
In today’s briefing:
- Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Back to Extremes; ChipMOS Still High
- DBS – Granular Disclosure Shows Aggressive Deterioration in HK and China. Look at Pillar 3 Also.
- Shimano (7309) | A Slow but Steady Ascent
- Action Construction Equipment Limited: Q3 FY25 Update
- Recruit 3Q: Strong Set of Results Despite Slowdown in Labour Markets
- Tech Supply Chain Tracker (13-Feb-2025): Foxconn chair denies Nissan takeover, focuses on collaboration.
- [Earnings Review] TotalEnergies Surpasses Estimates on Strong Gas Trading and Higher LNG Prices
- American International Group (AIG) – Tuesday, Nov 12, 2024
- Novatek (3034.TT): The Outlook 1Q25 Is Showing Surprising Upside Due to the China Subsidy Program.
- Asia Real Estate Tracker (12-Feb-2025): LaSalle appoints APAC Co-Heads; Claire Tang moves to Rava.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Back to Extremes; ChipMOS Still High
- TSMC: +24.7% Premium; Can Consider Shorting the Spread At Current Level
- ASE: +2.6% Premium; Wait for Closer to Parity Before Going Long Again
- ChipMOS: +1.8% Premium; Can Continue to Consider Shorting at Current Level
DBS – Granular Disclosure Shows Aggressive Deterioration in HK and China. Look at Pillar 3 Also.
- Granular data from DBS shows worsening credit metrics in Greater China and in Hong Kong.
- We use DBS and other banks, as a window on credit metrics for China banks and HK local banks.
- The NPL ratio for its HK business moved from 1.1% to 1.7% YoY, while Pillar 3 data shows sharp rise in New NPLs in 2H24
Shimano (7309) | A Slow but Steady Ascent
- Cautious but Credible – FY25 guidance underwhelms, but Shimano’s realism is justified. The bike market is recovering, even if 2025 will be a grind.
- Sitting on a Cash Pile – ¥530 billion in net financial assets, yet capital returns remain restrained. Investors will be watching for bolder moves.
- Quality Wins – mid-cycle ROIC north of 20% and end-market inventories normalising – a long-term winner at a fair price.
Action Construction Equipment Limited: Q3 FY25 Update
- Action Construction Equipment (ACCE IN)’s Q3/9M-FY25 performance shows strong revenue growth (up 16.6% in Q3, 15.2% over nine months), improved EBITDA margins, and robust unit sales in key equipment segments.
- Improved product mix and a focus on high-value equipment drive operational efficiency, boosting profitability amid increasing infrastructure and capital expenditure trends.
- In the next 2 years, company will increase the proportion of exports that will drive the revenue growth.
Recruit 3Q: Strong Set of Results Despite Slowdown in Labour Markets
- Recruit Holdings (6098 JP) reported 3QFY03/2025 results today which were in line with estimates. Despite labour markets cooling off, Recruit managed to report a strong set of results.
- The company also has provided revised guidance for full-year FY03/2025 with an upward revision to revenues while Adj. EBITDA is forecast to be above the midpoint of the previous range.
- Despite the slowdown in labour markets, Recruit’s monetisation efforts have paid off, however, we would not rush to make an entry.
Tech Supply Chain Tracker (13-Feb-2025): Foxconn chair denies Nissan takeover, focuses on collaboration.
- Foxconn chairman emphasizes collaboration with Nissan, denies interest in takeover, focusing on their partnership.
- SMIC targets automotive growth, facing competition in China’s chip market, seeking to expand market share.
- Microip sees 489% revenue growth post-CES success, expanding ‘designless’ strategy, fueling January success.
[Earnings Review] TotalEnergies Surpasses Estimates on Strong Gas Trading and Higher LNG Prices
- In Q4, TotalEnergies beat adjusted net income forecasts by 4.8% and revenue projections by 11%. Adjusted net income and EPS rose by 8.1% QoQ and 9.2%, respectively.
- TotalEnergies’ average gas price realisation rose 8.3% QoQ, European refining margins surged by 68.2% QoQ, while LNG price realisation rose 4.6%.
- TotalEnergies’ hydrocarbon production rose 0.7% QoQ to 2.43 mboepd, as a 4.5% gas output increase offset a 2.4% oil production decline.
American International Group (AIG) – Tuesday, Nov 12, 2024
- AIG has completed efforts to reposition itself as a leader in the insurance industry
- The company has a renewed strategy for growth and improved financial performance
- A strong leadership team and clear vision for the future position AIG to deliver value for customers and shareholders
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.
Novatek (3034.TT): The Outlook 1Q25 Is Showing Surprising Upside Due to the China Subsidy Program.
- US-China trade war has led to tariff uncertainties. China’s subsidy program has stimulated pre-purchasing by customers in 1Q25, resulting in increased demand for televisions, tablets, phones, and IT products.
- All three major product lines have shown seasonal growth. which LDDI has shown the largest growth, SoC follows closely, and SMDDI has lower growth.
- DeepSeek will accelerate the implementation and popularization of AI applications, benefiting the company.
Asia Real Estate Tracker (12-Feb-2025): LaSalle appoints APAC Co-Heads; Claire Tang moves to Rava.
- LaSalle appoints Japan, Korea-based APAC Co-Heads as Tang heads to Rava, highlighting leadership changes within the company.
- Dash Living’s expansion in Japan to 19 locations through partnerships with BlackRock and Greystar reflects their growth strategy in the region.
- Swire Properties expecting a $103M loss as Pacific Place rents drop 16% due to markdowns, showcasing the impact of market changes on the company.