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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Industrials: Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings, Daifuku Co Ltd, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), Delhi International Airport Limited, Innodata , Aecon Group Inc, Odyssey Marine Exploration and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099) Gone Ballistic – Reminder of Structure, Price, and Incentives
  • Daifuku (6383) | Time to Pick up Global Leader
  • New Experiments in China’s Crowded EV Space
  • Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust
  • INOD: Profitable AI, Initiating
  • Aecon Group Inc (ARE.) – Wednesday, Feb 21, 2024
  • Odyssey Marine Exploration, Inc. – Critical Year Ahead


Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099) Gone Ballistic – Reminder of Structure, Price, and Incentives

By Travis Lundy

  • In late March, AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) made an unsolicited (“hostile”) bid for Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) at a near 50% premium at ¥3,000/share.
  • It traded through, then C&F ran a bid solicitation process, got four bids. Since the day AFTER that announcement, the stock is up 56%. We approach Alps Logistics multiples.
  • This deal doesn’t get the split price benefit that HTS and Alps Logistics did. And it is a fundamentally different logistics business. And target management dynamics are different.

Daifuku (6383) | Time to Pick up Global Leader

By Mark Chadwick

  • Daifuku released FY3/24 results on 10 May. Since then the share price has declined by 15%, giving investors an attractive entry point.
  • Daifuku is a key beneficiary of warehouse automation, which is forecast to grow at a CAGR of over 6%, with industry spend projected to reach $37 billion by 2030
  • We expect the market to price in an order recovery in the core electronics segment and believe that the MTP is yet to be factored into the current share price.

New Experiments in China’s Crowded EV Space

By Eric Wen

  • Making EV itself doesn’t make money, which is why independents like Nio and XPeng are thinking alternative ways to breakeven;
  • Tesla envisioned to make money through scale, of which BYD bettered. Tesla also envisioned to make money from autonomous driving (ADS);
  • Nio plans to sell its battery swapping service while XPeng is selling ADS to Volkswagen. Both are experiments aiming at breakeven. Both also have new models to launch.

Morning Views Asia: Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


INOD: Profitable AI, Initiating

By Hamed Khorsand

  • INOD is benefiting from the movement to incorporate artificial intelligence (“A.I.”) into many applications
  • INOD provides the datasets required for training A.I. and it has quickly become a leading provider of such service
  • The Company is now on pace to grow at a faster pace than expected and should lead to higher earnings and free cash flow in coming quarters

Aecon Group Inc (ARE.) – Wednesday, Feb 21, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Aecon Group Inc. is a Canadian construction and infrastructure development company facing challenges from project write-downs caused by Covid-related delays and cost inflation
  • Despite current challenges, Aecon’s earnings are expected to significantly increase in 2024 as impacted projects near completion, revealing the true profitability of the business
  • With a de-risked balance sheet and potential for a doubling in backlog, Aecon is estimated to be worth $35.00 per share, offering 150% upside potential, with two segments providing a range of services in infrastructure development and operations.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Odyssey Marine Exploration, Inc. – Critical Year Ahead

By Water Tower Research

  • Catching up with financial filings. Last Friday, OMEX released its delayed 10-K report for 2023, bringing it back in compliance with SEC filing requirements, and followed it up with Monday’s release of its 10-Q report for 1Q24.
  • The delayed filings were necessitated by the decision to restate certain balance sheet items, such as OMEX’s litigation financing, which has been reclassified as a derivative liability under GAAP, as well as other balance sheet adjustments that had no adverse effect on its business or financial position.
  • Cash balance improves and should suffice through 3Q24. OMEX finished 2023 with $4MM in cash, a $2.6MM improvement from 2022, as it strengthened its balance sheet by settling previous debt and warrant obligations and issuance of new debt with attached warrants. 


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Daily Brief Financials: Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200, Go Digit General Insurance, Indusind Bank, Philippine Stock Exchange, Regional REIT Ltd, Triple Point Social Housing REIT and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • July Short Selling Resumption in Korea: Local Market Info & Trading Considerations
  • Go Digit IPO Trading – Low Subscription Rate, Not All Shares Are Locked Up
  • Indian Banks Screener FYE24, Part 2: Bandhan and UBI added to the buy list
  • Philippines Exchange (PSE PM): Q1 2024, Slow Quarter, Some Positives Emerging
  • Regional REIT – Q124 DPS unchanged ahead of refinancing
  • Triple Point Social Housing REIT – Strong rent growth and improving rent collection


July Short Selling Resumption in Korea: Local Market Info & Trading Considerations

By Sanghyun Park

  • According to market information confirmed so far, the resumption is set for July 1st, and short selling will be restricted to the constituents of KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150.
  • The surge in trading volume likely stemmed from the return of long-short positions post-short-selling ban, leading to an overall market volume increase.
  • Another critical factor is the buying pressure on value-up stocks resuming in early July. We should aim at the price impacts of intersecting long-short flows and value-up stock purchases.

Go Digit IPO Trading – Low Subscription Rate, Not All Shares Are Locked Up

By Sumeet Singh

  • Go Digit General Insurance raised around US$315m in its India IPO.
  • Go Digit General Insurance is a digital full stack insurance company, offering motor insurance, health insurance, travel insurance, property insurance, marine insurance, liability insurance and other insurance products.
  • We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Indian Banks Screener FYE24, Part 2: Bandhan and UBI added to the buy list

By Victor Galliano

  • We add value plays Bandhan and UBI to the buy list alongside HDFC Bank and Baroda, turning neutral from negative on SBI. Bandhan is our core Indian bank pick, UBI benefits from improving return trends

Philippines Exchange (PSE PM): Q1 2024, Slow Quarter, Some Positives Emerging

By Sameer Taneja

  • Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM) reported a slow Q1 2024, with revenue growth of -8% YoY but profit growth of 20% YoY, led by gains on investment income
  • Cash and Investments at 4 bn pesos account for 24% of mkt cap. It is cheap on EV-EBITDA at 15.7x FY24e. The dividend yield at the current price is 5%. 
  • Multiple catalysts, such as the acquisition of PDS and the implementation of lower clearing fees, the addition of depositary receipts, and derivatives, will also be implemented over time. 

Regional REIT – Q124 DPS unchanged ahead of refinancing

By Edison Investment Research

For Q124, Regional REIT (RGL) has maintained the rate of quarterly DPS at 1.2p. We expect DPS for the year will partly depend on RGL’s chosen re-financing route. Meanwhile, RGL’s asset disposal programme continues to progress. Portfolio EPC ratings have continued to show good improvement and, adjusted for disposals, rent roll and occupancy were robust. We have made no changes to our forecasts.


Triple Point Social Housing REIT – Strong rent growth and improving rent collection

By Edison Investment Research

Triple Point Social Housing REIT’s (SOHO’s) Q124 update confirms a continuing improvement in rent collection. The newly set FY24 DPS target is unchanged compared to FY23 at 5.46p as the board considers the impact of asset sales and transfers. This represents a yield of 9.0%. Strong indexed rental income continues to support income and capital values.


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Daily Brief Consumer: IDP Education, Hong Kong Television Network, PDD Holdings, Fancl Corp, Li Auto , Trent Ltd, Staples Inc, Guess? Inc, Britvic PLC, SJM Holdings and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Tax-Loss Selling in Australia 2024 – A Trade Basket [Updated]
  • HKTV (1137 HK): Co-Founders’ Ruse to Increase Their Grip Through a Share Buyback at HK$2.15
  • PDD (PDD US): 1Q24, Rev Up by 131% and Margin Reaching Historical High
  • Fancl (4921 JP):  Worth A Bet Given Negative Impact Of Kobayashi Products Recall Subsiding
  • [Li Auto (LI US, BUY, TP US$25) TP Change]: Delaying BEV Is the Wrong Approach to Competition
  • NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two High Probability Changes in September; Adds Are Flying
  • Staples Nad (SPLS) – Thursday, Feb 22, 2024
  • GES: Snapping the Store: Accessories, Shorts Strong; Reiterate Buy, $37 PT
  • Britvic – Buoyant volumes in H124
  • Morning Views Asia: SJM Holdings, Softbank Group, Yankuang Energy Group


Tax-Loss Selling in Australia 2024 – A Trade Basket [Updated]

By Travis Lundy

  • Three weeks after instantiation of Phase 1, the ASX200 vs LiquidBasket is +1.8% if you traded the basket VWAP the next day. vs LessLiquid it is +8.5%. 
  • Equal weight all names in the two is +3.1%. Trade VWAP over two days it is +0.7%, +7.6%, and +2.7%. So far things are OK. 
  • Next week one would add another basket, then in the last week of June, one would cover and reverse the trade and hold on for 30-40 trading days or so.

HKTV (1137 HK): Co-Founders’ Ruse to Increase Their Grip Through a Share Buyback at HK$2.15

By Arun George

  • Hong Kong Television Network (1137 HK) has launched a share buyback to acquire a maximum of 100.0m shares (11.25% of shares) at HK$2.15, a 20.8% premium to the undisturbed price.
  • The offer is conditional on approval by the requisite majority of shareholders and the approval of the whitewash waiver. There is no minimum acceptance condition, and the offer price is final.
  • The offer is unattractive and is an inefficient use of cash to increase the co-founders’ grip on the shares. Nevertheless, the EGM vote is likely to get up.   

PDD (PDD US): 1Q24, Rev Up by 131% and Margin Reaching Historical High

By Ming Lu

  • Total revenue rose by 131% in 1Q24 with advertising up by 56% YoY and commission up by 327% YoY.
  • In 1Q24, both the operating profit and the operating margin reached record highs.
  • The historical price / sales ratios suggests a significant upside. Buy.

Fancl (4921 JP):  Worth A Bet Given Negative Impact Of Kobayashi Products Recall Subsiding

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Fancl Corp (4921 JP)‘s share price has declined 18% year-to-date, greatly under-performing the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) which was up 17% year-to-date. 
  • The company recently announced FY24 results (fiscal year ending March).  Sales grew 7% yoy and operating profit grew 60% yoy in FY24. 
  • I believe the stock price is attractive at 23x 2024 PE with 15% expected earnings CAGR for the next 3 years.

[Li Auto (LI US, BUY, TP US$25) TP Change]: Delaying BEV Is the Wrong Approach to Competition

By Eric Wen

  • LI Auto’s decision to push out its BEV launch to 2025 is a delay of multi-faces at a time when China’s EV market is chaotically.
  • We keep rating @BUY because LI still possesses the SUV niche, enjoys a healthy margin and have ample cash. 
  • We cut TP from US$40 to US$25 and maintain BUY.

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two High Probability Changes in September; Adds Are Flying

By Brian Freitas


Staples Nad (SPLS) – Thursday, Feb 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Recommendation to buy SPLS 10.75% Senior Unsecured Notes due Apr-27 in the 78c area
  • Company is a B2B distributor of office supplies and professional categories in the US, with no retail stores
  • Potential for 45% total return if refinanced at par one year before maturity, with current yield of 13.8%

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


GES: Snapping the Store: Accessories, Shorts Strong; Reiterate Buy, $37 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $37 price target and projections after visiting Guess?
  • stores in the New York City Metro area and Long Island.
  • We believe the company continued to drive strong momentum in May, with Mother’s Day solid and the company’s focus on key fashion items, such as cargo pants, shorts, handbags, watches and active wear a plus.

Britvic – Buoyant volumes in H124

By Edison Investment Research

Britvic’s interim results showcased a positive first half of FY24, with strong revenue growth across core brands and geographies. This was underpinned by a robust increase in volumes, reflecting product innovation and growth across its strategic pillars. Positive price/mix helped enable a 70bp improvement in margins. The enhanced profitability permitted a 16% increase in the interim dividend. Britvic continues to make strategic progress against the growth pillars of family favourite brands, Brazil and new growth areas. Management remains confident in the outlook, particularly with several key consumer activation events upcoming in the critical summer trading period. The company announced its third share buyback programme of up to £75m over the next 12 months.


Morning Views Asia: SJM Holdings, Softbank Group, Yankuang Energy Group

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief ESG: Investors Still Do Not Trust the Profit Margin Improvement in the Mid-Term Management Plan and more

By | Daily Briefs, ESG

In today’s briefing:

  • Investors Still Do Not Trust the Profit Margin Improvement in the Mid-Term Management Plan
  • Sappi – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics


Investors Still Do Not Trust the Profit Margin Improvement in the Mid-Term Management Plan

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Since shareholder proposals related to “TSE requests” are unlikely to be passed at the AGM, many companies are likely to have capital profitability improvement plans that merely indicate effort targets.
  • The outperformance of TOPIX by the company that announced the medium-term management plan can be attributed to the short-term outperformance of the company that announced the share repurchase.
  • Investors don’t trust the contents of “mid-term management plan” because they are focusing on more reliable shareholder return rather than betting on improving operating margins over the uncertain three-year horizon.

Sappi – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
Sappi’s ESG is “Strong”, driven by its “Strong” Environmental and Governance scores. The Social score is “Adequate”. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Strong”. 

Sappi is a constituent of the FTSE4Good Index. All of the company’s regions (Europe, North America and South Africa) received a Platinum rating from EcoVadis for corporate social responsibility in FY 2022. The Platinum rating recognises the Top 1% of companies evaluated by EcoVadis.


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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: New All-Time Highs Validates Our Bullish Outlook; Risk-On Signals Abound. Buys in Aluminum and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • New All-Time Highs Validates Our Bullish Outlook; Risk-On Signals Abound. Buys in Aluminum, Shippers


New All-Time Highs Validates Our Bullish Outlook; Risk-On Signals Abound. Buys in Aluminum, Shippers

By Joe Jasper

  • The SPX gapped-up to reverse its 1-month downtrend on 5/3/24, followed by another upside gap on 5/6/24, and yet another on 5/15/24 on the breakout to all-time highs
  • All of these gaps remain unfilled which signals upside power, a very bullish sign. These gaps at 5250-5263, 5127-5142, and 5073-5101 are now areas to expect short-term support, if tested.
  • Market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and DJI are all breaking out to new all-time highs, helping validate our bullish outlook.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Snoozing Ahead of Nvidia Results and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Snoozing Ahead of Nvidia Results
  • #1Business Buzz: Countering China’s Dominance, Steel Tariff on China, TSMC, ASML, NVIDIA Q1 Results
  • [Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK/BIDU US
  • [Blue Lotus Daily – TMT Update]:NTES US/700 HK/PDD US /BABA US /JD US /3690 HK/VIPS US/BIDU US
  • China Gas Utilities: Dark Horses?


Ohayo Japan | Snoozing Ahead of Nvidia Results

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks closed in the green, with record highs for both the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and the benchmark S&P 500
  • Carlyle Group is launching a 430 billion yen ($2.8 billion) Japan-focused fund, one of the largest in the country’s private equity sector.
  • Apan aims to sell 12 million next-generation software-defined vehicles (SDVs) domestically and internationally by 2030, targeting a 30% global market share

#1Business Buzz: Countering China’s Dominance, Steel Tariff on China, TSMC, ASML, NVIDIA Q1 Results

By Nimish Maheshwari


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK/BIDU US

By Eric Wen

  • BEKE US: Visiting volume surged in the first weekend after new stimulus, and transactions increased slightly.(+)
  • 300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US:  Except for electric vehicles, new energy exports in April were hardly positive, indicating that capturing consumers is the key to offsetting geopolitical restrictions(///////////)
  • BEKE US: Sluggish New Home Sales Prompt the PBOC to Introduce Further Stimulus Policies. (+)

[Blue Lotus Daily – TMT Update]:NTES US/700 HK/PDD US /BABA US /JD US /3690 HK/VIPS US/BIDU US

By Ying Pan

  • NTES US/700 HK: The NPPA has released the results for May’s domestic game code license approvals.(+)
  • PDD US /BABA US /JD US /3690 HK/VIPS US : NBS publishes data social retail consumption data for April 2024 (+/+/+/+/-)
  • 700 HK/BIDU US: Tencent announced the upcoming release of its consumer LLM application “Tencent Yuanbao.”(/////)

China Gas Utilities: Dark Horses?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Except ENN Energy (2688 HK), many stocks in the China gas utilities sector are still underperforming the HSI and HSCEI YTD. Yet, industry fundamentals are improving. 
  • More cities and counties will implement a gas price pass-through mechanism, with 90% of cities and counties to be completed by late 2024, benefiting sector profitability.  
  • Consensus forecasts are still conservative which places room for pick-up in share prices. CR Gas (1193 HK) and China Gas Holdings (384 HK) are opportunities.

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Daily Brief ECM: MODEC (6296 JP): The Current Playbook and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • MODEC (6296 JP): The Current Playbook
  • Raspberry Pi IPO Preview
  • AUB Group Placement – Good Track Record, Accretive Acquisition


MODEC (6296 JP): The Current Playbook

By Arun George

  • Since the US$535 million secondary placement announcement, Modec Inc (6269 JP)’s shares are down 15% from the undisturbed price of JPY3,320 per share (14 May).
  • Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Modec’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
  • The offering will likely be priced on 22 May. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Raspberry Pi IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Established in 2012, Raspberry Pi is getting ready to complete its IPO in London soon. Raspberry Pi provides small, single-board computers. 
  • Raspberry Pi is backed by Sony and ARM Holdings. Nearly 72% of the company’s sales come from commercial customers embedding its products into various consumer devices and other systems. 
  • The company generated sales of US$265.8 million (up 41.5% YoY) and operating profit of US$37.5 million (up 87% YoY) in 2023. 

AUB Group Placement – Good Track Record, Accretive Acquisition

By Sumeet Singh

  • AUB Group Limited (AUB AU) is looking to raise up to AUD200m (US$133m) to fund the acquisition of Pacific Indemnity.
  • The company has a good track record and the deal will be accretive to EPS.
  • In this note, we’ll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

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Daily Brief Credit: JSW Steel – Earnings Flash – FY 2023-24 Results – Lucror Analytics and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • JSW Steel – Earnings Flash – FY 2023-24 Results – Lucror Analytics


JSW Steel – Earnings Flash – FY 2023-24 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

While JSW Steel’s Q4/23-24 results were soft in our view, the full-year numbers were decent. Operational stats remained robust. The share of value-added products was high and continued to increase. The financial risk profile was unchanged q-o-q, but improved significantly from FYE 2022-23. However, liquidity deteriorated and was barely adequate.

We expect a stronger FY 2024-25 with higher revenue and earnings, as the steel operating environment appears to have bottomed out. Steel prices should remain stable, with possible upside. That said, the higher earnings could be offset by an increase in debt to cover the large and growing capex.


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Daily Brief Crypto: Attention Is All You Need and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Attention Is All You Need
  • A Bullish Beat Down For BTC Bears


Attention Is All You Need

By Delphi Digital

  • Meme Coins Reflect Disillusionment: Emerging from distrust in traditional finance, meme coins leverage cultural relevance for adoption.
  • Attention Drives Crypto Value: Memes and narratives shape crypto value, emphasizing the importance of attention.
  • AI Disrupts Attention Economy: AI threatens traditional distribution channels, making crypto a potential solution.

A Bullish Beat Down For BTC Bears

By Delphi Digital

  • ETH ETF Approval Odds Soar: Bloomberg increases ETH spot ETF approval odds from 25% to 75%, shaking up the crypto market.
  • BTC ETF Inflows Rebound: BTC ETF inflows revive, marking the first consecutive positive flow days in over a month, signaling bullish potential.
  • Bullish BTC Momentum: BTC holds above $65K, showing bullish market structure with potential for retesting $71K-$72K amidst improving ETF flows.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: A Plausible Explanation for Korea NPS’s Unusually Large Outflow on Local Stocks in May and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • A Plausible Explanation for Korea NPS’s Unusually Large Outflow on Local Stocks in May
  • JAPAN ACTIVISM:  Murakami Now 29% of Mitsui Matsushima. Activism? Or Effort to Make Murakami Listco
  • StubWorld: Bloisi’s Appointment Stalls The Prosus Accretion Trade
  • KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving
  • HKTV (1137 HK): $2.15/Share Buy-Back
  • Quiddity Leaderboard DAX/MDAX Jun 24: Hellofresh MDAX Deletion Hinges on Encavis Tender Offer Result


A Plausible Explanation for Korea NPS’s Unusually Large Outflow on Local Stocks in May

By Sanghyun Park

  • NPS’s May net selling of ₩700B likely stems from retrieving outsourced management funds to allocate to the newly selected three value-up outsider managers.
  • These value-up managers will start investing in Q3. NPS’s May net selling matches their allocations. We should design a setup targeting the likely inflow into value-up targets starting early July.
  • In particular, we should watch non-financial value-up stocks like Kia Corp and Hyundai Motor, which had more significant May price impacts likely due to NPS outflow.

JAPAN ACTIVISM:  Murakami Now 29% of Mitsui Matsushima. Activism? Or Effort to Make Murakami Listco

By Travis Lundy

  • Noted Japanese activist MURAKAMI Yoshiaki and his entities and relations went from 4.98% to 19.88% of Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP) at an average ¥3,500/share from 2 May through 10 May.
  • Then they bought an additional 5.44% on 13 May, just before earnings, in the midst of a huge run-up, paying 40% more for that 5% than the first 5%. 
  • I thought that might be the end, but in two days, they have bought an additional 9+%. There is something else going on. It is worthy of your attention. 

StubWorld: Bloisi’s Appointment Stalls The Prosus Accretion Trade

By David Blennerhassett

  • Prosus (PRX NA)‘s discount to NAV and implied stub widened after Fabricio Bloisi’s CEO appointment late last week. But the sell-down of Tencent (700 HK) to buy-back Prosus will  continue. 
  • Preceding my comments on Naspers (NPN SJ)/Prosus/Tencent are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.
  • We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
  • Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.

HKTV (1137 HK): $2.15/Share Buy-Back

By David Blennerhassett

  • Online shopping platform play Hong Kong Television Network (1137 HK) (better known as HKTV) has announced a buy-back of 11.25% of shares out, at $2.15/share, a 20.8% premium to undisturbed.
  • If successful, the Offer elevates co-founder Ricky Wong’s stake, together with concert parties, to 51.55% (before exercising options), up from 45.75% currently. 
  • HKTV has been in the news lately for all the wrong reasons: claims of non-payments to suppliers; and delaying its 2026 target after a 79% decline in FY23’s net profit.

Quiddity Leaderboard DAX/MDAX Jun 24: Hellofresh MDAX Deletion Hinges on Encavis Tender Offer Result

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the DAX index and the MDAX index in the run up to the June 2024 index rebal event.
  • There could be two regular MDAX changes in June including the long-anticipated deletion of M&A candidate MorphoSys AG (MOR GR)
  • We do not see any changes for the DAX index based on the current numbers.

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