
In today’s briefing:
- Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU): Index Inclusions & Upweights Increase Passive Buying to A$2.7bn
- IO Weekly Technicals Review [2025/01]: IO Poised for Recovery
- Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Deep Value, >35% of Mkt Cap in Cash, 2.5x PE/0.3 EV-EBITDA on Ramp Up

Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU): Index Inclusions & Upweights Increase Passive Buying to A$2.7bn
- SigmaHealthcare and ChemistWarehouse shareholders meet on 29 January. If the merger resolutions are approved, Second Court Hearing is on 3 February and the merger will be effective on 4 February.
- Upward migration in one large global index could take place on 13 February while upweights and upward migrations in the S&P/ASX indices should be at the close on 21 March.
- Upward migration in the other global index could take place in March or June. Total passive buying estimate is A$2.76bn. This will be offset by positioning and CWG shareholders selling.
IO Weekly Technicals Review [2025/01]: IO Poised for Recovery
- SGX IO Futures closed USD 0.35/ton lower for the week ending on 03/Jan. It traded in a range of USD 4.35/ton, which was smaller than the prior week.
- For the week ending 03/Jan, China’s port iron ore stockpiles rose 0.2% WoW to 145.22 million tons, while daily imported ore pick-up volume fell 47k tons to 3.08 million tons.
- FIIs hold a net long position of 130.6k lots across all futures and options expiries. Managed Money and Physical market participants are net short by 19.6k and 82.1k lots, respectively.
Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Deep Value, >35% of Mkt Cap in Cash, 2.5x PE/0.3 EV-EBITDA on Ramp Up
- Fenix Resources (FEX AU) will increase production from 1.4 to 4.1 million tons annually in early CY25, placing it at 2.5x PE/0.3x EV-EBITDA FY26e (~100 USD/ton iron ore px assumption).
- On our estimates, if the company pays no dividend and capex is 60 mn AUD in both FY25 and FY26, net cash>market capitalization. (Conclusion: Board Pays Dividend)
- We will look for the next quarterly production update for more color this month. Read our last update Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Positive Developments At Iron Ridge And Other Catalysts