Category

Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Australia: Deep Yellow , Kinatico and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • DYLLF: The Final Investment Decision (FID) for Tumas will now be made in March 2025. An upgraded Ore Reserve Estimate on the Tumas Project
  • Kinatico Ltd – Q2 SaaS revenue increases t47% on pcp, 46% of total



Kinatico Ltd – Q2 SaaS revenue increases t47% on pcp, 46% of total

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS has published an update report on ‘Know Your People’ regtech company, Kinatico (ASX:KYP) following its Q2 revenue announcement in which it reported that total revenue had grown 7% on the pcp to $7.6m and SaaS revenue jumped 47% on the pcp to $3.5m.
  • The company reported H1 FY25 revenue of $15.6m, of which $6.5m or 42% was SaaS revenue.
  • This is in-line with our forecasts for H1.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Seoul Guarantee Insurance, Korea Zinc, Sanil Electric and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea’s Financial Regs Drop New IPO Allocation and Delisting Rules: What It Means and What to Expect
  • Korea Zinc: An Important Legal Decision to Disallow Appointment of Directors Using Cumulative Voting
  • Sanil Electric US$1.1bn Lockup Expiry – Tempting to Book 2x Gains in Six Months


Korea’s Financial Regs Drop New IPO Allocation and Delisting Rules: What It Means and What to Expect

By Sanghyun Park

  • We might see a liquidity crunch post-listing, with tighter regulations and mandatory holding drying up liquidity, causing more volatile price swings.
  • Big local players with heavy lock-ups will take a large allocation, creating significant overhang risk at the six-month mark. Stronger IPO eligibility boosts costs, pushing funds toward riskier trades.
  • Overall, this feels like a quick fix. Rather than focusing on long-term market improvements, we should focus on the new pricing patterns likely to emerge in the short term.

Korea Zinc: An Important Legal Decision to Disallow Appointment of Directors Using Cumulative Voting

By Douglas Kim

  • On 21 January, there was an important legal court decision to disallow the appointment of directors using the cumulative voting system at the Korea Zinc’s EGM on 23 January.
  • This legal decision is likely to favor MBK/Young Poong alliance in the control of Korea Zinc. The market increasingly favors the likelihood of MBK/Young Poong alliance winning this proxy battle.
  • Therefore, the chance of a further M&A battle has been reduced which is likely to further decline in the share price of Korea Zinc. 

Sanil Electric US$1.1bn Lockup Expiry – Tempting to Book 2x Gains in Six Months

By Clarence Chu

  • Sanil Electric (062040 KS) listed in Korea on 29th July 2024 after raising US$193m. Its six-month lockup will expire on 29th Jan 2025.
  • Sanil Electric is a specialized company that manufactures and sells reactors, transformers, railway vehicle parts, and switchboards. As an industrial transformer manufacturer, the company mainly manufactures power and distribution transformers.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.

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Daily Brief Singapore: SIA Engineering, Scilex Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Company Spotlight: SIA Engineering
  • SCLX: 3Q Earnings Beat Estimates


Company Spotlight: SIA Engineering

By Geoff Howie

Company Spotlight: SIA Engineering

SCLX: 3Q Earnings Beat Estimates

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • SCLX is filling a much-needed area of the health care sector, that of developing non-opioid pain relief products.
  • The company already has commercialized products that are proven to improve patients’ lives.
  • The company announced 3Q2024 earnings that exceeded expectations and continues to look to grow revenues and its portfolio.

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Daily Brief United States: Microstrategy Inc Cl A, Smithfield Foods, Halliburton Co, JPMorgan Chase & Co, Natural Gas, Crude Oil, Citigroup Inc, Odyssey Therapeutics, Omnicom Group, Quanta Services and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • MicroStrategy (MSTR US): A Monetary Good Or Emperor’s New Clothes?
  • Smithfield Foods (SFD): Terms Set for WH Group’s Spin-Off
  • [Pre Earnings Options Flash] Halliburton’s Options Market Data Indicates Bearish Sentiment
  • How JPMorgan’s Massive Investments Are Reshaping the Future of Banking! – Major Drivers
  • [US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/03] Henry Hub Pulls Back from Uptrend on Shifting Weather Forecasts
  • [US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/03] WTI Gained for the Fourth Straight Week on Supply Concerns
  • Citigroup’s Turnaround Playbook: Core Drivers Shaping Future Performance! – Major Drivers
  • Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc.(ODTX): Biotech Combating Ulcerative Colitis, or UC, Files for IPO
  • Omnicom and IPG Merger of $25.6B Combined Revenue: Market Reaction and Major US Index Implications
  • Quanta Services Inc (PWR) – Tuesday, Oct 22, 2024


MicroStrategy (MSTR US): A Monetary Good Or Emperor’s New Clothes?

By David Blennerhassett

  • Microstrategy Inc Cl A (MSTR US) has a market cap of US$97.7bn, an eye-watering 115% premium to its bitcoin holding of US$45.4bn. Before taking into account debt.
  • Investors are effectively dolling out $2+ for a $1 investment. And that investment is fuelled by new equity (shares are up 743% yoy) and debt. Perpetual preferred shares are next.
  • Sceptics are not in short supply. But neither are backers, such as Capital (7%), Vanguard (6.9%), Susquehanna, Norges and other, arguably, sophisticated players. Right now, the backers are winning.

Smithfield Foods (SFD): Terms Set for WH Group’s Spin-Off

By IPO Boutique

  • Spin-Off of WH Group’s could raise up to $939 million if priced at the high-end of the range
  • The IPO is set to price on Monday January 27th for a Tuesday, January 28th debut
  • Flash numbers revealed sales for the three months ended December 29, 2024 will range from $3,873 million to $3,953 million (prev. year $3,998 million)

[Pre Earnings Options Flash] Halliburton’s Options Market Data Indicates Bearish Sentiment

By Suhas Reddy

  • Halliburton will report its Q4 earnings on 22/Jan, with revenue and EPS projected to fall sequentially and annually. For fiscal 2024, revenue and net profit are expected to drop.
  • Halliburton’s OI PCR at 1.21, signalling bearish sentiment, with a 67% IV percentile indicating moderately high volatility.
  • For the 24/Jan expiry, Halliburton’s OI shows calls concentrated at strikes 28.5, 29, and 30. Puts dominate at 26, 27, and 27.5. Put OI is higher at key levels.

How JPMorgan’s Massive Investments Are Reshaping the Future of Banking! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s latest financial results reveal a robust performance for the fourth quarter of 2024.
  • The firm reported net income of $14 billion with earnings per share (EPS) of $4.81 on revenue of $43.7 billion, reflecting a year-on-year revenue increase of 10%.
  • The return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) was a solid 21%.

[US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/03] Henry Hub Pulls Back from Uptrend on Shifting Weather Forecasts

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 17/Jan, U.S. natural gas prices declined 1% amid volatility driven by shifting weather forecasts, increasing LNG exports, and falling inventories.
  • Henry Hub Put/Call volume ratio fell to 1.18 from 1.29 (10/Jan) the previous week as call volumes dropped by 5.1% WoW, while put volumes declined by 13.5%. 
  • Henry Hub OI PCR stayed put at 0.92 from last week. Call OI inched up by 6.9% WoW, while put OI increased by 7.4%.

[US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/03] WTI Gained for the Fourth Straight Week on Supply Concerns

By Suhas Reddy

  • WTI futures rose 1.7% for the week ending 17/Jan, driven by healthy U.S. economic data, falling crude inventories, and supply concerns.
  • WTI options Put/Call volume ratio surged to 1.28 from 0.83 (10/Jan) last week, as call volume fell by 70.7% WoW while put volume decreased by 54.7%.  
  • WTI OI PCR rose to 1.00 from 0.94 last week. Call OI fell by 11.7% WoW, while put OI declined by 6.4%.

Citigroup’s Turnaround Playbook: Core Drivers Shaping Future Performance! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Citigroup has released its fourth quarter earnings for 2024, showcasing a notable rise in net income by almost 40% to $12.7 billion for the full year, indicating positive momentum across key business segments.
  • This performance was coupled with a revenue increase of 5% excluding divestitures, supported by a 17% uptick in fee revenue, and an efficiency ratio improvement by 340 basis points, which highlights the company’s operational improvements.
  • However, certain macroeconomic challenges remain persistent, such as China’s slower-than-anticipated growth and Europe’s underperformance.

Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc.(ODTX): Biotech Combating Ulcerative Colitis, or UC, Files for IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • Biotech seeking to transform the standard of care for patients suffering from autoimmune and inflammatory diseases filed its IPO on January 18th
  • Lead program, OD-07656, is currently in a Phase 2a monotherapy trial for ulcerative colitis
  • Potential IPO for Odyssey Therapeutics would be the first half of February

Omnicom and IPG Merger of $25.6B Combined Revenue: Market Reaction and Major US Index Implications

By Harry Kalfas

  • The merger between Omnicom Group (OMC US) and Interpublic Group Of Companies (IPG US) aims to create a marketing powerhouse with $25.6 billion in revenue and $750 million in annual synergies.
  • Deal spread narrowed due to Omnicom’s price drop, signalling market caution over post-merger performance.
  • The merger’s close, expected in 2025, will impact major US indices on an intra-quarter basis.

Quanta Services Inc (PWR) – Tuesday, Oct 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

Key points

  • Quanta Services has addressed issues and made investments in its electric power infrastructure solutions segment
  • Surge in demand due to regulatory shifts and one-off projects has benefitted Quanta Services, but demand is expected to decrease in 2024
  • Limited total addressable market and unsustainable peak expectations make Quanta Services a compelling short opportunity

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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Daily Brief China: Mixue Group, Guming Holdings, Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust, Fu Shou Yuan, SITC International, New World Development and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • HKEx Consultation Paper – What Matters for ECM Investors
  • Guming Holdings (Good Me) IPO: The Bull Case
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (21-Jan-2025): Henderson sells Kowloon project to Miramar for $400M.
  • Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – Investment Strategy May Need to Be Adjusted
  • Guming (Good Me) IPO: Key Facts and Financials at First Glance
  • SITC International (1308 HK): Beating Expectations Again
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


HKEx Consultation Paper – What Matters for ECM Investors

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Stock Exchange of Hong Kong issued a consultation paper titled Proposals to Optimise IPO Price Discovery and Open Market Requirements with new mechanisms proposed for the IPO in the future.
  • In this note, we summarize key points for ECM investors and analyze the impact from a historical perspective the impact for ECM investors.
  • We are of the view that overall the changes will benefit ECM investors by reallocating a portion of the profits from cornerstone investors.

Guming Holdings (Good Me) IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

  • Guming Holdings (GUM HK) (Good me), a freshly-made tea store brand, is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$300 million, according to press reports. 
  • Guming is China’s largest mid-priced freshly-made tea store brand and the second largest freshly-made brand across all price ranges, regarding GMV in 2023.
  • The bull case rests on a rising market share, strong franchisee profitability, top-tier revenue growth, high margins, cash generation and a strong balance sheet. 

Asia Real Estate Tracker (21-Jan-2025): Henderson sells Kowloon project to Miramar for $400M.

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • Henderson sells Kowloon project to Miramar Hotel for $400M in a strategic move to shift focus and secure a profitable deal.
  • CapitaLand shifts Tan to commercial REIT and hires Yong to lead Malaysia Trust, showing active leadership changes within the company.
  • CapitaLand India Trust initiates $54M Hyderabad IT Park revamp, signaling a significant investment in the Indian real estate market.

Fu Shou Yuan (1448.HK) – Investment Strategy May Need to Be Adjusted

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Fu Shou Yuan’s performance in full-year 2024 is likely to fall short of expectations. The current pain point is declining performance growth due to difficulty of expanding beyond Shanghai region.
  • If Fu Shou Yuan’s dividends/stock buybacks are lower-than-expected, we don’t think the stock is worth holding for the long term, since long-term revenue growth rate would fall to single digit.
  • Since high growth is difficult to achieve, it’s better to buy at a low price (e.g. PE of 10x).When valuation bounces back to 15x PE, investors could consider taking profits.

Guming (Good Me) IPO: Key Facts and Financials at First Glance

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Guming Holdings (GUM HK), a leading player in China’s freshly-made branded beverage sector, is widely expected to launch its IPO soon.
  • Guming’s Good Me brand is China’s largest mid-priced freshly-made tea store brand in terms of store count as well as GMV.
  • Guming reported robust revenue and profit growth for first nine months of 2024 led by new store openings, although same-store sales declined due to rising competition and weak consumer spending.

SITC International (1308 HK): Beating Expectations Again

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • SITC International (1308 HK)‘s positive profit alert beat the FY24 forecast by 12%. It also suggests an acceleration in growth to 1.9-2.1x in 2H24, from +13% in 1H24. 
  • The muted share price performance reflects concerns about an influx of capacity, intra-Asia demand outlook, and freight rate prospects. We refute such worries.
  • It stands on an attractive dividend yield of 11.1% for FY24. Even under conservative earnings forecasts, its 8.1% and 6.6% yields for FY25 and FY26 are appealing.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: New World Development, China Vanke, Vedanta Resources
  • The US market was closed for the Martin Luther King Jr Day holiday yesterday.
  • In China, the one-year and five-year loan prime rates (quoted by commercial banks) have been maintained at 3.10% and 3.60%, respectively.

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Daily Brief India: Indusind Bank and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun 25: Two Sensex Changes Could Trigger US$440mn One-Way Flows


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun 25: Two Sensex Changes Could Trigger US$440mn One-Way Flows

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 Indices in the June 2025 index rebal event.
  • As things stand, there could be two index changes for the SENSEX index.
  • There could be two ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 Index and four ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 Index.

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Daily Brief Japan: Kokusai Electric , Shinko Electric Industries, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (Sponsored Adr) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): Lock-Up Expiry, Index Deletion, Index Inclusion – It’s All Happening
  • Shinko Electric (6967 JP): JIC’s Tender Offer on the Home Stretch
  • Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group’s Ruthless Expense Overhaul


Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): Lock-Up Expiry, Index Deletion, Index Inclusion – It’s All Happening

By Brian Freitas


Shinko Electric (6967 JP): JIC’s Tender Offer on the Home Stretch

By Arun George

  • Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)’s tender offer from a JIC alliance is at JPY5,920. Today’s update notes that JIC has satisfied the regulatory precondition. 
  • The tender offer is expected to commence in mid-February. The Board will continue to recommend it because it remains attractive. 
  • Deal fatigue (announced in December 2023) and Ibiden’s derating will nudge shareholders to accept. At the last close and for an end-of-March payment, the gross/annualised spread was 0.7%/3.9%.

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group’s Ruthless Expense Overhaul

By Baptista Research

  • Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (SMFG) presented a mixed set of results for the fiscal year ended in March 2017, with several positives but also notable challenges.
  • The company’s profit attributable to owners of the parent came in at JPY 706.5 billion, an increase of JPY 59.8 billion from the previous year, partly due to the tax effects associated with adopting a consolidated corporate tax system.
  • This tax benefit, however, will not recur, impacting future profitability metrics.

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Most Read: Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), Posco DX, Zomato, Kokusai Electric , Seoul Guarantee Insurance, Shinko Electric Industries, Mixue Group, Korea Zinc, Lotes Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • Kokusai Electric (6525) – Upcoming Lockup Expiry And BIG Index Demand
  • CATL (300750 CH): Index Inclusion Post H-Share Listing
  • KOSPI Size Indices: When Active Met Passive
  • Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: US$1.2bn Collective One-Way Flows but Momentum Is Negative
  • Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): Lock-Up Expiry, Index Deletion, Index Inclusion – It’s All Happening
  • Korea’s Financial Regs Drop New IPO Allocation and Delisting Rules: What It Means and What to Expect
  • Shinko Electric (6967 JP): JIC’s Tender Offer on the Home Stretch
  • HKEx Consultation Paper – What Matters for ECM Investors
  • Korea Zinc: An Important Legal Decision to Disallow Appointment of Directors Using Cumulative Voting
  • Taiwan: Potential Global Index Changes; Last Review Day Today


Kokusai Electric (6525) – Upcoming Lockup Expiry And BIG Index Demand

By Travis Lundy

  • Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) was IPOed in September 2023. The stock was cheap. It rose sharply, tripling in 9 months. At the ATH, the pre-IPO owners launched a HUGE secondary.
  • It was like a second IPO. The stock dipped, rallied, plummeted into pricing. Stayed there for two days, and in 6 months, the shares have halved. 
  • Lockup expiry is next week, and there is a likely large index event in ~10 weeks.

CATL (300750 CH): Index Inclusion Post H-Share Listing

By Brian Freitas


KOSPI Size Indices: When Active Met Passive

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.
  • Over halfway through the review period, we forecast 39 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.
  • Three potential downward migrations were deleted from a global index in November. Now, four more potential downward migrations could be deleted from the same global index in February.

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Mar 25: US$1.2bn Collective One-Way Flows but Momentum Is Negative

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices in the March 2025 index rebal event.
  • We see two changes for the NIFTY 50 index and five changes for the NIFTY 100 index.

Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): Lock-Up Expiry, Index Deletion, Index Inclusion – It’s All Happening

By Brian Freitas


Korea’s Financial Regs Drop New IPO Allocation and Delisting Rules: What It Means and What to Expect

By Sanghyun Park

  • We might see a liquidity crunch post-listing, with tighter regulations and mandatory holding drying up liquidity, causing more volatile price swings.
  • Big local players with heavy lock-ups will take a large allocation, creating significant overhang risk at the six-month mark. Stronger IPO eligibility boosts costs, pushing funds toward riskier trades.
  • Overall, this feels like a quick fix. Rather than focusing on long-term market improvements, we should focus on the new pricing patterns likely to emerge in the short term.

Shinko Electric (6967 JP): JIC’s Tender Offer on the Home Stretch

By Arun George

  • Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)’s tender offer from a JIC alliance is at JPY5,920. Today’s update notes that JIC has satisfied the regulatory precondition. 
  • The tender offer is expected to commence in mid-February. The Board will continue to recommend it because it remains attractive. 
  • Deal fatigue (announced in December 2023) and Ibiden’s derating will nudge shareholders to accept. At the last close and for an end-of-March payment, the gross/annualised spread was 0.7%/3.9%.

HKEx Consultation Paper – What Matters for ECM Investors

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Stock Exchange of Hong Kong issued a consultation paper titled Proposals to Optimise IPO Price Discovery and Open Market Requirements with new mechanisms proposed for the IPO in the future.
  • In this note, we summarize key points for ECM investors and analyze the impact from a historical perspective the impact for ECM investors.
  • We are of the view that overall the changes will benefit ECM investors by reallocating a portion of the profits from cornerstone investors.

Korea Zinc: An Important Legal Decision to Disallow Appointment of Directors Using Cumulative Voting

By Douglas Kim

  • On 21 January, there was an important legal court decision to disallow the appointment of directors using the cumulative voting system at the Korea Zinc’s EGM on 23 January.
  • This legal decision is likely to favor MBK/Young Poong alliance in the control of Korea Zinc. The market increasingly favors the likelihood of MBK/Young Poong alliance winning this proxy battle.
  • Therefore, the chance of a further M&A battle has been reduced which is likely to further decline in the share price of Korea Zinc. 

Taiwan: Potential Global Index Changes; Last Review Day Today

By Brian Freitas

  • There could be 2 adds and 2 deletes for Taiwan in a global index in February. Today is the last trading day ahead of the CNY holidays.
  • Passive trackers will need to trade between US$76m to US$370m of the stocks and impact will vary between 3.2x-7x ADV to trade.
  • Shorts are small in the potential adds and there has been short covering recently, while there has been a big increase in shorts for one of the potential deletes.

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Daily Brief Industrials: SITC International, Quanta Services, SIA Engineering, Deutsche Post and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • SITC International (1308 HK): Beating Expectations Again
  • Quanta Services Inc (PWR) – Tuesday, Oct 22, 2024
  • Company Spotlight: SIA Engineering
  • What’s News in Amsterdam – 21 January 2025 (PostNL)


SITC International (1308 HK): Beating Expectations Again

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • SITC International (1308 HK)‘s positive profit alert beat the FY24 forecast by 12%. It also suggests an acceleration in growth to 1.9-2.1x in 2H24, from +13% in 1H24. 
  • The muted share price performance reflects concerns about an influx of capacity, intra-Asia demand outlook, and freight rate prospects. We refute such worries.
  • It stands on an attractive dividend yield of 11.1% for FY24. Even under conservative earnings forecasts, its 8.1% and 6.6% yields for FY25 and FY26 are appealing.

Quanta Services Inc (PWR) – Tuesday, Oct 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

Key points

  • Quanta Services has addressed issues and made investments in its electric power infrastructure solutions segment
  • Surge in demand due to regulatory shifts and one-off projects has benefitted Quanta Services, but demand is expected to decrease in 2024
  • Limited total addressable market and unsustainable peak expectations make Quanta Services a compelling short opportunity

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Company Spotlight: SIA Engineering

By Geoff Howie

Company Spotlight: SIA Engineering

What’s News in Amsterdam – 21 January 2025 (PostNL)

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • PostNL | post analyst call comment

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Korea Zinc, Glencore Plc, Halliburton Co, Natural Gas, Sanil Electric, Crude Oil, Serica Energy, Deep Yellow , Infinity Natural Resources, Santacruz Silver Mining and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea Zinc: An Important Legal Decision to Disallow Appointment of Directors Using Cumulative Voting
  • We’re Back. And so are Mega Deals
  • [Pre Earnings Options Flash] Halliburton’s Options Market Data Indicates Bearish Sentiment
  • [US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/03] Henry Hub Pulls Back from Uptrend on Shifting Weather Forecasts
  • Sanil Electric US$1.1bn Lockup Expiry – Tempting to Book 2x Gains in Six Months
  • [US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/03] WTI Gained for the Fourth Straight Week on Supply Concerns
  • Serica Energy Plc: 40 Mboe/D Production in 2025. Expect Generous Shareholders’ Distribution in 2025
  • DYLLF: The Final Investment Decision (FID) for Tumas will now be made in March 2025. An upgraded Ore Reserve Estimate on the Tumas Project
  • Infinity Natural Resources (INR): Peeking at the Prospectus of Next Oil & Natural Gas Assets IPO
  • Santacruz Silver: A Mispriced Multi-Asset Silver Producer


Korea Zinc: An Important Legal Decision to Disallow Appointment of Directors Using Cumulative Voting

By Douglas Kim

  • On 21 January, there was an important legal court decision to disallow the appointment of directors using the cumulative voting system at the Korea Zinc’s EGM on 23 January.
  • This legal decision is likely to favor MBK/Young Poong alliance in the control of Korea Zinc. The market increasingly favors the likelihood of MBK/Young Poong alliance winning this proxy battle.
  • Therefore, the chance of a further M&A battle has been reduced which is likely to further decline in the share price of Korea Zinc. 

We’re Back. And so are Mega Deals

By Money of Mine

  • Rumors of a potential merger between Glencore and Rio Tinto, which would be the largest mining M&A deal ever
  • Talks were reported to have occurred in the second half of last year but are not currently active
  • Both companies have London listings and did not comment on the rumors, indicating a potential window of no talking due to UK takeover rules

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


[Pre Earnings Options Flash] Halliburton’s Options Market Data Indicates Bearish Sentiment

By Suhas Reddy

  • Halliburton will report its Q4 earnings on 22/Jan, with revenue and EPS projected to fall sequentially and annually. For fiscal 2024, revenue and net profit are expected to drop.
  • Halliburton’s OI PCR at 1.21, signalling bearish sentiment, with a 67% IV percentile indicating moderately high volatility.
  • For the 24/Jan expiry, Halliburton’s OI shows calls concentrated at strikes 28.5, 29, and 30. Puts dominate at 26, 27, and 27.5. Put OI is higher at key levels.

[US Nat Gas Options Weekly 2025/03] Henry Hub Pulls Back from Uptrend on Shifting Weather Forecasts

By Suhas Reddy

  • For the week ending 17/Jan, U.S. natural gas prices declined 1% amid volatility driven by shifting weather forecasts, increasing LNG exports, and falling inventories.
  • Henry Hub Put/Call volume ratio fell to 1.18 from 1.29 (10/Jan) the previous week as call volumes dropped by 5.1% WoW, while put volumes declined by 13.5%. 
  • Henry Hub OI PCR stayed put at 0.92 from last week. Call OI inched up by 6.9% WoW, while put OI increased by 7.4%.

Sanil Electric US$1.1bn Lockup Expiry – Tempting to Book 2x Gains in Six Months

By Clarence Chu

  • Sanil Electric (062040 KS) listed in Korea on 29th July 2024 after raising US$193m. Its six-month lockup will expire on 29th Jan 2025.
  • Sanil Electric is a specialized company that manufactures and sells reactors, transformers, railway vehicle parts, and switchboards. As an industrial transformer manufacturer, the company mainly manufactures power and distribution transformers.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.

[US Crude Oil Options Weekly 2025/03] WTI Gained for the Fourth Straight Week on Supply Concerns

By Suhas Reddy

  • WTI futures rose 1.7% for the week ending 17/Jan, driven by healthy U.S. economic data, falling crude inventories, and supply concerns.
  • WTI options Put/Call volume ratio surged to 1.28 from 0.83 (10/Jan) last week, as call volume fell by 70.7% WoW while put volume decreased by 54.7%.  
  • WTI OI PCR rose to 1.00 from 0.94 last week. Call OI fell by 11.7% WoW, while put OI declined by 6.4%.

Serica Energy Plc: 40 Mboe/D Production in 2025. Expect Generous Shareholders’ Distribution in 2025

By Auctus Advisors

  • FY24 production of 34.6 mboe/d had been reported previously.
  • The GE-05 well (Serica WI: 100%) has been brought into production at a stable rate of 6 mbbl/d after having flowed 9 mbbl/d on test.
  • This exceeds our estimate of 3 mbbl/d.


Infinity Natural Resources (INR): Peeking at the Prospectus of Next Oil & Natural Gas Assets IPO

By IPO Boutique

  • Oil & Natural Gas company focusing on the Appalachian Basin sets terms for its IPO
  • The company is offering 13.25mm shares at a range of $18.00-$21.00 and will debut on Friday, January 31
  • Total oil, natural gas and NGL net revenues for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 increased by $100.6 million, or 114%

Santacruz Silver: A Mispriced Multi-Asset Silver Producer

By Atrium Research

  • Santacruz is a multi-asset Canadian mining company focused on silver with assets in Latin America.
  • In April, the Company refinanced its debt with Glencore, reducing net debt from $176M in Q4/23 to $46M in Q3/24.
  • SCZ is now printing cash, generating $30M in OCF in Q3 and is on pace to generate $79M in 2024E.

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