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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief China: Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H, Tencent, Everyday Network Co Ltd A, China Shengmu Organic Milk, EnjoyGo Technology, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC), Wasion Group Holdings, Xuanzhu Biopharmaceutical, Shanghai Biren Intelligent Technology, Tibet Rhodiola Pharm A and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • StubWorld: Zijin Mining (2899 HK) Is Still Out Of Whack
  • Tencent (700 HK): 3Q25, Continuous Revenue Acceleration & Margin Improvement, 40% Upside
  • CSI All Share Real Estate Sector Index Rebalance Preview: Multiple Changes in December
  • China Modern Dairy (1117 HK) To Acquire China Shengmu (1432 HK) – The Offer Price Is Not Attractive
  • EnjoyGo Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • SMIC (981.HK): Although GM May Decline Slightly, Revenue Is Expected to Continue Growing in 4Q25.
  • Primer: Wasion Group Holdings (3393 HK) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Xuanzhu Biopharmaceutical (XUANZHU HK) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Shanghai Biren Intelligent Technology (SBIT HK) – Nov 2025
  • Primer: Tibet Rhodiola Pharm A (600211 CH) – Nov 2025


StubWorld: Zijin Mining (2899 HK) Is Still Out Of Whack

By David Blennerhassett

  • Zijin Gold (2259 HK) is up 101% on its 29th September listing. By my estimate, Zijin Mining (601899 CH)‘s average premium to NAV since Zijin Gold’s listing has been ~21%. 
  • Preceding further commentary on Zijin Mining/Gold are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

Tencent (700 HK): 3Q25, Continuous Revenue Acceleration & Margin Improvement, 40% Upside

By Ming Lu

  • The revenue growth accelerated for the fourth quarter in 3Q25.
  • In 3Q25, the gross margins of all business lines improved year over year.
  • Tencent’s operating margin had improved year over year for thirteen quarters.

CSI All Share Real Estate Sector Index Rebalance Preview: Multiple Changes in December

By Brian Freitas

  • There could be up to 7 adds and 4 deletes for the CSI All Share Real Estate Sector Index in December.
  • Estimated one-way turnover is 3.8% at the rebalance leading to a round-trip trade of CNY 535m. There are a couple of stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade.
  • The forecast deletes have outperformed the forecast adds over the last 2 months and this is an attractive entry point as we near announcement date.

China Modern Dairy (1117 HK) To Acquire China Shengmu (1432 HK) – The Offer Price Is Not Attractive

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Based on the Offer Price of HK$0.35, P/B is 0.69x. This valuation level is lower than the historical average and also has a certain discount compared to the industry average.
  • CSM’s net profit may return to positive by 2026. After profitability returns to normal, its P/B ratio is expected to approach 0.8-1x at least. Then reasonable valuation level is HK$0.41-0.51/share.
  • Since minorities representing 18.74% of CSM outstanding shares needs to tender to hit the “50% hurdle”, this brings uncertainties as the Offer Price may not be attractive to some minorities.

EnjoyGo Technology Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Akshat Shah

  • EnjoyGo Technology (ENJG HK) (EGT) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by CICC and Guotai Junan.
  • EGT, founded by automotive giant, SAIC Motor, is an all-scenario smart mobility platform in China, offering one-stop services covering ride-hailing, vehicle leasing, vehicle sales and Robotaxi services.
  • According to Frost & Sullivan in 2024, EGT ranked fifth among ride-hailing platforms in China in gross transaction value and second among ride-hailing platforms in Shanghai in completed order volume.

SMIC (981.HK): Although GM May Decline Slightly, Revenue Is Expected to Continue Growing in 4Q25.

By Patrick Liao

  • Revenue in 3Q25 was 7.8% higher than in 2Q25, in line with stronger seasonal demand. GM: 22.0% in 3Q25, compared with 20.4% in 2Q25 and 20.5% in 3Q24.
  • The Company expects: Revenue Flat to up 2% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ). Gross Margin: Between 18% and 20%.
  • SMIC’s stock price has risen 160.7% year-to-date in 2025, outperforming Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR (TSM US) at 44.2% and United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) at 10.8%.

Primer: Wasion Group Holdings (3393 HK) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Wasion Group is a leading Chinese provider of smart metering and energy efficiency solutions, well-positioned to benefit from domestic and global grid modernization trends.
  • The company is experiencing accelerated growth, driven by China’s ‘dual carbon’ policy, strong investment in smart grids by state-owned utilities, and expansion into higher-growth areas like smart water/gas metering and international markets.
  • Key risks include high customer concentration with Chinese state-owned utilities, potential for margin pressure from intense competition, and reliance on government policy direction.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Xuanzhu Biopharmaceutical (XUANZHU HK) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Xuanzhu Biopharmaceutical is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company spun off from its controlling shareholder, Sihuan Pharmaceutical, with a pipeline focused on oncology, digestive diseases, and metabolic diseases.
  • The company faces significant challenges, including intense competition for its core products, doubts about its commercialization capabilities highlighted by a previously failed IPO attempt, and a valuation considered demanding by market analysts.
  • Future prospects are heavily reliant on the successful clinical development and approval of its pipeline assets, particularly in expanding indications for its commercialized products and advancing earlier-stage candidates.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Shanghai Biren Intelligent Technology (SBIT HK) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Shanghai Biren Intelligent Technology (Biren) is a leading Chinese fabless semiconductor company, positioning itself as a key domestic alternative to global GPU leaders like Nvidia, particularly in the high-performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence (AI) sectors.
  • The company’s flagship BR100 and BR104 GPUs showcase impressive technical specifications, designed to compete with established international offerings. However, its growth trajectory and production capabilities are severely constrained by its inclusion on the U.S. Entity List, which restricts access to advanced semiconductor manufacturing from foundries like TSMC.
  • Heavily backed by state-affiliated investors, Biren is a strategic asset in China’s push for semiconductor self-sufficiency. The company is currently unprofitable and planning an Initial Public Offering (IPO) in Hong Kong to raise further capital.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Tibet Rhodiola Pharm A (600211 CH) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Tibet Rhodiola Pharmaceutical Holding Co. is a prominent player in China’s traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) and broader pharmaceutical market, with a focus on biological products, Tibetan and Chinese medicines, and chemical drugs. The company has demonstrated a strong growth trajectory, underscored by a significant increase in net income and dividends over the past three years.
  • The company’s strategic focus on high-margin products is evident from its consistently high gross margins, which have remained above 92% in recent years. This, coupled with robust operating cash flow, positions the company well for future investments in research and development and potential market expansion.
  • Operating within the rapidly growing Chinese pharmaceutical and TCM markets, the company is poised to benefit from favorable demographic trends, increasing health consciousness, and government support for the TCM industry. However, it faces risks related to regulatory changes, market competition, and the need for continuous innovation.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief United States: S&P 500 INDEX, Natera Inc, NVIDIA Corp, Eli Lilly & Co, Twilio , Oracle Corp, Klook, Magnolia Oil & Gas , First Solar Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Macro Markets and the U.S. Thanksgiving Effect: Shedding Light on Historical Patterns
  • Primer: Natera Inc (NTRA US) – Nov 2025
  • NVIDIA Just Made a Massive Move in Taiwan While SoftBank Cashed Out—Here’s Why It Matters!
  • Eli Lilly’s Q3 Earnings: Mounjaro Is Taking the World by Storm—See How It’s Conquering New Markets!
  • Twilio’s Global Playbook: How Is It Winning the Race in RCS & International Messaging?
  • Oracle’s AI Empire Starts Here: The $38 Billion Jacquard Project Exposed!
  • Klook IPO (KLK US): The Investment Case
  • Klook Pre-IPO – The Positives – Growth Has Been Very Strong
  • Magnolia Oil & Gas Is Winning the Natural Gas Game—Why Investors Should Pay Attention!
  • First Solar’s Strategic Reset: Tax Credits, Legal Battles, & America’s Next Solar Boom!


Macro Markets and the U.S. Thanksgiving Effect: Shedding Light on Historical Patterns

By John Ley

  • November’s seasonal strength extends into the U.S. Thanksgiving period, where macro markets have tended to post positive returns.
  • Despite the positive averages, dispersion in returns remains wide, reminding traders that seasonality is no guarantee.
  • Positive seasonals can align with favorable trading setups, but timing and risk management remain key.

Primer: Natera Inc (NTRA US) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Natera is a leader in the high-growth cell-free DNA (cfDNA) testing market, with a strong portfolio spanning women’s health (Panorama), oncology (Signatera), and organ health (Prospera).
  • The company is experiencing rapid revenue growth, driven by the strong uptake of its Signatera test for cancer monitoring, and is demonstrating significant operational leverage with improving gross margins and a clear trajectory towards positive free cash flow.
  • While the company’s proprietary SNP-based technology provides a competitive advantage, Natera faces significant risks related to reimbursement uncertainty, intense competition, and the need to achieve sustained profitability after a history of net losses.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


NVIDIA Just Made a Massive Move in Taiwan While SoftBank Cashed Out—Here’s Why It Matters!

By Baptista Research

  • NVIDIA Corporation’s recent earnings for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 highlighted a record quarter in terms of total revenue, driven by widespread adoption of its comprehensive product suite across various sectors.
  • The company reported a total revenue of $46.7 billion, surpassing its expectations with substantial growth noted in its data center segment, which increased by 56% year-over-year.
  • The rollout of new technology, including the Blackwell platform and GB300 systems, was cited as a key driver of this growth, facilitating NVIDIA’s expansion in the AI infrastructure space.

Eli Lilly’s Q3 Earnings: Mounjaro Is Taking the World by Storm—See How It’s Conquering New Markets!

By Baptista Research

  • Eli Lilly and Company delivered a robust financial and operational performance in the third quarter of 2025.
  • The company reported a 54% increase in revenue year-over-year, driven by strong sales of key drugs like Mounjaro and Zepbound.
  • These products showed significant market penetration, particularly in the U.S., where Lilly has captured a dominant share of the incretin analogs market.

Twilio’s Global Playbook: How Is It Winning the Race in RCS & International Messaging?

By Baptista Research

  • Twilio’s third-quarter results for 2025 reveal a mix of strong performance metrics and ongoing strategic advancements that could impact investors’ perspectives on the company.
  • The company reported a record $1.3 billion in revenue, marking a 15% increase year-over-year, and $235 million in non-GAAP income from operations, both above expectations.
  • This translates to a non-GAAP operating margin of 18%, albeit with a slight sequential improvement.

Oracle’s AI Empire Starts Here: The $38 Billion Jacquard Project Exposed!

By Baptista Research

  • In a landmark move underscoring its deepening AI infrastructure ambitions, Oracle has emerged as a central player in the $38 billion Jacquard AI data center financing project, a joint venture involving OpenAI and SoftBank.
  • The initiative—dubbed “Stargate”—will be developed by Vantage Data Centers and consists of two massive AI facilities in Texas and Wisconsin.
  • Oracle is not merely a tenant in this project; it has signed a 15-year lease agreement and committed to a $300 billion purchase contract with OpenAI, positioning itself as a critical AI infrastructure provider.

Klook IPO (KLK US): The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • Klook (KLK US), the largest pan-regional experiences platform in the APAC region, is seeking to raise between US$400 million through a NYSE IPO.    
  • Founded in 2014, Klook connects travellers with merchants, providing a vast array of activities, tours, attractions, and other travel services across the globe.
  • The investment case rests on market leadership, healthy GTV growth, establishing a path to sustainable profitability, improving FCF profile and a debt-free balance sheet.  

Klook Pre-IPO – The Positives – Growth Has Been Very Strong

By Sumeet Singh

  • Klook (KLK US), a pan-regional experiences platform in Asia-Pacific, aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing.
  • Klook connects travelers with merchants providing a vast array of activities, tours, attractions and other travel services across the globe.
  • In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Is Winning the Natural Gas Game—Why Investors Should Pay Attention!

By Baptista Research

  • Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation reported its third quarter 2025 financial and operating results, demonstrating a strong performance with notable production growth.
  • The company achieved a record quarterly production rate of 100,500 barrels of oil equivalent per day, reflecting an 11% year-over-year increase.
  • The production gains were particularly significant in the Giddings area, where oil production rose by nearly 5% compared to the previous year.

First Solar’s Strategic Reset: Tax Credits, Legal Battles, & America’s Next Solar Boom!

By Baptista Research

  • First Solar’s third quarter 2025 earnings results reveal a mixed picture featuring both strengths and challenges.
  • On the one hand, the company reported record module sales of 5.3 gigawatts, reaching an earnings per share (EPS) of $4.24, in line with earlier projections.
  • The firm also increased its gross cash position to $2 billion, bolstered by improved working capital and customer payments.

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Daily Brief India: Emmvee Photovoltaic Power Limited, Sagility India, Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories, Zepto, Biocon Biologics India, Pine Labs and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Emmvee Photovoltaic Power IPO – Integrated Scale, Bright Prospects
  • Sagility Block – US$400m Selldown by EQT; Second Deal This Year
  • Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (DRRD IN): Soft US Performance Drags Margin; New Launches to Bring Respite?
  • Primer: Zepto (1936629D IN) – Nov 2025
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Pine Labs IPO Trading – Low/No Demand


Emmvee Photovoltaic Power IPO – Integrated Scale, Bright Prospects

By Akshat Shah

  • Emmvee Photovoltaic Power Limited (0198068D IN) (EPPL) is looking to raise about US$327m in its India IPO.
  • EPPL is a vertically-integrated solar PV module and cell manufacturer in India, with operations spanning the solar PV modules production cycle from solar cell production to solar PV module assembly.
  • In this note, we have a look at the company’s past performance, as well as talk about the peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.

Sagility Block – US$400m Selldown by EQT; Second Deal This Year

By Akshat Shah

  • Promoter entity EQT, via Sagility BV is looking to raise up to US$402m via selling a 16.4% stake in Sagility India (SAGILITY IN)
  • The deal comprises a base deal of 10% of outstanding shares, with an option to upsize it by another 6.4% of shares outstanding. 
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (DRRD IN): Soft US Performance Drags Margin; New Launches to Bring Respite?

By Tina Banerjee

  • Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (DRRD IN) reported 14% YoY growth in net profit in Q2FY26, on 10% YoY growth in revenue. Declining contribution from North America is adversely affecting margin.
  • With lenalidomide benefit fading away, DRL’s North America business revenue has become stagnant. During Q2FY26, North America recorded revenue of INR32B, down 13% YoY and 5% QoQ.
  • NRT portfolio and domestic business cannot be strong revenue and margin drivers. DRL is relying on semaglutide and abatacept as major drivers, which will be reflected not before FY28.

Primer: Zepto (1936629D IN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Zepto is a rapidly growing quick commerce company in India, capitalizing on the burgeoning demand for ultra-fast delivery of groceries and other essentials. Its core value proposition is a 10-minute delivery promise, facilitated by a network of strategically located ‘dark stores’.
  • The company has demonstrated explosive revenue growth, with a 150% year-over-year increase in FY25, reaching nearly ₹11,110 crore. While still loss-making, Zepto has shown a narrowing of losses as a percentage of revenue, indicating improving operational efficiency and a potential path to profitability.
  • The Indian quick commerce market is intensely competitive, with major players like Blinkit and Swiggy’s Instamart vying for market share. Zepto‘s ability to maintain its growth trajectory and achieve profitability will depend on its operational execution, technological innovation, and ability to manage high cash burn in a discount-centric market.

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Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Biocon Biologics
  • Overnight, US bond yields fell as traders anticipated fresh data to guide Fed policy. The 10-year Treasury yield slipped amid expectations of a potential rate cut. US equity was flattish.
  • The October CPI and core CPI numbers will be released today. The prolonged US government shutdown could delay the October and November jobs data to early December, potentially resulting in the weakest nonfarm payrolls since 2020.

Pine Labs IPO Trading – Low/No Demand

By Sumeet Singh

  • Pine Labs raised around US$450m in its India IPO. Overall demand was weak.
  • Pine Labs (PL) is a fintech firm focused on digitizing commerce through digital payments and issuing solutions for merchants, consumer brands and enterprises, and financial institutions.
  • We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

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Daily Brief ESG: For Both the Company and Investors and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • For Both the Company and Investors, Pre-Negotiation Process as SR Is Becoming Increasingly Important


For Both the Company and Investors, Pre-Negotiation Process as SR Is Becoming Increasingly Important

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Following the 2020 revision of Stewardship Code, domestic institutional investors have gradually increased their support for shareholder proposals. However, the rise in approval rates has paused in the 10% range.
  • Some investors adopt voting policy that allows them to support company proposals if the company’s efforts are deemed commendable, even if numerical targets aren’t met. This makes shareholder engagement important.
  • Given that conditions must align where a company has substantial foreign ownership and doesn’t implement initiatives desired by investors, the approval rate for shareholder proposals is unlikely to rise significantly.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Star Micronics, Sungrow Power Supply, InterGlobe Aviation Ltd, Quanta Services, Kyokuto Kaihatsu Kogyo Co, Toa Corp, Punch Industry, Republic Services, Sbs Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Star Micronics (7718 JP): Taiyo Pacific’s Tender Offer at JPY2,210
  • [Japan M&A] Taiyo Pacific Offers ¥2,210 for Star Micronics (7718) Completing the Shareholder Ripoff
  • China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in December
  • Quiddity Leaderboard BSE ​​​​SENSEX Dec25: Final Expectations; Announcement Soon
  • Quanta Services: Expansion into Power Generation, Renewable Energy Backlog Growth & Other Factors!
  • Kyokuto Kaihatsu Kogyo Co (7226 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update
  • Toa Corp (1885 JP): 1H FY03/26 Flash Update
  • Punch Industry (6165 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update
  • Republic Services: Strategic Acquisitions & A Robust M&A Pipeline for Sustained Expansion & Increased Operational Efficiency!
  • Sbs Holdings (2384 JP): Q3 FY12/25 flash update


Star Micronics (7718 JP): Taiyo Pacific’s Tender Offer at JPY2,210

By Arun George

  • Star Micronics (7718 JP) has recommended a tender offer from Taiyo Pacific Partners at JPY2,210, a 29.1% premium to the last close price.
  • The offer is arguably light as it is marginally above book value (P/B of 1.09x) and 16% below the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range. 
  • However, the offer is attractive as it represents an all-time high and is 42.4% above Taiyo’s placement price in May 2025. Unless an activist emerges, this is likely done.  

[Japan M&A] Taiyo Pacific Offers ¥2,210 for Star Micronics (7718) Completing the Shareholder Ripoff

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, well-known Japan engagement fund Taiyo Pacific Partners announced a deal to buy Star Micronics (7718 JP) for ¥2,210/share. They’ve been involved small-big-small for 20yrs.
  • The company launched a new capital plan and MTMP in February. Cash-rich, it needed no money to grow aggressively. So TPP proposed buying a third of the company. Board agreed.
  • Despite ActionsToImplementManagementConsciousOfSharePriceAndCostOfCapital announced February, in April-November the Board decided to sell the entire company to TPP at <1x book. This is borderline outrageous. It deserves notice and complaint.

China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in December

By Brian Freitas


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE ​​​​SENSEX Dec25: Final Expectations; Announcement Soon

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • BSE SENSEX represents the 30 largest stocks listed in the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) of India.
  • In this insight, we have presented our final expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
  • The official index changes could be announced publicly in the next few days.

Quanta Services: Expansion into Power Generation, Renewable Energy Backlog Growth & Other Factors!

By Baptista Research

  • Quanta Services has released their third quarter 2025 results reporting impressive figures with record growth in several financial metrics, including double-digit increases in revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS compared to the previous year.
  • The company’s backlog reached a record $39.2 billion, indicating robust demand and a strong position going into 2026.
  • This growth can be attributed to heightened activity in their Electric segment and the broader infrastructural needs driven by the transformation within the energy sector.

Kyokuto Kaihatsu Kogyo Co (7226 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue increased by 15.9% YoY to JPY74.2bn, with all segments showing revenue growth and operating profit up 35.1% YoY.
  • Extraordinary loss of JPY5.9bn related to the Antimonopoly Act led to a net loss of JPY1.5bn.
  • Domestic demand remained firm, with revenue and profit rising YoY due to product price revisions and improved productivity.

Toa Corp (1885 JP): 1H FY03/26 Flash Update

By Shared Research

  • In 1H FY03/26, Toa reported a 7.3% YoY decrease in orders, but revenue increased by 10.0% YoY.
  • The company revised its FY03/26 forecast, raising orders to JPY265.0bn and revenue to JPY342.0bn.
  • Toa expects a 73.2% YoY decrease in overseas orders for FY03/26, with revenue increasing 21.7% YoY.

Punch Industry (6165 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue reached JPY20.6bn (+2.9% YoY), with significant growth in China and declines in Japan due to restructuring.
  • Operating profit rose 42.9% YoY to JPY989mn, driven by strong performance in China despite high costs in Japan.
  • Full-year forecasts revised upward: revenue JPY41.7bn, operating profit JPY1.6bn, net income JPY570mn, dividend per share JPY9.41.

Republic Services: Strategic Acquisitions & A Robust M&A Pipeline for Sustained Expansion & Increased Operational Efficiency!

By Baptista Research

  • Republic Services, Inc. reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, showcasing both strengths and challenges within its business operations.
  • The company registered a revenue increase of 3.3% and an adjusted EBITDA growth of 6.1%, which also involved an 80-basis point expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin.
  • This indicates the company’s ability to capitalize on pricing strategies even in an environment of volatile economic cycles, specifically in the construction and manufacturing sectors where headwinds are prevalent.

Sbs Holdings (2384 JP): Q3 FY12/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased to JPY364.4bn (+10.3% YoY), with significant growth in Logistics and Property Management segments.
  • Operating profit rose to JPY17.3bn (+31.1% YoY), driven by higher profits in Logistics and Property Management.
  • Q3 sales and profit growth were influenced by new customer acquisition and a newly consolidated subsidiary.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Hynix L2 Flag Risk: Why Stuck Below ₩620k? Eyes on Nov 17 Pivot and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Hynix L2 Flag Risk: Why Stuck Below ₩620k? Eyes on Nov 17 Pivot
  • [Japan M&A] Paris Miki Is Indeed an MBO Target; Luxottica May Complain But Tough To Block
  • Paris Miki (7455 JP): Chairman-Led MBO Likely Done Despite Luxottica’s Unclear Intentions
  • Star Micronics (7718 JP): Taiyo Pacific’s Tender Offer at JPY2,210
  • [Japan M&A] Taiyo Pacific Offers ¥2,210 for Star Micronics (7718) Completing the Shareholder Ripoff
  • MBK Partners: Acquires Additional 2.7% Stake in Korea Zinc – Another M&A Fight in March 2026?
  • Private Equity Consortium Eyes AUB Group Buyout Amid Insurance Brokerage Consolidation and Fair Valuation Offer
  • Seven West Media (SWM AU): Scheme Vote on 22 December
  • First Pacific (142 HK)’s Full Value As Maynilad Commences Trading
  • Porsche Automobile Holding: Q3-25 Update — Discount Still Wide, Deleveraging on Track


Hynix L2 Flag Risk: Why Stuck Below ₩620k? Eyes on Nov 17 Pivot

By Sanghyun Park

  • Hynix tagged L2: cash‑only, no margin. >40% two‑day rip triggers KRX halt. L2 caps distort tape; Square’s Oct 27–Nov 10 run showed the messy playbook.
  • Hynix L2 review: five >200% YoY prints since Nov 4, but no fresh 15‑day high—₩620k from Nov 3 still the cap, yesterday stalled just below.
  • Break above ₩620k likely triggers L2, leverage caps, volatile tape, Square outperformance; hold below into Monday kills L2 risk, keeps Hynix’s relative bid with retail still piling in.

[Japan M&A] Paris Miki Is Indeed an MBO Target; Luxottica May Complain But Tough To Block

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, Paris Miki Holdings (7455 JP) announced the Tane family Holdco would buy out the company in an “MBO” at ¥581, or 4.8x current year EBITDA. 
  • World famous eyeglass/sunglass manufacturer Luxottica bought 13.8% of the company in the low ¥300s almost stopping about a year ago. They might complain, but Paris Miki is a big outlet.
  • This looks like it gets done. The family+crossholders+ESOP+warrants have 65% of the expanded share count. Those who would complain would need to do so soon, and loudly.

Paris Miki (7455 JP): Chairman-Led MBO Likely Done Despite Luxottica’s Unclear Intentions

By Arun George

  • Paris Miki Holdings (7455 JP) has recommended a Chairman-led MBO at JPY581, a 48.6% premium to the last close price.
  • While the offer is arguably light as it is marginally below book value (P/B of 0.99x), it is above the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range. 
  • The offer represents a 10-year high. Luxottica Group (LUX IM), the second-largest shareholder, has not signalled whether it will tender, but it would struggle to derail the offer.

Star Micronics (7718 JP): Taiyo Pacific’s Tender Offer at JPY2,210

By Arun George

  • Star Micronics (7718 JP) has recommended a tender offer from Taiyo Pacific Partners at JPY2,210, a 29.1% premium to the last close price.
  • The offer is arguably light as it is marginally above book value (P/B of 1.09x) and 16% below the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range. 
  • However, the offer is attractive as it represents an all-time high and is 42.4% above Taiyo’s placement price in May 2025. Unless an activist emerges, this is likely done.  

[Japan M&A] Taiyo Pacific Offers ¥2,210 for Star Micronics (7718) Completing the Shareholder Ripoff

By Travis Lundy

  • Today after the close, well-known Japan engagement fund Taiyo Pacific Partners announced a deal to buy Star Micronics (7718 JP) for ¥2,210/share. They’ve been involved small-big-small for 20yrs.
  • The company launched a new capital plan and MTMP in February. Cash-rich, it needed no money to grow aggressively. So TPP proposed buying a third of the company. Board agreed.
  • Despite ActionsToImplementManagementConsciousOfSharePriceAndCostOfCapital announced February, in April-November the Board decided to sell the entire company to TPP at <1x book. This is borderline outrageous. It deserves notice and complaint.

MBK Partners: Acquires Additional 2.7% Stake in Korea Zinc – Another M&A Fight in March 2026?

By Douglas Kim

  • MBK Partners acquired an additional 2.7% stake in Korea Zinc raising its total ownership to 39.7%. This is likely to fuel additional positive share price momentum on Korea Zinc.
  • This is likely to rekindle a potential M&A fight for the management control of the company. 
  • This additional additional purchase of Korea Zinc by MBK Partners is a signal, not noise. Another M&A fight is likely in the next AGM in March 2026. 

Private Equity Consortium Eyes AUB Group Buyout Amid Insurance Brokerage Consolidation and Fair Valuation Offer

By Special Situation Investments

  • EQT’s A$45/share bid for AUB, with a 16% spread, follows a month of exclusive due diligence.
  • CVC Asia Pacific proposed forming a consortium with EQT, potentially increasing buyout success likelihood and financial commitment sharing.
  • AUB’s valuation metrics include 14.5x FY25 EBITDA and 26.2x P/E, with historical trading at lower multiples.

Seven West Media (SWM AU): Scheme Vote on 22 December

By Arun George

  • The Seven West Media (SWM AU) IE considers the SXL merger offer to be in the best interests of its shareholders, absent a superior proposal.
  • The merger requires approval from SWM shareholders, ACMA, and the ACCC. The ACCC’s findings will be announced on 18 December. 
  • The scheme vote is low risk as large SWM shareholders are supportive. Shares are trading through terms likely due to speculation of a competing bidder, which is unlikely to occur.  

First Pacific (142 HK)’s Full Value As Maynilad Commences Trading

By David Blennerhassett

  • The proposed spin-off – from 49.9%-held MPIC – and listing of Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH) completed on the 7th November. 
  • Priced at PHP 15/share, Maynilad closed yesterday at PHP 14.82/share, down 1.2%. 
  • First Pacific Co (142 HK)‘s indirect/direct holding in Maynilad is estimated at 19.1%, accounting for ~6% of NAV. 

Porsche Automobile Holding: Q3-25 Update — Discount Still Wide, Deleveraging on Track

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Discount Opportunity: Porsche Automobil Holding (PAH3 GR) SE trades at a ~32% NAV discount—above peers—despite improving balance-sheet structure, stable dividends from VW and Porsche AG, and diminishing legal risks.
  • Deleveraging Catalyst: Ongoing debt reduction, stronger dividend visibility, and extended maturities enhance transparency and reduce equity risk, offering clear scope for discount compression toward the mid-20s.
  • Asymmetric Upside: With 99% of assets in VW and Porsche AG, Porsche SE remains a high-convexity play on discount normalization and legal clarity, offering leveraged exposure to core holdings.

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Upside Ahead for Gold and Silver; DXY Below $100.25; SPX Holding at 3+ Month Uptrend Support and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Upside Ahead for Gold and Silver; DXY Below $100.25; SPX Holding at 3+ Month Uptrend Support


Upside Ahead for Gold and Silver; DXY Below $100.25; SPX Holding at 3+ Month Uptrend Support

By Joe Jasper

  • We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
  • We have discussed weekly since 10/14/25 how our near-term bullish outlook remains intact as long as SPX holds above the 3-month uptrend, coinciding with the 50-day MA; this remains true.
  • Gold (GLD) and silver (SLV) held above $358-$361 and $41.70 supports and appear ready to resume their long-term uptrends. Recently discussed we were buyers in our October 29th report

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): HK Strategy: An Update on Playing the Future H IPOs of the As and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • HK Strategy: An Update on Playing the Future H IPOs of the As
  • HSBC – Loss Loans up 7.5x from FY19 to 2Q25 in HKMA Industry Data. Hang Seng Bank Buyout, Now?
  • Japan Morning Connection: Power and Industrial Semis in Focus After Infineon Big Beat on AI
  • Ohayo Japan | Dow Smashes 48,000 Barrier
  • Substrate. ASML, TSMC Slayer Or Ideological Pipe Dream?
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (12-Nov-2025): ABI Plaza Provides Edge in Singapore’s Office Market
  • What’s News in Amsterdam


HK Strategy: An Update on Playing the Future H IPOs of the As

By Osbert Tang, CFA


HSBC – Loss Loans up 7.5x from FY19 to 2Q25 in HKMA Industry Data. Hang Seng Bank Buyout, Now?

By Daniel Tabbush

  • HKMA data shows the loss loan ratio in HK is up 7.5x from FY19 to 2Q25. These are the worst of the worst bad loans 
  • Substandard loan ratio in HK is up 4.7x over the same period, and this bucket can gradually migrate to worse buckets, requiring more credit costs
  • Overdue loan ratio and rescheduled loan ratio in HK is up 5.4x over this period, and these are not technically NPLs

Japan Morning Connection: Power and Industrial Semis in Focus After Infineon Big Beat on AI

By Andrew Jackson

  • NAND memory spot prices surge another 17% WoW on worsening S/D dynamics.
  • No take-over for Trend Micro, but an accelerated buyback will be enough for a short-term squeeze.
  • Sanken may be back in focus given its deep disc NAV as sentiment rises for power and industrial names.

Ohayo Japan | Dow Smashes 48,000 Barrier

By Mark Chadwick

  • Dow hit record high (+0.7%) after Senate passed spending bill to end 43-day shutdown; financials led, S&P +0.1%, Nasdaq -0.3%.
  • Sony (6758): Launches Japan-only PS5 Digital Edition at ¥55,000 (¥18,000 below current) from Nov 21 to expand user base in year 5 with 4,500+ titles.
  • Paris Miki announces MBO via founder TOB at 50% premium; Star Precision faces ¥70bn TOB from Taiyo Pacific at 30% premium.

Substrate. ASML, TSMC Slayer Or Ideological Pipe Dream?

By William Keating

  • Silicon valley startup Substrate made waves two weeks ago when they emerged from stealth mode to announce a revolutionary new tool they claim will rival ASML’s EUV lithography capability
  • Substrate simultaneously plans to build next-generation semiconductor fabs to return America to dominance in semiconductor production and will use their technology—a new form of advanced X-ray lithography—to power them.
  • For a three year old startup, whos CEO has zero documented experience of semiconductors or lithography, these are bold claims indeed. This should be interesting!

Asia Real Estate Tracker (12-Nov-2025): ABI Plaza Provides Edge in Singapore’s Office Market

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • ABI Plaza provides a significant competitive edge in Singapore’s office market landscape.
  • Brookfield’s $1.5 billion sale of Ecoworld represents India’s largest office transaction to a REIT.
  • A $436 million bid for a site on Bukit Timah Road highlights the luxury real estate sector’s growth.

What’s News in Amsterdam

By The IDEA!

  • Dutch Telegraaf newspaper reports that Substrate, a US-based start-up founded in 2022, aims to challenge ASML’s dominance in advanced chip machinery.
  • Unlike ASML’s extreme-ultraviolet (EUV) lithography, Substrate uses beams from a mini-particle accelerator, claiming this method can produce smaller, cheaper chips.
  • The company intends not only to sell the machines but also to manufacture chips in-house at a US facility within a few years.

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Daily Brief Utilities: Wec Energy Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • WEC Energy’s Massive Capex Surge—A Bold Bet on the Future of Power?


WEC Energy’s Massive Capex Surge—A Bold Bet on the Future of Power?

By Baptista Research

  • WEC Energy Group recently reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing progress and challenges within the company.
  • The company announced earnings per share of $0.83 for this quarter, signaling a year-over-year improvement when compared to adjusted earnings from the same period last year.
  • For the full year, WEC Energy Group reaffirmed its earnings guidance, predicting a range between $5.17 and $5.27 per share, assuming normal weather patterns continue for the remainder of the year.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: SK Hynix, Chroma Ate Inc, Groww, Verisilicon Microelectronics S, Fractal Analytics Ltd, Softbank Group, Advanced Micro Devices, Atlassian , Softbank Group (ADR), KPIT Technologies and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Hynix L2 Flag Risk: Why Stuck Below ₩620k? Eyes on Nov 17 Pivot
  • Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Big Overlapping Flows Coming Up
  • Groww IPO Trading – Decent Overall Demand
  • CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance Preview: One Set of Changes in December
  • Fractal Analytics Pre-IPO: AI Play With Strong Fundamentals
  • SoftBank (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook: What’s Next After NVDA Exit, Wild Swings, and Strong Earnings?
  • AMD in Q3 2025: Conviction in Bold Moves but a Rocky Road to Success
  • Atlassian’s Cloud + AI Combo Could Redefine How Companies Work Forever!
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • KPIT: Improving Trajectory, H2FY26 Guided to Be Significantly Better


Hynix L2 Flag Risk: Why Stuck Below ₩620k? Eyes on Nov 17 Pivot

By Sanghyun Park

  • Hynix tagged L2: cash‑only, no margin. >40% two‑day rip triggers KRX halt. L2 caps distort tape; Square’s Oct 27–Nov 10 run showed the messy playbook.
  • Hynix L2 review: five >200% YoY prints since Nov 4, but no fresh 15‑day high—₩620k from Nov 3 still the cap, yesterday stalled just below.
  • Break above ₩620k likely triggers L2, leverage caps, volatile tape, Square outperformance; hold below into Monday kills L2 risk, keeps Hynix’s relative bid with retail still piling in.

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Big Overlapping Flows Coming Up

By Brian Freitas

  • There could be 4 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in December as positioning for buying by one set of index trackers pushes stocks into other indices.
  • There will be passive inflows in some of the forecast adds week after next and the flows from these index trackers will come a few weeks later.
  • With large AUMs tracking the dividend indices, stocks that have moved up a lot now have low dividend yields and there could be opposite flows from those index trackers.

Groww IPO Trading – Decent Overall Demand

By Akshat Shah

  • Groww (1573648D IN) raised around US$747m in its India IPO. Groww, officially called Billionbrains Garage Ventures, is a direct-to-customer digital investment platform providing multiple financial products and services.
  • With Groww, customers can invest and trade in stocks (including via IPOs), derivatives, bonds, mutual funds and other products. Customers can also avail margin trading facility and personal loans.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.

CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance Preview: One Set of Changes in December

By Brian Freitas


Fractal Analytics Pre-IPO: AI Play With Strong Fundamentals

By Hong Jie Seow

  • Fractal Analytics Ltd (2453623D IN) is looking to raise US$560m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Fractal Analytics Limited (FAL) is an enterprise AI company which supports large global enterprises with data-driven insights and assists them in their decision making through its end-to-end AI solutions.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.

SoftBank (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook: What’s Next After NVDA Exit, Wild Swings, and Strong Earnings?

By Nico Rosti

  • Softbank Group (9984 JP) is swinging wildly. On Nov 11, the stock sank -13% after it said it had sold its entire stake in NVIDIA (NVDA US)  for $5.83 billion.
  • The stock also posted record Q2 earnings on Nov 12, but closed the day down -3.46% (after a strong rally from the 21k bottom). Most gains come from OpenAI investment.
  • For sure it’s not easy to hold this stock at the moment, this insight will analyze the next 2-3 weeks’ outlook, support and resistance, according to our quantitative model.

AMD in Q3 2025: Conviction in Bold Moves but a Rocky Road to Success

By Raghav Vashisht

  • AMD achieved unprecedented revenue of $9.2 billion in Q3 2025, a 36% YoY growth driven despite margin contraction in the data centre segment.
  • Despite record data centre revenue of $4.3 billion, the uplift was carried by fifth-gen EPYC server CPUs rather than Instinct GPUs.
  • Multi-Year GPU commitments (from OpenAI to Oracle) strengthen the AI narrative without near-term numbers; Q4 guidance implies just 4% sequential growth, underscoring a digestion phase before the MI400 ramp.

Atlassian’s Cloud + AI Combo Could Redefine How Companies Work Forever!

By Baptista Research

  • Atlassian Corporation Plc reported strong financial performance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, achieving total revenue growth of 21% year-over-year, amounting to $1.4 billion.
  • A significant contributor to this growth was their cloud revenue, which saw a 26% increase to $998 million.
  • Additionally, the company’s remaining performance obligations (RPO) grew impressively by 42% to $3.3 billion.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • The US Senate passed a temporary funding measure after a 60-40 vote yesterday, backed by eight centrist Democrats.
  • The Bill will still require approval from the House and the signature of President Donald Trump. Mr Trump said yesterday that the US was “getting close” to a trade deal with India.
  • US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent downplayed concerns over high costs for consumers under the Trump administration, saying that it had inherited elevated price levels from the Biden administration, which he described as the worst in the past 40-50 years. 

KPIT: Improving Trajectory, H2FY26 Guided to Be Significantly Better

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Despite macro challenges, KPIT delivered a decent Q2FY26 and is on track to post a much better H2FY26, led by reducing uncertainty and improving demand environment.
  • More importantly, KPIT has been adding select capabilities that have been pivotal to building its differentiation and competitiveness. Its approach to move to solutions vs services has been yielding fruition.
  • Deal wins came in strong in Q2FY26 at $232mm, well above the typical $150mm+ run-rate. Additionally, KPIT also won a mega $100mm+ deal.

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