologika revenue increasing sequentially.
  • The company has guided for 2025 revenue of KRW600B+, aided by IDT acquisition. Excluding IDT, base business revenue is expected at ~KRW200B for 2025, up 28% YoY.
  • SKBS has built a large-scale commercial production facility which will serve as a production site for GBP410, a 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV21) candidate.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Fuyao Glass Industry Group, Thai Union Group, Great Wall Motor, Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk P, Ferrari N.V., Laopu Gold, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, Starbucks Corp, Lithia Motors Inc Cl A, Asbury Automotive and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 1 Aug 2025):  HUGE SOUTHBOUND Buying Helps Beautiful Skew but Premia Up
  • Thai Union (TU TB): Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP)’s Partial Tender
  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 1 Aug 2025); YUGE Net Buying on Weakness (FINANCIALS & HEALTHCARE)
  • StubWorld: Indofood (INDF IJ) Trading Rich To Indofood CBP Sukses (ICBP IJ)
  • Ferrari (RACE US): Deceleration in Q2 FY25, But Confident On Future Growth
  • Laopu Gold (6181.HK) – The Business Model, the Concerns, the Valuation Outlook
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Starbucks Turnaround Is ‘Ahead of Schedule’—But at What Cost?
  • Lithia Motors Is Targeting $2-$4 billion In Annual Acquired Revenues But Can It Execute?
  • Asbury Automotive Group: Technological Advancements with Tekion to Further Solidify Its Market Competitiveness!


A/H Premium Tracker (To 1 Aug 2025):  HUGE SOUTHBOUND Buying Helps Beautiful Skew but Premia Up

By Travis Lundy

  • AH premia up, erasing the previous week’s gains for Hs. “Beautiful Skew” continues in negative overall performance. 
  • Last week I said “This is the most significant 60-day AH pair average H outperformance in five years, maybe ever. Remarkable.” This week it unwound some.
  • The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.

Thai Union (TU TB): Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP)’s Partial Tender

By David Blennerhassett

  • Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP), currently holding 6.19% in Thai Union Group (TU TB), a global seafood leader, is seeking to lift its stake to 20% via a Partial Offer. 
  • Mitsubishi is offering THB12.50/share for 532.27mn shares in Thai Union, or 13.81% of shares out (excluding treasuries), an outlay of ~US$200mn. If <13.81% tender, the Offer lapses.
  • Last month Mitsubishi expanded its salmon farming by acquiring additional businesses in Norway and Canada for ~US$1bn.

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 1 Aug 2025); YUGE Net Buying on Weakness (FINANCIALS & HEALTHCARE)

By Travis Lundy

  • Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just under US$20+bn a day this past 5-day week. Second best in months. Net buying strong at just over +US$1.5bn a day.
  • FINANCIALS and HEALTHCARE and now INFO TECH stand out as net buys as a % of volume. TELECOMS a net sell. Again. 
  • Hong Kong sharply underperformed mainland shares last week, SOUTHBOUND bought big, and despite higher AH Premia, Beautiful Skew continued.

StubWorld: Indofood (INDF IJ) Trading Rich To Indofood CBP Sukses (ICBP IJ)

By David Blennerhassett


Ferrari (RACE US): Deceleration in Q2 FY25, But Confident On Future Growth

By Sameer Taneja

  • Ferrari N.V. (RACE US) reported Q2 FY25 revenue and earnings growth of 4.4% and 3% (a slight miss on analysts’ estimates) due to increased tax rates and slower growth.
  • Management is confident of meeting its conservative guidance for FY25, projecting baseline revenue and EPS growth of 5% and 2% YoY.
  • The stock trades at 41.6x FY25 PE and 24x EV-EBITDA. Ferrari N.V. (RACE US)  continues to maintain its unique pricing power position due to its loyal customer base.

Laopu Gold (6181.HK) – The Business Model, the Concerns, the Valuation Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The value of Laopu lies in its innovation in business model,successfully breaking away from the low-profit attribute of the industry by following the pricing and operation methods of luxury goods.
  • However, Laopu cannot enjoy the valuation system of luxury brands because it cannot “escape” gold price cycle.So, when valuation of Laopu approaches that of luxury brands, it has overvaluation risks.
  • Current valuation has priced in overseas expansion, which however isn’t a done deal.During upward cycle of gold prices,it’s easy to optimistically linearly extrapolate Laopu’s growth potential.Valuation faces downward revision risk  

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Melco Resorts, Tata Motors, UPL Limited, Nissan Motor
  • UST yields plunged on Friday, led by the front end, as the market repriced expectations for Fed easing following a weaker than expected nonfarm payrolls report. As of Friday, Fed-dated OIS were pricing in 61 bps of rate cuts over the next three meetings in 2025 (vs. 33 bps as of Thursday). The UST curve bull steepened aggressively, with the yield on the 2Y UST declining 28 bps to 3.68%, while the yield on the 10Y UST fell 16 bps to 4.22%.
  • Equities retreated owing to the weak jobs numbers, continued tariff concerns, as well as after US President Donald Trump said the US was moving two nuclear submarines in response to “provocative” statements by former Russian president Dmitry Medvedev. The S&P 500 fell 1.6% to 6,238, while the Nasdaq was down 2.2% at 20,650.

Starbucks Turnaround Is ‘Ahead of Schedule’—But at What Cost?

By Baptista Research

  • Starbucks Corporation’s latest quarterly results underscored both the urgency of its transformation efforts and the early signs of progress in key areas.
  • For the fiscal third quarter, the company reported net revenue of $9.5 billion, yet same-store sales fell 2 percent globally—worse than the 1.5 percent decline analysts had anticipated—and earnings per share of $0.50 trailed the $0.65 consensus.
  • In the United States, comparable sales also dipped 2 percent, reflecting the continued impact of a year-and-a-half streak of domestic store declines.

Lithia Motors Is Targeting $2-$4 billion In Annual Acquired Revenues But Can It Execute?

By Baptista Research

  • Lithia & Driveway recently reported its second-quarter results for 2025, showcasing substantial growth and strategic moves impacting both their operational and financial trajectories.
  • The company achieved a record revenue of $9.6 billion, reflecting a 4% increase in same-store sales compared to the previous year.
  • This revenue growth, combined with operational enhancements, resulted in a 29% year-over-year increase in earnings per share (EPS).

Asbury Automotive Group: Technological Advancements with Tekion to Further Solidify Its Market Competitiveness!

By Baptista Research

  • Asbury Automotive Group’s second quarter 2025 earnings report reveals a complex mix of positive performances and ongoing challenges.
  • The company’s revenue reached $4.4 billion with a gross profit of $752 million, achieving a gross profit margin of 17.2%.
  • A key highlight from the quarter was the successful acquisition of Herb Chambers Automotive Group, valued at approximately $1.45 billion, which expanded Asbury’s presence in the stable New England market.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Hyundai Motor, SK Bioscience and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Boston Dynamics – Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won Expected; Potential IPO in 2027/2028 in NASDAQ
  • SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Strong Base Business and IDT Contribution Drive 2Q25 Performance


Boston Dynamics – Rights Offering of 1.2 Trillion Won Expected; Potential IPO in 2027/2028 in NASDAQ

By Douglas Kim

  • There has been an increasing probability that Boston Dynamics (BD) announces a fourth rights offering capital raise worth about 1.2 trillion won (US$870 million) in the next several weeks.
  • All the Hyundai Motor Group related entities are expected to increase their ownership stakes in Boston Dynamics whereas it is expected to decline for Softbank post the capital raise.
  • The current valuation estimates of Boston Dynamics (post capital raise) vary widely from about 4 trillion won to 10 trillion won.

SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Strong Base Business and IDT Contribution Drive 2Q25 Performance

By Tina Banerjee

  • SK Bioscience (302440 KS) continues to report business recovery, with 2Q25 base business revenue increasing 22% YoY and IDT Biologika revenue increasing sequentially.
  • The company has guided for 2025 revenue of KRW600B+, aided by IDT acquisition. Excluding IDT, base business revenue is expected at ~KRW200B for 2025, up 28% YoY.
  • SKBS has built a large-scale commercial production facility which will serve as a production site for GBP410, a 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV21) candidate.

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