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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief South Korea: LOTTE Corporation, Gabia Inc, Smec Co Ltd, Samsung SDI and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Ruling Party Unveils Key Details of 3rd Commercial Act Amendment: Mandatory Treasury-Share Disposal
  • A Tender Offer of 10% Stake in Gabia by Align Partners Asset Management
  • SNT Group – Formalizes a Hostile Takeover of SMEC
  • Primer: Smec Co Ltd (099440 KS) – Nov 2025
  • Samsung SDI (006400): When Is the Buying Opportunity?


Ruling Party Unveils Key Details of 3rd Commercial Act Amendment: Mandatory Treasury-Share Disposal

By Sanghyun Park

  • The proposed bill fully closes the treasury-share loopholes, bans all exchangeable/pledge uses, blocks M&A allocations, and imposes strict cancellation deadlines—1 year for new buys, 6 months for existing.
  • The amendment tightens disposal rules: no cancellation means pro-rata sales to existing shareholders only, shutting down selective deals and closing the wide-open disposal gap under current law.
  • The proposal is far tougher than expected, likely to become the final version, and should drive a near-term mandatory-cancel narrative and notable price action in governance-sensitive holding-co names.

A Tender Offer of 10% Stake in Gabia by Align Partners Asset Management

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 24 November, it was announced that Align Partners is conducting a partial tender offer of a 10% stake in Gabia Inc (079940 KS). 
  • Tender offer price is 33,000 won (20% higher than current price). Tender offer amount is 44.7 billion won. 
  • If Align Partners successfully completes this tender offer, its stake would rise to 19.03%. Plus, the combined stakes of Align Partners and Miri Capital would be 42.99%. 

SNT Group – Formalizes a Hostile Takeover of SMEC

By Douglas Kim

  • On 24 November, the SNT Group formalized its hostile takeover of Smec. S&T Holdings  disclosed that it acquired an additional 5.46% stake in SMEC, raising its stake to 13.65%.
  • S&T Holdings and SNT Group Chairman Choi combined own a 20.2% stake in SMEC. In comparison, the SMEC CEO Choi Young-seop owns a 9.75% stake in SMEC.
  • In our view, this is likely to lead to a potential fight for the control of SMEC’s management rights, pushing up the share price of SMEC even further.

Primer: Smec Co Ltd (099440 KS) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Smec Co Ltd is a South Korean company with dual exposure to the cyclical machine tool industry and the evolving telecommunications sector. Its machinery division, rooted in Samsung Heavy Industries, produces CNC lathes, machining centers, and robotic automation solutions. The ICT division provides various gateway solutions.
  • The company is strategically positioned to benefit from the growth in factory automation and the transition to electric vehicles (EVs), which require advanced manufacturing equipment. Recent corporate actions, including a significant stake acquisition by SNT Holdings with the stated purpose of influencing management, could signal a strategic shift and a more aggressive approach to enhancing corporate value.
  • Despite a strong growth track record in revenue and net income over the past several years, the company faces intense competition from larger domestic players and is susceptible to the capital expenditure cycles of its key end-markets. The lack of a consistent dividend payment may be a deterrent for income-focused investors.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Samsung SDI (006400): When Is the Buying Opportunity?

By Henry Soediarko

  • Recent quarters operating numbers for Samsung SDI (006400 KS) is quite poor and have caused the share price to decrease accordingly. 
  • The share price has rallied on the back of the news on Tesla’s new business to order ESS from Samsung SDI. 
  • At what level shall investors start to accumulate Samsung SDI. 

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Daily Brief ECM: UltraGreen.ai IPO: High Growth and High Margins and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • UltraGreen.ai IPO: High Growth and High Margins, Market Leader
  • Klook Travel Technology (KLK): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of a Hong Kong Based Travel Platform
  • Chagee Holdings (CHA) Six-Month Summary: Stark Warning on Volatility, China-Based IPO Risk
  • Hornbeck Offshore Services, Inc. (HOS): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Marine Services Company
  • NS Group (471A) IPO: The Investment Case
  • SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison
  • Pre-IPO Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention


UltraGreen.ai IPO: High Growth and High Margins, Market Leader

By Hong Jie Seow

  • UltraGreen.AI (2594794D SP) is looking to raise US$400m in its upcoming Singapore IPO.
  • UltraGreen is a global leader in Fluorescence Guided Surgery (FGS), a surgical approach that helps doctors see things inside the body that are normally invisible under regular white light.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Klook Travel Technology (KLK): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of a Hong Kong Based Travel Platform

By IPO Boutique

  • Klook leads APAC’s fast-growing travel-experiences market with mobile-first, AI-driven personalization and deep merchant integration across 310,000 offerings in 4,200 destinations.
  • Rapid GTV and profit-margin improvement highlight growing scale, strengthened monetization, and rising APAC demand in an under-digitized, fragmented global experiences sector.
  • Despite strong positioning, IPO prospects face scrutiny given sector volatility and recent peer underperformance, warranting cautious investor evaluation ahead of 2025 pricing.

Chagee Holdings (CHA) Six-Month Summary: Stark Warning on Volatility, China-Based IPO Risk

By IPO Boutique

  • Chagee’s IPO surged early but collapsed, falling nearly 70% from its debut high amid intense market and China-based issuer volatility.
  • Weak U.S. sponsorship and a sales miss triggered sustained selling pressure, pushing CHA far below its $28 issue price.
  • The deal highlights 2025’s unforgiving IPO environment, where consumer and China-linked listings face sharp downside risk when momentum fades.

Hornbeck Offshore Services, Inc. (HOS): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of Marine Services Company

By IPO Boutique

  • Hornbeck operates one of the world’s largest high-spec offshore fleets, serving diversified markets including oilfield services, military support, and emerging offshore wind.
  • Strong revenue growth and consistent profitability reflect resilient demand across deepwater energy, specialty services, and expanding non-oilfield markets.
  • IPO prospects hinge on market timing and valuation, as energy-related offerings have produced mixed results in 2025.

NS Group (471A) IPO: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • NS Group (471A JP) is a Japanese property rent guarantee company. It is seeking to raise up to US$255 million. Pricing is on 1 December and listing is on 16 December.   
  • The controlling shareholder is Bain Capital, which owns 51.0% of voting rights. The offering is a pure secondary sale by Bain.   
  • The investment case rests on its unique market positioning, accelerating growth, sector-leading profitability, cash generation, and low leverage. 

SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison

By Sumeet Singh

  • SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing.
  • SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.
  • We have looked at past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison

Pre-IPO Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Xiao Noodles’ advantage doesn’t come from a single product, but from a set of replicable systematic capabilities.However, investors are concerned growth is driven by capital rather than endogenous healthy growth.
  • Valuation would be lower than those mature brands that have proven profitability in the short term, but would be higher than the companies that are still exploring profit paths.
  • Comfortable valuation could be P/E of 15-20x, which indicates arbitrage space. But in long term, business model will be difficult to sustain if there’s no breakthrough in profit margin performance.  

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Daily Brief India: ReNew Energy Global , Capacit’e Infraprojects, Khazanchi Jewellers, Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • The Beat Ideas- Capacite Infraprojects: Optimizing the Growth Trajectory
  • Khazanchi Jewellers: Scaling Wholesale Strength and Building Retail for the Future
  • Narayana Hrudayalaya: A Quarter of Record Performance and Strategic Expansion


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: ReNew Energy, China Jinmao
  • UST yields fell on Friday, led by the front end, after New York Fed President John Williams said he saw room for another rate cut in the near term, amid a softening labour market.
  • The yield on the 2Y UST declined 6 bps to 3.53%, while that on the 10Y UST dropped 5 bps to 4.09%. Equities recovered on Friday, but remained down for the week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose 1.0% and 0.9% to 6,603 and 22,273, respectively.
  •  

The Beat Ideas- Capacite Infraprojects: Optimizing the Growth Trajectory

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Capacite Infraprojects saw its highest-ever Q2 performance with 24% YoY income growth. It achieved nearly its full-year order inflow target of Rs. 3,500 crores in H1 FY26, signaling strong execution. 
  • The Rs. 11,991 crores order book provides robust 4.5x revenue visibility, and a shift towards the upper end of the 16.5%-17.5% EBITDA margin guidance suggests improving operational efficiency and profitability.
  • CIL is set for sustained, high-double-digit growth with major H2 FY26 project ramp-ups and a Rs. 4,000 crores FY28 revenue target, necessitating a focus on execution and working capital strategies.

Khazanchi Jewellers: Scaling Wholesale Strength and Building Retail for the Future

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Khazanchi Jewellers posts a strong Q2FY26 with 46% revenue growth, 119% PAT surge, and a major 10,000 sq. ft. Chennai flagship store set to launch in Jan 2026.
  • High-Margin retail and diamond segments are accelerating, supported by a stable B2B engine with 90% repeat orders, positioning the company for structural margin expansion and stronger long-term earnings visibility.
  • Khazanchi enters a high-growth phase, with premiumisation, retail expansion, and strong execution driving sustainable profitability and transforming it from a wholesale-led player into a high-margin retail-focused jewellery brand.

Narayana Hrudayalaya: A Quarter of Record Performance and Strategic Expansion

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • NARH delivered its best-ever quarter in Q2FY26, with 20.3% YoY revenue growth, 30.3% YoY EBITDA growth and margin expansion across India and Cayman.
  • Margins improved even with limited capacity, showing stronger earnings quality. Cayman maintains over 40% margins, and India is preparing for a major INR 3,000 crore expansion phase.
  • With India easing capacity limits, Cayman scaling, and the UK Practice Plus acquisition expanding global reach, NARH is evolving into a stronger multi-country healthcare platform with long-term growth potential.

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Daily Brief United States: Gold, Klook, Chagee Holdings, Global Payments, Paymentus Holdings , ADT , Becton Dickinson and Co, Crude Oil, Gartner Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • Ep. 132 Real Conversations | Jim Rickards: Gold, Chaos and the Great Reckoning Ahead
  • Global Commodities: Metals headed for even greater heights
  • Klook Travel Technology (KLK): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of a Hong Kong Based Travel Platform
  • Chagee Holdings (CHA) Six-Month Summary: Stark Warning on Volatility, China-Based IPO Risk
  • Global Payments Dumps Issuer Solutions — Could This Game-Changing Divestiture Unlock Massive Cash Flow?
  • Primer: Paymentus Holdings ( PAY US) – Nov 2025
  • ADT Rises as a Smart-Security Juggernaut With Powerful Tech Upgrades & Market-Shifting Strategy!
  • New BD Looks Cheap But I’m Not Ready to Buy (Yet)
  • Oil futures: Prices plunge as Ukraine to consider US-backed peace deal
  • Gartner Inc: Setting the Stage for Breakthrough Revenue Growth With Smart Expansion!


Ep. 132 Real Conversations | Jim Rickards: Gold, Chaos and the Great Reckoning Ahead

By Real Conversations

  • Gold prices have been steadily rising, with projections of reaching $10,000, possibly as soon as 2026.
  • The recent surge in gold prices has attracted more institutional investors and retail buyers, especially in countries like Australia and China.
  • The volatility in gold prices has also increased, with the potential for rapid gains as smaller percentage increases can lead to significant profits.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Global Commodities: Metals headed for even greater heights

By At Any Rate

  • Strong gold demand in 3Q25, totaling almost 980 tons, leading to a surge in demand inflow
  • Expectation of continued central bank buying and investor demand growth in 2026
  • Bullish outlook for gold prices, with potential risks including rate sensitivity and potential tariff uncertainties for other precious metals

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Klook Travel Technology (KLK): Peeking at the IPO Prospectus of a Hong Kong Based Travel Platform

By IPO Boutique

  • Klook leads APAC’s fast-growing travel-experiences market with mobile-first, AI-driven personalization and deep merchant integration across 310,000 offerings in 4,200 destinations.
  • Rapid GTV and profit-margin improvement highlight growing scale, strengthened monetization, and rising APAC demand in an under-digitized, fragmented global experiences sector.
  • Despite strong positioning, IPO prospects face scrutiny given sector volatility and recent peer underperformance, warranting cautious investor evaluation ahead of 2025 pricing.

Chagee Holdings (CHA) Six-Month Summary: Stark Warning on Volatility, China-Based IPO Risk

By IPO Boutique

  • Chagee’s IPO surged early but collapsed, falling nearly 70% from its debut high amid intense market and China-based issuer volatility.
  • Weak U.S. sponsorship and a sales miss triggered sustained selling pressure, pushing CHA far below its $28 issue price.
  • The deal highlights 2025’s unforgiving IPO environment, where consumer and China-linked listings face sharp downside risk when momentum fades.

Global Payments Dumps Issuer Solutions — Could This Game-Changing Divestiture Unlock Massive Cash Flow?

By Baptista Research

  • Global Payments Inc. delivered a strong performance in the third quarter of 2025, showcasing robust operational results and strategic initiatives that position the company for future growth.
  • The company reported 6% constant currency adjusted net revenue growth, excluding dispositions, alongside 110 basis points of margin expansion and 11% constant currency adjusted EPS growth compared to the prior year.
  • This performance was bolstered by strong execution across various business units, notably Merchant Solutions and Issuer Solutions.

Primer: Paymentus Holdings ( PAY US) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Paymentus is a high-growth, cloud-based bill payment technology provider, capitalizing on the secular shift from paper to electronic transactions. Its strong revenue growth is driven by onboarding new clients and increasing transaction volumes.
  • The company’s proprietary Instant Payment Network (IPN) and omni-channel platform create a network effect, enhancing its competitive moat. Strategic partnerships with major financial institutions and technology companies are expanding its market reach.
  • While the company exhibits strong top-line momentum and improving profitability, it faces risks from customer concentration, potential margin pressure from large enterprise clients, and intense competition in the fragmented electronic payments market.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


ADT Rises as a Smart-Security Juggernaut With Powerful Tech Upgrades & Market-Shifting Strategy!

By Baptista Research

  • ADT’s third-quarter 2025 financial performance indicates a steady trajectory with both positive and negative elements impacting its outlook.
  • The company’s financial highlights reveal a 4% increase in total revenue to $1.3 billion and a 3% growth in adjusted EBITDA to $676 million.
  • Additionally, the adjusted earnings per diluted share rose by 15% year-over-year to $0.23, reflecting robust cash flow generation amounting to $709 million year-to-date.

New BD Looks Cheap But I’m Not Ready to Buy (Yet)

By Richard Howe

  • In Q1 2026, BDX will merge its Biosciences & Diagnostic Solutions segment to Waters (WAT). BDX will receive $4BN in cash and 0.14 WAT shares per BDX share, leaving its shareholders with roughly 39 percent of the combined company.

  • The remaining business, referred to as New BD, will be a focused med-tech company with ~$18BN in revenue across Medical Essentials, Connected Care, BioPharma Systems, and Interventional. More than 90 percent of revenue will be recurring, and management expects high single-digit earnings growth.

  • New BD’s valuation looks appealing. Based on where BDX and WAT currently trade, New BD implies a P/E of roughly 11x earnings. I believe the business deserves at least a 13x multiple, which would equate to about 12% upside. That said, I’m not ready to buy yet.


Oil futures: Prices plunge as Ukraine to consider US-backed peace deal

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures tumbled on Friday as ceasefire speculation around the Russia/Ukraine war gained momentum after President Zelensky agreed to work with Washington on the US-drafted proposals.
  • Front-month Jan26 ICE Brent futures were trading at $62.50/b (1933 GMT) versus Thursday’s settle of $63.38/b, while Jan26 NYMEX WTI was at $57.99/b against a previous close of $59/b.
  • President Zelensky said he is ready for “honest work” with the US after receiving a draft of the plan to end the war with Russia, although European officials have cautioned that the proposals are too one-sided in favour of Moscow.

Gartner Inc: Setting the Stage for Breakthrough Revenue Growth With Smart Expansion!

By Baptista Research

  • Gartner’s third-quarter 2025 financial results surpassed expectations amidst a dynamic macroeconomic environment.
  • The company navigated challenges like changes in the federal government and evolving tariff policies through operational adaptations that contributed to increased client retention and improved contract renewal rates.
  • Gartner’s client engagement indicators have shown positive trends, signaling potential future growth.

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Daily Brief China: Alibaba, Meitu Inc, Full Truck Alliance , CSPC Pharmaceutical Group, Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • ALIBABA (9988.HK) Earnings: Option Market Expectations and Post-Release Price Behavior
  • Meitu Inc (1357 HK): AI a Threat? Not Really – Long-Term Compounder Driven by Dual Growth Engines
  • Full Truck Alliance Q325 Results: Trimming Freight Brokerage Services Means Slower Near-Term Growth
  • CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): 9M25 Remain Subdued on Finished Drugs; Key Pivotal Data Read Outs Awaited
  • Pre-IPO Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention


ALIBABA (9988.HK) Earnings: Option Market Expectations and Post-Release Price Behavior

By John Ley

  • Alibaba will announce Q2 earnings on after the market close (HK time) November 25.
  • Earnings implied jump pricing is similar to the last release, but recent downside skew in past Q2 moves highlights why traders may focus more on potential weakness.
  • Recent market patterns, including muted reactions to beats and sharp responses to misses, add weight to risks around Baba’s earnings day move.

Meitu Inc (1357 HK): AI a Threat? Not Really – Long-Term Compounder Driven by Dual Growth Engines

By Raj S, CA, CFA

  • Meitu’s business model is not threatened by new AI image generation models. Long-term positioning remains intact. Last-mile workflows, a seventeen-year aesthetic dataset, and stable founder-led execution sustainable clear Moats.
  • Overseas markets offer materially higher pay-ratios and ARPU. Productivity and e-commerce tools drive the mix shift toward high-margin growth. Both support multi-year revenue compounding independent of AI capex cycles.
  • Recent Correction due to AI substitution fears drove the multiple to ~27x, placing PEG below 1x on 30% CAGR. Long-term buy with 100% upside and potential for strong re-rating.

Full Truck Alliance Q325 Results: Trimming Freight Brokerage Services Means Slower Near-Term Growth

By Daniel Hellberg

  • The company’s decision to de-emphasize Freight Brokerage Services undermined Q3 results
  • The rest of the company’s reporting segments performed well in all respects
  • Look for opportunity to buy YMM shares at US$9/ADS or better

CSPC Pharma (1093 HK): 9M25 Remain Subdued on Finished Drugs; Key Pivotal Data Read Outs Awaited

By Tina Banerjee

  • CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) 9M25 revenue dropped 12% YoY as finished drugs witnessed decrease on VBP and NRDL inclusion. Bulk products and license fees compensated to an extent.
  • Pressure on revenue will continue to be felt. Newly launched products, pipeline strength and out licensing opportunities would help ward off the effects of lower revenues from finished drugs.
  • CSPC Pharmaceutical aims to expand into the high-end market to achieve competitive differentiation and thereby command higher prices. Pivotal data read outs awaited.

Pre-IPO Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Xiao Noodles’ advantage doesn’t come from a single product, but from a set of replicable systematic capabilities.However, investors are concerned growth is driven by capital rather than endogenous healthy growth.
  • Valuation would be lower than those mature brands that have proven profitability in the short term, but would be higher than the companies that are still exploring profit paths.
  • Comfortable valuation could be P/E of 15-20x, which indicates arbitrage space. But in long term, business model will be difficult to sustain if there’s no breakthrough in profit margin performance.  

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Ruling Party Unveils Key Details of 3rd Commercial Act Amendment: Mandatory Treasury-Share Disposal and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Ruling Party Unveils Key Details of 3rd Commercial Act Amendment: Mandatory Treasury-Share Disposal
  • Qube Holdings (QUB AU): Macquarie’s NBIO at A$5.20
  • A Tender Offer of 10% Stake in Gabia by Align Partners Asset Management
  • SNT Group – Formalizes a Hostile Takeover of SMEC
  • Monash IVF (MVF AU) Rejects Soul Patts/Genesis’ Offer
  • Neinor / Aedas Homes – Second OPA at €24 for Minorities Reshapes the Arb


Ruling Party Unveils Key Details of 3rd Commercial Act Amendment: Mandatory Treasury-Share Disposal

By Sanghyun Park

  • The proposed bill fully closes the treasury-share loopholes, bans all exchangeable/pledge uses, blocks M&A allocations, and imposes strict cancellation deadlines—1 year for new buys, 6 months for existing.
  • The amendment tightens disposal rules: no cancellation means pro-rata sales to existing shareholders only, shutting down selective deals and closing the wide-open disposal gap under current law.
  • The proposal is far tougher than expected, likely to become the final version, and should drive a near-term mandatory-cancel narrative and notable price action in governance-sensitive holding-co names.

Qube Holdings (QUB AU): Macquarie’s NBIO at A$5.20

By Arun George

  • Qube Holdings (QUB AU) has received a non-binding proposal from Macquarie Asset Management (MAM) at A$5.20 per share, a 27.8% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The Board has granted exclusive due diligence until 1 February 2026 (or 15 February under certain circumstances). A scheme offer would be conditional on FIRB and ACCC approval. 
  • While the offer represents an all-time high, the scarcity value of high-quality infrastructure assets could spur a competing bid from others, such as Brookfield, which holds pre-emptive rights at Patrick.

A Tender Offer of 10% Stake in Gabia by Align Partners Asset Management

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 24 November, it was announced that Align Partners is conducting a partial tender offer of a 10% stake in Gabia Inc (079940 KS). 
  • Tender offer price is 33,000 won (20% higher than current price). Tender offer amount is 44.7 billion won. 
  • If Align Partners successfully completes this tender offer, its stake would rise to 19.03%. Plus, the combined stakes of Align Partners and Miri Capital would be 42.99%. 

SNT Group – Formalizes a Hostile Takeover of SMEC

By Douglas Kim

  • On 24 November, the SNT Group formalized its hostile takeover of Smec. S&T Holdings  disclosed that it acquired an additional 5.46% stake in SMEC, raising its stake to 13.65%.
  • S&T Holdings and SNT Group Chairman Choi combined own a 20.2% stake in SMEC. In comparison, the SMEC CEO Choi Young-seop owns a 9.75% stake in SMEC.
  • In our view, this is likely to lead to a potential fight for the control of SMEC’s management rights, pushing up the share price of SMEC even further.

Monash IVF (MVF AU) Rejects Soul Patts/Genesis’ Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Monash IVF (MVF AU), a fertility provider, has announced, and summarily rejected, a A$0.80/share non-binding indicative Offer from Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd (SOL AU) & Genesis Capital.
  • The indicative terms are a ~31% premium to last close. And ~7.7x FY25 EV/EBITDA. Chairman Richard Davis declared terms “opportunistic in timing and materially undervalues the company“. 
  • Genesis/Soul Patts collectively hold 19.6% in MVF.  MVF’s share price has cratered this year after a woman was mistakenly implanted with the wrong embryo. The CEO subsequently stepped down. 

Neinor / Aedas Homes – Second OPA at €24 for Minorities Reshapes the Arb

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Neinor will complete the voluntary OPA at €21.335 with Castlelake’s 79%, then launch a mandatory €24/share offer for minorities if acceptance falls below 50%, effectively setting a regulatory floor.
  • Aedas shares jumped to €23.65 as the market prices a near-certain €24 exit. The resulting 1.5% spread offers a mid–single-digit annualized return, driven mainly by timeline rather than deal risk.
  • Next steps include CNMV approval of the voluntary OPA, acceptance verification, and automatic escalation to the mandatory €24 offer. Execution risk remains minimal; timing drift is now the main variable.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Braskem 3Q25: Liquidity Strain Deepens as Bonds Remain in Distressed Territory


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: ReNew Energy, China Jinmao
  • UST yields fell on Friday, led by the front end, after New York Fed President John Williams said he saw room for another rate cut in the near term, amid a softening labour market.
  • The yield on the 2Y UST declined 6 bps to 3.53%, while that on the 10Y UST dropped 5 bps to 4.09%. Equities recovered on Friday, but remained down for the week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose 1.0% and 0.9% to 6,603 and 22,273, respectively.
  •  

Braskem 3Q25: Liquidity Strain Deepens as Bonds Remain in Distressed Territory

By Leandro Gubler

  • Braskem’s Overweight stance is supported by its strategic relevance and government links, with distressed bond prices already reflecting substantial downside risk.
  • We find better value in lower-priced bonds, especially the 2030 notes yielding 32.0% for a 3.0-year duration, while we see elevated risk in the 2081 hybrids.
  • Near-Term outcomes hinge on liquidity solutions, policy relief, and January coupon clarity, though recent developments and potential secured financing improve the probability of an alternative resolution.

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Most Read: Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie, Yum China Holdings , Innovent Biologics Inc, Pan Pacific International Holdings, LOTTE Corporation, Qube Holdings, Gabia Inc, Smec Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • HSTECH Index Rebalance: Leapmotor (9863 HK) To Replace ASMPT (522 HK) As Trade Hits US$3.5bn
  • HSCEI Index Rebalance: 3 Changes; Yum China In; Double Add for Innovent Bio
  • UK Labour Party: Damned If They Do…
  • Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Innovent Biologics Turns a Profit, Gets Added
  • Qube (QUB AU): Macquarie’s Lobs NBIO
  • [Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Mar26 – Kioxia (285A) On the Menu, Others Not Far Behind
  • Ruling Party Unveils Key Details of 3rd Commercial Act Amendment: Mandatory Treasury-Share Disposal
  • Qube Holdings (QUB AU): Macquarie’s NBIO at A$5.20
  • A Tender Offer of 10% Stake in Gabia by Align Partners Asset Management
  • SNT Group – Formalizes a Hostile Takeover of SMEC


HSTECH Index Rebalance: Leapmotor (9863 HK) To Replace ASMPT (522 HK) As Trade Hits US$3.5bn

By Brian Freitas


HSCEI Index Rebalance: 3 Changes; Yum China In; Double Add for Innovent Bio

By Brian Freitas


UK Labour Party: Damned If They Do…

By Alastair Newton

  • Whatever Rachel Reeves comes up with in her 26 November budget, she is bound to run into criticism from within her own parliamentary party.
  • Bond markets seem set to react badly to this, especially if it seems likely that her overall objectives will be undermined by internal resistance to proposed measures.
  • She and the PM will probably survive this, but a market-unsettling change and slide to the left look increasingly likely by mid-2026, followed by defeat at the next election.

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance: Innovent Biologics Turns a Profit, Gets Added

By Brian Freitas


Qube (QUB AU): Macquarie’s Lobs NBIO

By David Blennerhassett

  • Qube Holdings (QUB AU), a logistics and infrastructure play, has announced a A$5.20/share non-binding indicative Offer from Macquarie Asset Management, a unit of Macquarie Group (MQG AU).
  • That is a 27.8% premium to last close. And ~14.4x FY25 EV/EBITDA. The proposal “follows an earlier unsolicited, non-=binding and indicative offer at lower value.” Dividends paid will be netted.
  • Qube directors are supportive. The proposal is conditional on due diligence, board approvals, no MACs at Qube, plus regulatory clearance, including FIRB and ACCC signing off.

[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Mar26 – Kioxia (285A) On the Menu, Others Not Far Behind

By Travis Lundy

  • The March 2026 review for the Nikkei 225 is turning out to be a little more interesting than one might have expected a few months ago. 
  • As of the end of August, the 3mo ADTV for Kioxia (285A) was ¥18bn despite expectations it would go into M _ _ _. The 1mo average today? ¥383bn.
  • That means it has rapidly climbed into the top echelons of 5yr trading history. Importantly, JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) and Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) are not far behind.

Ruling Party Unveils Key Details of 3rd Commercial Act Amendment: Mandatory Treasury-Share Disposal

By Sanghyun Park

  • The proposed bill fully closes the treasury-share loopholes, bans all exchangeable/pledge uses, blocks M&A allocations, and imposes strict cancellation deadlines—1 year for new buys, 6 months for existing.
  • The amendment tightens disposal rules: no cancellation means pro-rata sales to existing shareholders only, shutting down selective deals and closing the wide-open disposal gap under current law.
  • The proposal is far tougher than expected, likely to become the final version, and should drive a near-term mandatory-cancel narrative and notable price action in governance-sensitive holding-co names.

Qube Holdings (QUB AU): Macquarie’s NBIO at A$5.20

By Arun George

  • Qube Holdings (QUB AU) has received a non-binding proposal from Macquarie Asset Management (MAM) at A$5.20 per share, a 27.8% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The Board has granted exclusive due diligence until 1 February 2026 (or 15 February under certain circumstances). A scheme offer would be conditional on FIRB and ACCC approval. 
  • While the offer represents an all-time high, the scarcity value of high-quality infrastructure assets could spur a competing bid from others, such as Brookfield, which holds pre-emptive rights at Patrick.

A Tender Offer of 10% Stake in Gabia by Align Partners Asset Management

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 24 November, it was announced that Align Partners is conducting a partial tender offer of a 10% stake in Gabia Inc (079940 KS). 
  • Tender offer price is 33,000 won (20% higher than current price). Tender offer amount is 44.7 billion won. 
  • If Align Partners successfully completes this tender offer, its stake would rise to 19.03%. Plus, the combined stakes of Align Partners and Miri Capital would be 42.99%. 

SNT Group – Formalizes a Hostile Takeover of SMEC

By Douglas Kim

  • On 24 November, the SNT Group formalized its hostile takeover of Smec. S&T Holdings  disclosed that it acquired an additional 5.46% stake in SMEC, raising its stake to 13.65%.
  • S&T Holdings and SNT Group Chairman Choi combined own a 20.2% stake in SMEC. In comparison, the SMEC CEO Choi Young-seop owns a 9.75% stake in SMEC.
  • In our view, this is likely to lead to a potential fight for the control of SMEC’s management rights, pushing up the share price of SMEC even further.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Asian Equities: Secular DPS Growth Matters and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Asian Equities: Secular DPS Growth Matters, Not Just Dividend Yield. Presenting Our “Asia 50”.
  • Primer: GlobalData (DATA LN) – Nov 2025
  • A Pair Trade Basket Of Korean Consumer/Leisure Stocks (Long) And Japanese Names (Short)
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Back in Extreme Range, UMC Discount
  • Tourism and Real Estate Stocks Dominate Filed Transactions Last Week
  • Global Payments Dumps Issuer Solutions — Could This Game-Changing Divestiture Unlock Massive Cash Flow?
  • New BD Looks Cheap But I’m Not Ready to Buy (Yet)
  • Primer: Paymentus Holdings ( PAY US) – Nov 2025
  • ADT Rises as a Smart-Security Juggernaut With Powerful Tech Upgrades & Market-Shifting Strategy!
  • Khazanchi Jewellers: Scaling Wholesale Strength and Building Retail for the Future


Asian Equities: Secular DPS Growth Matters, Not Just Dividend Yield. Presenting Our “Asia 50”.

By Manishi Raychaudhuri

  • While focus on dividend yield is common, we think secular growth in DPS over a long period of time is a stronger marker of robust earnings trajectory and shareholder friendliness. 
  • Among stocks in Asian EM and DM, we screen 50 that raised their DPS every year over the past decade – a commendable performance given earnings dislocations during this period.
  • Stocks from Japan (24), HK (10), onshore China (6), India (6), Singapore (2) and Taiwan (2) make up our list. 10 are large and liquid with strong forecast EPS growth.

Primer: GlobalData (DATA LN) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • GlobalData is a data analytics and consulting company with a strong, subscription-based recurring revenue model, which accounts for approximately 75-80% of its total revenue.
  • The company has demonstrated a solid long-term growth track record through both organic development and strategic acquisitions, though recent performance shows signs of slowing revenue growth and margin pressure.
  • Positioned in the growing business intelligence and analytics market, the company’s ‘One Platform’ model offers a scalable and integrated solution, but it faces significant competition from larger, established players.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


A Pair Trade Basket Of Korean Consumer/Leisure Stocks (Long) And Japanese Names (Short)

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss a pair trade involving a basket of Korean consumer stocks (long) and  a basket of Japanese consumer stocks (short) over the next 3-6 months.
  • The 10 Korean names (long basket) include Samyang Food, APR, Amorepacific Corp, Korean Air, CJ Corp, Classys, Nongshim, Shinsegae, Hotel Shilla, and Lotte Tour Development. 
  • The 10 Japanese names (short basket) include Fast Retailing, Oriental Land, Kao Corp, Seibu Holdings, ANA Holdings, Shiseido, J.Front Retailing, Kose Corp, Pola Orbis Holdings, and Kyoritsu Maintenance. 

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Back in Extreme Range, UMC Discount

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +25.8% Premium; Rebounded to High End of Range, Good Level to Open a Short of the ADR Spread
  • UMC: -2.2% Discount; Good Level to Open a Short of the ADR Spread
  • ASE: +3.2% Premium; Wait for More Extreme Level Before Going Long or Short

Tourism and Real Estate Stocks Dominate Filed Transactions Last Week

By Geoff Howie

  • Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks from Nov 14 to Nov 20, with a net outflow of S$131 million.
  • United Overseas Bank led share buybacks, acquiring 997,700 shares at an average price of S$34.01, totaling S$58.2 million.
  • Wing Tai Holdings’ Cheng Wai Keung increased his interest to 62.24%, while Banyan Tree Holdings’ Goodview Properties raised its stake to 6.06%.

Global Payments Dumps Issuer Solutions — Could This Game-Changing Divestiture Unlock Massive Cash Flow?

By Baptista Research

  • Global Payments Inc. delivered a strong performance in the third quarter of 2025, showcasing robust operational results and strategic initiatives that position the company for future growth.
  • The company reported 6% constant currency adjusted net revenue growth, excluding dispositions, alongside 110 basis points of margin expansion and 11% constant currency adjusted EPS growth compared to the prior year.
  • This performance was bolstered by strong execution across various business units, notably Merchant Solutions and Issuer Solutions.

New BD Looks Cheap But I’m Not Ready to Buy (Yet)

By Richard Howe

  • In Q1 2026, BDX will merge its Biosciences & Diagnostic Solutions segment to Waters (WAT). BDX will receive $4BN in cash and 0.14 WAT shares per BDX share, leaving its shareholders with roughly 39 percent of the combined company.

  • The remaining business, referred to as New BD, will be a focused med-tech company with ~$18BN in revenue across Medical Essentials, Connected Care, BioPharma Systems, and Interventional. More than 90 percent of revenue will be recurring, and management expects high single-digit earnings growth.

  • New BD’s valuation looks appealing. Based on where BDX and WAT currently trade, New BD implies a P/E of roughly 11x earnings. I believe the business deserves at least a 13x multiple, which would equate to about 12% upside. That said, I’m not ready to buy yet.


Primer: Paymentus Holdings ( PAY US) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Paymentus is a high-growth, cloud-based bill payment technology provider, capitalizing on the secular shift from paper to electronic transactions. Its strong revenue growth is driven by onboarding new clients and increasing transaction volumes.
  • The company’s proprietary Instant Payment Network (IPN) and omni-channel platform create a network effect, enhancing its competitive moat. Strategic partnerships with major financial institutions and technology companies are expanding its market reach.
  • While the company exhibits strong top-line momentum and improving profitability, it faces risks from customer concentration, potential margin pressure from large enterprise clients, and intense competition in the fragmented electronic payments market.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


ADT Rises as a Smart-Security Juggernaut With Powerful Tech Upgrades & Market-Shifting Strategy!

By Baptista Research

  • ADT’s third-quarter 2025 financial performance indicates a steady trajectory with both positive and negative elements impacting its outlook.
  • The company’s financial highlights reveal a 4% increase in total revenue to $1.3 billion and a 3% growth in adjusted EBITDA to $676 million.
  • Additionally, the adjusted earnings per diluted share rose by 15% year-over-year to $0.23, reflecting robust cash flow generation amounting to $709 million year-to-date.

Khazanchi Jewellers: Scaling Wholesale Strength and Building Retail for the Future

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Khazanchi Jewellers posts a strong Q2FY26 with 46% revenue growth, 119% PAT surge, and a major 10,000 sq. ft. Chennai flagship store set to launch in Jan 2026.
  • High-Margin retail and diamond segments are accelerating, supported by a stable B2B engine with 90% repeat orders, positioning the company for structural margin expansion and stronger long-term earnings visibility.
  • Khazanchi enters a high-growth phase, with premiumisation, retail expansion, and strong execution driving sustainable profitability and transforming it from a wholesale-led player into a high-margin retail-focused jewellery brand.

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Daily Brief Japan: Pan Pacific International Holdings, Fast Retailing, Oriental Land, Softbank Group, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, VisasQ, NS Group, SBI Shinsei Bank, Ryohin Keikaku, Onward Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • [Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Mar26 – Kioxia (285A) On the Menu, Others Not Far Behind
  • Asian Equities: Secular DPS Growth Matters, Not Just Dividend Yield. Presenting Our “Asia 50”.
  • A Pair Trade Basket Of Korean Consumer/Leisure Stocks (Long) And Japanese Names (Short)
  • SoftBank (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook: Extremely Oversold After -11% Plunge
  • The Game Has Changed Since the Era of Cross-Shareholdings
  • Primer: VisasQ (4490 JP) – Nov 2025
  • NS Group (471A) IPO: The Investment Case
  • SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison
  • Muji: Closing in on ¥1 Trillion with Fresh Ideas
  • Onward’s Radical Transformation from Stolid to Trend Leader


[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Mar26 – Kioxia (285A) On the Menu, Others Not Far Behind

By Travis Lundy

  • The March 2026 review for the Nikkei 225 is turning out to be a little more interesting than one might have expected a few months ago. 
  • As of the end of August, the 3mo ADTV for Kioxia (285A) was ¥18bn despite expectations it would go into M _ _ _. The 1mo average today? ¥383bn.
  • That means it has rapidly climbed into the top echelons of 5yr trading history. Importantly, JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) and Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) are not far behind.

Asian Equities: Secular DPS Growth Matters, Not Just Dividend Yield. Presenting Our “Asia 50”.

By Manishi Raychaudhuri

  • While focus on dividend yield is common, we think secular growth in DPS over a long period of time is a stronger marker of robust earnings trajectory and shareholder friendliness. 
  • Among stocks in Asian EM and DM, we screen 50 that raised their DPS every year over the past decade – a commendable performance given earnings dislocations during this period.
  • Stocks from Japan (24), HK (10), onshore China (6), India (6), Singapore (2) and Taiwan (2) make up our list. 10 are large and liquid with strong forecast EPS growth.

A Pair Trade Basket Of Korean Consumer/Leisure Stocks (Long) And Japanese Names (Short)

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss a pair trade involving a basket of Korean consumer stocks (long) and  a basket of Japanese consumer stocks (short) over the next 3-6 months.
  • The 10 Korean names (long basket) include Samyang Food, APR, Amorepacific Corp, Korean Air, CJ Corp, Classys, Nongshim, Shinsegae, Hotel Shilla, and Lotte Tour Development. 
  • The 10 Japanese names (short basket) include Fast Retailing, Oriental Land, Kao Corp, Seibu Holdings, ANA Holdings, Shiseido, J.Front Retailing, Kose Corp, Pola Orbis Holdings, and Kyoritsu Maintenance. 

SoftBank (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook: Extremely Oversold After -11% Plunge

By Nico Rosti

  • Softbank Group (9984 JP) crashed nearly -11% between Thursday and Friday close, reaching deeply oversold extremes. 
  • Softbank Group has declined for three consecutive weeks, posting a cumulative -37% correction over this period.
  • Softbank Group‘s entry into the Outliers zone suggests an extreme oversold condition—potentially creating a tactical long setup for risk-tolerant traders.

The Game Has Changed Since the Era of Cross-Shareholdings

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Share buybacks peak every year in June when AGMs are held, after which the “Quiet Period” begins. Toward the fiscal year-end, buybacks are expected as a means to resolve cross-shareholdings.
  • Given that the capital profitability of all TSE-listed companies hasn’t shown improvement, investors must continue to call for reducing excess cash reserves through dissolution of cross-shareholdings and the share buybacks.
  • Shareholders entrust management with the responsibility to maximize shareholder interest, which includes shareholder returns and corporate value growth. It’s natural for shareholders to demand that management fulfill this fiduciary duty.

Primer: VisasQ (4490 JP) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • VisasQ is a dominant player in Japan’s expert network service (ENS) market, poised for global expansion following its strategic acquisition of US-based Coleman Research Group.
  • The company exhibits a strong revenue growth trajectory, driven by the increasing demand for specialized knowledge in corporate strategy and investment decisions. However, profitability has been volatile, highlighted by a significant goodwill impairment charge in FY2024 related to the Coleman acquisition.
  • Future growth hinges on successfully integrating Coleman, leveraging AI to enhance its service platform, and capitalizing on the expanding global ENS market, which is projected to grow at a CAGR of over 16%.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


NS Group (471A) IPO: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • NS Group (471A JP) is a Japanese property rent guarantee company. It is seeking to raise up to US$255 million. Pricing is on 1 December and listing is on 16 December.   
  • The controlling shareholder is Bain Capital, which owns 51.0% of voting rights. The offering is a pure secondary sale by Bain.   
  • The investment case rests on its unique market positioning, accelerating growth, sector-leading profitability, cash generation, and low leverage. 

SBI Shinsei Bank Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison

By Sumeet Singh

  • SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), a Japanese financial institution, aims to raise around US$2bn in its Japan listing.
  • SBI Shinsei Bank (SBISB) is a Japanese financial institution providing a range of financial products and services to both individual and institutional customers.
  • We have looked at past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison

Muji: Closing in on ¥1 Trillion with Fresh Ideas

By Michael Causton

  • Ryohin Keikaku has once again exceeded expectations, posting record sales and profits that suggest its near-term ¥1 trillion target will easily be reached. 
  • While worries over ubiquity remain, the trusting relationship between customer and brand has allowed rapid and successful category expansion which should deliver those targets.
  • This includes overseas markets where Muji is now gaining momentum again in China and, at last, making the most of its brand in Europe.

Onward’s Radical Transformation from Stolid to Trend Leader

By Michael Causton

  • Onward has quietly but radically transformed its business from wholesale to omnichannel retail.
  • Even more remarkably for a company whose average customer age was until very recently over 50, its latest brands now appeal to teens and 20s.
  • The new brands exemplify how much this previously staid wholesaler has changed.

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  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
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