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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Jim Chanos on the Nuttiness of ‘Bitcoin Treasury Companies’ and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Jim Chanos on the Nuttiness of ‘Bitcoin Treasury Companies’
  • TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Halts GaN Production at Fab 5, Shifting to Advanced Packaging.
  • SoftBank (9984 JP): Challenged by Portfolio Concentration and JPY Strength
  • Long ICICI (ICICIBC IN) Vs. Short HDFC (HDFCB IN): Spread Trade in High-Profile Indian Bank Pair
  • Intel (INTC.US): Abandon Promoting 18A to Fully Focus on 14A
  • Adani Power (ADANIPOWER IN): Bangladesh Clears Dues, Strengthens Balance Sheet
  • Singapore Post — Searching for a new CEO
  • Jiangxi Copper (0358.HK / 600362.SH): Turnaround Hinges on Captive Shift, Still Deep Value
  • Crizac Limited IPO Analysis
  • US Congress’s Gift to Semiconductor Manufacturers: 35% Tax Credit on Investments


Jim Chanos on the Nuttiness of ‘Bitcoin Treasury Companies’

By Odd Lots

  • Jim Chanos discusses Bitcoin treasury companies and their flaws on Bloomberg Audio Studios Podcasts Radio News
  • Companies are continuing to adopt the strategy of using treasury to buy Bitcoin
  • The value of companies like MicroStrategy is being inflated by the appreciation of their Bitcoin holdings

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Halts GaN Production at Fab 5, Shifting to Advanced Packaging.

By Patrick Liao


SoftBank (9984 JP): Challenged by Portfolio Concentration and JPY Strength

By Victor Galliano

  • SoftBank group (SBG) relies increasingly on Arm’s premium valuation for NAV growth, with SBG shares having benefited from their high correlation to those of Arm Holdings
  • JPY-USD FX strengthened recently, with the potential for BoJ monetary tightening and Fed easing set to accentuate this trend; SBG is USD asset heavy, and JPY heavy in its liabilities
  • The Vision Funds are slowly seeing IPO exits for private companies; in essence, we see that SBG shares are challenged by (geo)political, concentration, currency and market risks

Long ICICI (ICICIBC IN) Vs. Short HDFC (HDFCB IN): Spread Trade in High-Profile Indian Bank Pair

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN) vs. HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) Price-Ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Going long ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN) and short HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) targets a 2% return to the statistical mean reversion level. The pair has closely aligned fundamentals.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

Intel (INTC.US): Abandon Promoting 18A to Fully Focus on 14A

By Patrick Liao

  • Even if Intel Corp (INTC US) ceases marketing 18A to new customers, the company will still fulfill existing foundry commitments.
  • In response to the 18A dilemma, Intel’s initial solution is to redirect resources toward the development of 14A, a next-generation process where Intel hopes to gain an edge over TSMC.
  • In addition to the strategic realignment of the foundry business, Tan’s broader efforts include refreshing Intel’s leadership team.

Adani Power (ADANIPOWER IN): Bangladesh Clears Dues, Strengthens Balance Sheet

By Rahul Jain

  • Adani Power faced nearly USD 900 million in overdue receivables from its 1,600 MW Godda plant under a long-term export PPA.
  • Bangladesh resumed regular payments and cleared USD 437 million in June; future dues secured via Letter of Credit and sovereign guarantee.
  • Working capital improves over 40%, interest costs fall by ₹300–400 crore, and credit upgrade likely; boosts cash flow and strategic flexibility.

Singapore Post — Searching for a new CEO

By Edison Investment Research

Singapore Post (SingPost) has experienced significant changes over the last six months, and further change is likely as the company searches for a new CEO. We expect a strategy update following the hiring of the new CEO. The timing of an appointment is unknown, as are the identity of the candidate and the strategy itself. Given the potential upheaval, we withdraw our forecasts pending strategic clarity.


Jiangxi Copper (0358.HK / 600362.SH): Turnaround Hinges on Captive Shift, Still Deep Value

By Rahul Jain

  • Revenue and net profit have grown steadily over the past 5 years, but margins remain structurally thin due to its tolling-heavy model.
  • Strategic shift underway to expand captive mining, value-added copper products, and ESG compliance—potentially lifting margins and returns through FY30.
  • Trading at a steep discount to Zijin (~0.6x P/B vs. 2.3x), the gap reflects real structural differences; not unjustified—but offers upside optionality under copper price normalization and higher captive integration.

Crizac Limited IPO Analysis

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Crizac’s INR 860-crore, 100% OFS IPO opens at INR 233-245, giving investors exposure to its fast-growing B2B overseas-education marketplace.
  • International student demand is booming, yet 95 % of revenue hinges on UK-Canada-Ireland; any visa tightening or pricing shock could squeeze growth.
  • Valuation looks fair and model asset-light, but high concentration and no fresh funds temper enthusiasm.

US Congress’s Gift to Semiconductor Manufacturers: 35% Tax Credit on Investments

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Tax credit increase from 25% to 35% (portion of investment deducted from taxable income), which becomes as impactful in $ as the direct subsidies or about $40bn. 
  • The US is working hard to make Semi investments more attractive. Subsidies, loans and tax credits altogether now approach $150bn. 
  • That could mitigate a little bit of TSMC price increase in Arizona. But it’s not massive. The impact of tax credits increase from 2% of revenue to 3%. 

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Daily Brief Macro: Global Metals & Mining Playbook – July 2025 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Macro

In today’s briefing:

  • Global Metals & Mining Playbook – July 2025
  • Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 3Q 2025
  • ECB Still Squeezed By Unemployment
  • Steel Trade: India’s BIS Mandate Spurs Import Shock Amid Rising Global Protectionism
  • CX Daily: How Labubu Proved Pop Mart Right
  • Mid-Year Themes Review – Part II
  • Chinese Tire Giants Accelerate Global Expansion Amid Trade Barriers
  • Actinver Research – Macro Daily: Inflation (2h-Mar)
  • Actinver Research – Macro Daily: Inflation Forecast: 1h-Mar
  • Actinver Research – Macro Daily: Banxico Minutes



Gap Trade Opportunities in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 3Q 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trade opportunities involving Korean preferred and common shares in 3Q 2025.
  • In particular, five pairs of common and preferred stocks have experienced more than 20% widening of their share prices in the past six months. 
  • These companies (Doosan Corp, Mirae Asset Securities, KIS Holdings, Daishin Securities, and LG Chem) are more likely to revert to closing their gaps in the coming weeks.

ECB Still Squeezed By Unemployment

By Phil Rush

  • EA unemployment’s rise to 6.3% matched the ECB forecast underlying recent hawkish guidance and narrowly relied on Italy, which offset a broad tightening elsewhere.
  • Unemployment is still broadly lower than a year ago and pre-pandemic. That will not help a disinflationary move along the Phillips Curve, let alone shift it lower.
  • Without a disinflationary surprise, the ECB should not be shocked into a rate cut as it describes the prevailing setting as well-positioned. We still see no more ECB cuts.

Steel Trade: India’s BIS Mandate Spurs Import Shock Amid Rising Global Protectionism

By Rahul Jain

  • Recent Impact: India’s BIS mandate has disrupted steel imports overnight, stranding shipments and pressuring MSMEs.
  • Pricing: While prices have remained broadly stable so far, rising input tightness and seasonal factors suggest upward pressure is likely ahead.
  • Global Trends: Around 25–35% of global steel trade is now under protectionist measures, reflecting a broader shift toward regionalization and defensive trade policies.

CX Daily: How Labubu Proved Pop Mart Right

By Caixin Global

  • Pop Mart / In Depth: How Labubu proved Pop Mart right: A new line of collectibles featuring Labubu sold out within seconds of its online launch on June 12
  • IPOs /: Chinese companies rush to list amid stable markets
  • PMI /: China manufacturing expands despite muted foreign demand, Caixin PMI shows

Mid-Year Themes Review – Part II

By Rikki Malik

  • How did our major investment themes do so far in 2025?
  • Review of the performance of the major markets and asset classes we focus on 
  • We revisit our outlook for each of those asset classes for H2 25

Chinese Tire Giants Accelerate Global Expansion Amid Trade Barriers

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Linglong Tire’s new plants in Brazil, Kenya and Anhui in China  
  • Yongsheng Rubber to take advantage of Morocco’s FTA with West  
  • CNTR’s car tire facility to come up at Alexandria in Egypt  

Actinver Research – Macro Daily: Inflation (2h-Mar)

By Actinver

  • Inflation during the second half of March was 0.21% biweekly (bw), driven by the increase in agricultural products. On an annual basis, inflation now stands at 3.93%.
  • Inflation came in line with market expectations (0.21% bw) and below our forecast of 0.30% bw.
  • The forecast error is explained by larger-than-expected increases in tomato prices and smaller-than-anticipated declines in onion, chicken, and egg prices.

Actinver Research – Macro Daily: Inflation Forecast: 1h-Mar

By Actinver

  • We expect inflation for the first fortnight of March to be 0.17% bw, below the historical average, due to lower energy prices.
  • Inflation for this period typically stands at 0.29% bw. Our lower forecast is explained by an estimated decline of -0.76% bw in energy prices (historical average of +0.37% bw).
  • According to our price monitoring, low octane gasoline would have decreased by -1.5% bw. 

Actinver Research – Macro Daily: Banxico Minutes

By Actinver

  • The minutes suggest that the Banxico Governing Board would be willing to reduce its policy rate by 50 bps in May.
  • However, some voices are beginning to point out that the market may be pricing in more rate cuts than what could ultimately materialize.
  • According to the minutes, three members of the Board consider that the current economic slowdown, combined with the absence of significant inflationary effects stemming from trade-related factors, would allow the continuation of 50-basis-point rate cuts in the upcoming meeting on May 15.

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Daily Brief Health Care: Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma, BlissBio, Torrent Pharmaceuticals, Newron Pharmaceuticals, Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals, VolitionRX , NetraMark Holdings , Cybin , Earth Science Tech and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Yichang HEC (1558 HK): Speculative Scrip Offer? No Thanks – Vote No
  • BlissBio Pre-IPO: Selling Point Still Valid Despite BD Termination
  • Event Driven: Torrent Acquires JB Chemicals ~ The Second-Largest Pharma Deal in Indian History
  • Newron Pharmaceuticals — Evenamide enters ENIGMA-TRS programme
  • The Enigma Surrounding Clinuvel
  • NetraMark Holdings Inc – Solutions to De-Risk Clinical Research Trials…
  • VolitionRx — Nu.Q advances in lung cancer management
  • NetraMark Holdings Inc. – Solutions to De-Risk Clinical Research Trials…
  • Cybin, Inc: Up To $500 Million Financing Deal Exudes Strong Confidence…
  • ETST: Initiating Coverage of a Strategic Holding Company Focused on the Healthcare Industry


Yichang HEC (1558 HK): Speculative Scrip Offer? No Thanks – Vote No

By David Blennerhassett

  • A little over a year ago, I wrote about Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)‘s overly complicated scrip Offer in Yichang HEC (1558 HK): Absorption Via Speculative Scrip. Avoid.
  • In summary, Yichang HEC shareholders were being offered 0.263614 “Offeror H shares”. These consideration shares are unlisted. The Offeror being Yichang HEC’s controlling shareholder (51.41%).
  • The Composite Doc and the Offeror’s Listing by Way Of Introduction Doc are out.  The independent H-shareholder vote is the 21st July. Shareholders should vote this down.

BlissBio Pre-IPO: Selling Point Still Valid Despite BD Termination

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • BlissBio, a China biotech company with a focus on next-generation ADC, is seeking to raise at least USD100m via a Hong Kong listing. Sponsors are GS, Huatai, CCBI.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s core product BB-1701, and briefly other three key products. We think it does have a good selling point.
  • We also look at the company’s management and pre-IPO investors. We think the deal is worth following.

Event Driven: Torrent Acquires JB Chemicals ~ The Second-Largest Pharma Deal in Indian History

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN) is acquiring a controlling stake in J.B. Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals (JBCP IN) for INR 25,689 crore, marking the second-largest pharma deal in India’s history.
  • The acquisition strengthens Torrent’s market share in India, expands its therapeutic presence, and opens entry into the growing CDMO sector, diversifying its business model.
  • The merger is expected to drive revenue growth, improve margins, and provide operational synergies, with long-term gains in both domestic and international markets.

Newron Pharmaceuticals — Evenamide enters ENIGMA-TRS programme

By Edison Investment Research

Newron Pharmaceuticals is making significant headway in progressing its drug candidate, evenamide, to become an effective treatment option for patients suffering with treatment-resistant schizophrenia (TRS). The latest update from the company confirmed that the registrational ENIGMA-TRS Phase III programme (expected n=1,000) will consist of two separate studies (versus a single trial as originally planned). The first of these commenced within H125 (according to management), and it is anticipated to report top-line results from Q426. We update our estimates to reflect the second international Phase III study and adjust our model to factor in self-commercialisation in the US. Our valuation adjusts to CHF392.4m or CHF19.7/share, from CHF385.6m or CHF19.3/share previously.


The Enigma Surrounding Clinuvel

By FNArena

  • Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals posted a strong first half result, and offers significant upside in expanding the use of its flagship drug, but investors just aren’t excited

NetraMark Holdings Inc – Solutions to De-Risk Clinical Research Trials…

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • NetraMark expects its insights potentially could protect millions of R&D dollars, increase drug development success rates, lower costs for drug sponsors & shorten the time to commercialization of new therapies.
  • Developing & commercializing a new drug takes an avg 10-15 years & costs an avg $2.6B, while failure rates are nearly 90%.
  • In April 2025, NetraMark entered into a global agreement with CRO Worldwide Clinical Trials & expects additional partnerships with other CROs & pharma companies.

VolitionRx — Nu.Q advances in lung cancer management

By Edison Investment Research

Despite rapid advancements in cancer treatments, effective diagnostics for early screening and disease monitoring continue to be an unmet need. This is felt acutely in lung cancer, which is the leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide, with only 20% of cases diagnosed at an early stage. VolitionRx, a diagnostics company focused on the detection of life-altering diseases, such as cancer, continues to build clinical evidence for its Nu.Q® Cancer test as a multi-pronged diagnostic tool to enhance screening, treatment selection and disease monitoring in lung cancer. By detecting circulating nucleosomes associated with tumor activity, Nu.Q Cancer offers a compelling low-cost, quick-turnaround cancer screening and monitoring alternative/complement to existing diagnostic tools, particularly complex and time-consuming biomarker-based blood tests requiring expensive next-generation sequencing (NGS).


NetraMark Holdings Inc. – Solutions to De-Risk Clinical Research Trials…

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • NetraMark expects its insights potentially could protect millions of R&D dollars, increase drug development success rates, lower costs for drug sponsors & shorten the time to commercialization of new therapies.
  • Developing & commercializing a new drug takes an avg 10-15 years & costs an avg $2.6B, while failure rates are nearly 90%.
  • In April 2025, NetraMark entered into a global agreement with CRO Worldwide Clinical Trials & expects additional partnerships with other CROs & pharma companies.

Cybin, Inc: Up To $500 Million Financing Deal Exudes Strong Confidence…

By Water Tower Research

  • Cybin announces largest psychedelic funding agreement to date.
  • Cybin has entered an innovative funding agreement with High Trail Special Situations LLC, an investment fund managed by High Trail Capital (HT), a hedge fund known for its experience in complex and innovative financing solutions for small-cap and early- stage public companies across a broad spectrum of sectors.
  • Through its arrangement with HT, Cybin effectively creates a capital reserve of up to $500 million from which it can draw funds to advance its late-stage clinical developments, CYB003 and CYB004, to potential commercialization. 

ETST: Initiating Coverage of a Strategic Holding Company Focused on the Healthcare Industry

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Earth Science Tech, Inc. (ETST) is a strategic holding company, with wholly-owned subsidiaries operating in the compounding pharmaceutical (RxCompoundStore.com, MisterMeds.com), telehealth (Peaks Curative, Las Villas Health Care, DOConsultations.com), real estate (Avenvi), and consumer products (Magnefuse) sectors.
  • Senior executives remain focused on managing and optimizing company operations, as well as acquiring complementary assets.
  • The firm was incorporated in 2010, with headquarters in Miami, Florida.

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Daily Brief Financials: NTT DC REIT, ICICI Bank Ltd, Hang Seng Index, Banco De Sabadell SA, Centrum Capital, Samara Asset Group, Kobo Resources , iFOREX Financial Trading and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • NTT DC REIT IPO – Decent Yield, Strong Local Backing, a Few Issues
  • Long ICICI (ICICIBC IN) Vs. Short HDFC (HDFCB IN): Spread Trade in High-Profile Indian Bank Pair
  • HSI INDEX Tactical Outlook
  • BBVA/Sabadell Update: TSB Sale Shifts Dynamics, Adds Dividend Optionality
  • Ntt Dc Reit Ipo – Thoughts on Valuation
  • The Beat Ideas: Centrum Capital -Unlocking the Hidden Value from Unity Small Finance Bank
  • Samara Asset Group PLC – Samara’s Bet on Plasma Pays Off
  • Kobo Resources Inc – Q2/25 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!
  • Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 25/06/2025


NTT DC REIT IPO – Decent Yield, Strong Local Backing, a Few Issues

By Sumeet Singh

  • Ntt Dc Reit (NTTDCR SP) (NDC), a data center REIT, aims to raise up to US$810m in its Singapore IPO.
  • The IPO portfolio comprises six mainly freehold data centres in the U.S., Austria and Singapore with an aggregate appraised valuation of US$1.6bn.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s portfolio and its performance.

Long ICICI (ICICIBC IN) Vs. Short HDFC (HDFCB IN): Spread Trade in High-Profile Indian Bank Pair

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN) vs. HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) Price-Ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Going long ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN) and short HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) targets a 2% return to the statistical mean reversion level. The pair has closely aligned fundamentals.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

HSI INDEX Tactical Outlook

By Nico Rosti

  • The Hang Seng Index has been rallying since our last BUY recommendation. However the rally may be temporarily stalling.
  • The index is not overbought according to our model, around 50% probability of WEEKLY reversal – it could go higher.
  • If the index closes this week down, it could be a buy opportunity, depending on the price reached (if the pullback is mild is probably better to hold/wait).

BBVA/Sabadell Update: TSB Sale Shifts Dynamics, Adds Dividend Optionality

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Sabadell’s TSB sale unlocks €3.4B in value and supports a €0.50/share special dividend, reducing appeal of BBVA’s current hostile bid.
  • BBVA maintains its offer despite regulatory constraints and limited synergy visibility for 3–5 years.
  • Options activity and share price suggest market expects either a bid bump or re-rating, with dividend yield softening downside.

Ntt Dc Reit Ipo – Thoughts on Valuation

By Sumeet Singh

  • NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP) (NDC), a data center REIT, aims to raise up to US$810m in its Singapore IPO.
  • The IPO portfolio comprises six mainly freehold data centres in the U.S., Austria and Singapore with an aggregate appraised valuation of US$1.6bn
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about valuations.

The Beat Ideas: Centrum Capital -Unlocking the Hidden Value from Unity Small Finance Bank

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Centrum Capital’s expansion into Unity Small Finance Bank and Modulus Alternatives marks a significant shift from a niche advisory firm to a diversified platform. This transformation opens new growth avenues.
  • The move to digital banking with Unity SFB and the Modulus AIF enhances Centrum’s ability to capture broader market segments, offering greater revenue diversification and reducing reliance on volatile markets.
  • The shift to digital-first banking and AIF repositions Centrum for long-term growth, making it a more resilient, multi-vertical financial player, though risks related to asset quality and capital needs remain.

Samara Asset Group PLC – Samara’s Bet on Plasma Pays Off

By GBC AG

  • Samara Asset Group’s early-stage investment in Plasma has rapidly become one of the most significant developments in the company’s recent history.
  • Plasma, a Bitcoin sidechain purpose-built for high-throughput, low-cost stablecoin transactions, recently completed a major milestone with the announcement of its public token sale, slated for launch alongside mainnet and TGE later this summer.
  • The platform has already attracted strategic capital.

Kobo Resources Inc – Q2/25 Recap: All Our Research in One Place!

By Atrium Research

  • Quarterly Coverage Update Q2/25 was another strong quarter for Atrium, with continued outperformance from the precious metals space, once again led by silver equities.
  • Our coverage universe climbed 27% on average during the quarter and is up 80% over the last year, compared to the TSX which rose 7% and 23%, respectively.
  • This builds on the 13% gain from our coverage in Q1/25.

Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 25/06/2025

By Hybridan

  • Updated 10th June: iFOREX Financial Trading, the fintech business with a proprietary online and mobile trading platform for multi-asset contracts for difference, announced that its proposed IPO onto the Main Market, which was expected to occur in late June, will be briefly delayed.
  • A routine thematic compliance inspection commenced earlier this year in the BVI, which was disclosed in the Company’s Registration Document, requires additional time to enable finalisation ahead of the IPO.
  • The inspection process is close to completion and the Company anticipates only a short delay to the IPO timetable. 

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Daily Brief Consumer: IFBH, Nh Foods Ltd, Misto Holdings, FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa), Crizac, Taste Gourmet, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Culp Inc and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added
  • NH Foods Placement: Clean up by Norinchukin Bank; Unrelated Buyback May Buffer Deal
  • Alpha Generation Through Share Buybacks in Korea: Bi-Monthly (May and June 2025)
  • Nykaa Block – US$140m Selldown by Banga Family
  • Crizac Limited IPO Analysis
  • IFBH (6603 HK) – Debut Is the Peak, and Then It Wanes?
  • Taste Gourmet FY25: Strong Results, FY26 To See Decent Growth
  • Chinese Tire Giants Accelerate Global Expansion Amid Trade Barriers
  • Culp, Inc: 4Q25 Adj EPS ($0.07); FY26 to Benefit from Restructuring & Price Cost


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

By Brian Freitas

  • We see 28 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.
  • A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.
  • There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.

NH Foods Placement: Clean up by Norinchukin Bank; Unrelated Buyback May Buffer Deal

By Nicholas Tan

  • A group of shareholders are looking to raise US$333m from selling their respective stakes in Nh Foods Ltd (2282 JP) .
  • While the deal shouldn’t come as a surprise, given the ongoing cross-shareholding unwind narrative in Japan, the timing of such a selldown isn’t always certain.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Alpha Generation Through Share Buybacks in Korea: Bi-Monthly (May and June 2025)

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss the alpha generation through companies that announced share buybacks in the Korean stock market in May and June 2025.
  • There were 24 companies in the Korean stock market that announced share buybacks in the past two months. On average, the share buyback announcements represented 1.7% of outstanding shares.
  • There were four companies with more than 100 billion won in market cap that announced share buybacks in May and June with at least 3% of outstanding shares. 

Nykaa Block – US$140m Selldown by Banga Family

By Akshat Shah

  • Harindarpal Singh Banga, one of Nykaa’s early investors, aims to raise around US$140m via selling a 2% stake in FSN E-Commerce Ventures (NYKAA IN).
  • He has been gradually reducing his holding, currently owns about 4.97% of Nykaa. Prior to Nykaa’s IPO in Nov 2021, he held a stake of 8.7% in the company.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

Crizac Limited IPO Analysis

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Crizac’s INR 860-crore, 100% OFS IPO opens at INR 233-245, giving investors exposure to its fast-growing B2B overseas-education marketplace.
  • International student demand is booming, yet 95 % of revenue hinges on UK-Canada-Ireland; any visa tightening or pricing shock could squeeze growth.
  • Valuation looks fair and model asset-light, but high concentration and no fresh funds temper enthusiasm.

IFBH (6603 HK) – Debut Is the Peak, and Then It Wanes?

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • IFBH’s IPO debut is outstanding. Capital/investors are actually voting for “light-asset + high-efficiency” business model, as they see the possibility of achieving great results with small investment in if coconut water. 
  • When coconut water consumption boom subsides, real competition lies in whether IFBH can turn the opportunity of “riding the wave” into high moat amid supply chain crisis/price wars/single product line.
  • The ultimate outcome of this capital frenzy remains an unknown. We updated our forecast. IFBH is overvalued. Reasonable valuation should be lower than Nongfu Spring/MIXUE who has supply chain barriers.  

Taste Gourmet FY25: Strong Results, FY26 To See Decent Growth

By Sameer Taneja

  • Taste Gourmet (8371 HK) reported revenues/adj profits up 19%/14% YoY for FY25, led by strong customer growth on account of new store openings. 
  • Net cash on the balance sheet was 190 million HKD, or 27% of the market capitalization. The company declared a final dividend of 8 cents (FY: 14 cents, ~7.2% yield). 
  • Despite the strong move following the results, the stock trades at 6.2x FY26e, assuming earnings on an adjusted basis grow by 14% YoY, mirroring their store growth. 

Chinese Tire Giants Accelerate Global Expansion Amid Trade Barriers

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Linglong Tire’s new plants in Brazil, Kenya and Anhui in China  
  • Yongsheng Rubber to take advantage of Morocco’s FTA with West  
  • CNTR’s car tire facility to come up at Alexandria in Egypt  

Culp, Inc: 4Q25 Adj EPS ($0.07); FY26 to Benefit from Restructuring & Price Cost

By Water Tower Research

  • CULP posted 4QFY25 adjusted EPS of ($0.07), beating our estimate by $0.03, on strong gross margin gains in mattress fabrics on the back of management’s restructuring gains despite softer-than-expected revenue.
  • Upholstery fabrics revenue was down 8.9%, even as management noted strength (and potentially market share gains) in the contract/hospitality side of the upholstery business.
  • On the residential side of upholstery, it was continued weak industry-wide demand (slow housing, mortgage rates, consumers pulling back from discretionary durable spend) and the continued hangover from one large customer’s order timing that pulled sales forward in early FY25. 

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Daily Brief Industrials: Geekplus Technology, Singapore Post, Daiseki Co Ltd, PostNL NV, Soilbuild Construction, Titan International , Tsubakimoto Kogyo and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Geekplus Technology IPO (2590 HK): The Investment Case
  • Geek+ IPO (2590.HK): Long-Term, Warehouse Automation Story, But IPO Valuation Is Not Cheap
  • Singapore Post — Searching for a new CEO
  • Daiseki Co Ltd (9793 JP): Q1 FY02/26 flash update
  • What’s New((s) in Amsterdam – 2 July (InPost | JDE Peet’s | PostNL)
  • 10 in 10 with Soilbuild Construction – Rooted in tradition, leading in green building
  • TWI: We are updating our revenue and EPS estimates based on ongoing trade uncertainty and recent public comments by management.
  • Q4 Follow-Up – Tsubakimoto Kogyo (8052 JP)


Geekplus Technology IPO (2590 HK): The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • Geekplus Technology (2590 HK) is a leader in the global autonomous mobile robot (AMR) market. It is seeking to raise US$300 million.     
  • Geekplus has been the world’s largest warehouse fulfilment AMR solution provider in terms of revenue for the last six consecutive years.
  • The investment case is bearish due to declining growth, lower contract liabilities, hints of window dressing relating to reducing losses and ongoing cash burn.  

Geek+ IPO (2590.HK): Long-Term, Warehouse Automation Story, But IPO Valuation Is Not Cheap

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Geek+, global technology company and provider of scalable and flexible highly efficient solutions for warehouses, aims to raise ~$300M in Hong Kong IPO.
  • The company is expected to IPO next week and offer price of HK$16.80 implies a market cap of HK$22B (~$2.8B). Geek+ is set to start trading on July 9, 2025.
  • I believe that Geek+ has a large runway for growth in the global AMR solution market, but valuation keeps me from being positive on the name.

Singapore Post — Searching for a new CEO

By Edison Investment Research

Singapore Post (SingPost) has experienced significant changes over the last six months, and further change is likely as the company searches for a new CEO. We expect a strategy update following the hiring of the new CEO. The timing of an appointment is unknown, as are the identity of the candidate and the strategy itself. Given the potential upheaval, we withdraw our forecasts pending strategic clarity.


Daiseki Co Ltd (9793 JP): Q1 FY02/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Daiseki’s Q1 FY02/26 sales rose 7.2% YoY to JPY17.9bn, with operating profit declining 1.9% YoY to JPY3.8bn.
  • Daiseki Co.’s FY02/25 sales reached JPY38.5bn, driven by increased recycled fuel shipments, despite flat wastewater intake.
  • DES’s FY02/25 sales declined 17.4% YoY to JPY19.9bn, with operating profit down 19.3% YoY to JPY2.3bn.

What’s New((s) in Amsterdam – 2 July (InPost | JDE Peet’s | PostNL)

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • InPost | Advent sold a further 3.5% interest via accelerated placement • JDE Peet’s | sets accelerating medium-term financial targets • PostNL | unions express concerns about mail market proposals to Economic Affairs Minister

10 in 10 with Soilbuild Construction – Rooted in tradition, leading in green building

By Geoff Howie

  • Soilbuild Construction’s revenue surged 58.4% in FY2024, driven by a S$647.5 million PSA Supply Chain Hub contract.
  • The Construction division contributed 81.5% to total revenue, while Precast and Prefabrication grew by 87.1% in FY2024.
  • Soilbuild Construction generated S$35.9 million in operating cash flow in FY2024, improving liquidity for ongoing projects.

TWI: We are updating our revenue and EPS estimates based on ongoing trade uncertainty and recent public comments by management.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Titan International is a global manufacturer of off-the-road tires, wheels and undercarriages.
  • The company serves the agricultural, earthmoving / construction, and consumer markets.
  • Long-term secular tailwinds exist in the global agricultural, infrastructure and construction markets.

Q4 Follow-Up – Tsubakimoto Kogyo (8052 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • Tsubakimoto Kogyo Co., Ltd., (hereafter, the Company) announced its Full-year FY2025/3 results on May 8, 2025.
  • The Company achieved record-high orders, sales, and profits across the board, along with a record order backlog.
  • Both net sales and all levels of profit exceeded initial forecasts. This is due to conservative assumptions about the pace of reducing its large order backlog.

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Most Read: Taishin Financial Holding, BayCurrent Consulting , Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders , Lens Technology, NTT DC REIT, IFBH, Geekplus Technology, Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma, Nh Foods Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Taishin (2887 TT)/Shin Kong (2888 TT) Merger: Index Flows in July
  • Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2025): Potential Adds, Deletes, PAF, Capping & Other Changes
  • AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Active Flows Lead to Passive Flows
  • Lens Technology (6613 HK): Offering Details & Index Inclusion
  • NTT DC REIT IPO – Decent Yield, Strong Local Backing, a Few Issues
  • HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added
  • Geekplus Technology IPO (2590 HK): The Investment Case
  • Yichang HEC (1558 HK): Speculative Scrip Offer? No Thanks – Vote No
  • NH Foods Placement: Clean up by Norinchukin Bank; Unrelated Buyback May Buffer Deal
  • Geek+ IPO (2590.HK): Long-Term, Warehouse Automation Story, But IPO Valuation Is Not Cheap


Taishin (2887 TT)/Shin Kong (2888 TT) Merger: Index Flows in July

By Brian Freitas


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 2025): Potential Adds, Deletes, PAF, Capping & Other Changes

By Brian Freitas


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Active Flows Lead to Passive Flows

By Brian Freitas

  • We forecast 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 10 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
  • From the new listings, 1 stock is expected to be added to Large cap, 2 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.
  • There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for global indices, NIFTY Index, NSE Nifty Next 50 Index and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in September.

Lens Technology (6613 HK): Offering Details & Index Inclusion

By Brian Freitas

  • Lens Technology (6613 HK)‘s global offering opened yesterday, and the raise could reach up to US$800m if the offer-size adjustment option and the overallotment option are exercised.
  • The allocation to cornerstone investors is smaller than in other recent AH listings. The discount of over 25% to the A-shares is attractive given the recent trend for large listings.
  • Lens Technology (6613 HK) could be added to a global index in December. Inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect in August and HSCI inclusion could take place in March 2026.

NTT DC REIT IPO – Decent Yield, Strong Local Backing, a Few Issues

By Sumeet Singh

  • Ntt Dc Reit (NTTDCR SP) (NDC), a data center REIT, aims to raise up to US$810m in its Singapore IPO.
  • The IPO portfolio comprises six mainly freehold data centres in the U.S., Austria and Singapore with an aggregate appraised valuation of US$1.6bn.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s portfolio and its performance.

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

By Brian Freitas

  • We see 28 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.
  • A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.
  • There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.

Geekplus Technology IPO (2590 HK): The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • Geekplus Technology (2590 HK) is a leader in the global autonomous mobile robot (AMR) market. It is seeking to raise US$300 million.     
  • Geekplus has been the world’s largest warehouse fulfilment AMR solution provider in terms of revenue for the last six consecutive years.
  • The investment case is bearish due to declining growth, lower contract liabilities, hints of window dressing relating to reducing losses and ongoing cash burn.  

Yichang HEC (1558 HK): Speculative Scrip Offer? No Thanks – Vote No

By David Blennerhassett

  • A little over a year ago, I wrote about Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)‘s overly complicated scrip Offer in Yichang HEC (1558 HK): Absorption Via Speculative Scrip. Avoid.
  • In summary, Yichang HEC shareholders were being offered 0.263614 “Offeror H shares”. These consideration shares are unlisted. The Offeror being Yichang HEC’s controlling shareholder (51.41%).
  • The Composite Doc and the Offeror’s Listing by Way Of Introduction Doc are out.  The independent H-shareholder vote is the 21st July. Shareholders should vote this down.

NH Foods Placement: Clean up by Norinchukin Bank; Unrelated Buyback May Buffer Deal

By Nicholas Tan

  • A group of shareholders are looking to raise US$333m from selling their respective stakes in Nh Foods Ltd (2282 JP) .
  • While the deal shouldn’t come as a surprise, given the ongoing cross-shareholding unwind narrative in Japan, the timing of such a selldown isn’t always certain.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Geek+ IPO (2590.HK): Long-Term, Warehouse Automation Story, But IPO Valuation Is Not Cheap

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Geek+, global technology company and provider of scalable and flexible highly efficient solutions for warehouses, aims to raise ~$300M in Hong Kong IPO.
  • The company is expected to IPO next week and offer price of HK$16.80 implies a market cap of HK$22B (~$2.8B). Geek+ is set to start trading on July 9, 2025.
  • I believe that Geek+ has a large runway for growth in the global AMR solution market, but valuation keeps me from being positive on the name.

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Daily Brief Australia: Domain Holdings Australia , HMC Capital, Ampol, Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd, Nanosonics Ltd, Resources & Energy, Global Traffic Network, Theta Gold Mines , Reece Ltd and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Domain (DHG AU): 4th August Vote On CoStar’s Offer. Clean Deal
  • HMC Capital – The Overnight Report: Winners Out, Laggards In
  • Ampol (ALD AU) Vs. Woodside Energy (WDS AU): Mean Reversion Delivers Profit, Trade Exit
  • AUB Group (AUB AU) Vs. Soul Pattinson (SOL AU): Aussie Financial Pair Offers Short-Term Opportunity
  • Nanosonics Ltd (NAN AU): Two Upcoming Catalysts to Set Future Direction
  • Resources & Energy Group Limited – Small Scale Gold Production
  • GTN Ltd – H2 FY25 downgrade and proposed capital return
  • Digging gold out of the Bushveld
  • Reece Battling Tariffs, Competition & Cost Crises


Domain (DHG AU): 4th August Vote On CoStar’s Offer. Clean Deal

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 9th May 2025, Domain Holdings Australia (DHG AU) entered into a Scheme, at A$4.43/share (in cash), with CoStar, the same terms as the 27th March NBIO. 
  • Apart from the standard Scheme vote, this needs FIRB to sign off.  Nine Entertainment Co Holdings (NEC AU) (60.05% shareholder) is supportive.
  • The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting on the 4th August, and expected implementation on or before the 27th August. The IE (FGrant Samuel) says “fair & reasonable“.

HMC Capital – The Overnight Report: Winners Out, Laggards In

By FNArena

  • A global perspective on what happened overnight

Ampol (ALD AU) Vs. Woodside Energy (WDS AU): Mean Reversion Delivers Profit, Trade Exit

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: This article provides an update on a previously identified pair trading opportunity between Ampol (ALD AU) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS AU), based on statistical mean reversion analysis.
  • Key Insights: The trade has now reached its exit signal as the price ratio reverted to its one-standard deviation band, yielding a positive return.
  • Why Read It: For investors interested in quantitative trading strategies, this article demonstrates how statistical arbitrage can generate short-term alpha and highlights actionable similar opportunities in the current market.

AUB Group (AUB AU) Vs. Soul Pattinson (SOL AU): Aussie Financial Pair Offers Short-Term Opportunity

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The AUB Group (AUB AU) vs. Soul Pattinson (SOL AU) Price-Ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Going long AUB Group (AUB AU) and short Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. (SOL AU) targets a 5% return to the statistical mean reversion level.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

Nanosonics Ltd (NAN AU): Two Upcoming Catalysts to Set Future Direction

By Tina Banerjee

  • Nanosonics Ltd (NAN AU) is on track to launch its newly approved endoscope cleaning device, Coris in the U.S. in Q1FY26.
  • FY25 performance is expected to beat revised guidance. Consensus is expecting revenue growth of 14% for FY25, matching the higher end of the revised guidance.
  • Nanosonics shares have a high short interest (6.65%) in ASX. We may see some short squeeze as the company entering eventful Q1FY26 (new launch, FY25 result announcement, FY26 guidance).

Resources & Energy Group Limited – Small Scale Gold Production

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Resources & Energy Group Limited (ASX:REZ) is a Western Australian (WA) focused gold explorer and producer whose now sole focus is on the East Menzies Gold Project.
  • This project hosts a JORC-compliant resource of ~54koz with REZ currently conducting a trial mining and processing operation which is likely to generate revenue to the company over H1 ‘25.
  • This trial will be used to ramp-up production through an expanded bulk mining operation and ultimately a proper small-scale mining operation that removes the need for toll treating.

GTN Ltd – H2 FY25 downgrade and proposed capital return

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • GTN Limited (ASX:GTN) provides traffic information reports and cash compensation to radio and television stations, and in return gets a guaranteed number of commercial advertising spots adjacent to traffic, news and information reports.
  • GTN has announced its long-awaited major capital management initiative, proposing a $0.23/share ($44m) capital return.
  • What could have been a share price boost has been complicated by the announcement of a material H2 FY25 earnings downgrade, with EBITDA likely to be down ~55% on a ~4% decline in revenue.

Digging gold out of the Bushveld

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Theta Gold Mines Limited (ASX:TGM) is a gold developer targeting transitioning to producer by early CY27.
  • TGM is currently completing site clearance and preparation works which will enable construction of a new gold plant once full funding has been finalised.
  • TGM has secured credit approval for a US$35m debt facility with broader commercial bank syndication in process whilst the contractor for the gold plant has provided a staggered US$30m payment schedule which further reduces the required upfront equity contribution.

Reece Battling Tariffs, Competition & Cost Crises

By FNArena

  • It is not just Australia suffering a housing affordability crisis.
  • The US is also suffering, particularly in the south, impacting Reece’s revenues and margins

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Daily Brief South Korea: Hyundai Construction Equipment, HD Hyundai Infracore, Samsung Electronics, Daehan Shipbuilding, Samsung SDI, LG Electronics and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • HD HCE–Infracore Merger: Deal Mechanics & Trade Playbook
  • Merger Between HD Hyundai Infracore and HD Hyundai Construction Equipment
  • Samsung 2Q25 Official Leaks: Sharp Decline in Operating Profits, but It’s the Bottom. Really?
  • Daehan Shipbuilding Pre-IPO: PE Cashing Cheques on the Shipping Boom
  • Samsung SDI (006400): Still a No
  • LG Electronics- An Insight Into Its Premium Innovative Product Development & Market Positioning!


HD HCE–Infracore Merger: Deal Mechanics & Trade Playbook

By Sanghyun Park

  • This event offers two arb plays—merger swap and appraisal rights—but there’s barely any juice left as pricing locked the market into an unusually tight range.
  • Yeah, it’s tight. Unless cancel risk flares up, the spread likely stays muted—major holder’s balanced stakes make vote pushback or ratio disputes pretty unlikely.
  • One angle to watch: passive flows. HCE likely joins KOSPI 200 post-merger, triggering index buys around Infracore’s halt on Dec 30—potentially a solid year-end positioning play.

Merger Between HD Hyundai Infracore and HD Hyundai Construction Equipment

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 1 July, HD Hyundai Infracore announced that it will be merging with HD Hyundai Construction Equipment. 
  • The merger ratio is 0.1621707 common shares of HD Hyundai Construction Equipment for each common share of HD Hyundai Infracore. 
  • We have Negative ratings on both HD Hyundai Infracore and HD Hyundai Construction Equipment.

Samsung 2Q25 Official Leaks: Sharp Decline in Operating Profits, but It’s the Bottom. Really?

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Samsung doesn’t provide guidance when it reports, but gives revenue an operating profit guidance ~2 weeks before reporting. But we have an officially non-official preview in Korean media. 
  • 2Q25 operating profit will be “weaker than expected”, declining “by more than 15% from the first quarter” to KRW mid-5 trillion range. Consensus expects +1% QoQ. 
  • Some positive news to counter balance this large disappointment – smartphone, HBM3E – I am skeptical any of these can lift profits in 2H25, revisit early 2026.

Daehan Shipbuilding Pre-IPO: PE Cashing Cheques on the Shipping Boom

By Nicholas Tan

  • Daehan Shipbuilding (439260 KS) is looking to raise up to US$350m in its upcoming Korean IPO.
  • It specializes in the design and construction of medium-sized (Aframax) and semi-large sized (Suezmax) vessels for crude oil and petroleum product transportation.
  • In this note, we provide updates on the firm’s past performance.

Samsung SDI (006400): Still a No

By Henry Soediarko

  • The EU ended the direct purchase subsidies for EVs; that is a negative for Samsung SDI (006400 KS).
  • Management is quite bullish, but the last two quarters result were quite informative on the level of margin and contribution from the battery business. 
  • It trades around 112x PER while historically around 25-35x PER and its competitor Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (3750 HK) is only trading at 20x. 

LG Electronics- An Insight Into Its Premium Innovative Product Development & Market Positioning!

By Baptista Research

  • LG Electronics presented its first-quarter financial results for 2025, painting a nuanced picture of challenges and strategic initiatives that the company is undertaking.
  • LG Electronics reported consolidated sales of KRW 22.74 trillion and an operating profit of KRW 1.26 trillion for the quarter.
  • The results showcased a strong quarter with record-high sales figures from several of its business segments, notably in Household Solutions (HS), Vehicle Solutions (VS), and Environmental Solutions (ES).

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Daily Brief Singapore: Mizuho Financial Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Mizuho Bank Joins the SGX FX ecosystem


Mizuho Bank Joins the SGX FX ecosystem

By Geoff Howie

  • SGX FX partners with Mizuho Bank to stream prices on its platform starting June 2025, enhancing FX ecosystem.
  • The collaboration aims to increase transparency, efficiency, and liquidity for investors, financial institutions, and global traders.
  • Mizuho Bank is the 17th largest bank globally, with $2 trillion in assets and 65,000 employees worldwide.

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