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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Health Care: Opthea Ltd, Biomarin Pharmaceutical, Immix Biopharma Inc, Thorne HealthTech Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • Opthea (OPT AU): Kicks Off A$80M Capital Raise To Support Phase 3 Trial of Lead Drug Candidate
  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.: What Are The Biggest Catalysts For Its Future Growth? – Financial Forecasts
  • Immix Biopharma – NXC-201 gains Orphan Drug designation in MM
  • Thorne HealthTech Up For Sale: An M&A Arbitrage Opportunity? – Major Drivers


Opthea (OPT AU): Kicks Off A$80M Capital Raise To Support Phase 3 Trial of Lead Drug Candidate

By Tina Banerjee

  • Opthea Ltd (OPT AU) is seeking to raise A$80M ($51M) through a combination of private placement and accelerated non-renounceable entitlement offer. The proceeds will fund the clinical development of OPT-302.
  • The proceeds of the offer, pending funds from the earlier agreements, along with existing cash balance, are expected to fund the company’s operation through Q3 2024.
  • OPT-302 is in two phase 3 trials, which are expected to be fully enrolled by 1H24. In phase 2 trial, OPT-302 has demonstrated superior visual acuity over standard of care.

BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.: What Are The Biggest Catalysts For Its Future Growth? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical delivered an all-around beat in the most recent quarterly result.
  • In the quarter, revenues showed 13% year-over-year growth and 16% growth, excluding KUVAN.
  • BioMarin is on track to meet its 2023 goals of double-digit revenue growth and considerable operating leverage with Q2 total revenues of $595 million, including $113 million in Voxzogo revenues.

Immix Biopharma – NXC-201 gains Orphan Drug designation in MM

By Edison Investment Research

Immix has announced that the FDA has granted orphan drug designation (ODD) to CAR-T asset NXC-201 for multiple myeloma (MM). The benefits of ODD include seven years of US market exclusivity post approval, tax credits for qualified clinical trials and exemption from the Prescription Drug User Fee. ODD is issued to drugs/biologics intended for the safe and effective treatment, diagnosis or prevention of rare diseases/conditions that affect fewer than 200k people in the US. With NXC-201, Immix aims to differentiate against currently approved CAR-T therapies that are often associated with neurotoxicity and high-grade cytokine release syndrome (CRS). NXC-201 data appears to provide a competitive safety profile with no serious adverse events reported to date, positioning it as potentially the first outpatient CAR-T therapy. We believe the ODD marks a key milestone and believe that the next readout (expected in September 2023) from the ongoing NEXICART-1 trial could be an important catalyst for the company.


Thorne HealthTech Up For Sale: An M&A Arbitrage Opportunity? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is a special, one-time report on Thorne HealthTech which presents itself as a captivating short-term investment prospect, particularly in light of the recent reports of its speculated sale.
  • Despite Thorne’s stock price exhibiting volatility and relatively stagnant appreciation over the past year, its potential sale could act as a catalyst for change.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: AAC Technologies Holdings, Electronic Arts, Global Payments, SolarEdge Technologies , Revu Corporation, iShares MSCI ACWI ETF, Geniee Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • AAC Technologies – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2023 Results – Lucror Analytics
  • Electronic Arts Inc.: he Big Push in Mobile Gaming and Major Drivers! – Financial Forecasts
  • Global Payments Inc.: 3 Reasons Behind Consistent Growth in Merchant Solutions! – Financial Forecasts
  • SolarEdge Technologies Inc.: Solar-Attached EV Management Solution & Major Developments
  • Revu Corporation IPO Preview
  • Key Supports Holding Strong; 10-Year Treasury Yield Below Key Resistance; Buys in Non-Defensives
  • Geniee (6562 JP) – Staying on Course to Maintain Long-Term Growth


AAC Technologies – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2023 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Charles Macgregor

AAC Technologies’ results were weak as expected, with the top line and gross margin both lower. Overall revenue fell 2% y-o-y to CNY 9.22 bn for H1/23. Gross profit declined 27.2% to CNY 1.3 bn, with the gross margin down 4.8 ppts to 14.1%. This was largely due to market competition for the optics and acoustics business, as well as changes in the product mix. Despite the muted sales performance, the company deleveraged further and achieved strong FCF, driven by increased CFO and reduced capex. Liquidity appears to be sound, with 4.4x LTM Cash/ST Debt. Management guided for the optical lens gross margin to be positive in Q4.


Electronic Arts Inc.: he Big Push in Mobile Gaming and Major Drivers! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Electronic Arts delivered a mixed set of results in the last quarter, with revenues below the analyst consensus.
  • The company achieved net bookings of $1.6 billion, up 21% yearly, due to continued growth across the EA SPORTS FIFA ecosystem and the release of Star Wars Jedi: Survivor.
  • Electronic Arts executed across its business during the quarter, introducing 5 new high-quality titles and offering over 145 content upgrades across 37 titles.

Global Payments Inc.: 3 Reasons Behind Consistent Growth in Merchant Solutions! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Despite the uncertain financial situation around the world, Global Payments managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings.
  • The company once again produced excellent organic growth in the Merchant Solutions business, driven by the continuous success of their companies that use technology.
  • This quarter, they again achieved significant revenues, outpacing the impressive results of the previous quarter.

SolarEdge Technologies Inc.: Solar-Attached EV Management Solution & Major Developments

By Baptista Research

  • SolarEdge Technologies delivered mixed results in the quarter, with revenues failing to meet analysts’ expectations but above-par earnings.
  • SolarEdge’s solar business generated $947 million in revenue, while its non-solar businesses generated $44 million.
  • Their solar business revenue increased due to significant revenues in Europe.

Revu Corporation IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Revu Corporation is the number one influencer platform company in Korea with the largest number of influencer members in the industry.
  • The IPO price range is from 11,500 won to 13,200 won. The maximum total offering amount is 29.5 billion won. 
  • The bankers used three companies including DearU, Silicon2, and Connectwave as comparable companies for Revu Corp. The average P/E of the comps is 32.6x.

Key Supports Holding Strong; 10-Year Treasury Yield Below Key Resistance; Buys in Non-Defensives

By Joe Jasper

  • Last week (Aug. 18) we discussed the 10-year Treasury yield and DXY testing respective resistance (4.3%-4.35% and $103.50-$103.70).
  • As long as no decisive breakouts in the 10-year yield or DXY, we were buyers on the pullback to $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).
  • Outside of our overweight countries (Japan, India, Taiwan, Greece), defensive Sectors continue to lag. We highlight buys in Technology, Services, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Materials/Energy, and Financials.

Geniee (6562 JP) – Staying on Course to Maintain Long-Term Growth

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • Strong start to the year – Geniee demonstrated solids ales in Q1 FY3/2024 of 22.3% YoY.
  • Despite the market downturn in the advertising platform business, progress made in expanding into untapped markets led to a gross profit growth YoY.
  • The Marketing SaaS business has been progressing in acquiring customers in the enterprise sector and revenue steadily increased 55.2% YoY. 

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Daily Brief Industrials: Grab Holdings , Happy Forgings Limited, Rockwell Automation and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Grab Holdings (GRAB US) – Growth with Scale from a Stable Platform
  • Happy Forgings Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Grab: Profitability Seems Not So Easy to Sustain
  • Rockwell Automation Inc.: Decoding High Teens Growth in Semiconductor Sales and Beyond! – Major Drivers


Grab Holdings (GRAB US) – Growth with Scale from a Stable Platform

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Grab Holdings (GRAB US) released another set of positive results but this time the balance between profitability and growth was well-struck, as it reduced incentives yet increased its market share. 
  • Grab saw GMV growth in both deliveries more notably in mobility, with revenues growing at a faster pace and adjusted EBITDA surprising on the upside, bringing forward breakeven to 3Q2023. 
  • Prospects for 2H2023 look even better with Grab’s affordability initiatives gaining traction and improving retention and profitability.

Happy Forgings Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Happy Forgings Limited (6596652Z IN) is looking to raise around US$160m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Happy Forgings Limited (HF) is a manufacturer of complex and safety critical, heavy forged and high precision machines components in India.
  • As per the Ricardo Report, the firm is the fourth largest firm domestically in terms of FY23 forging capacity. 

Grab: Profitability Seems Not So Easy to Sustain

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Grab’s share price moved up by about 10% following its 2Q2023 earnings announcement as the market got excited over the company’s prospect of reaching profits in the next few quarters.
  • Mobility GMV is nearing pre-Covid levels, however, there has been a sharp increase in incentive spending during 2Q2023 suggesting incentives is a key driver of GMV growth.
  • Our analysis on deliveries biz suggests that segment’s margins have very little room for improvement and further reducing incentives could stall growth going forward.  

Rockwell Automation Inc.: Decoding High Teens Growth in Semiconductor Sales and Beyond! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Rockwell Automation’s results were a major disappointment as the company failed to meet the revenue expectations as well as the earnings expectations of Wall Street.
  • This quarter, the company saw a double-digit increase in both sales and earnings as component shortages eased.
  • In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

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Daily Brief Financials: Metlife Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Financials

In today’s briefing:

  • MetLife Inc.: An Inside Look at Underwriting Mastery and Effective Expense Control! – Major Drivers


MetLife Inc.: An Inside Look at Underwriting Mastery and Effective Expense Control! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • MetLife delivered mixed results for the previous quarter, with revenues above analyst expectations but below-par earnings.
  • MetLife reported adjusted earnings of $1.5 billion or $1.94 per share, showcasing underlying momentum in its core businesses.
  • MetLife’s prudent investment portfolio management and risk management were evident in the well-controlled underwriting results and effective expense management.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Boustead Plantations, Meituan, Pop Mart International Group L, 888 holdings and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Boustead Plantations’ Lifetime High Offer Price
  • Meituan: Strong Earnings but Tough Times Ahead
  • Pop Mart (9992 HK):  Short-Term Trading Opportunity On International Expansion
  • Europe HY Trade Book – August 2023 – Lucror Analytics


Boustead Plantations’ Lifetime High Offer Price

By David Blennerhassett

  • Palm oil play Kuala Lumpur Kepong (KLK MK) has entered an agreement with Boustead Holdings, Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK)‘s largest shareholder, to acquire a 33% plus 1 share stake.
  • Upon the completion of the agreement, KLK will make a Mandatory Offer for all shares not owned in BPlant. The Offer Price is RM1.55/share, a lifetime high. 
  • The agreement conditions are rudimentary. The MGO has no minimum acceptance condition. This is done.

Meituan: Strong Earnings but Tough Times Ahead

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Meituan (3690 HK) reported 2Q2023 results yesterday which beat consensus estimates and the company’s profitability has further strengthened during the quarter.
  • However, there has been clear signs of a slowdown in the company’s core local commerce biz with increased promotions/incentive, decline in revenue per on-demand delivery transaction and fall in OPM.
  • Meituan has flagged that macroeconomic headwinds and adverse weather conditions could slowdown core local commerce biz in the current quarter which should drag down earnings.

Pop Mart (9992 HK):  Short-Term Trading Opportunity On International Expansion

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) presents an interesting story of a Chinese domestic brand going overseas, and potentially being successful overseas (at least in the short-term). 
  • A recent case of a Chinese brand achieving success overseas is Miniso (MNSO US), and shareholders of Miniso have been richly rewarded. 
  • Pop Mart trades at a PE of 24x based on estimated 2024 earnings, with around 30% expected net profit growth in 2024E.   

Europe HY Trade Book – August 2023 – Lucror Analytics

By Charles Macgregor

The Europe HY Trade Book for August 2023 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.


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Most Read: JSR Corp, Piotech , UMW Holdings, Soulbrain, Samsung Electronics, NVIDIA Corp, Hanwha Ocean, Boustead Plantations and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • JSR (4185 JP) Takeover – Why So Wide? FUD and Flows
  • STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Playing Catchup
  • Sime Darby/UMW: It’s All About Scale
  • Overlooked by the Market: A Compelling Long Short Opportunity in Newly-Listed ETF Rebal in Korea
  • Is Samsung M&A About to Happen?
  • Nvidia: Better than Dreamed
  • Hanwha Ocean: Big Shares Dilution from Rights Offering of 2 Trillion Won
  • China Property Developers In Distress – Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 18-24 August 2023
  • Boustead Plantations’ Lifetime High Offer Price
  • China Property: Policy Announcement Alert


JSR (4185 JP) Takeover – Why So Wide? FUD and Flows

By Travis Lundy

  • In the last week of June, Japanese government-affiliated Japan Investment Corp (“JIC”) announced it would take over JSR Corp (4185 JP). A “surprise” but perhaps not totally. 
  • It traded tight, then it traded back out. Then worse. Then worse again. There were good reasons for this. There were perhaps less good reasons too. 
  • FUD and Flows mean that it is likely to continue to trade wide for the near future.

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Playing Catchup

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the September rebalance ends today. The changes could be announced on 25 August with the implementation taking place after the close on 8 September.
  • The upcoming launch of the STAR100 Index could result in the index committee continuing to use a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in two changes to the index.
  • One way turnover is estimated at 2.3% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 2,658m. The impact on the deletions will be much larger than that on the inclusions.

Sime Darby/UMW: It’s All About Scale

By David Blennerhassett

  • In one of the largest M&A transactions in Malaysia, Sime Darby (SIME MK) intends to acquire a 61.2% stake in UMW Holdings (UMWH MK) from Permodalan Nasional Bhd for RM3.57bn. 
  • Sime Darby is paying RM5/share, a token 9.9% premium to last close, but more like 25% when factoring in apparent news leakage.
  • Once the stake sale is completed, Sime Darby will launch an unconditional MGO for all remaining shares not held. This transaction is expected to be wrapped up in early 2024.

Overlooked by the Market: A Compelling Long Short Opportunity in Newly-Listed ETF Rebal in Korea

By Sanghyun Park

  • In the inaugural constituent selection, FnGuide revealed a noteworthy pattern. Given the smaller market capitalization of the electrolyte suppliers, FnGuide has included only the largest among them in this ETF.
  • SoulBrain, categorized by FnGuide as an electrolyte supplier like Chunbo, has significantly outperformed Chunbo. As a result, there is a considerable likelihood that SoulBrain will replace Chunbo in December.
  • The price impact from ETF rebalancing trading has disappeared substantially in Korea. We should focus on the first rebalancing of newly listed ETFs that haven’t yet established a learning effect.

Is Samsung M&A About to Happen?

By Ken S. Kim

  • Local press states that Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)sold shares as they look to invest in their future capex
  • The capex amount for 2023 will be around 40-50 trillion KRW and it doesn’t seem like W3 trillion is a needle mover
  • With a new 3 year shareholder return plan, I would think maybe cash is needed to secure ammunition for M&A

Nvidia: Better than Dreamed

By Douglas O’Laughlin

  • Nvidia, in characteristic fashion, murdered EPS estimates.
  • Revenue was $2 billion ahead of the guide, and the guide was another $4 billion ahead of consensus for the next quarter.
  • Going into the print, many people were concerned that positioning was bad, i.e., everyone was bullish and expectations were too high. Well, they did not disappoint.

Hanwha Ocean: Big Shares Dilution from Rights Offering of 2 Trillion Won

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 23 August, Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS) confirmed that it will conduct a massive rights offering of 2 trillion won.
  • The expected rights offering price is 22,350 won, which is 36% discount to current price. 
  • We believe this rights offering is likely to dilute the existing shareholders and negatively impact Hanwha Ocean’s share price.

China Property Developers In Distress – Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | 18-24 August 2023

By Robert Ciemniak

  • A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress
  • We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news (‘local signals’), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market
  • We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; see direct links to sources

Boustead Plantations’ Lifetime High Offer Price

By David Blennerhassett

  • Palm oil play Kuala Lumpur Kepong (KLK MK) has entered an agreement with Boustead Holdings, Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK)‘s largest shareholder, to acquire a 33% plus 1 share stake.
  • Upon the completion of the agreement, KLK will make a Mandatory Offer for all shares not owned in BPlant. The Offer Price is RM1.55/share, a lifetime high. 
  • The agreement conditions are rudimentary. The MGO has no minimum acceptance condition. This is done.

China Property: Policy Announcement Alert

By Robert Ciemniak

  • A new policy easing focused on homebuyers was released, building on July announcements, and now an option for all cities
  • More homebuyers will be able to get preferential terms for mortgages as first-time buyers
  • A joint notice from the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the People’s Bank of China, and the State Administration of Financial Supervision

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Daily Brief Australia: APM Human Services Internation and more

By | Australia, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • APM Human Services IPO Lock-Up – US$400m of Shares Come Free but First PE Needs to Clear Out


APM Human Services IPO Lock-Up – US$400m of Shares Come Free but First PE Needs to Clear Out

By Sumeet Singh

  • APM Human Services (APM AU) raised about US$730m by selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in Nov 21. The second IPO linked lockup is set to expire next week.
  • APM is an international human services provider, it runs 800 sites spanning 10 countries with its largest market being Australia.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.

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Daily Brief Thailand: Intouch Holdings and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thailand

In today’s briefing:

  • StubWorld: Intouch “Cheap” As Thaksin Returns


StubWorld: Intouch “Cheap” As Thaksin Returns

By David Blennerhassett

  • Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) plumbs new 12-month lows for its implied stub, and NAV discount as the former PM returns from exile. 
  • Preceding my comments on Intouch are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

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Daily Brief Singapore: Mirxes Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Mirxes Pre-IPO: Early Signs of Commercialization Challenges


Mirxes Pre-IPO: Early Signs of Commercialization Challenges

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Mirxes, a Singapore-headquartered RNA technology company with a focus on cancer screening, plans to raise up to US$100m via a Hong Kong listing.
  • In this insight, we examine its key product, GASTROClear’s technical and clinical data. We also look at the competitive landscape.
  • We are of the view that the company’s product, despite improving the accuracy over incumbent competitors marginally, is not a killer product and will face challenges in ramping up sales.

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Daily Brief South Korea: Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Electronics and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • Hanwha Ocean: Big Shares Dilution from Rights Offering of 2 Trillion Won
  • Is Samsung M&A About to Happen?


Hanwha Ocean: Big Shares Dilution from Rights Offering of 2 Trillion Won

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 23 August, Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS) confirmed that it will conduct a massive rights offering of 2 trillion won.
  • The expected rights offering price is 22,350 won, which is 36% discount to current price. 
  • We believe this rights offering is likely to dilute the existing shareholders and negatively impact Hanwha Ocean’s share price.

Is Samsung M&A About to Happen?

By Ken S. Kim

  • Local press states that Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)sold shares as they look to invest in their future capex
  • The capex amount for 2023 will be around 40-50 trillion KRW and it doesn’t seem like W3 trillion is a needle mover
  • With a new 3 year shareholder return plan, I would think maybe cash is needed to secure ammunition for M&A

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